DEFINITION OF DATA COLLECTION NEEDS FOR AQUACULTURE Reference No. FISH/2006/15 - Lot 6 FINAL REPORT April 2009 Part 2. FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT OF AN ON-GOING DATA COLLECTION SCHEME FOR AQUACULTURE 1 This study has been prepared by FRAMIAN BV (coordinator) Achterburg 9 2641 LA Pijnacker The Netherlands Contact person: Pavel Salz Tel : +31 1536 98145 Fax : +31 1536 98152 E-mail : [email protected] in co-operation with Institute of Agricultural Economics and Information (VÚZEI), Czech Republic Institute of Food and Resource Economics (FOI), Denmark Finnish Game and Fisheries Research Institute (FGFRI), Finland French Research Institute for Exploitation of the Sea (IFREMER), France COFAD Consultants, Germany Hellenic Centre for Marine Research (HCMR), Greece Agricultural Economics Research Institute (AKI), Hungary Irish Sea Fisheries Board (BIM), Ireland Economic Res. Institute for Fisheries and Aquaculture (IREPA), Italy Lithuanian Institute of Agricultural Economics (LIAE), Lithuania Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI), Netherlands Inland Fisheries Institute (INFISH), Poland Eurico de Brito Consult (EBC), Portugal University of Vigo, Spain Swedish Fishery Board (Fiskeriverket), Sweden Poseidon Aquatic Resource Management Ltd. (PARM), United Kingdom 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ...................................................... 6 1.1. GENERAL CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................... 6 1.2. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ............................................................................................................. 6 1.3. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION ................................................................................................ 7 1.4. SIZE OF THE SURVEY.......................................................................................................................... 7 1.5. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ..................................................................................................................... 7 1.6. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING .......................................................................................................... 8 1.7. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS .......................................................................................................... 8 1.8. RECOMMENDATIONS ....................................................................................................................... 10 2. CZECH REPUBLIC ................................................................................................... 11 2.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 11 2.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 11 2.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 12 2.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 13 2.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 14 2.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 14 3. DENMARK ................................................................................................................. 16 3.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 16 3.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 16 3.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 17 3.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 18 3.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 18 3.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 19 4. FINLAND ................................................................................................................... 24 4.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 24 4.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 24 4.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 24 4.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 25 4.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 26 4.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 26 5. FRANCE ...................................................................................................................... 30 5.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 30 5.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 30 5.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 31 5.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 32 5.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 33 5.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 33 6. GERMANY .................................................................................................................. 40 6.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 40 6.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 41 6.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 46 6.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 47 6.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 48 6.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 48 3 7. GREECE ..................................................................................................................... 53 7.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 53 7.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 53 7.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 53 7.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 55 7.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 55 7.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 56 8. HUNGARY .................................................................................................................. 59 8.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 59 8.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 59 8.3. SIZE OF SURVEY .................................................................................................................................. 59 8.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 60 8.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 60 8.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 60 9. IRELAND .................................................................................................................... 63 9.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 63 9.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 63 9.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 64 9.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 64 9.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 65 9.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 65 10. ITALY .......................................................................................................................... 69 10.