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Financial Mathematics: Theory and Problems for Multi-period Models PDF

299 Pages·2012·2.33 MB·English
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Toourfamilies Andrea Pascucci • Wolfgang J.Runggaldier Financial Mathematics Theory and Problems for Multi-period Models AndreaPascucci WolfgangJ.Runggaldier DepartmentofMathematics DepartmentofPureand UniversityofBologna AppliedMathematics UniversityofPadova TranslatedandextendedversionoftheoriginalItalianedition: A.Pascucci,W.J.Runggaldier:FinanzaMatematica.Teoriaeproblemipermodelli multiperiodali,©Springer-VerlagItalia2009 UNITEXT–LaMatematicaperil3+2 ISSNprintedition:2038-5722 ISSNelectronicedition:2038-5757 ISBN978-88-470-2537-0 ISBN978-88-470-2538-7(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-88-470-2538-7 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2011943827 SpringerMilanHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon ©Springer-VerlagItalia2012 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeor partofthematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillus- trations,recitation,broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,and transmissionorinformationstorageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,or bysimilarordissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthis legalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnectionwithreviewsorscholarlyanalysisormaterial suppliedspecificallyforthepurposeofbeingenteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,for exclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework.Duplicationofthispublicationorpartsthereofis permitted onlyundertheprovisionsof theCopyrightLawof thePublisher’slocation,inits currentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer.Permissions forusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Violationsare liabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthis publicationdoesnotimply,evenintheabsenceof aspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesare exemptfromtherelevantprotectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Whiletheadviceandinformationinthisbookarebelievedtobetrueandaccurateatthedate ofpublication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalre- sponsibilityforanyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty, expressorimplied,withrespecttothematerialcontainedherein. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Cover-Design:BeatriceB,Milan TypesettingwithLATEX:PTP-Berlin,ProtagoTEX-ProductionGmbH,Germany (www.ptp-berlin.eu) PrintingandBinding:GrafichePorpora,Segrate(MI) PrintedinItaly Springer-VerlagItaliaS.r.l.,ViaDecembrio28,I-20137Milano SpringerisapartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface Financial mathematics has recently undergone a considerable development, due mainly to new financial instruments that have been introduced in order to limit the risk in financial operations. The study of problems related to such instruments requires mathematical techniques that occasionally may be rather sophisticated and are to a great extent related to Probability. Consequently, the financial institutions now offer job opportunities not only to economists, but also to experts in scientific-technical disciplines, in particular in mathematics. With the Bologna Accords the so-called 3+2+3 (bachelor-master-doctor)curriculumhasbeenintroducedinvariouscountries withtheintentionthatstudentsmayenterthejobmarketalreadyatthebach- elorlevel.Itthusturnsouttobeappropriate tohaveafinancialmathematics course already at the bachelor level. Most mathematical techniques in use in financial mathematics are related to continuous time models and require therefore notions from stochastic analysis that are in general not familiar not only to economists but neither to mathematicians at the bachelor level. It is thus desirable to be able to transmit to bachelor students the basic notions and methodologies in use in financial mathematics without the technicalities from stochastic analysis that are inherent in continuous time models. This canbe achievedbyusing discretetime(multi-period) modelsinstead. Onone hand they generalize to a dynamic context the one-period models that are still in wide use by economists, on the other hand they can also be seen as possibleapproximationstocontinuoustimemodels.Multiperiodmodelshave however also a genuine interest in their own and this also in view of possible practical applications. The present volume is intended as a possible textbook for a course as de- scribed above and is the result of the teaching experience of the authors in the area of financial mathematics. For multi-period models there do not exist many textbooks (one of the best known is [18]) and so one of the purposes of the present volume is to fill in this gap. Although conceived mainly for a bachelor-level course in mathematics, the volume should also be appropriate for quantitative finance courses for economics students. VI Preface Evidently, we could not take into account in this book all possible topics in financial mathematics and so we have confined ourselves to those that one mayconsiderasbasicones.Thestructureofthebookoriginatesfromtheidea of teaching by examples and counterexamples. It has been expanded beyond the examplestobecome acomplete textbook that includes alsothe necessary theory. Consequently, and differently from other textbooks, this one includes many examples and solved problems. In this context we want to mention also [21] that contains examples for the specific binomial model and [19] that includes problems both from discrete as well as continuous time models. The majority of the solution methods for multi-period models is based on recursive algorithms, for which the computational complexity increases con- siderably with the number of periods. In practice one has therefore to use computer programs to implement the algorithms. For problems in classrooms and at exam sessions it is therefore appropriate to limit oneself to situations where calculation can be performed “by hand”. For this reason, in the exam- plesandproblemssuggestedinthebookweconsidersmallnumbersofperiods and numerical data that may not correspond to realistic situations but allow for easier calculations. The book is divided into four chapters, in which we treat the following topics: • pricing and hedging of European derivatives; • portfoliooptimization(dynamicprogrammingand“martingalemethod”); • pricing, optimal exercise and hedging of American derivatives; • multi-period models for the term structure of interest rates. Each of the four chapters consists of two parts: a theoretical section and a problem section. In the latter section we describe in detail the solution for many possible problems. Bologna/Padova, November 2011 Andrea Pascucci Wolfgang J. Runggaldier Contents 1 Pricing and hedging ....................................... 