ffffiirrss..iinndddd vvii 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1144 PPMM Additional Praise for How a Second Grader Beats Wall Street “ I have a very strong feeling that sometime in the not - to - distant future I will happily be working for Allan Roth ’s son! If you buy only one how - to book this year, this is the one! Allan Roth is a National Treasure. ” — Mike Causey, s enior correspondent, FederalNewsRadio.com “ Allan presents in a very clever way why a second grader can outper- form most investors, professional and individual. He demonstrates why smart investing is both simple and also why it is not easy for adults to execute because of behavioral mistakes to which they are prone. ” — Larry Swedroe , author of Wise Investing Made Simple “ Successful investing should be a matter of choice, not chance. Follow this book’ s advice and your probabilities of success are 100% in your favor.” — Paul Merriman, author, Live It Up Without Outliving Your Money! (Wiley), and publisher of FundAdvice.com “ Allan Roth gets an A+. It is no surprise that a 2n d grader beats Wall Street because everything we need to know about beating the pros is taught in the fi rst grade. That is when we learn to add and subtract. And after subtracting the high fees and commissions that the pros charge, their results fall far short of a simple market return.” — Richard Ferri, CFA , investment advisor and author of The ETF Book ffffiirrss..iinndddd ii 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1122 PPMM “ Pablo Picasso spent a lifetime learning to paint like a child. Investors might be wise to do the same. Allan Roth ’s H ow a Second Grader Beats Wall Street reminds us that the most important investment principles are actually simple truths that we lose sight of as our lives and investment approaches grow more complicated. By returning to the basics, we can both simplify our fi nances and improve our investment results. ” — Don Phillips, M anaging Director, Morningstar, Inc. “ Allan Roth shatters the Wall Street myth that investing is too compli- cated for ordinary investors. Using his son, Kevin, as an example, Allan shows us, in his easy - to - read writing style, how we can construct a simple personal portfolio that is almost certain to outperform the vast majority of investors. If you have been looking for an easy - to - understand book about how to invest successfully — this is it.” — Taylor Larimore , co- author of The Bogleheads ’ Guide to Investing “ Using just a bit of logic and a dash of arithmetic, Allan Roth lucidly explains why low - cost index funds should be the investment of choice for 2nd graders as well as their parents and grandparents. ” — John Allen Paulos, mathematics professor at Temple University and the author of Innumeracy and A Mathematician Plays the Stock Market “ Kevin, the second grader, is really smart and cool! He knows what it took me decades to learn. A smart strategy is to diversify broadly across US stocks, international stocks and high- grade US bonds using low - cost, tax - effi cient index funds. He even taught me how individuals can increase their fi xed - income returns without incurring higher risks. By following Kevin ’s advice, we, too, can be smart investors. But we may never be as cool as Kevin! ” — William Reichenstein , Powers Chair in Investment Management at Baylor University ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiii 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1122 PPMM How a Second Grader Beats Wall Street Golden Rules Any Investor Can Learn Allan S. Roth John Wiley & Sons, Inc. ffffiirrss..iinndddd iiiiii 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1133 PPMM Copyright © 2009 by Allan Roth. All rights reserved. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey. Published simultaneously in Canada. Data ©2008 Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; (3) does not constitute investment advice offered by Morningstar; and (4) is not warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Use of information from Morningstar does not necessarily constitute agreement by Morningstar, Inc. of any investment philosophy or strategy presented in this publication. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, (978) 750-8400, fax (978) 750-4470, or on the web at www.copyright.com. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Permissions Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030, (201) 748-6011, fax (201) 748-6008, or online at www.wiley. com/go/permissions. Limit of Liability/Disclaimer of Warranty: While the publisher and author have used their best efforts in preparing this book, they make no representations or warranties with respect to the accuracy or completeness of the contents of this book and specifi cally disclaim any implied warranties of merchantability or fi tness for a particular purpose. No warranty may be created or extended by sales representatives or written sales materials. The advice and strategies contained herein may not be suitable for your situation. You should consult with a professional where appropriate. Neither the publisher nor author shall be liable for any loss of profi t or any other commercial damages, including but not limited to special, incidental, consequential, or other damages. For general information on our other products and services or for technical support, please contact our Customer Care Department within the United States at (800) 762-2974, outside the United States at (317) 572-3993 or fax (317) 572-4002. Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print may not be available in electronic books. For more information about Wiley products, visit our web site at www.wiley.com. Macy’s logo used with permission. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data: Roth, Allan S., 1957- How a second grader beats Wall Street: golden rules any investor can learn/Allan S. Roth. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-0-470-37594-5 (cloth) 1. Portfolio management. 2. Index mutual funds. 3. Investments. I. Title. HG4529.5.R67 2009 332.6–dc22 2008041525 Printed in the United States of America 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 ffffiirrss..iinndddd iivv 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1133 PPMM To investors, like my son, Kevin, who know the truth of simple arithmetic ffffiirrss..iinndddd vv 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1133 PPMM ffffiirrss..iinndddd vvii 11//1133//0099 44::3377::1144 PPMM Contents Acknowledgments xi Introduction: The Seeds of Financial Success xv Chapter 1 The Claw Will Take Your Money: “10 – 2 = 8” 1 Chapter 2 Own the World: “Don’t Put All of Your Eggs in One Basket” 17 Chapter 3 The Advantage of Having Wall Street Marketing Blinders (and Where Can I Get Some?): “I Don’t Watch Cramer; I Like SpongeBob” 41 Chapter 4 Adults Behaving Badly: “Don’t Act Silly When Something Is Important” 67 vii ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiii 1122//2266//0088 1111::5522::2288 AAMM viii contents Chapter 5 Can You Beat a Second Grader’s Portfolio?: “I’m Not Going to Win All Three Spins ” 89 Chapter 6 Beyond the Second-Grader Portfolio: “If Dad Says There’s a Better Way, I Might Try It, but I’m Not So Sure” 107 Chapter 7 Bonds—Your Portfolio’s Shock Absorber: “Don’t Lend Money to Someone Who Won’t Pay You Back” 123 Chapter 8 Better Than Bonds: “If the Teacher Promises You’ll Be Paid Back, Then It’s Okay to Lend Randy Money ” 141 Chapter 9 Simply Brilliant or Brilliantly Simple—Building Your Portfolio: “Don’t Bet Your Lunch Money” 157 Chapter 10 Investors Who Love to Pay Taxes, and the IRS Who Loves Them: “Don’t Pay Taxes If Y ou Don’t Have To” 179 Chapter 11 Nightmare off Wall Street—The Scary Tale of Trick-or-Treat Investing: “If the Game Is Too Hard to Understand, I’m Not Playing ” 193 Chapter 12 Increase Your Return No Matter What the Market Does: “If Y ou Pick the Low-Hanging Fruit, You Don’t Have to Climb the Tree” 215 ffttoocc..iinndddd vviiiiii 11//1133//0099 11::4455::2266 PPMM
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