Financial Engineering of Climate Investment in Developing Countries ANTHEM ENVIRONMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY General Editor: Lawrence Susskind – Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), USA Our Environment and Sustainability book publishing program seeks to push the frontiers of scholarship while simultaneously offering prescriptive and programmatic advice to policymakers and practitioners around the world. We have launched this initiative with the series below (each of which has an excellent editorial board featuring scholars, practitioners and business experts eager to link theory and practice), and will continue it with research monographs, professional and major reference works, upper-level textbooks and general interest titles. Another related project to the Anthem Environment and Sustainability program is Anthem EnviroExperts Review. 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Series Editor: William Moomaw – Tufts University, USA Anthem Water Diplomacy Series Enhancing our understanding of better ways to facilitate the management of shared water resources at international and national levels. Series Editor: Shafiqul Islam – Tufts University, USA Financial Engineering of Climate Investment in Developing Countries Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action and How to Finance It Søren E. Lütken Anthem Press An imprint of Wimbledon Publishing Company www.anthempress.com This edition first published in UK and USA 2014 by ANTHEM PRESS 75–76 Blackfriars Road, London SE1 8HA, UK or PO Box 9779, London SW19 7ZG, UK and 244 Madison Ave #116, New York, NY 10016, USA Copyright © 2014 Søren E. Lütken The author asserts the moral right to be identified as the author of this work. All rights reserved. Without limiting the rights under copyright reserved above, no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored or introduced into a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise), without the prior written permission of both the copyright owner and the above publisher of this book. British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record for this book has been requested. ISBN-13: 978 1 78308 018 2 (Hbk) ISBN-10: 1 78308 018 3 (Hbk) Cover photo: Gabriela Insuratelu/Shutterstock.com This title is also available as an ebook. CONTENTS List of Figures and Tables ix List of Abbreviations xi Foreword xiii Preface xv Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Part I What Is Chapter 2 Climate Change and Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Action 9 The Identity of a NAMA 10 PoAs and NAMAs 15 Defining Appropriateness 16 The Substance of NAMAs 20 Summing Up 24 Chapter 3 Learning from the CDM 25 The CDM Experience 26 It’s a market – live with it 28 Thriving on domestic finance 29 Small is beautiful … 30 Cost inefficient emissions reduction 31 Additionality revisited 33 Reverse engineering the CDM 34 Summing Up 37 Chapter 4 Defining NAMA Finance 39 Government Investment Motives 44 Private Investment Motives 46 Summing Up 48 vi FINANCIAL ENGINEERING OF CLIMATE INvESTMENT Chapter 5 The Financing Tools . . . 51 Public Sector Sourcing Instruments 54 Environmental Fiscal Reform 55 Non-domestic sources 59 Public Sector Operational Instruments 59 Grants 59 Taxes 60 Loans and guarantees 61 What happened to the carbon credit? 62 Summing Up 65 Chapter 6 . . . And the Financiers 67 The Intitutional Investor 70 The Insurance Companies 72 Hybrid Sources of Financing 74 The philanthropic foundation trustees 75 The Banks 76 Multilateral development banks 76 National development banks 77 Green Bonds 77 Blending 79 Summing Up 80 Chapter 7 Engineering and Leveraging the Finance 81 Transformation 83 Leveraging Finance from Different Sources 84 The ‘who goes first’ dilemma 85 Additional domestic public funding 86 Approaching international financiers 88 Engaging the local private sector 89 Attracting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) 91 The Right Order of Leveraging 92 Summing Up 97 Part II What Ought to Be Chapter 8 C hallenges to NAMA Finance – Mandates, Aggregation and Lack of Instruments 101 The Aggregation Gap 102 The guarantee system and its shortcomings 105 The ECAs as aggregators 109 CONTENTS vii Mandates 110 Summing Up 115 Chapter 9 Roles of the Green Climate Fund 117 The Green Climate Fund and Risk 120 The Green Climate Fund and Green Bonds 122 The Green Climate Fund and Equity 126 The Green Climate Fund as Aggregator 129 Other Options 130 Putting the Pieces Together 133 Summing Up 134 Chapter 10 Conclusion 137 How to Start? 141 Notes 143 References 147 Index 149 LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES Figures Figure 1. NAMAs in the context of general development planning 19 Figure 2. Weight of policy versus project NAMAs relative to capabilities of developing countries 22 Figure 3. Emissions reduction returns on investment in the CDM 32 Figure 4. From ex-post to ex-ante approvals in CDM 36 Figure 5. Financial engineering of NAMAs 44 Figure 6. Sub-optimal investments in emissions reduction 46 Figure 7. Multilateral investment in mitigation and typical instruments employed 53 Figure 8. Sourcing instruments and operational instruments for NAMA financing 55 Figure 9. Direct and indirect taxation 57 Figure 10. Cost of types of risk 63 Figure 11. The right order of leveraging 86 Figure 12. The financing value chain 94 Figure 13. Instruments in the financing value chain 95 Figure 14. Maximizing leveraging 96 Figure 15. The aggregators’ central role in organizing financing 104 Figure 16 Expanded securitization model 119 Figure 17. Simple investment structure involving green bonds 126 Figure 18. Options for financial product development 133 Table Table 1. Types of Policy NAMAs 21
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