Increasing the Sustainable Withdrawal Rate using the Standby Reverse Mortgage John Salter, PhD, CFP®, AIFA® Associate Professor, Texas Tech University Vice-President, Wealth Manager, Evensky & Katz Wealth Management Shaun Pfeiffer, PhD Associate Professor, Edinboro University of Pennsylvania Harold Evensky, CFP®, AIF® Research Professor, Texas Tech University President, Evensky & Katz Wealth Management 1 Increase the probability of meeting retirement goals. Increase the sustainable withdrawal rate. 2 Can we borrow from a reverse mortgage line of credit during times when the portfolio is “ ” off, in order to increase the probability of meeting goals and the sustainable withdrawal rate? 3 How much can be distributed from a portfolio in the first year of retirement, and subsequently increase the distributions by inflation, and have a reasonable chance of sustaining this spending throughout retirement? 4 Problems with reverse dollar cost averaging, the volatility drain on the portfolio when having to sell assets at depreciated prices. Annual returns, and sequence of returns can have a profound impact on the longevity of a ’ retiree s portfolio. 5 Originally developed by Bill Bengen (1994). Subsequent research, using historical returns, estimated SWR to be near 6% using various factors such as spending rules and partial annuitization. 6 New research focusing on capital market expectations rather than historical returns significantly lower the SWR. New SWR projected to be as low as 2.5% 7 8 What is your initial thought? Expensive? Last resort only? Was ours too… What has changed? The product has become cheaper with the HECM Saver. Why use home equity? It is a resource that normally remains untapped. 9 Must Be age 62 or over. Pay taxes and insurance. Maintain home. Current mortgage must be paid off or rolled into HECM. Plans to be in home long term. 10
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