1 1.1 Primary securities and strategies .......................... 2 1.1.1 Discrete time markets.............................. 2 1.1.2 Self-financing and predictable portfolios .............. 3 1.1.3 Relative portfolio.................................. 5 1.1.4 Discounted market ................................ 6 1.2 Arbitrage and martingale measures ........................ 7 1.3 Pricing and hedging ..................................... 9 1.3.1 Derivative securities ............................... 9 1.3.2 Arbitrage pricing.................................. 10 1.3.3 Hedging.......................................... 13 1.3.4 Put-Call parity.................................... 13 1.4 Market models .......................................... 14 1.4.1 Binomial model ................................... 14 1.4.2 Trinomial model .................................. 18 1.5 On pricing and hedging in incomplete markets .............. 22 1.6 Change of numeraire..................................... 23 1.6.1 A particular case .................................. 23 1.6.2 General case...................................... 25 1.7 Solved problems......................................... 28 2 Portfolio optimization ..................................... 61 2.1 Maximization of expected utility .......................... 62 2.1.1 Strategies with consumption ........................ 62 2.1.2 Utility functions................................... 65 2.1.3 Expected utility of terminal wealth .................. 67 2.1.4 Expected utility from intermediate consumption and terminal wealth ................................... 70 2.2 “Martingale” method .................................... 72 2.2.1 Complete market: terminal wealth................... 72 VIII Contents 2.2.2 Incomplete market: terminal wealth.................. 78 2.2.3 Complete market: intermediate consumption.......... 81 2.2.4 Complete market: intermediate consumption and terminal wealth ................................... 86 2.3 Dynamic Programming Method ........................... 88 2.3.1 Recursive algorithm ............................... 88 2.3.2 Proof of Theorem 2.32 ............................. 92 2.4 Logarithmic utility: examples ............................. 94 2.4.1 Terminal utility in the binomial model: MG method ... 94 2.4.2 Terminal utility in the binomial model: DP method.... 96 2.4.3 Terminal utility in the completed trinomial model: MG method ...................................... 99 2.4.4 Terminal utility in the completed trinomial model: DP method.......................................101 2.4.5 Terminal utility in the standard trinomial model: DP method ......................................103 2.4.6 Intermediate consumption in the binomial model: MG method ......................................106 2.4.7 Intermediate consumption in the binomial model: DP method.......................................109 2.4.8 Intermediate consumption in the completed trinomial model: MG method................................113 2.4.9 Optimal consumption in the completed trinomial model: DP method ................................114 2.4.10 Intermediate consumption in the standard trinomial model: DP method ................................115 2.5 Solved problems.........................................118 3 American options..........................................165 3.1 American derivatives and early exercise strategies ...........166 3.1.1 Arbitrage pricing..................................167 3.1.2 Arbitrage price in a complete market ................169 3.1.3 Optimal exercise strategies .........................175 3.1.4 Hedging strategies.................................178 3.2 American and European options...........................180 3.3 Solved problems.........................................183 3.3.1 Preliminaries .....................................183 3.3.2 Solved problems...................................184 4 Interest rates ..............................................223 4.1 Bonds and interest rates..................................224 4.2 Market models for interest rates...........................227 4.3 Short models ...........................................230 4.3.1 Affine models .....................................232 4.3.2 Discrete time Hull-White model.....................233 Contents IX 4.4 Forward models .........................................237 4.4.1 Binomial forward model............................239 4.4.2 Multinomial forward model .........................241 4.5 Interest rate derivatives ..................................244 4.5.1 Caps and Floors...................................244 4.5.2 Interest Rate Swaps ...............................247 4.5.3 Swaptions and Swap Rate ..........................250 4.6 Solved problems.........................................252 4.6.1 Recalling the basic models..........................252 4.6.2 Options on T-bonds ...............................255 4.6.3 Caps and Floors...................................262 4.6.4 Swap Rates and Payer Forward Swaps ...............271 4.6.5 Swaptions ........................................276 References.....................................................287

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