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Essential Econometric Techniques: A Guide to Concepts and Applications PDF

176 Pages·2022·10.5 MB·english
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Voices on the second edition “Professor Kacapyr’s work in the field of econometrics— specifically, his work in making the subject more understandable to aspiring economics students and enthusiasts—is incredible. His style is straightforward and engaging, delivering the subject matter so effortlessly that it is a pleasure to read and immerse yourself in the text.” —Krasimir Kehayov, Goldman Sachs “Direct and to the point, Professor Kacapyr provides an effective exposition of the essentials of econometrics in both technical terms and prose. The second edition [...] is a rugged and reliable resource for instructor, learner, and practitioner. Kacapyr targets economics majors, but this book is also suited for use in courses in business, statistics, and social sciences, where the same skills are applied.” —Wade L. Thomas, SUNY Oneonta “I really like this book as a supplement to the required text in my course. It’s at the exact level that my students need, and the exercises are great practice for them.” —Cynthia Bansak, St. Lawrence University Essential Econometric Techniques Now in its third edition, Essential Econometric Techniques: A Guide to Concepts and Applications is a concise, student-friendly textbook which provides an introductory grounding in econometrics, with an emphasis on the proper application and interpretation of results. Drawing on the author’s extensive teaching experience, this book offers intuitive explanations of concepts such as heteroskedasticity and serial correlation, and provides step-by-step overviews of each key topic. This new edition contains more applications, brings in new material including a dedicated chapter on panel data techniques, and moves the theoretical proofs to appendices. After Chapter 7, students will be able to design and conduct rudimentary econometric research. The next chapters cover multicollinearity, heteroskedasticity, and autocorrelation, followed by techniques for time-series analysis and panel data. Excel data sets for the end-of-chapter problems are available as a digital supplement. A solutions manual is also available for instructors, as well as PowerPoint slides for each chapter. Essential Econometric Techniques shows students how economic hypotheses can be questioned and tested using real-world data, and is the ideal supplementary text for all introductory econometrics courses. Elia Kacapyr is Professor of Economics at Ithaca College, USA. Essential Econometric Techniques A Guide to Concepts and Applications Third Edition Elia Kacapyr Cover image: © Jorg Greuel/Getty Images Third edition published 2022 by Routledge 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158 and by Routledge 4 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon, OX14 4RN Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business © 2022 Elia Kacapyr The right of Elia Kacapyr to be identified as author of this work has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers. Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe. First edition published by M.E. Sharpe Inc 2011 Second edition published by Routledge 2015 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data A catalog record has been requested for this book ISBN: 978-1-032-10122-4 (hbk) ISBN: 978-1-032-10121-7 (pbk) ISBN: 978-1-003-21375-8 (ebk) DOI: 10.4324/9781003213758 Typeset in Sabon by MPS Limited, Dehradun Access the Support Material: www.routledge.com/9781032101217 Contents 1 The Nature of Econometrics 1 2 Simple Regression Analysis 12 3 Residual Statistics 30 4 Hypothesis Testing 39 5 Multivariate Regression 53 6 Alternate Functional Forms 77 7 Dichotomous Variables 98 8 The Classical Linear Regression Model 115 9 Multicollinearity 129 10 Heteroskedasticity 137 11 Serial Correlation 150 12 Time-Series Techniques 166 13 Panel Data Techniques 192 Critical Values Tables 207 Cited Works 211 Index 213 The Nature of 1 Econometrics WHAT IS ECONOMETRICS? Literally, econometrics means “economic measurement.” Therefore, gathering data and generating economic statistics such as gross domestic product and the consumer price index could be considered econo- metrics. In practice econometrics is about testing economic hypotheses with statistical techniques. Respected econometricians have given us a variety of definitions. One favorite, perhaps because of its brevity, is from Henri Theil: “Econometrics is concerned with the empirical de- termination of economic laws” (Theil 1971, p. 1). Economics is comprised of innumerable laws, theories, hypotheses, assumptions, and suppositions. Econometrics is subjecting any of these to empirical verification. Empirical means “by observation or experi- ence.” Rather than argumentation or debate, econometrics is about testing economic ideas to see if they hold true. Students may say that econometrics is like a mash-up of their statistics course with an economics course. That is not a bad description of an econometrics class; only it conceals the main point—econometrics is about testing a proposition of some sort. Data mining is a field similar to econometrics. The difference is that data miners say, “Let’s see what the data reveal about this idea.” Econometricians say, “Let’s get the data and test if this idea holds true.” This may seem like a trifling difference, but it turns out to be important. Data miners comb the data for interesting relationships. Econometricians use the data to test if a specific idea can be rejected or not. DOI: 10.4324/9781003213758-1

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