EVALUATION OF LEARNING ACHIEVEMENT IN SELECTED WOREDAS IN AMHARA AND ADDIS ABABA SUB-CITIES MID-TERM REPORT Submitted By: IN ASSOCIATION WITH FROMSEAS EDUCATION & TRAINING /FEAT/ S.C Submitted To: JUNE 2015 ADDIS ABABA, ETHIOPIA Evaluation of Learning Achievement in Selected Woredas in Amhara and Sub-Cities in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Mid-Term Report This document was prepared by CfBT Education Trust and FEAT S.C. for the Ministry of Education and UNICEF Ethiopia as part of Contract No. 43156492 June 2015 Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 2 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The evaluation team appreciates all the support it has received during the Mid-Term Evaluation study from the Government of Ethiopia, its Ministry of Education and the Regional Education Bureaus of Amhara and Addis Ababa for mobilisation of the assessors, data collectors and the mapping of schools. The team is also very grateful for all the support provided by the UNICEF Ethiopia country office Chief of Education Section, Education Specialist and all the members of the team. In addition we thank the management and staff of all the schools that participated in this exercise for their cooperation. 3 LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ABECs - Alternative Basic Education Centres AIR - American Institute for Research CPD - Continuing Professional Development ECCE - Early Childhood Care and Education EGRA - Early Grade Reading Assessment EMIS - Education Management Information System ESDP - Education Sector Development Programme ESNLA - Ethiopia Second National Learning Assessment ETNLA - Ethiopia Third National Learning Assessment FGD - Focus Group Discussions GDP - Gross Domestic Product GEQIP - General Education Quality Improvement Programme GER - Gross Enrolment Ratio GoE - Government of Ethiopia MLCs - Minimum Learning Competencies MoE - Ministry of Education NAEAE National Agency for Educational Assessment and Examination (NAEAE) NER - Net Enrolment Ratio NLA - National Learning Assessment PRC - Pedagogical Resource Centre PTA - Parent-Teacher Association REB - Regional Education Bureaus (REB) SIP - School Improvement Programme 4 TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................ 3 LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS ...................................................................... 4 LIST OF TABLES .......................................................................................................................... 9 LIST OF FIGURES ...................................................................................................................... 12 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................................ 13 INTRODUCTION ......................................................................................................................... 19 1.0 THE MID-TERM EVALUATION .................................................................................... 20 1.1 Evaluation Purpose and Questions ...................................................................... 20 2.0 BACKGROUND ............................................................................................................... 22 2.1 Project Goal ................................................................................................................ 22 2.2 Education in Ethiopia ............................................................................................... 22 2.2.1 General Education in Ethiopia ........................................................................... 23 2.2.2 Primary Education in Ethiopia ............................................................................ 24 2.2.3 Developments in Primary Education 1999-2010 ............................................ 25 2.2.4 The Education Sector Development Programme IV 2010/11 to 2014/15 ... 28 2.2.5 Developments in Primary Education under EDSP IV 2010 - 2013 .............. 29 2.2.6 General Education Quality Improvement Package ........................................ 30 2.3 Accelerated Development of Literacy, Numeracy and Life Skills among first cycle learners ................................................................................................................. 31 2.3.1 Objectives ............................................................................................................. 32 2.3.2 Inputs ..................................................................................................................... 32 2.3.3 Development hypothesis .................................................................................... 33 2.3.4 Outputs .................................................................................................................. 35 3.0 EVALUATION DESIGN .................................................................................................. 37 3.1 Evaluation Aims ......................................................................................................... 37 3.2 Evaluation Strategy ................................................................................................... 37 3.3 Data Collection Tools ............................................................................................... 39 3.3.1 Review of Project Documents and Materials ................................................... 39 3.3.2 Student Achievement Tests ............................................................................... 39 3.3.3 Structured Focus Group Discussions with Learners ...................................... 41 3.3.4 Teacher Observation and Interview .................................................................. 41 3.3.5 Interviews with Trainers ...................................................................................... 42 3.3.6 Semi Structured Interviews with Education Stakeholders ............................. 42 5 3.4 Pilot Study ................................................................................................................... 43 3.5 Data Collection .......................................................................................................... 44 3.6 Sample Selection ...................................................................................................... 45 3.6.1 Schools ................................................................................................................. 45 3.6.2 Students ................................................................................................................ 46 3.6.3 Teachers ............................................................................................................... 47 3.6.4 Trainers ................................................................................................................. 47 3.6.5 Education Stakeholders ..................................................................................... 47 3.7 Data Entry and Analysis .......................................................................................... 48 3.8 Data Quality Assurance ........................................................................................... 49 3.8.8 Data Quality .......................................................................................................... 50 3.9 Report Validation ..................................................................................................... 50 3.10 Limitations .............................................................................................................. 50 3.11 Evaluation Timeline .................................................................................................. 52 4.0 FINDINGS ........................................................................................................................ 