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How Markets Work and Fail, and What to Make of Them NEW HORIZONS IN INSTITUTIONAL AND EVOLUTIONARY ECONOMICS Series Editor: Geoffrey M. Hodgson, Research Professor, University of Hertfordshire Business School, UK Economics today is at a crossroads. New ideas and approaches are challenging the largely static and equilibrium-oriented models that used to dominate mainstream economics. The study of economic institutions – long neglected in the economics textbooks – has returned to the forefront of theoretical and empirical investigation. This challenging and interdisciplinary series publishes leading works at the forefront of institutional and evolutionary theory and focuses on cutting-edge analyses of modern socio-economic systems. The aim is to understand both the institutional structures of modern economies and the processes of economic evolution and development. Contributions will be from all forms of evolutionary and institutional economics, as well as from Post-Keynesian, Austrian and other schools. The overriding aim is to understand the processes of institutional transformation and economic change. Titles in the series include: Property Rights, Consumption and the Market Process David Emanuel Andersson The Evolution of Path Dependence Edited by Lars Magnusson and Jan Ottosson Economics, Culture and Social Theory William A. Jackson Deep Complexity and the Social Sciences Experience, Modelling and Operationality Robert Delorme Creative Industries and Economic Evolution Jason Potts Institutional Variety in East Asia Formal and Informal Patterns of Coordination Edited by Werner Pascha, Cornelia Storz and Markus Taube Capitalism and Democracy A Fragile Alliance Theo van de Klundert Foundations of Economic Evolution A Treatise on the Natural Philosophy of Economics Carsten Herrmann-Pillath How Markets Work and Fail, and What to Make of Them Bart Nooteboom How Markets Work and Fail, and What to Make of Them Bart Nooteboom Professor Emeritus, Tilburg University, the Netherlands NEW HORIZONS IN INSTITUTIONAL AND EVOLUTIONARY ECONOMICS Edward Elgar Cheltenham, UK • Northampton, MA, USA © Bart Nooteboom 2014 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical or photocopying, recording, or otherwise without the prior permission of the publisher. Published by Edward Elgar Publishing Limited The Lypiatts 15 Lansdown Road Cheltenham Glos GL50 2JA UK Edward Elgar Publishing, Inc. William Pratt House 9 Dewey Court Northampton Massachusetts 01060 USA A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library Library of Congress Control Number: 2014938836 This book is available electronically in the ElgarOnline.com Economics Subject Collection, E-ISBN 978 1 78347 756 2 ISBN 978 1 78347 755 5 (cased) Typeset by Servis Filmsetting Ltd, Stockport, Cheshire Printed and bound in Great Britain by T.J. International Ltd, Padstow 3 0 Contents Preface vi 1 Introduction 1 2 Foundations of markets 19 3 How markets work and fail 55 4 Variety of industries 95 5 Hybrids and examples 109 6 Alternatives 137 Notes 167 References 169 Name index 173 Subject index 175 v Preface Friends and acquaintances pressed me to write this book. A deeply critical book on economics and markets was needed, they said, and I was the one to write it, since I am sufficiently inside economics to know the arguments and sufficiently outside it to be critical. Once I started, I began to enjoy writing it. My approach is philosophical in part, and connects with my lifelong interest in philosophy next to my scientific activities. I also built on my scientific work on philosophy of science, marketing, innovation and entrepreneurship, learning, collaboration and alliances, networks, and trust, in a wide range of publications. I am grateful to several people who gave advice and read drafts in different stages of development: Bas Schoorl, Arthur Wassenberg and, especially, John Groenewegen. My criticism is radical, but not so radical as to reject the whole of economics or the operation of markets. Rather, I try to specify the short- comings of economics and markets, with the aim of transforming theory and underlying philosophy into a wider notion of markets that includes perspectives from sociology, social psychology, theory of knowledge and ethics. Perhaps the most radical shift that I propose is that from the ruling utilitarian ethic of economics to a virtue ethic. How can markets become part of ‘the good life’ that includes more than the satisfaction of desire and recognizes that human life entails a range of values that cannot be added and subtracted in utility or caught in the axiomatics of complete and transitive preferences, and which includes, in particular, the virtue of mod- eration, in consumption, wealth and egotism? Central is the view that the human being is fundamentally social, and needs the other to develop itself. Another basic view is that uncertainty, in the development of knowledge, preferences, innovation and markets, is often radical, not subject to calcu- lation of risk. These points jeopardize the central doctrines in economics of methodological individualism and rational choice. Evident as my opposing views may seem to most people, for econom- ics they are radical. One can hardly