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« Information and Communications Technologies 2 Information and 0 0 OECD Communications Outlook 5 Communications Technologies The OECD Communications Outlook 2005 presents the most recent comparable data on the performance of the communication sector and policy frameworks in OECD countries. The data provided in this report map the six years of competition for many OECD countries that fully opened OECD their market to competition in 1998. The 2005 edition also analyses the communications sector over the years following the “dotcom bubble” crisis and explores future developments. Communications The OECD Communications Outlook provides an extensive range of indicators for the development of different communications networks and compares performance indicators such as revenue, Outlook investment, employment and prices for service throughout the OECD area. These indicators are essential for industry and for regulators who use benchmarking to evaluate policy performance. This book is based on data from the OECD Telecommunications Database 2005, which provides time series of telecommunications and economic indicators such as network dimension, revenues, investment and employment for OECD countries from 1980 to 2003. For more information on trends in information technology, globalisation and their impact on the way people live and work, refer to the OECD Information Technology Outlook. O E C D C o m m u n i c The full text of this book is available on line via this link: a http://www.sourceoecd.org/scienceIT/9264009507 ti o n Those with access to all OECD books on line should use this link: s http://www.sourceoecd.org/9264009507 O u t l SourceOECD is the OECD’s online library of books, periodicals and statistical databases. For more information about o o this award-winning service and free trials ask your librarian, or write to us at [email protected]. k www.oecd.org ISBN 92-64-00950-7 -:HSTCQE=UU^ZU^: 2005 93 2005 01 1 P 2005 OECD Communications Outlook 2005 Readers of the OECD Communications Outlook can access the related OECD Telecommunications Database free of charge online at: http://new.SourceOECD.org/database/telecom. ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT The OECD is a unique forum where the governments of 30 democracies work together to address the economic, social and environmental challenges of globalisation. The OECD is also at the forefront of efforts to understand and to help governments respond to new developments and concerns, such as corporate governance, the information economy and the challenges of an ageing population. The Organisation provides a setting where governments can compare policy experiences, seek answers to common problems, identify good practice and work to co-ordinate domestic and international policies. The OECD member countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom and the United States. The Commission of the European Communities takes part in the work of the OECD. OECD Publishing disseminates widely the results of the Organisation’s statistics gathering and research on economic, social and environmental issues, as well as the conventions, guidelines and standards agreed by its members. This work is published on the responsibility of the Secretary-General of the OECD. The opinions expressed and arguments employed herein do not necessarily reflect the official views of the Organisation or of the governments of its member countries. Publié en français sous le titre: Perspectives des communications de l’OCDE: 2005 © OECD 2005 No reproduction, copy, transmission or translation of this publication may be made without written permission. Applications should be sent to OECD Publishing: [email protected] or by fax (33 1) 45 24 13 91. Permission to photocopy a portion of this work should be addressed to the Centre français d'exploitation du droit de copie, 20, rue des Grands-Augustins, 75006 Paris, France ([email protected]). FOREWORD Foreword T his report, the eighth in a series of biennial Communications Outlooks, was prepared in the context of the OECD’s work on the analysis of communication policy in member countries. The report was drafted by the staff working in the OECD Directorate for Science, Technology and Industry, including DimitriYpsilanti, SamPaltridge, TaylorReynolds and FrédéricBourassa as well as JohnHoughton from Victoria University and JonathanLevy from the Federal Communications Commission. They are grateful for the contribution of information by telecommunication carriers and to national delegations that responded in2004 to an OECD questionnaire relating to industry regulation and data. The assistance of Netcraft and the International Telecommunication Union is gratefully acknowledged where they provided data. The pricing comparisons are undertaken in co-operation with TeligenLtd., from which quarterly updates of some pricing indicators using the OECD methodology are directly available. Many of the other indicators in this report are available on in electronic format from the OECD Telecommunication Database2005, covering the period1980-2004. The draft of this report was presented to the OECD Working Party on Telecommunication and Information Services Policies at its meeting of 29-30November2004. The Committee for Information, Computer and Communications Policy subsequently recommended that the report be made available to the general public. OECD COMMUNICATIONS OUTLOOK 2005 – ISBN 92-64-00950-7 – © OECD 2005 3 TABLE OF CONTENTS Table of Contents Chapter 1. Policy Issues and Market Structure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 The telecommunications market . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 Telecommunication market structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 Broadcasting markets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 A return to growth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24 Chapter 2. Recent Communication Policy Developments. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Trends in competition. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 Regulatory safeguards. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 Foreign ownership. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Voice over Internet Protocol. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Local loop unbundling. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35 Number portability and carrier selection. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Fixed to mobile interconnection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Household expenditures on communication . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37 Chapter 3. Telecommunication Market Size . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67 Mobile communications. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 International communications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 Leased lines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74 Research and development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75 Chapter 4. Network Dimensions and Development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 91 Mobile network growth. