ECONOMETRICS OF PLANNING AND EFFICIENCY ADVANCED STUDIES IN THEORETICAL AND APPLIED ECONOMETRICS VOLUME 11 Managing Editors: J.P. Ancot, Netherlands Economic Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands A.J. Hughes Hallett, University of Newcastle, U.K. Editorial Board: F.G. Adams, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, U.S.A. P. Balestra, University of Geneva, Switzerland M.G. Dagenais, University of Montreal, Canada D. Kendrick, University of Texas, Austin, U.S.A. J.H.P. Paelinck, Netherlands Economic Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands R.S. Pindyck, Sloane School of Management, M.I.T., U.S.A. H. Theil, University of Florida, Gainsville, U.S.A. W. Welfe, University of Lodz, Poland For a complete list of volumes in this series see final page of this volume. Econometrics of Planning and Efficiency edited by Jati K. Sengupta Professor of Economics and Operations Research, University of California, Santa Barbara Gopal K. Kadekodi Professor of Economics, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, India 1988 KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS. DORDRECHT I BOSTON I LANCASTER ••~' Distributors for the United StatesandCanada: Kluwer Academic Publishers, P.O. Box 358, Accord Station, Hingham, MA 02018-0358, USA for the UK and Ireland: Kluwer Academic Publishers, MTP Press Limited, Falcon House, Queen Square, Lancaster LA1 1RN, UK forallothercountries: KluwerAcademicPublishersGroup, DistributionCenter, P.O. Box 322, 3300 AH Dordrecht, The Netherlands Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data EconometrIcs of plannIng and effIcIency I edIted by Jatl K. Sengupta and Gopal K. Kadekodl. p. cm. -- (Advanced studIes In theoretIcal and applIed econometrIcs: v. 11) ISBN 9024736021 1. EconometrIcs. 2. EconomIc pollcy. 3. EffIcIency. Industrial. I. Sengupta. Jattkumar. II. Kadekodl. Gopal K. III. SerIes. HB139.E32 1987 330'.028--dc19 87-21305 CIP ISBN-13:978-94-0I0-8146-7 e-ISBN-13:978-94-009-3677-5 001: 10.1007/978-94-009-3677-5 Copyright © 1988 by Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, Dordrecht. Softcoverreprintofthehardcover1stedition 1988 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without.the prior written permission of the publishers, Martinus Nijhoff Publishers, P.O. Box 163, 3300 AD Dordrecht, The Netherlands. Table ofContents ListofContributors vu J. K. Sengupta and G. K. Kadekodi / Presentation of the Volume lX PART I: METHODOLOGY 1 G. K. Kadekodi, T. K. Kumar, and 1. K. Sengupta / The ScientificWorkofGerhardTintner 3 K. A. Fox / Econometrics Needs a History: Two Cases of Conspicuous Neglect 23 PART II: PLANNING MODELS 49 G. K. Kadekodi / Energy Pricing in a Welfare Framework: IssuesinEquity,EfficiencyandExhaustibility 51 1. B. Nugent / Foreign Aid, Economic Development and Income Distribution: Some Inferences from a CGE Model forEgypt 63 PART III: ANALYSIS OF EFFICIENCY 91 1. K. Sengupta / The Active Approach of Stochastic Optimiza- tionwithNewApplications 93 P. van Moeseke / Efficient Portfolios: Risk Shares and Mone- taryPolicy 109 A. Charnes, B. Golany, M. Keane, and J. Rousseau / Extremal Principle Solutions of Games in Characteristic Function Form:Core,ChebychevandShapleyValueGeneralizations 123 T. V. S. R. Rao / Econometric Estimation of Decision Models underUncertainty 135 VI J. H. Gapinski and T. K. Kumar / On Estimating the Elasticity ofFactorSubstitutionbyNonlinearLeastSquares 157 J. K. Sengupta / Recent Nonparametric Measures of Produc- tiveEfficiency 169 List ofContributors A. CHARNES,UniversityofTexasatAustin,Texas,U.S.A. K. A. FOX,IowaStateUniversityAmes,Iowa,U.S.A. J. H. GAPINSKI, Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida, U.S.A. B. GOLANY,UniversityofTexasatAustin,Texas,U.S.A. G. K. KADEKODI,InstituteofEconomicGrowth,Delhi,India M. KEANE,UniversityofTexasatAustin,Texas,U.S.A. T. K. KUMAR,UniversityofHyderabad,Hyderabad,India J. B. NUGENT, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California,U.S.A. T. V. S. R. RAO,IndianInstituteofTechnology,Kanpur,India 1. ROUSSEAU,UniversityofTexasatAustin,Texas,U.S.A. J. K. SENGUPTA, University of California at Santa Barbara, Cali fornia,U.S.A. P. VAN MOESEKE, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand GERHARD TINTNER (1907-1983) Presentationofthe Volume This volume dedicated to the memory of Gerhard Tintner (1907 1983) presents a selected set of contributions to the three topics where he himself made significant contributions. These topics are: the methodology of econometrics, economic planning and efficiency analysis. Born of Austrian parents on September 29, 1907 in Nuremberg, Gerhard Tintner became one of the most versatile econometricians of his time, with seminal contributions to the theory of stochastic economics, dynamic economic theory and stochastic programming. As a distinguished teacher and versatile scholar he had a profound influence on all the students and colleagues who came in close touch with him. Much ahead of his time in many respects he made pioneer ing attempts toward the development of a theory of uncertainty based on the three disciplines of probability theory, econometrics and operations research. He took the field of economic development as a challenge where the techniques of stochastic planning need be increas ingly applied and implemented. The generation of students he trained bear adequate testimony to his profound expertise and universal appeal. The philosophy and culture of India had a special fascination for him, which is due in part to the intellectual link he established with someofthe mosteminentIndianstatisticiansofhistime. All the contributions of this memorial volume have been prepared as a token of deep appreciation, lasting friendship and esteem for a dedicated teacher who honored the profession by his original research and universal outlook in teaching. To many of his students such as ourselves his memory provides a perennial source of inspiration, dedication to research and singular faith in the advancement of knowledgefor abetterfuture. JATI K. SENGUPTA GOPAL K. KADEKODI UniversityofCalifornia, InstituteofEconomicGrowth, SantaBarbara, Delhi, India California, U.S.A. PART I METHODOLOGY