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Economic development: principles, problems, and policies. PDF

821 Pages·1959·16.601 MB·English
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Economic Development PRINCIPLES, PROBLEMS, AND POLICIES /. ^ «• Benjamin Higgins, M.Sc., Ph.D. Professor of Economics, University of Texas. Visiting Professor of Economics and Director of the Indonesia Project, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. W W N O R T O N & COM PANY IN C Nev) York 326 HP 1959 COPYRIGHT © BY \V. VV. NORTON & COMPANY, INC. Library of Congress Catalog Card No. 59-6085 PRINTED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA FOR THE PUBLISHERS BY THE VAIL-BALLOU PRESS 23456789 TO THOSE WHO TAUGHT ME MOST Alvin Hansen Herbert Heaton Lionel Robbins A rthur Marget Paul Rosenstein-Rodan Contents Preface xiii .______________________________ PART 1 _________________________________ Introduction: The Problem of Economic Development 1. The General Nature of the Development Problem 3 . The Meaning of “Underdeveloped” Other Char­ acteristics of Underdeveloped Countries The Con­ cept of Economic Development Policy 2. Some Case Studies 25 Libya India Indonesia The Philippines Mexico Italy Summary and Conclusions PART 2 Principles: General Theories of Development 3. The Classical Theory of Capitalist Development: G row th and Stagnation 85 The Classical Model The Malthus Version 4. The Marxist Model: Growth and Collapse 107 Propositions Summary The System in Operation The Theory of Economic Fluctuations Conclusions: An Appraisal 5. Unstable Growth: Schumpeter 122 Propositions Scope of the System Operation of the System Schumpeter's Theory of Trend via Vlil CONTENTS 6. Cumulative Movement away from Equilibrium: Harrod 144 Outline of the Model Application to Underdeveloped Areas 7. Requirements for Steady Growth: Hansen 167 The Essence of the Theory Aggravating Factors: Capital-saving Innovations The “Great New Indus­ tries” Argument Aggravating Factors: The Loss of the uFrontier Spirit” A Rising Propensity to Save? Logical Validity of the Hansen Thesis The Autono­ mous Investment Function Resource Discovery and the Frontier Application to Underdeveloped Areas 8. Summary and Synthesis of General Theories of De­ velopment 199 Similarities and Differences Application to Underde­ veloped Areas Population Growth Synthesis of General Theories _________________________________ PART 3 _________________________________ Principles: Lessons of History 9. Historical Theories of the Rise of Capitalism 217 The uRise of Capitalism” Commercial Capitalism Financial Capitalism Industrial Capitalism and Urban­ ism Entrepreneurship Capitalistic Agriculture Rostov) and the Take-off into Sustained Growth 10. Economic Development: Past and Present 239 Economic Factors Political Factors Sociological Factors Technological Factors An Impossible Task? _________________________________ PART 4 _________________________________ Principles: Theories of Underdevelopment 11. General Theories: Geographic Determinism 265 Human Behavior m the Tropics Reason for Low Pro­ ductivity in Tropical Agriculture Conclusion 12. General Theories: Sociological Dualism 274< The Theory Policy Implications Appraisal of the Theory The Facts Is MDualism” an Eastern Phe­ nomenon? Is Western Social Theory Applicable to Underdeveloped Areas? CONTENTS ix \ 13. Partial Theories: Culture Patterns, Achievement Mo­ tivation, and Entrepreneurship un-achicvement” and Entrepreneurship Hagen's "— ' Theory of Transition to Economic Growth 14. Partial Theories: Technological Dualism and the Popu­ lation Explosion 314 The Population Explosion Hagen*5 “Common Sense of Population” Population Pressure as a Stimulant to Growth Technological Dualism Summary and Conclusions 15. Partial Theories: Colonialism and the “Backwash” Ef­ fects of International Trade ’V Backwash versus Spread Effects Professor Myrdal and the “Backwash Effect” Unlimited Supplies of Labor? The Terms of Trade Terms of Trade of the Country as a Whole The Thesis for Latin Amer­ ica The Prebisch Argument Singer Version Criticism of the Prebisch-Smger Thesis The Atallah Analysis Terms of Trade of the Rural Sector 16. Partial Theories: Balanced Growth, Discontinuities, and the “Big Push” 384 Rosenstein-Rodan and the Three Indivisibilities The Leibenstem Theory The Low-level Equilibrium Trap Balanced versus Unbalanced Growth 17. A Synthesis of Theories of Underdevelopment 409 Scope and Method A Diagrammatic Synthesis / PART 5 Policies 18. The Welfare Economics of Growth 432 ^ The Limits of Theory Growth through Laissez Faire? Marginalism, the Economic Calculus, and the Phase of Development 19. The Primrose Paths 457 Up by the Bootstraps? Finance by Inflation? Infla- ^ tion versus the “Disequilibrium Economy ” Pump- priming Confiscation of Foreign Enterprises Con­ clusions X CONTENTS ✓20. Public Financc versus Financing Development 474 Public Finance Fiscal Policy 21. Measures to Increase Savings 480 Savings versus Credit Government Borrowing ^ 22. Tax Policies 493 The Question of Tax Capacity Taxation and Infla­ tion Other Objectives of Tax Policy Local Gov­ ernment Finance Incentive Taxes ✓ 23. A Self-enforcing Tax System for Underdeveloped Countries 524 An Integrated Self-enforcing Tax System Incentive Features A Tax-and-Transfer System for Foreign Investors 24. Stabilization Policies 545 Fluctuations in Arid Zone Countries Fluctuations in Exports Monetary Policy Anticyclical Timing of Public Developmental Investment 25. Foreign Investment 569 Foreign Aid or Private Foreign Investment? Encour­ agement of Private Foreign Investment Factors Limiting Foreign Private Investment Major Conclu­ sions 26. Foreign Aid 595 The International Monetary Fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development Bilateral Capital Assistance The Over-all Picture The Ai./.T. Proposal Loans or Grants? Should Foreign Aid and Investment Equal the Foreign Exchange Com­ ponent of Development? \/27. Planning Economic Development 629 Measuring Economic Development Aspects of Devel­ opment Planning Aspects of Planning and Phases of Economic Development Estimating Capital Require­ ments: The Incremental Capital-Output Ratio In­ vestment Criteria and Priorities The Choice of Tech­ nology Land-use Planning The Role of Commu­ nity Development 28. Population Policy 687 CONTENTS xi 29. Some Lessons of Experience 701 Libya India Indonesia The Philippines Italy 30. Conclusions: Proposals for Research 766 Bibliography 775 Index 781

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