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 Digitalisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 Investment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 Chapter 5. Internet and Broadband Infrastructure. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 123 Internet subscribers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 124 Broadband access. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 Mobile data revenue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 Leased line Internet connections . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 132 Internet hosts. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 133 Secure servers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 134 Links to secure servers . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 135 E-commerce access and supply. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 Domain names. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 Regional Internet development . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 143 Peering. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 146 Chapter 6. Main Trends in Pricing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 Residential and business telecommunication baskets. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 168 Trends in residential and business rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 170 International rates. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 172 OECD COMMUNICATIONS OUTLOOK 2005 – ISBN 92-64-00950-7 – © OECD 2005 5 TABLE OF CONTENTS Mobile communications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 173 Leased lines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 175 Broadband pricing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 177 Chapter 7. Broadcasting Services . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 201 Trends . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 202 Challenges. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 203 Structural changes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 Convergence/regulatory developments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 209 Chapter 8. Quality of Service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 Payphones. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 230 Network faults and maintenance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 232 Directory assistance. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 233 Answer seizure ratios . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 234 Evolution of quality of service . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 235 Chapter 9. Employment and Productivity . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 245 Employment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 246 Productivity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 249 Skills and occupational change in telecommunications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 254 Chapter 10. Trade in Communication Equipment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 267 Trade in communication equipment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 268 Direction of trade. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 276 Globalisation of production . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 279 Chapter 11. Regulatory Reform and the Global Digital Divide. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297 The scope of the digital divide. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 298 Digital progress. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 301 Market liberalisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 305 Regulatory independence. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 308 Spectrum policy and wireless connectivity. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 309 Success stories . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 310 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 312 List of Tables 1.1. Major public telecommunication operators and Internet service providers in the OECD area with revenues greater than USD1billion, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . 26 1.2. Top five subsectors by issuance of high yield bonds. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29 2.1. Number of operators in service, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 2.2. Access line market share of new entrants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42 2.3. National long distance market shares of new operators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 2.4. International market share of new market entrants. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44 2.5. Number of preselected lines. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45 2.6. Cellular mobile competition in the OECD area, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46 2.7. Government ownership of public telecommunication network operators . . . . 47 2.8. Foreign ownership restrictions in telecommunications. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51 2.9. Treatment of national and international voice telephony services provided over the Internet. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53 2.10. Local loop unbundling. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55 2.11. Number of unbundled lines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59 2.12. Carrier number portability and carrier pre-selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60 2.13. Fixed to mobile interconnection. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63 6 OECD COMMUNICATIONS OUTLOOK 2005 – ISBN 92-64-00950-7 – © OECD 2005 TABLE OF CONTENTS 2.14. Final consumption household expenditure in the OECD area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66 3.1. Telecommunication revenue in the OECD area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77 3.2. Telecommunication revenue as a percentage of GDP. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78 3.3. Globalisation of selected telecommunication carrier revenues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79 3.4. Mobile telecommunication revenue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 3.5. Telecommunication revenue ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81 3.6. Cellular mobile telecommunication revenue per cellular mobile subscriber . . 82 3.7. International telecommunication revenue. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 3.8. International telecommunication traffic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84 3.9. Leased line revenue, selected incumbents/countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85 3.10. R&D expenditures for PTOs. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86 3.11. R&D expenditures for telecommunications equipment manufacturers . . . . . . 87 3.12. USPatent Office: number of patents granted to selected telecommunication operators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 3.13. Telecommunications patent applications filed at the European Patent Office (EPO) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 4.1. Access trends in the OECD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 101 4.2. Telecommunication channels in the OECD area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 102 4.3. Standard analogue telecommunication access lines in the OECD area. . . . . . . 