53 4.1 The Scope of Project Interventions ...................................................................... 53 4.1.1 Teachers Perspectives ....................................................................................... 55 4.1.3 Trainers Perspectives ......................................................................................... 56 4.1.4 Community members’ perspectives ................................................................. 57 4.1.5 Education Officials perspectives ................................................................... 57 4.2 The Quality and Relevance of project materials ............................................... 58 4.2.1 Validated Test Items ........................................................................................... 58 4.2.1 (a) High Quality .................................................................................................. 59 4.2.1 (b) Alignment with the Minimum Learning Competencies: ............................. 65 4.2.1 (c) Adequate number of items in different formats ............................................... 65 4.2.1 (d) Varied difficulty and cognitive complexity ....................................................... 68 4.2.2 Training and Support Materials ......................................................................... 68 4.3 Student Performance ............................................................................................... 70 4.3.1 Grade One ............................................................................................................ 70 1.3.2 Grade Two ............................................................................................................ 77 4.3.3 Grade Three ......................................................................................................... 84 4.3.4 Grade 4 ................................................................................................................. 91 4.4 Teacher Performance ............................................................................................. 101 4.4.1 Lesson Structure ............................................................................................... 101 6 4.4.2 Student Participation ......................................................................................... 102 4.4.3 Relevance of the Lessons ................................................................................ 103 4.4.4. Inclusivity of the lesson .......................................................................................... 104 4.4.5 Student Interest and motivation in the lesson ................................................... 105 4.4.6 The use of teaching and learning resources ................................................. 106 4.4.7 Students Perspectives ...................................................................................... 106 4.5 The Use of Continuous Assessment .................................................................. 107 4.5.1 Classroom Observation .................................................................................... 108 4.5.2 Teachers Perspectives ..................................................................................... 109 4.5.3 Students Perspectives ...................................................................................... 112 4.5.4 Education Officials perspectives...................................................................... 114 4.5.5 Community Members perspectives ................................................................. 114 4.6 Strengthening Project Interventions .................................................................. 114 4.6.1 Teachers perspectives ...................................................................................... 115 4.6.2 Trainers perspectives ........................................................................................ 115 4.6.3 Education officials’ perspectives...................................................................... 116 5.0 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................................ 116 5.1 The Challenge of measuring difference in the evaluation ............................ 117 5.1.1 Comparing baseline (2013) to midline (2015) ............................................... 117 5.1.2 Comparing programme and ‘control’ schools. ............................................... 118 5.2 To what extent have project inputs made a difference to the learning achievements of students?............................................................................................... 118 5.4 To what extent have project inputs made a difference to teachers’ use of learner centered pedagogical approaches? ................................................................. 123 5.5 To what extent have project inputs made a difference to teachers’ use of continuous assessment techniques? ............................................................................ 124 5.6 What is the quality and relevance of the project materials? ....................... 125 5.7 What can the project do to improve interventions for increased impact and to promote the sustainability and scale up of promising practices? ............ 127 5.7.1 Ensure teacher training and support takes place ......................................... 127 5.7.2 Engage directly with school leaders................................................................ 129 5.7.3 Fine-tune the project materials ........................................................................ 130 5.7.4 Strengthen project documentation .................................................................. 131 ANNEXES ................................................................................................................................... 138 7 8 LIST OF TABLES Table 1: Three Stage Evaluation of the ELA project ....................................................................... 20 Table 2: The Structure of General Education in Ethiopia ............................................................... 23 Table 3: The Ethiopian National Learning Assessments ................................................................. 26 Table 4:Average Composite Scores (%) in NLA by Year and Grade ................................................ 26 Table 5: Targets established under ESDP IV ................................................................................... 28 Table 6: The Components of GEQIP II ............................................................................................ 30 Table 7: Student Tests for the Mid-Term Evaluation ..................................................................... 40 Table 8: Outline of Student Tests for the Mid-Term Evaluation .................................................... 41 Table 9: General Schedule of Data Collection at the local level ..................................................... 45 Table 10: Final Sample of Woredas and Schools ............................................................................ 46 Table 11: Sample of Students and Number of Tests Administered ............................................... 46 Table 12: : Summary of Evaluation Sample by Sub Population ...................................................... 48 Table 13:Schedule of key activities in the mid-term evaluation .................................................... 52 Table 14: Planned and Actual Activities ......................................................................................... 53 Table 15: Minimum Learning Competencies Covered by Grade 1 English Test Items ................... 66 Table 16: Breakdown of the student sample by sub population ................................................... 