expect such a radical proposal to be adopted and implemented any time soon, but I hope to loosen thought and contribute to a shift of perspective in what I see as the proper direction. vi 1. Introduction 1.1 IDOLS OF ECONOMICS In the wake of recent financial and economic crises there is a swelling debate on the adequacy of economic science. Few economists foresaw the crises, predictions and recommendations on how to proceed vary greatly, there is difference of opinion on the root causes of the crises, there is little perspective of how to prevent similar crises in the future, and established practices in finance and business appear to simply continue. Apparently we need to delve deeper. A fundamental re- orientation seems in order. In this book I criticize fundamental intellectual and moral assumptions underlying economic science, and I unravel the notion of markets: how they work and fail, and how they may be redirected to better serve the good life. However, economics goes beyond markets. It has developed into a view of behaviour in general, and I will discuss that first. My criticism of economics is radical and I think that economic thought is doing much damage. However, I acknowledge that economics has also made important contributions. In many situations optimal allocation of scarce resources is in order; laws of supply and demand sometimes apply. Economics has yielded numerous useful notions, such as economies of scale, diminishing returns, substitution between labour and capital, opportunity costs, forms of competition, transaction costs, entry barriers, and much more. Game theory has yielded important insights into strate- gic and collective behaviour. My aim is not to abolish economics but to contribute to its transformation into a wider, more integrative, ethical and interdisciplinary behavioural science of markets. The power of economic thought is five- fold. It is simple and parsimoni- ous; it is amenable to technocratic calculation, satisfying urges towards rational choice and design; it claims to be universal, applying always and everywhere; it conveniently avoids difficult ethical questions; and it sup- posedly promotes freedom. This makes economics virtually invincible, and its corrosive effects on the good life difficult to dodge. While economics is based on a utilitarian ethic, I will adopt a virtue ethic, with a view to multiple dimensions of the good life. This has corre- sponding weaknesses. It is complicated, discursive rather than calculative, 1 2 How markets work and fail difficult to universalize, and expensive in the deliberation and debate it requires. In being normative, it is political, and it can easily be seen as paternalistic. It pleads for limits to economic growth and less concentra- tion of wealth. As a result it can expect powerful opposition from an unholy alliance of the wealthy, established interests of industry and com- merce, libertarians, technocrats, gluttons and consumption zombies. I do not expect my views to be implemented any time soon. Fundamental turns of thought take a long time to take hold, and when they do institutions are moulded to fit them, they form the cognitive substrate on which society develops, and then they become self-e vident, beyond scrutiny, absorbed in the marrow of our cultural bones. I propose that current economic thought has grown over some 400 years from ideas that arose at the beginning of modernity, with Descartes, and developed in the Enlightenment in the emergence of a utilitarian ethic and notions of the rational, autonomous knowing and acting subject. To make amends, we need to unearth all that, bringing it back into the open. I do that in this book. More in particular, we are up against a movement that can be traced back to the English Renaissance philosopher Francis Bacon, in the six- teenth to seventeenth centuries, who initiated a ‘no-n onsense’ movement for experimental science to replace medieval scholasticism and speculative thought, which step by step conquered Western thought and still domi- nates it. He attacked idols of misleading but deeply rooted, fundamental forms of medieval thought, largely tacit and taken for granted. Here, I attempt a counter- movement, a corrective turn. Ironically, the idols that Bacon rightly identified and attributed to medieval thought can be turned around in criticism of modern scientism in general and econom- ics in particular. For that I will, in retaliation so to speak, specify the idols of economics. Bacon identified the following types of idols: 1. Idols of the tribe (here the tribe of economists, policy makers and politicians seduced by them) arise from the inclination to rest in ideas that have been received and believed in some community (‘tribe’) and for the sake of which contradictory phenomena or views are ignored, neglected or not even perceived. In economics this includes the myths of rational choice and efficient markets. 