103 4.4. ISDN subscribers in the OECD area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 104 4.5. Residential lines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 106 4.6. Telecommunication channels per 100inhabitants in the OECD area. . . . . . . . . 107 4.7. Cellular mobile subscribers in the OECD area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 108 4.8. Cellular mobile penetration, subscribers per 100inhabitants. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 109 4.9. Mobile pre-paid subscriptions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 110 4.10. Percentage of population coverage of mobile networks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 111 4.11. Digitalisation in the OECD area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 112 4.12. Availability of digital subscriber lines (DSL) in the OECD area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 113 4.13. Public telecommunication investment in the OECD area. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 4.14. Licencing revenues in the OECD area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 4.15. Telecommunication investment by region. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 116 4.16. Public telecommunication investment as a percentage of telecommunications revenue. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 117 4.17. Public telecommunication investment as a percentage of gross fixed capital formation (GFCF). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 118 4.18. Public telecommunication investment per access channel. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 119 4.19. Public telecommunication investment per basic access path. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 120 4.20. Public telecommunication investment per capita. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 5.1. Internet subscribers to fixed networks, 1999-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 148 5.2. Mobile Internet: i-mode subscribers, 1999-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 149 5.3. Mobile phone-based internet subscribers in Japan, 1999-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 150 5.4. Mobile data revenues. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 151 5.5. SMS traffic, 2003-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 152 5.6. Broadband access, 2000-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 153 5.7. Broadband access to end June2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 154 5.8. Leased lines connected to Internet, 2000-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 155 5.9. Internet hosts by domain, 1998-2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 5.10. Secure servers in OECD countries, 1998-2002. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 5.11. References to secure servers by domain, 2002-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 158 5.12. References to secure servers by country, 2002-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 159 5.13. Domain name registrations under top level domains, 2000-2004. . . . . . . . . . . . 160 5.14. Domain name registrations, 2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 5.15. Geographical distribution of registrations under new unsponsored gTLDs, December2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 5.16. Regional development of the Internet, 2001-2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 163 5.17. Top10 neworks defined by number of peers, 2003-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 164 6.1. Pricing structures for residential users in the OECD area, 2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 180 OECD COMMUNICATIONS OUTLOOK 2005 – ISBN 92-64-00950-7 – © OECD 2005 7 TABLE OF CONTENTS 6.2. Skype pricing by call destination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 6.3. OECD residential basket tariffs compared to Skype tariffs, August2004. . . . . . 182 6.4. OECD international residential tariffs compared to Skype tariffs, August2004 183 6.5. OECD basket of residential telephone charges, August2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 184 6.6. OECD composite basket of residential telephone charges, August2004 . . . . . . 185 6.7. OECD basket of business telephone charges, August2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 186 6.8. OECD composite basket of business telephone charges, August2004. . . . . . . . 187 6.9. OECD time series for telephone charges. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 188 6.10. OECD basket of international telephone charges, August2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 189 6.11. OECD basket of low user mobile telephone charges, August2004 . . . . . . . . . . . 190 6.12. OECD basket of medium user mobile telephone charges, August2004. . . . . . . 191 6.13. OECD basket of high user mobile telephone charges, August2004 . . . . . . . . . . 192 6.14. OECD basket of national leased line charges, August2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 193 6.15. Trends in leased line pricing over different distances, 1992-2004. . . . . . . . . . . . 194 6.16. Internet access by DSL in OECD member countries, September2002-November2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 195 6.17. DSL pricing trends in OECD countries, 2002-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 198 6.18. Cable Internet pricing trends in OECD countries, January2005. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 199 7.1. Trends in media usage in the OECD area . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 217 7.2. ITU data on television, cable and home satellite usage, 1995-2002 . . . . . . . . . . 218 7.3. Composition, of television households by distribution platform, 1995-2002 . . 219 7.4. Penetration rate of cable television in OECD countries. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 220 7.5. Total television households and digital households, 2001-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 221 7.6. Composition and penetration of digital television households, 2003. . . . . . . . . 222 7.7. Digital terrestrial television transition information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 7.8. Service availability in largest city. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 224 7.9. Daily audience share of public service television . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 225 7.10. Telephony/Internet offerings by cable and satellite operators . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 226 7.11. Broadcasting definitions, digital terrestrial television and convergence issues. . . 227 7.12. Must-carry and media ownership regulations. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 228 8.1. Network access: waiting time for a new connection. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 238 8.2. Number of faults per 100lines per year . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 8.3. Percentage of faults repaired within 24hours . