1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:47—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26. Preface Purpose Thegoalofthishandbookistoprovideinformationnecessaryforengineers,energyprofessionals,and policy makers to plan a secure energy future. The time horizon of the handbook is limited to approximately25yearsbecauseenvironmentalconditionsvary,newtechnologiesemerge,andpriorities of society continuously change. It is therefore not possible to make reliable projections beyond that period.Giventhistimehorizon,thebookdealsonlywithtechnologiesthatarecurrentlyavailableorare expectedtobereadyforimplementationinthenearfuture. Overview Energyisamainstayofanindustrialsociety.Asthepopulationoftheworldincreasesandpeoplestrive forahigherstandardofliving,theamountofenergynecessarytosustainoursocietyiseverincreasing.At the same time, the availability of nonrenewable sources, particularly liquid fuels, is rapidly shrinking. Therefore, there is general agreement that to avoid an energy crisis, the amount of energy needed to sustain society will have to be contained and, to the extent possible, renewable sources will have to be used. As a consequence, conservation and renewable energy technologies are going to increase in importanceandreliable,up-to-dateinformationabouttheiravailability,efficiency,andcostisnecessary forplanningasecureenergyfuture. Thetimingofthishandbookalsocoincideswithanewimpetusfortheuseofrenewableenergy.This impetuscomesfromtheemergenceofrenewableportfoliostandards[RPS]inmanystatesoftheU.S.and renewableenergypoliciesinEurope,Japan,Israel,China,Brazil,andIndia.AnRPSrequiresthatacertain percentageofenergyusedbederivedfromrenewableresources.RPSsandotherincentivesforrenewable energyarecurrentlyinplacein20ofthe50statesoftheU.S.andmorestatesareexpectedtosoonfollow. ThedetailsoftheRPSforrenewableenergyandconservationinstitutedbystategovernmentsvary,butall of them essentially offer an opportunity for industry to compete for the new markets. Thus, to be successful,renewabletechnologieswillhavetobecomemoreefficientandcost-effective.AlthoughRPSs arearelativelynewdevelopment,ithasalreadybeendemonstratedthattheycanreducemarketbarriers andstimulatethedevelopmentofrenewableenergy.Useofconservationandrenewableenergycanhelp meet critical national goals for fuel diversity, price stability, economic development, environmental protection,andenergysecurity,andtherebyplayavitalroleinnationalenergypolicy. TheexpectedgrowthrateofrenewableenergyfromportfoliostandardsandotherstimulantsintheU.S. isimpressive.Ifcurrentpoliciescontinuetobeimplemented,bytheyear2017almost26,000megawattsof newrenewableenergywillbeinplaceintheU.S.alone.In2005,photovoltaicproductionintheworldhas alreadytopped1000MWperyearandisincreasingatarateofover30%.InGermany,theelectricityfeed-in laws that value electricity produced from renewable energy resources much higher than that from conventionalresources,havecreateddemandforphotovoltaicandwindpower.Asaresult,overthelast threeyearsthephotovoltaicpowerhasgrownatarateofmorethan51%peryearandwindpowerhas grown at a rate of more than 37% in Germany. Recently, a number of other European countries have 1730—prelims—30/3/2007—11:48—BSARAVANAN—15094—XMLMODELCRC12a–pp.1–26.
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