Food Price Dynamics and Price Adjustment in the EU OUPCORRECTEDPROOF–FINAL,9/9/2015,SPi Food Price Dynamics and Price Adjustment in the EU Edited by Steve McCorriston 1 3 GreatClarendonStreet,Oxford,OX26DP, UnitedKingdom OxfordUniversityPressisadepartmentoftheUniversityofOxford. ItfurtherstheUniversity’sobjectiveofexcellenceinresearch,scholarship, andeducationbypublishingworldwide.Oxfordisaregisteredtrademarkof OxfordUniversityPressintheUKandincertainothercountries ©thevariouscontributors2015 Themoralrightsoftheauthorshavebeenasserted FirstEditionpublishedin2015 Impression:1 Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedin aretrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,withoutthe priorpermissioninwritingofOxfordUniversityPress,orasexpresslypermitted bylaw,bylicenceorundertermsagreedwiththeappropriatereprographics rightsorganization.Enquiriesconcerningreproductionoutsidethescopeofthe aboveshouldbesenttotheRightsDepartment,OxfordUniversityPress,atthe addressabove Youmustnotcirculatethisworkinanyotherform andyoumustimposethissameconditiononanyacquirer PublishedintheUnitedStatesofAmericabyOxfordUniversityPress 198MadisonAvenue,NewYork,NY10016,UnitedStatesofAmerica BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData Dataavailable LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2015936103 ISBN 978–0–19–873239–6 Printedandboundby CPIGroup(UK)Ltd,Croydon,CR04YY LinkstothirdpartywebsitesareprovidedbyOxfordingoodfaithand forinformationonly.Oxforddisclaimsanyresponsibilityforthematerials containedinanythirdpartywebsitereferencedinthiswork. Contents ListofFigures vii ListofTables ix ListofContributors xi 1. Introduction 1 SteveMcCorriston 2. FoodInflationintheEU:ContrastingExperienceand RecentInsights 20 TimLloyd,SteveMcCorriston,andWynMorgan 3. OverviewofPriceTransmissionandReasonsforDifferent AdjustmentPatternsacrossEUMemberStates 51 IslamHassouneh,CarstenHolst,TeresaSerra,Stephanvon Cramon-Taubadel,andJoséM.Gil 4. PriceTransmissioninFoodChains:TheCaseoftheDairyIndustry 65 CélineBonnet,TifennCorre,andVincentRéquillart 5. SpatialandTemporalRetailPricingontheGermanBeerMarket 102 Jens-PeterLoyandThomasGlauben 6. TheUseofScannerDataforMeasuringFoodInflation 122 ElenaCastellari,DanieleMoro,SilviaPlatoni,andPaoloSckokai 7. PriceTransmissioninModernAgriculturalValueChains: SomeConceptualIssues 147 JohanSwinnenandAnneleenVandeplas 8. ASupplyChainPerspectiveonPriceFormationin Agri-FoodChains 167 GerhardSchieferandJivkaDeiters 9. SummingUp:NewInsightsandtheEmergingPolicyand ResearchAgendaforAddressingFoodPriceInflation 187 SteveMcCorriston Index 193 List of Figures 1.1. WorldfoodpriceindexandUKfoodconsumerpriceindex(2005=100) 3 1.2. Experienceoffoodandnon-foodinflationintheUK,Germany,Japan, andtheUS(1998–2014) 5 1.3. ExperienceoffoodinflationinselectedEUMemberStates(1998–2014) 8 1.4. UKretailbreadandworldwheatprices,July2001–July2004 (January2003=100) 12 1.5. Weeklyprices(pence)ofaspecificbreadproductacrossallmajor UKfoodretailers(KingsmillEverydayWhiteBread) 13 2.1. ShareofhouseholdexpenditureonfoodacrossEU-27 23 2.2. Priceindicesforwheatinglobalanddomesticagriculturalmarkets andretailbreadprices,1997–2011forUK,France,andPoland 25–6 2.3. AverageratesoffoodinflationacrossEUMemberStates,2000–13 28 2.4. Averageratesoffoodandnon-foodinflationacross EUMemberStates,2000–13 29 2.5. Coefficientofvariationoffoodandnon-foodinflationacross EUMemberStates,2000–13 30 2.6. Correlationbetweenbarrierstocompetitionatretailindexand contributionofworldwheatpricestoretailbreadprices 46 2.7. Correlationbetweenmarketshareofdiscountersandcontribution ofworldwheatpricestoretailbreadprices 47 3.1. PoultrypriceseriesfortenEUcountries 58 4.1. RawmilkpriceinFrance1990–2011 69 4.2. Evolutionofprices2006–09 70 5.1. SampleretailpricesofRadebergerpilsenerfordifferentdistances betweenstoreandbrewery(weeklyfrom2000to2001) 105 6.1. Brandlevelaverageweeklyprices(euro/litre)forhigh-quality refrigeratedmilkinchainA(leftpanel)andchainB (rightpanel)(2009–11) 126 6.2. Brandlevelaverageweeklyprices(euro/kg)forbutterinchainA (leftpanel)andchainB(rightpanel)(2009–11) 127 ListofFigures 6.3. Comparisonofdairypriceindicescomputedondifferentdatasets (2009–11) 137 6.4. ComparisonofLaspeyresrefrigeratedmilkpriceindicescomputed ondifferentdatasets(2011) 138 6.5. ComparisonofLaspeyresUHTmilkpriceindicescomputedon differentdatasets(2011) 139 6.6. ComparisonofLaspeyresbutterpriceindicescomputedondifferent datasets(2011) 140 6.7. ComparisonofLaspeyresyoghurtpriceindicescomputedondifferent datasets(2011) 141 6.8. Comparisonofdifferentrefrigeratedmilkpriceindicescomputed onscannerdata(2009–11) 142 6.9. ComparisonofdifferentUHTmilkpriceindicescomputed onscannerdata(2009–11) 143 6.10. Comparisonofdifferentbutterpriceindicescomputed onscannerdata(2009–11) 144 6.11. Comparisonofdifferentyoghurtpriceindicescomputedon scannerdata(2009–11) 145 7.1. Relationshipbetweenproducerandconsumerprices 157 7.2. Pricetransmission((cid:1)) 161 7.3. Impactofcontractcosts 162 8.1. Theretailnetworkapproach 181 viii List of Tables 2.1. CumulativechangesinfoodpricesacrossEUMemberStates,2005–13 24 2.2. Long-runpricetransmissionelasticities:Retailbreadpricesw.r.t. worldwheatprices 45 3.1. EstimationoftheVectorErrorCorrectionModel:Adjustment ofproducerandconsumerpricestolong-rundisequilibrium 60 3.2. Tobitresults:Parameterestimates 61 4.1. Dairydesserts:Descriptivestatisticsforpricesandmarketshares bycategories 73 4.2. Fluidmilk:Descriptivestatisticsforpricesandmarketsharesbycategories 74 4.3. Resultsoftherandomcoefficientslogitmodel 82 4.4. Averageown-priceelasticitiesbetweenproducts 85 4.5. Impactofa10%decreaseintherawmilkpriceonretailprices 88 4.6. Regressionofpass-throughoncostshockvariablesandproduct characteristics 90 5.1. RanksofregionalmarketsharesofbeerbrandsinGermany(2000–01) 106 5.2. Descriptivestatisticsofthebrands’pricingstrategies 113 5.3. Descriptivestatisticsofmodelvariables(2000–01) 114 5.4. Estimationresultsforspatialandtemporalbeerbrandpricing characteristics(2000–01) 116 7.1. Atypologyofcontractingcosts 153
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