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 240 8.4. Number of payphones in OECD countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241 8.5. Average percentage of payphones in working order. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 242 8.6. Directory assistance charges. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 243 8.7. Answer seizure ratios. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 244 9.1. Employment in telecommunications, 1990-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 257 9.2. Employment in mobile communications, 1990-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 258 9.3. Telecommunication services employment as a share of national employment, 1990-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 259 9.4. Access paths per employee, 1991-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 260 9.5. OECD telecommunications employment and revenue per employee, 1990-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261 9.6. Telecommunication services revenue per employee, 1990-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . 262 9.7. Mobile employment and productivity indicators, 1999-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 263 9.8. PTO labour productivity by company, 1999-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 264 9.9. UStelecommunications employment by occupation, 2002 and projected change to 2012 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 265 10.1. Communication equipment exports, 1996-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 282 10.2. OECD communications equipment trade summary, 1996-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . 283 10.3. Communication equipment imports, 1996-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 284 10.4. Balance of trade in communication equipment, 1996-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 285 10.5. Composition of exports, 2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 286 10.6. Composition of imports, 2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 287 10.7. Telecommunications equipment trade, 1997-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 288 10.8. Broadcasting equipment trade, 1997-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 289 8 OECD COMMUNICATIONS OUTLOOK 2005 – ISBN 92-64-00950-7 – © OECD 2005 TABLE OF CONTENTS 10.9. Other communications equipment trade, 1997-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 290 10.10. Direction of communication equipment exports, 1996-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 291 10.11. Direction of communication equipment imports, 1996-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 292 10.12. Direction of communication equipment exports, 1996-2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 293 10.13. Direction of communication equipment imports, 1996-2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 294 10.14. China’s trade in communication equipment, 1996-2002 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 295 Annex Tables A1.Average annual exchange rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 320 A2.Purchasing power parities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 321 A3.Gross domestic product . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 322 A4.Total population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 323 A5.Gross fixed capital formation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 324 List of Figures 1.1. Access growth in the OECD. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21 1.2. Competition in fixed networks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 1.3. Competition in mobile infrastructure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 1.4. Telecommunication sector defaults . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 2.1. Mobile termination: range in rates, July2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38 2.2. Changes in the proportion of communication in disposable household income . 38 2.3. Monthly household expenditure on communications in selected OECD member countries, 2003or latest available year. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39 2.4. Trend in harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP) for communication for the EU15 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 3.1. Trends in telecommunication revenue, investment and access paths, 1980-2003. 68 3.2. Telecommunication revenue as a percentage of GDP, OECD, 1985-2003 . . . . . . 69 3.3. Mobile telecommunication revenue in OECD countries, 2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.4. Share of mobile revenue in telecommunication revenue. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71 3.5. Telecommunication revenue per access path, 2001and2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.6. Telecommunication revenue per capita, 1993 and2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72 3.7. Cellular mobile telecommunication revenue per subscriber, 2000 and2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73 3.8. Minutes of outgoing international telecommunication traffic (MiTT), 2003 . . . 74 4.1. Total fixed and mobile telecommunication paths, millions, 1997-2003. . . . . . . 92 4.2. Access channels per 100inhabitants in OECD countries, 1993 and 2003. . . . . . 93 4.3. Mobile subscribers in the OECD countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95 4.4. Cellular mobile subscribers per 100inhabitants, 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96 4.5. Total households passed by cable TVnetworks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97 4.6. Public telecommunications investment by region, 1990-2003 (excluding spectrum fees). . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 4.7. Public telecommunication investment as a percentage of PTO revenue and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF), 2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98 4.8. Public telecommunication investment per capita. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 4.9. Public telecommunications investment per access path. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 100 5.1. Fixed Internet subscribers, millions, December2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 125 5.2. Fixed Internet access per 100inhabitants, December2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 5.3. PC penetration, percentage of households,2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 126 5.4. Dial-up and broadband shares of total fixed Internet subscribers, December2003 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 127 5.5. Broadband access per 100inhabitants, December2003. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 128 5.6. Broadband access per 100inhabitants, June2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 129 5.7. Distribution of Skype users,2004. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 130 5.8. Skype users per 1000inhabitants,2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 5.9. Mobile Internet services in Japan, 1999-2004 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 131 OECD COMMUNICATIONS OUTLOOK 2005 – ISBN 92-64-00950-7 – © OECD 2005 9

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