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 69 10.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 69 10.3. SIZE OF THE PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY .................................................................... 70 10.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 71 10.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 72 10.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 72 11. LITHUANIA ............................................................................................................... 78 11.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 78 11.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 78 11.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 78 11.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 79 11.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 79 11.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 80 12. NETHERLANDS ....................................................................................................... 83 12.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 83 12.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 83 12.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 83 12.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 84 12.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 84 12.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 85 13. POLAND ..................................................................................................................... 89 13.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 89 13.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 89 13.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 90 13.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 91 13.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 91 13.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 92 4 14. PORTUGAL ................................................................................................................ 95 14.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................... 95 14.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION .............................................................................................. 95 14.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................... 95 14.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................... 96 14.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ........................................................................................................ 96 14.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ........................................................................................................ 96 15. SPAIN ......................................................................................................................... 101 15.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................ 101 15.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION ........................................................................................... 101 15.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................ 101 15.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................ 102 15.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ..................................................................................................... 102 15.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ..................................................................................................... 103 16. SWEDEN ................................................................................................................... 108 16.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................ 108 16.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION ........................................................................................... 108 16.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................ 109 16.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................ 110 16.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ..................................................................................................... 111 16.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ..................................................................................................... 111 17. UNITED KINGDOM ................................................................................................ 118 17.1. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION ........................................................................................................ 118 17.2. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION ........................................................................................... 118 17.3. SIZE OF PRESENT AND FUTURE SURVEY ............................................................................ 121 17.4. ESTIMATION OF COSTS ................................................................................................................ 122 17.5. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING ..................................................................................................... 123 17.6. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS ..................................................................................................... 123 5 1. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS This report presents the results of the feasibility assessment of the collections of costs and earnings data for aquaculture in the participating countries. 1.1. GENERAL CONCLUSION The survey has demonstrated that in principle it is feasible to collect detailed costs and earnings data aquaculture in the EU. Definitions of Structural Business Statistics have proven to offer a suitable framework for this purpose. The survey has also demonstrated that usual problems arise when data is collected in a new area, with only limited knowledge of the statistical characteristics of the population. For the design of the future on-going data collection programme it will have to be determined what information is relevant (preferably prioritising various indicators) and which level of precision and confidence should be achieved. The on- going data collection programme will than have to be further developed to meet these requirements. The EU aquaculture is a relatively small sector in terms of number of firms per Member State. Detailed stratification by species and on-growing techniques may lead to strata with only low number of firms. In order to generate data from homogenous groups it would have to be collected