FX D ERIVATIVES T S RADER CHOOL The Wiley Trading series features books by traders who have survived the market’severchangingtemperamentandhaveprospered—somebyreinventing systems,othersbygettingbacktobasics.Whetheranovicetrader,professional, or somewhere in-between, these books will provide the advice and strategies needed to prosper today and well into the future. For more on this series, visit ourWebsiteatwww.WileyTrading.com. Founded in 1807, John Wiley & Sons is the oldest independent publishing company in the United States. With offices in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia, Wiley is globally committed to developing and marketing print and electronic products and services for our customers’ professional and personal knowledgeandunderstanding. FX D ERIVATIVES T S RADER CHOOL Giles Jewitt Copyright(cid:2)c 2015byGilesJewitt.Allrightsreserved. PublishedbyJohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,Hoboken,NewJersey. PublishedsimultaneouslyinCanada. Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorby anymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,recording,scanning,orotherwise,exceptaspermitted underSection107or108ofthe1976UnitedStatesCopyrightAct,withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermission ofthePublisher,orauthorizationthroughpaymentoftheappropriateper-copyfeetotheCopyrightClearance Center,Inc.,222RosewoodDrive,Danvers,MA01923,(978)750-8400,fax(978)646-8600,orontheWeb atwww.copyright.com.RequeststothePublisherforpermissionshouldbeaddressedtothePermissions Department,JohnWiley&Sons,Inc.,111RiverStreet,Hoboken,NJ07030,(201)748-6011,fax(201) 748-6008,oronlineathttp://www.wiley.com/go/permissions. LimitofLiability/DisclaimerofWarranty:Whilethepublisherandauthorhaveusedtheirbesteffortsin preparingthisbook,theymakenorepresentationsorwarrantieswithrespecttotheaccuracyorcompleteness ofthecontentsofthisbookandspecificallydisclaimanyimpliedwarrantiesofmerchantabilityorfitnessfora particularpurpose.Nowarrantymaybecreatedorextendedbysalesrepresentativesorwrittensalesmaterials. Theadviceandstrategiescontainedhereinmaynotbesuitableforyoursituation.Youshouldconsultwitha professionalwhereappropriate.Neitherthepublishernorauthorshallbeliableforanylossofprofitorany othercommercialdamages,includingbutnotlimitedtospecial,incidental,consequential,orotherdamages. Forgeneralinformationonourotherproductsandservicesorfortechnicalsupport,pleasecontactour CustomerCareDepartmentwithintheUnitedStatesat(800)762-2974,outsidetheUnitedStatesat(317) 572-3993orfax(317)572-4002. Wileypublishesinavarietyofprintandelectronicformatsandbyprint-on-demand.Somematerialincluded withstandardprintversionsofthisbookmaynotbeincludedine-booksorinprint-on-demand.Ifthisbook referstomediasuchasaCDorDVDthatisnotincludedintheversionyoupurchased,youmaydownloadthis materialathttp://booksupport.wiley.com.FormoreinformationaboutWileyproducts,visit www.wiley.com. LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData: ISBN9781118967454(Paperback) ISBN9781119096610(ePDF) ISBN9781119096474(ePub) Coverimage:BusinessWorld(cid:2)c iStock.com/ktsimage;abstractbackground(cid:2)c iStock.com/PiexelEmbargo Coverdesign:Wiley PrintedintheUnitedStatesofAmerica 10987654321 For my wife and daughters: Laura, Rosie, and Emily. CONTENTS Preface xi Acknowledgments xiii PART I The Basics 1 vii CHAPTER1 IntroductiontoForeignExchange 3 CHAPTER2 IntroductiontoFXDerivatives 11 CHAPTER3 IntroductiontoTrading 19 PracticalA BuildingaTradingSimulatorinExcel 27 CHAPTER4 FXDerivativesMarketStructure 39 CHAPTER5 TheBlack-ScholesFramework 57 PracticalB BuildingaNumericalIntegrationOptionPricerinExcel 69 CHAPTER6 VanillaFXDerivativesGreeks 77 PracticalC BuildingaBlack-ScholesOptionPricerinExcel 91 CHAPTER7 VanillaFXDerivativesPricing 103 CHAPTER8 VanillaFXDerivativesStructures 121 CHAPTER9 VanillaFXDerivativesRiskManagement 137 CHAPTER10 VanillaFXDerivativesMiscellaneousTopics 159 PracticalD GeneratingTenorDatesinExcel 165 PART II The Volatility Surface 169 CHAPTER11 ATMCurveConstruction 171 PracticalE ConstructinganATMCurveinExcel 193 CHAPTER12 VolatilitySmileMarketInstrumentsand Exposures 205 PracticalF ConstructingaVolatilitySmileinExcel 233 CHAPTER13 ProbabilityDensityFunctions 241 PracticalG GeneratingaProbabilityDensityFunctionfromOption PricesinExcel 253 viii PART III Vanilla FX Derivatives Trading 261 S T N E CHAPTER14 VanillaFXDerivativesTradingExposures 263 T N O C CHAPTER15 VanillaFXDerivativesTradingTopics 293 CHAPTER16 ATMVolatilityandCorrelation 313 CHAPTER17 FXDerivativesMarketAnalysis 323 PART IV Exotic FX Derivatives 355 CHAPTER18 ExoticFXDerivativesPricing 357 CHAPTER19 FXDerivativesPricingModels 375 CHAPTER20 ExoticFXDerivativesProductClassification 387 CHAPTER21 EuropeanDigitalOptions 399
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