Handbook of Energy and Environmental Security This page intentionally left blank Handbook of Energy and Environmental Security Edited by Muhammad Asif King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran, Saudi Arabia AcademicPressisanimprintofElsevier 125LondonWall,LondonEC2Y5AS,UnitedKingdom 525BStreet,Suite1650,SanDiego,CA92101,UnitedStates 50HampshireStreet,5thFloor,Cambridge,MA02139,UnitedStates TheBoulevard,LangfordLane,Kidlington,OxfordOX51GB,UnitedKingdom Copyright©2022ElsevierInc.Allrightsreserved. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproducedortransmittedinanyformorbyanymeans,electronicor mechanical,includingphotocopying,recording,oranyinformationstorageandretrievalsystem,without permissioninwritingfromthepublisher.Detailsonhowtoseekpermission,furtherinformationaboutthe Publisher’spermissionspoliciesandourarrangementswithorganizationssuchastheCopyrightClearance CenterandtheCopyrightLicensingAgency,canbefoundatourwebsite:www.elsevier.com/permissions. 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ISBN:978-0-12-824084-7 ForinformationonallAcademicPresspublicationsvisitourwebsiteat https://www.elsevier.com/books-and-journals Publisher:CharlotteCockle AcquisitionsEditor:LisaReading EditorialProjectManager:SaraValentino ProductionProjectManager:SojanP.Pazhayattil CoverDesigner:MarkRogers TypesetbyTNQTechnologies To my son Qasim This page intentionally left blank Contents List of contributors.............................................................................................................................xix Preface..............................................................................................................................................xxiii Acknowledgments..............................................................................................................................xxv CHAPTER 1 Introduction to energy and environmental security............................1 MuhammadAsif 1. Climatechange on the March.......................................................................................1 2. Energy and environmental security..............................................................................2 2.1 Energysecurity......................................................................................................2 2.2 Environmental security..........................................................................................3 2.3 The energyeenvironment dilemma......................................................................3 3. Shared future.................................................................................................................7 4. Global response.............................................................................................................8 5. Conclusions.................................................................................................................10 References.........................................................................................................................10 CHAPTER 2 Dynamics of energy security and its implications............................13 Tri Ratna Bajracharya, Shree Raj Shakya and Anzoo Sharma 1. Energy security...........................................................................................................13 1.1 Components ofenergysecurity...........................................................................15 1.2 Indicatorsofenergysecurity...............................................................................15 2. Energy securityissues indeveloped anddeveloping countries.................................16 2.1 World energytrilemma index.............................................................................17 2.2 Developing countries’ perspective......................................................................20 3. Energy securitypoliciesand its implicationsinenergytransitions..........................20 3.1 Energytransition index.......................................................................................20 4. Conclusion...................................................................................................................24 References.........................................................................................................................24 CHAPTER 3 Sustainable energy transition in the 21st century............................27 MuhammadAsif 1. Introduction.................................................................................................................27 2. Dynamics of the energytransition..............................................................................28 3. Decarbonization..........................................................................................................29 3.1 Renewable energy...............................................................................................30 3.2 Electric vehicles..................................................................................................31 3.3 Energystorage.....................................................................................................33 4. Decentralization..........................................................................................................34 5. Digitalization...............................................................................................................35 vii viii Contents 6. Decreasing use of energy............................................................................................36 7. Conclusions.................................................................................................................37 References.........................................................................................................................37 CHAPTER 4 Energy security: role of renewable and low-carbon technologies........................................................................................39 Nofri Yenita Dahlan, NurfadzilahAhmad, Nur Iqtiyani Ilham and Siti Hajar Yusoff 1. Introduction.................................................................................................................39 2. Overviewofglobal low-carbon technologystatus.....................................................41 2.1 Renewable energytechnologies: globaltrends...................................................41 2.2 Energyefficiency technologyglobal developments...........................................43 2.3 ImpactofCOVID-19 pandemicon renewable energyandenergy efficiency.............................................................................................................44 3. Roles of renewable and energyefficiency technologies for enhancing energy security........................................................................................................................44 3.1 Renewable energypavingworld sustainableelectricity generationmix...........45 3.2 Renewable energymicrogridsfor enhancingelectrification..............................46 3.3 Low-carbontechnologiesthroughdemandside management in buildings.......47 4. Future roles oflow-carbontechnologiesindecentralized energymarket.................50 4.1 Peer-topeer energytrading..................................................................................50 4.2 Virtual power plant..............................................................................................52 4.3 Carbon pricing.....................................................................................................54 5. Conclusion...................................................................................................................56 References.........................................................................................................................56 CHAPTER 5 Overcoming the energy security challenges in developing countries.............................................................................................61 Hirushie Karunathilake, Tharindu Prabatha, Rehan Sadiqand Kasun Hewage 1. Energyscenario indevelopingcountries....................................................................61 1.1 Currentstatus ofsupply and demand.................................................................63 1.2 Energychallenges for developing countries.......................................................66 2. The nexusof supply, demand, and energysecurity...................................................67 2.1 Parameters governing the nexus..........................................................................68 2.2 Interrelationshipsbetween parameters................................................................71 3. Holistic assessment ofenergysecurity andsustainable development.......................71 3.1 Energysecurity indexdevelopment....................................................................72 3.2 Energysecurity and energyindependence: SouthAsia.....................................75 Contents ix 4. Improvingenergysecurityand equity........................................................................81 4.1 Opportunities for an energysecure and sustainablefuture................................81 4.2 Aglobalframework for carboneconomy...........................................................82 5. Conclusion...................................................................................................................83 References.........................................................................................................................84 CHAPTER 6 Renewable energy in Latin America and scenarios to the Brazilian energy matrix by 2050.......................................................89 Ramon Soares Correˆa, Osvaldo Luiz Gonc¸alves Quelhas, Gustavo Naciff de Andrade, PauloRoberto de Campos Merschmann, Rosley Anholonand Chrystyane Abreu 1. Introduction: energyand sustainability......................................................................90 2. Future scenarios, 2050 calculator, andrenewables inLatin America and Brazil.....91 2.1 Scenarios andthe energysector..........................................................................91 2.2 The 2050 calculatortool.....................................................................................93 2.3 Renewable energyin Latin America and Brazil................................................93 3. Study methods.............................................................................................................96 3.1 First stepof Schwartzddefinition ofthe central question.................................96 3.2 Second andthird steps ofSchwartzdlist ofthe keyfactors andthe driving forces.......................................................................................................96 3.3 The fourth stepofSchwartzdhierarchizethe keyfactorsand the driving forces.......................................................................................................96 3.4 Fifth step ofSchwartzddefining the logic ofthe scenarios..............................98 3.5 Sixth step ofSchwartzdembodying the scenarios............................................99 3.6 Seventhstep ofSchwartzdimplicationsto the central question.......................99 3.7 Eighth step ofSchwartzddefinition ofwarningsigns.......................................99 4. Results and discussions.............................................................................................100 5. Conclusions...............................................................................................................104 References.......................................................................................................................106 CHAPTER 7 Phase change: getting to a sustainable energy future in Vietnam.........................................................................................109 David Dapice,Phu V. Le and Thai-Ha Le 1. Background...............................................................................................................109 2. Thedemandside.......................................................................................................112 3. Thesupply side.........................................................................................................113 3.1 PDP-7revised....................................................................................................113 4. Recent developments................................................................................................114 4.1 Aviewfrom the Vietnam businessforum........................................................116 5. Challenges and opportunities....................................................................................116 5.1 Transmission issues...........................................................................................116