2. Idols of the den are private prejudices peculiar to the ‘den’ or ‘cave’ the individual inhabits (Bacon purposely used the Platonic notion of a cave in which perception is distorted). This varies between people. Here, it includes the economist’s taste for hard-n osed, no- nonsense measures, a taste for the analytical force of mathematics, and disdain of ‘fuzzy’ alternatives. Introduction 3 3. Idols of the marketplace are illusions of language, of communication between people, with familiar words that mislead; that are taken to refer to something in the world that does not in fact exist. In econom- ics this includes utility or preferences. When those cannot be found in reality, or in psychology and social psychology, they are nevertheless assumed to be ‘revealed’ by the fact of choice. Since people make choices, an ordering of preferences must exist, even if they cannot be observed, so the argument goes. 4. Idols of the theatre are philosophical systems of the past. In Bacon’s time those were mediaeval scholasticism, metaphysics and parts of Aristotelian philosophy.1 In economics it is the very notion of science that Bacon heralded, with the idols of measurability, objective obser- vation of facts, rational choice, and mathematics as a precondition for proper science. 1.2 THE IDOL OF CALCULATIVE NON- MORALITY The first idol is that of calculative non- morality. Economists claim that economics is value- free, but this is a myth. Historically, the urge towards a value- free economics can be understood as a striving for freedom, in reaction against the coercive, doctrinaire and totalitarian systems of National Socialism and Communism, and paternalistic religious systems. The state should in no way interfere with what people think and want. Understandable and laudable as this is in itself, it has developed into hypocrisy, a make- believe that serves to mask or excuse the neglect of difficult normative issues. In fact, economics does not always promote freedom and often produces injustice, and in its purported abstinence from morality promotes a tacit, hidden, taken- for- granted and hence incontrovertible, ideological morality of self-i nterest and compulsive gratification. Economic optimization of utility is always maximization subject to constraints and the constraints are largely normative, dictated by consid- erations of safety, health, education, justice, environmental protection, and so on. So, in fact, economics does necessarily deal with normative constraints. And it is paternalistic in its notions of merit and de- merit goods. More fundamentally, economic science is based on a utilitarian ethics that goes back, notably, to Bentham and J.S. Mill. This entails the assumption that the good things of life, or constituents of happiness, are commensurable – can be added, subtracted and traded off in calculation of utility or in preference orderings that are complete and consistent 4 How markets work and fail (satisfying certain axioms, such as that of transitivity). That is the crux of the idol of calculative non- morality. In Nooteboom (1984) I showed how incommensurable, multiple dimensions of utility can yield intransitive preferences. I used the example of shops, with four dimensions of utility: proximity (utility of place), opening time (utility of time), depth and width of assortment of products offered (utility of choice), service (including time spent in queues) and agreeability (utility of experience). The assumption was that in any comparison between two types of utility consumers can state a preference, but not between three or more. If shops tend to be weak on one dimension of utility and strong on another, intransitivity ensues. Thus a shop with a wide assortment of goods on offer is usually located at a large average distance to consumers.2 As an alternative to utility ethics there is virtue ethics, going back to Aristotle. There, the good life consists in multiple dimensions that are not commensurable and are even often conflicting, such as health, pleasure, love, friendship, fortitude, security vs. risk, self- interest vs. altruism, chal- lenge of achievement vs. security, stability vs. change, protection of the environment, care for ill, elderly and poor, courage (between cowardice and recklessness), compassion, justice, extrinsic value of work (income) vs. intrinsic value (satisfaction, self- realization), and so on. For such an ethics, restraint of gratification and the choice of a middle between extremes are part of the good life. Not limitless growth and desire but their limitation is part of it. And note that the choice of one ethics over another is itself value- laden. In choosing a utilitarian ethics economics is not value free. The neglect of incommensurability leads to excesses of planning and control on the basis of purported measures of quality. One example is that of scientific publications. Funds and careers for academic researchers have increasingly been based on a mechanical count of journal publications (weighted by the impact score of journals), or of citations. This has evoked several forms of perverse conduct, such as recycling of publications, plagiarism, excessive self- citation, mutual citation alliances, or outright fraud with data or methods. Books are not counted while in some areas (for example philosophy) they are more important than journal articles. To take into account incommensurability one needs to also engage in peer review, in actually reading and then evaluating publications, in debate between members of the team according to different dimensions of merit

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