70 Table 17: Grade 1 Amharic average scores (%) by sex, region and group ..................................... 71 Table 18: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 1 Amharic ............................................... 71 Table 19: Grade 1 English average scores (%) by sex, region and group ...................................... 72 Table 20: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 1 English ................................................. 72 Table 21: Grade 1 Mathematics average scores (%) by sex, region and group ............................. 73 Table 22: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 1 Mathematics ....................................... 74 Table 23: Grade 1 Environmental Science average scores (%) by sex, group and region .............. 74 Table 24: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 1 Environmental Science ........................ 75 Table 25:Average Grade 1 Composite scores (%) in grade 1 by sex, group and region ................. 76 Table 26: Average grade 1 scores and Standard Deviation by subject, group and region ............. 76 Table 27: Distribution of Grade 1 Average Scores by Percentiles, region and group .................... 77 Table 28: Grade 2 Amharic average scores (%) by sex, group and region ..................................... 77 Table 29: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 2 Amharic ............................................... 78 Table 30: Grade 2 English average scores (%) by sex, group and region ....................................... 79 Table 31: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 2 English ................................................. 79 Table 32: Grade 2 Mathematics average scores (%) by sex, group and region ............................. 80 Table 33: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 2 Mathematics ....................................... 80 Table 34: Grade 2 Environmental Science average scores (%) by sex, group and region .............. 81 Table 35: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 2 Environmental Science ........................ 81 Table 36: Average Composite scores (%) in grade 2 by sex, group and region .............................. 82 Table 37: Average grade 2 scores and standard deviation by subject, group and region ............. 83 Table 38: Distribution of Grade 2 Average Scores by Percentiles, region and group .................... 83 Table 39: Grade 3 Amharic average scores (%) by sex, group and region ..................................... 84 Table 40: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 3 Amharic ............................................... 84 Table 41: Grade 3 English average scores (%) by sex, group and region ....................................... 85 Table 42: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 3 English ................................................. 86 Table 43: Grade 3 Mathematics average scores (%) by sex, group and region ............................. 87 Table 44: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 3 Mathematics ....................................... 87 Table 45: Grade 3 Environmental Science average scores (%) by sex, group and region .............. 88 9 Table 46: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 3 Environmental Science ....................... 89 Table 47: Average Composite scores (%) in grade 3 by sex, group and region ............................. 89 Table 48: Average grade 3 scores and standard deviation by subject, group and region ............. 90 Table 49: Distribution of Grade 3 Average Scores by percentile, region and group ..................... 90 Table 50: Grade 4 Amharic average scores (%) by sex, group and region ..................................... 91 Table 51: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 4 Amharic.............................................. 91 Table 52: Grade 4 English average scores (%) by sex, group and region ....................................... 92 Table 53: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 4 English................................................. 93 Table 54: Grade 4 Mathematics average scores (%) by sex, group and region ............................. 93 Table 55: Easiest and most difficult questions in Grade 4 Mathematics ....................................... 94 Table 56: Grade 4 Environmental Science average scores (%) by sex, group and region ............. 95 Table 57: Grade 4 Easiest and most difficult questions in Environmental Science ....................... 95 Table 58: Average Composite scores (%) in grade 4 by sex, group and region ............................. 96 Table 59: Average grade 4 scores and standard deviation by subject, group and region ............. 97 Table 60: Distribution of Grade 4 Average Scores by percentile, region and group ..................... 97 Table 61: Comparison of Grade 4 Results with the NLA (2012)..................................................... 97 Table 62: Overall test results by school type, region and sex ........................................................ 98 Table 63: Frequency of Overall Highest and Lowest Test Scores by Grade and School Type ....... 99 Table 64: Frequency of Overall Highest and Lowest Test Scores by Grade and Region ................ 99 Table 65: Frequency of Overall Highest and Lowest Test Scores by Grade and Sex ..................... 99 Table 66: Frequency of Overall Highest and Lowest Test Scores by Grade and Subject ............. 100 Table 67: The structure of lessons observed by region and school group .................................. 101 Table 68: How students participated in lessons by region and school group ............................. 102 Table 69: The relevance of lessons observed by region and school group ................................. 103 Table 70: The Inclusivity of lessons observed by school group ................................................... 104 Table 71: Student interest and enjoyment of lessons observed by region and school group .... 105 Table 72: The use of teaching and learning aids in observed lessons by region and school group ..................................................................................................................................................... 106 Table 73: Children’s opinions on school by region and school group ......................................... 107 Table 74: Teachers use of classroom based continuous assessment techniques ....................... 108 Table 75: Students experience of assessment ............................................................................. 113 Table 76: Baseline Survey Data collection tools and purpose ..................................................... 117 Table 77: Comparison of results of grade 1 student achievement tests in programme schools in in the two point study .................................................................................................................. 119 Table 78: Comparison of results of grade 4 student achievement tests in programme schools in the two point study ...................................................................................................................... 119 Table 79: Comparison of the percentage of students meeting the national benchmark ........... 120 Table 80: Comparison of standard deviations in grade 1 test at baseline (2013) and mid-term (2015) by subject and school group ............................................................................................. 122 Table 81: Comparison of standard deviations in grade 4 tests at baseline (2013) and mid line (2015) by subject and school group ............................................................................................. 123 10
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