from a relatively large share of the firms in each stratum not to compromise confidentiality. Such detailed approach is likely to substantially increase the costs of the programme. The estimation of costs of data collection budgeted in this study are based on experiences in other areas (e.g. DCR and FADN) and implicitly assume delivery of a similar quality of data. 1.2. SUITABLE ORGANIZATION Aquaculture is a relatively small activity, which means that collection of statistical information is more complicated than when collecting data on large populations. Therefore it is essential that the data be collected by organizations which are already experienced in data collection in other sectors. In this way also the costs of overhead, ICT and personnel will be reduced. Therefore in most countries it is proposed that organization already involved either in FADN or in DCR should be also selected for the collection of data on aquaculture. It may be also considered to involve the national statistical offices. The obligation of the national statistical offices to collect specific data is determined by EU legislation. The ability and willingness of the NSOs to collect data on such a small sector differs per country. In most MS the NSOs are focussing increasingly on collection of data on relatively large sectors as defined by NACE, leaving compilation of data at a lower level of disaggregation to other specialized institutes. The suitability of an organization depends also on the subsequent use of the data. NSOs are most suited to collect and publish data which is used by a broad group of users. On the other hand, specialised statistics (like those on agriculture and fisheries and possible aquaculture) may be better compiled by organizations which are also involved in the empirical analysis of these sectors as understanding the quality of the data is often important for interpretations and analysis. 6 1.3. METHOD OF DATA COLLECTION There is a general agreement, supported by the experiences from the surveys, that reliable data can be collected only with intensive contacts between the collectors and the firms. It is essential to build good personal relations and use well trained staff. Surveys carried out by impersonal means (hard copy or digital forms) are not likely to produce satisfactory results, and certainly not in the initial stage of the data collection. The following conditions must be met in order to collect reliable costs and earnings data: • proper legislation must be in place; • trained data collectors; • software for data collection and verification at the firm level; • central data processing; • sufficient resources must be available. One of the complicating factors is that many firms are small and are not obliged to maintain well organized accounts, from which the various cost components can be quickly distinguished. Collection of data from such firms will be very labour intensive. 1.4. SIZE OF THE SURVEY Size of the future survey depends on the objectives to be achieved, i.e. what do we wish to know and at which level of precision. This will determine the size of the population (field of observation) to be surveyed and consequently how large the sample will have to be. In this way it will be possible to optimize the data collection effort and minimize the costs. Data from various countries show that the samples (and consequently also the populations) often consist of small and large firms. Therefore it will be necessary to carry first a general survey of the whole population on the basis of which a proper stratification and the definition of the field of observation will be developed. Only after this first stage will it be possible to define a cost effective strategy for the data collection. 1.5. ESTIMATION OF COSTS The costs of data collection depend on the availability of accounts and the definition of the field of observation (i.e. selection of a threshold). While application of a threshold is a common practice in agricultural statistics under FADN, the data collection of fisheries (catching sector) does not allow use of a threshold and requires sampling to achieve coverage of the full population. These two considerations have evident implications (in most countries) on the level costs of the data collection programme on aquaculture. Table 1.1 summarizes the national cost estimates. The total annual costs of the programme can be at this stage estimated at 2.6 million Euro. Initial investment costs have been estimated at about 1 million Euro. 7 Table 1.1 Summary of expected operational and investment costs (1000 Euro) Operational costs Investment Without threshold With threshold costs Country Accounts Accounts Estimated Accounts Accounts not not average available available available available Czech Republic 174 174 55 Denmark 249 236 243 157 Finland 175 113 144 19 France 364 412 339 379 374 Germany 707 707 158 Greece 105 135 85 110 109 25 Hungary 131 150 106 123 128 15 Ireland 220 220 145 145 183 76 Italy 137 189 122 168 154 37 Lithuania 20 23 22 44 Netherlands 75 75 15 Poland 15 21 18 1 Portugal 6 6 6 6 6 250 Spain 97 182 66 153 125 47 Sweden 81 81 120 United Kingdom 67 25 67 53 18 Total costs 2,593 1,037 Source: national chapters The differences of operational and investment costs between the various MS reflect the very different conditions in terms of: • Nature and size of the aquaculture sector • Existence of infrastructure for data collection • Level of costs, in particular labour • Assessment of the complexity of the data collection scheme in general. 1.6. AVAILABILITY OF FUNDING There is a general consensus that the institutions suitable for the collection of the data on aquaculture do not have own resources to execute it. Additional funding will be required to cover all costs connected to this new activity. 1.7. PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS 1.7.1. Extrapolation from sample to population Extrapolation from sample to population has been carried out by different partners. The descriptions are presented in the national chapters. 