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Elementary Statistics: A Step By Step Approach PDF

892 Pages·2017·27.982 MB·English
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Connect Math Hosted by ALEKS Glossary of Symbols Built By Today’s Educators, a y intercept of a line F Scheffé test value S α Probability of a type I error GM Geometric mean For Today’s Students b Slope of a line H Kruskal-Wallis test value β Probability of a type II error H Null hypothesis 0 Fewer clicks means more time for you... C Column frequency H Alternative hypothesis 1 cf Cumulative frequency HM Harmonic mean C Number of combinations of n objects taking k Number of samples n r r objects at a time λ Number of occurrences for the Poisson C.V. Critical value distribution Change assignment CVar Coefficient of variation s Standard deviation of the differences dates right from the D D Difference; decile s Standard error of estimate home page. __ est Teaching multiple D Mean of the differences SSB Sum of squares between groups sections? Easily move d.f. Degrees of freedom SS Sum of squares within groups W from one to another. d.f.N. Degrees of freedom, numerator sB2 Between-group variance d.f.D. Degrees of freedom, denominator sW2 Within-group variance E Event; expected frequency; maximum error t t test value of estimate t Two-tailed t critical value __ α∕2 E Complement of an event μ Population mean e Euler’s constant ≈ 2.7183 μ Mean of the population differences D E(X) Expected value μ _X Mean of the sample means f Frequency w Class width; weight F F test value; failure r Sample correlation coefficient F′ Critical value for the Scheffé test R Multiple correlation coefficient ...and your students. MD Median r2 Coefficient of determination MR Midrange 𝜌 Population correlation coefficient MS Mean square between groups r Spearman rank correlation coefficient Online Exercises were carefully selected and B S MS Mean square within groups (error) S Sample space; success developed to provide a seamless transition from W n Sample size s Sample standard deviation textbook to technology. N Population size s2 Sample variance n(E) Number of ways E can occur σ Population standard deviation n(S) Number of outcomes in the sample space σ2 Population variance O Observed frequency σ _X Standard error of the mean P Percentile; probability Σ Summation notation p Probability; population proportion w Smaller sum of signed ranks, Wilcoxon s P ˆ Sample proportion signed-rank test _p_ Weighted estimate of p X Data value; number of successes for a P(BA⃒ ) Conditional probability binomial distribution __ P(E) Probability of an event E X Sample mean __ P( E ) Probability of the complement of E x Independent variable in regression __ P Number of permutations of n objects taking X Grand mean n r GM r objects at a time X Midpoint of a class m π Pi ≈ 3.14 �2 Chi-square For consistency, the guided solutions match the style and voice Q Quartile y Dependent variable in regression of the original text as though the author is guiding the students q 1 − p; test value for Tukey test y′ Predicted y value through the problems. qˆ 1 − pˆ z z test value or z score _q_ 1 − _p_ z Two-tailed critical z value α∕2 R Range; rank sum ! Factorial www.mheducation.com A L L A N G . B L U M A N PROFESSOR EMERITUS COMMUNITY COLLEGE OF ALLEGHENY COUNTY blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 1 17/10/16 8:05 pm ELEMENTARY STATISTICS: A STEP BY STEP APPROACH, TENTH EDITION Published by McGraw-Hill Education, 2 Penn Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Copyright © 2018 by McGraw-Hill Education. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. Previous editions © 2014, 2012, and 2009. No part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education, including, but not limited to, in any network or other electronic storage or transmission, or broadcast for distance learning. Some ancillaries, including electronic and print components, may not be available to customers outside the United States. This book is printed on acid-free paper. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LWI 21 20 19 18 17 ISBN 978-1-259-75533-0 MHID 1-259-75533-9 ISBN 978-1-260-04200-9 (Annotated Instructor’s Edition) MHID 1-260-04200-6 Chief Product Officer, SVP Products & Markets: G. Scott Virkler Vice President, General Manager, Products & Markets: Marty Lange Vice President, Content Design & Delivery: Betsy Whalen Managing Director: Ryan Blankenship Brand Manager: Adam Rooke Freelance Product Developer: Christina Sanders Director, Product Development: Rose Koos Marketing Director: Sally Yagan Digital Product Analysts: Ruth Czarnecki-Lichstein and Adam Fischer Director, Digital Content: Cynthia Northrup Director, Content Design & Delivery: Linda Avenarius Program Manager: Lora Neyens Content Project Managers: Jane Mohr, Emily Windelborn, and Sandra Schnee Buyer: Sandy Ludovissy Design: Matt Backhous Content Licensing Specialists: Lorraine Buczek and Melissa Homer Cover Image: © Kim Doo-Ho/VisionsStyler Press/Getty Images RF Compositor: MPS Limited Printer: LSC Communications All credits appearing on page or at the end of the book are considered to be an extension of the copyright page. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Bluman, Allan G. Elementary statistics : a step by step approach / Allan G. Bluman, professor emeritus, Community College of Allegheny Dounty. Tenth edition. | New York, NY : McGraw-Hill Education, [2018] | Includes index. LCCN 2016028437 | ISBN 9781259755330 (alk. paper) LCSH: Statistics—Textbooks. | Mathematical statistics—Textbooks. LCC QA276.12 .B59 2018 | DDC 519.5—dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2016028437 The Internet addresses listed in the text were accurate at the time of publication. The inclusion of a website does not indicate an endorsement by the authors or McGraw-Hill Education, and McGraw-Hill Education does not guarantee the accuracy of the information presented at these sites. mheducation.com/highered blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 2 17/10/16 8:05 pm A B O U T T H E A U T H O R Allan G. Bluman Allan G. Bluman is a professor emeritus at the Community College of Allegheny County, South Campus, near Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. He has taught mathematics and statistics for over 35 years. He received an Apple for the Teacher award in recognition of his bring- ing excellence to the learning environment at South Campus. He has also taught statistics for Penn State University at the Greater Allegheny (McKeesport) Campus and at the Monroeville Center. He received his master’s and doctor’s degrees from the University of Pittsburgh. Courtesy Allan G. Bluman He is also author of Elementary Statistics: A Brief Version and coauthor of Math in Our World. In addition, he is the author of four mathematics books in the McGraw-Hill DeMystified Series. They are Pre-Algebra, Math Word Problems, Business Math, and Probability. He is married and has two sons, a granddaughter, and a grandson. Dedication: To Betty Bluman, Earl McPeek, and Dr. G. Bradley Seager, Jr. iii blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 3 17/10/16 8:05 pm This page intentionally left blank C O N T E N T S Preface ix Relative Frequency Graphs 61 Distribution Shapes 63 C H A P T E R 1 2–3 Other Types of Graphs 74 Bar Graphs 75 The Nature of Pareto Charts 77 The Time Series Graph 78 Probability and The Pie Graph 80 Statistics 1 Dotplots 83 Stem and Leaf Plots 83 Introduction 2 Misleading Graphs 86 1–1 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics 3 Summary 100 1–2 Variables and Types of Data 6 3 1–3 Data Collection and Sampling Techniques 11 C H A P T E R Random Sampling 12 Systematic Sampling 12 Data Description 109 Stratified Sampling 13 Cluster Sampling 14 Other Sampling Methods 14 1–4 Experimental Design 18 Observational and Experimental Studies 18 Introduction 110 Uses and Misuses of Statistics 21 3–1 Measures of Central Tendency 111 1–5 Computers and Calculators 26 The Mean 111 Summary 33 The Median 114 The Mode 116 C H A P T E R 2 The Midrange 118 The Weighted Mean 119 Frequency Distributions Distribution Shapes 121 3–2 Measures of Variation 127 and Graphs 41 Range 129 Population Variance and Standard Deviation 129 Sample Variance and Standard Deviation 132 Introduction 42 Variance and Standard Deviation for Grouped 2–1 Organizing Data 42 Data 135 Coefficient of Variation 137 Categorical Frequency Distributions 43 Range Rule of Thumb 138 Grouped Frequency Distributions 44 2–2 Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Chebyshev’s Theorem 139 Ogives 57 The Empirical (Normal) Rule 141 The Histogram 57 Linear Transformation of Data 142 The Frequency Polygon 58 3–3 Measures of Position 148 The Ogive 59 Standard Scores 148 All examples and exercises in this textbook (unless cited) are hypothetical and are presented to enable students to achieve a basic understanding of the statistical concepts explained. These examples and exercises should not be used in lieu of medical, psychological, or other professional advice. Neither the author nor the publisher shall be held responsible for any misuse of the information presented in this textbook. v blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 5 17/10/16 8:06 pm vi Contents Percentiles 149 Variance and Standard Deviation 267 Quartiles and Deciles 155 Expectation 269 Outliers 157 5–3 The Binomial Distribution 275 3–4 Exploratory Data Analysis 168 5–4 Other Types of Distributions 289 The Five-Number Summary and Boxplots 168 The Multinomial Distribution 289 Summary 177 The Poisson Distribution 291 The Hypergeometric Distribution 293 C H A P T E R 4 The Geometric Distribution 295 Summary 303 Probability and 6 Counting Rules C H A P T E R 185 The Normal Introduction 186 Distribution 311 4–1 Sample Spaces and Probability 186 Basic Concepts 186 Classical Probability 189 Introduction 312 Complementary Events 192 6–1 Normal Distributions 