1.7.2. Evaluation of individual indicators This section presents average values of the sample together with two statistical indicators: • Relative standard deviation (also called coefficient of variation) • Relative standard error. Standard deviation is an indicator of the variability of the values of the firms in the sample. Relative standard deviation expresses the standard deviation as a percentage of the sample mean. High relative 8 standard deviation means that the sample (and consequently also the population) is heterogeneous (e.g. consists of small and large companies). In that case the sample average may not reflect any of the firms well. This is particularly the case when the population is not normally distributed. Relative standard error is a measures of the variability of the sample means, when various samples would be drawn from the given population. The value of (relative) standard error may be reduced by increasing the size of the sample. The relative standard error indicates how likely it is that a different sample mean would be obtained if a different sample would have been drawn. If the population would be normally distributed and the sample representative (random selected) than 68% of the population would be within +/- one standard deviation. Similarly, in 68% of the drawn samples the sample mean would be within +/- one standard error. It must be stressed that in most countries it is not known whether the population is normally distributed or not. In fact there are indications that this is not the case. Furthermore, the surveys depended on the willingness of the individual firms to cooperate and were too small to allow for incorporation of routines to deal with non-response. Therefore it is not certain to which extent the requirement of ad random selection has been met. The presented indicators are based on Eurostat definitions for Structural Business Statistics. Although the national surveys have been carried out in different ways (which is not unusual for data collection in the EU), use of common definitions assures that the data are comparable across MS. In conclusion, the presented data are valuable, as this is for the first time that this kind of information has been collected. At the same time, care must be taken not to interpret the data in a deterministic way. 1.7.3. Cross-check with other sources Production volumes from aquaculture are presently collected or estimated by national statistical offices, ministries of agriculture and some external firms. The same national data is than transmitted to Eurostat and FAO. Furthermore FAO1 estimates the values of production using average prices per species, although it was not possible to obtain the precise methodology for this calculation. Data from the samples have been extrapolated to the whole national populations. The results for volumes and values have been compared to the already existing information at Eurostat and FAO. Level and background of (in)consistencies are presented in the national chapters. 1.7.4. General problems The most important problem encountered was the poor willingness to cooperate on the part of the farmers. They see no direct benefit for themselves and on the contrary face additional costs, having to devote their own time to facilitate the survey. In view of the general policy to reduce administrative costs for businesses it is essential to determine how the aquaculture industry will directly or indirectly profit from the availability of the data in order to increase the level of cooperation. 1 It must be pointed out that the methodologies used for the collection, provision and validation of data for FAO are not known. Harmonization of concepts and definition and the resulting ‘handbook’ is expected to be completed in 2010. 9 1.8. RECOMMENDATIONS 1. Maximum efficiency and effectiveness of an on-going data collection scheme can be only achieved if the future intended data use is well defined, which will also allow a precise formulation of the objectives of the scheme as well as prioritization of the indicators to be collected or estimated. 2. The pilot survey has demonstrated that a significant level of heterogeneity still exists within the defined segments of aquaculture firms (based on species and on-growing technology). This heterogeneity is caused by differences in size of the firms, but also by the level of vertical integration, e.g. own production or acquisition of juveniles. Therefore it is recommended to define the ‘field of observation’, including suitable thresholds (an approach also applied in FADN), and focus the on- going data collection on it. The field of observation should be first of all defined selecting firms for which aquaculture is the principle activity (see part 3, annex 4 for Eurostat definitions). Additional criteria could be also applied, e.g. with focus on species or size. Data on segments which fall outside the field of observation can be collected in ad hoc surveys to be carried out according to specific needs once in several years. Average segment data should be based on at least five firms, none of which should represent more than a specified percentage of the total production value. 3. In addition to the definition of the field of observation it is recommended to prioritize the indicators to be collected. Data on high priority indicators (turnover, personnel costs, total operational costs, employment) should be annually collected. Data on lower priority indicators (details on composition to operational costs and capital costs) could be collected only once in several years in ad hoc surveys, whilst estimation procedures should be developed to generate this data information whenever needed. 4. Co-operation of the aquaculture industry is indispensible for several reasons: a/ to obtain access to the data, b/ to justify the additional administrative costs which the data collection will imply for the surveyed firms and c/ to promote the legitimacy of analysis based on that data, so that the results are not disputed or discredited as being based on biased information. Therefore the objective of the data collection scheme as well as certain details of the implementation (prioritization of indicators) should be developed in dialogue with the industry, e.g. within ACFA. 5. As the number of firms in new areas of aquaculture in individual countries is very low, it is recommended to pool the data of the anonymised individual companies from several Member States to calculate averages at EU level. This approach is likely to produce a lower relative standard error and data confidentiality will be easier to guarantee. Submission of individual farm data is also practiced under FADN. 6. Collection of the aquaculture data should be executed by organizations already involved in compilation of statistical data scientific analysis in comparable areas, such as agriculture or fishing. This approach will have several important advantages: a/ proximity of data collection and analysis allows a better interpretation of the quantitative results due to precise knowledge of strengths and weaknesses of the data, b/ the link between analysis and data collection will be beneficial for prioritization and implementation of ad hoc studies on specific new aquaculture activities and/or detailed indicators as proposed above, including various estimation procedures. 10
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