312 Empirical Probability 194 The Standard Normal Distribution 315 Law of Large Numbers 196 Finding Areas Under the Standard Normal Subjective Probability 196 Distribution Curve 316 Probability and Risk Taking 196 A Normal Distribution Curve as a Probability 4–2 The Addition Rules for Probability 201 Distribution Curve 318 4–3 The Multiplication Rules and Conditional 6–2 Applications of the Normal Distribution 328 Probability 213 Finding Data Values Given Specific The Multiplication Rules 213 Probabilities 332 Conditional Probability 217 Determining Normality 334 Probabilities for “At Least” 220 6–3 The Central Limit Theorem 344 4–4 Counting Rules 226 Distribution of Sample Means 344 The Fundamental Counting Rule 227 Finite Population Correction Factor (Optional) 350 Factorial Notation 229 6–4 The Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution 354 Permutations 229 Summary 361 Combinations 232 4–5 Probability and Counting Rules 242 Summary 246 7 C H A P T E R 5 C H A P T E R Confidence Intervals and Sample Size Discrete Probability 369 Distributions 257 Introduction 370 7–1 Confidence Intervals for the Mean When σ Is Introduction 258 Known 370 5–1 Probability Distributions 258 Confidence Intervals 371 5–2 Mean, Variance, Standard Deviation, and Sample Size 377 Expectation 265 7–2 Confidence Intervals for the Mean When σ Is Mean 265 Unknown 383 blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 6 17/10/16 8:06 pm Contents vii 7–3 Confidence Intervals and Sample Size for 9–5 Testing the Difference Between Two Proportions 390 Variances 528 Confidence Intervals 391 Summary 539 Sample Size for Proportions 393 7–4 Confidence Intervals for Variances and C H A P T E R 10 Standard Deviations 398 Summary 406 Correlation and C H A P T E R 8 Regression 547 Hypothesis Introduction 548 Testing 413 10–1 Scatter Plots and Correlation 548 Correlation 552 10–2 Regression 563 Introduction 414 Line of Best Fit 564 8–1 Steps in Hypothesis Testing—Traditional Determination of the Regression Line Method 414 Equation 565 8–2 z Test for a Mean 426 10–3 Coefficient of Determination and Standard P-Value Method for Hypothesis Testing 430 Error of the Estimate 580 8–3 t Test for a Mean 442 Types of Variation for the Regression Model 580 8–4 z Test for a Proportion 453 Residual Plots 582 8–5 𝛘2 Test for a Variance or Standard Coefficient of Determination 583 Deviation 461 Standard Error of the Estimate 584 8–6 Additional Topics Regarding Hypothesis Prediction Interval 587 Testing 474 10–4 Multiple Regression (Optional) 590 Confidence Intervals and Hypothesis Testing 474 The Multiple Regression Equation 591 Type II Error and the Power of a Test 476 Testing the Significance of R 593 Summary 479 Adjusted R2 594 Summary 599 9 C H A P T E R 11 C H A P T E R Testing the Difference Between Other Chi-Square Two Means, Two Tests 607 Proportions, and Two Variances 487 Introduction 608 11–1 Test for Goodness of Fit 608 Introduction 488 Test of Normality (Optional) 614 9–1 Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Using the z Test 488 11–2 Tests Using Contingency Tables 622 9–2 T esting the Difference Between Two Means Test for Independence 622 of Independent Samples: Using the t Test 499 Test for Homogeneity of Proportions 628 9–3 Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Summary 638 Dependent Samples 507 9–4 Testing the Difference Between Proportions 519 blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 7 17/10/16 8:07 pm viii Contents 12 14 C H A P T E R C H A P T E R Analysis of Sampling and Variance Simulation 645 737 Introduction 646 Introduction 738 12–1 One-Way Analysis of Variance 646 14–1 Common Sampling Techniques 738 12–2 The Scheffé Test and the Tukey Test 658 Random Sampling 739 Scheffé Test 658 Systematic Sampling 742 Tukey Test 659 Stratified Sampling 744 12–3 Two-Way Analysis of Variance 662 Cluster Sampling 746 Summary 676 Other Types of Sampling Techniques 746 14–2 Surveys and Questionnaire Design 753 C H A P T E R 13 14–3 Simulation Techniques and the Monte Carlo Method 756 The Monte Carlo Method 756 Nonparametric Summary 762 Statistics 685 A P P E N D I C E S Introduction 686 A Tables 769 13–1 Advantages and Disadvantages B Data Bank 794 of Nonparametric Methods 686 Advantages 686 C Glossary 801 Disadvantages 686 D Selected Answers SA–1 Ranking 687 13–2 The Sign Test 689 Single-Sample Sign Test 689 Paired-Sample Sign Test 691 13–3 The Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test 698 13–4 The Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test 703 Index I–1 13–5 The Kruskal-Wallis Test 708 13–6 The Spearman Rank Correlation Coefficient ADDITIONAL TOPICS ONLINE and the Runs Test 715 (www.mhhe.com/bluman) Rank Correlation Coefficient 715 Algebra Review The Runs Test 718 Summary 729 Writing the Research Report Bayes’ Theorem Alternate Approach to the Standard Normal Distribution Bibliography blu55339_FM_i-xxiv.indd 8 17/10/16 8:07 pm

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