Form Approved REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE OMB No. 0704-0188 The public reporting burden for this collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing the burden, to the Department of Defense, Executive Services and Communications Directorate (0704-0188). Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to any penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. PLEASE DO NOT RETURN YOUR FORM TO THE ABOVE ORGANIZATION. 3. DATES COVERED (From - To) REPORT DATE (DD-MM-YYYY) 2. REPORT TYPE 1. Journal Article 04-08-2009 5a. CONTRACT NUMBER 4. TITLE AND SUBTITLE Evaluation of Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment Products on South Florida nested simulations with the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model 5b. GRANT NUMBER 5c. PROGRAM ELEMENT NUMBER 0601153N 5d. PROJECT NUMBER 6. AUTHOR(S) Villy Kourafalou, G. Peng, H. Kang, Patrick J. Hogan, Ole Martin Smedstad, Robert Weisberg, Molly Baringer, Christopher Meinen 5e. TASK NUMBER 5f. WORK UNIT NUMBER 73-8554-C8-5 8. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION 7. PERFORMING ORGANIZATION NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) REPORT NUMBER Naval Research Laboratory NRL/JA/7320-08-8094 Oceanography Division Stennis Space Center, MS 39529-5004 10. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S ACRONYM(S) 9. SPONSORING/MONITORING AGENCY NAME(S) AND ADDRESS(ES) ONR Office of Naval Research 800 N. Quincy St. 11. SPONSOR/MONITOR'S REPORT Arlington, VA 22217-5660 NUMBER(S) 12. DISTRIBUTION/AVAILABILITY STATEMENT Approved for public release, distribution is unlimited. 20090814048 13. SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES 14. ABSTRACT The South Florida Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (SoFLA-HYCOM) encompasses a variety of coastal regions (the broad Southwest Florida shelf, the narrow Atlantic Keys shelf, the shallow Florida Bay, and Biscayne Bay I and deep regions (the Straits of Florida), including Marine Protected Areas (the Florida Keys Marine Sanctuary and the Dry Tortugas Ecological Reserve). The presence of the strong Loop Current/Florida Current system and associated eddies connects the local and basin-wide dynamics. A multinested approach has been developed to ensure resolution of coastal-scale processes and proper interaction with the large scale Hows. The simulations are free running and effects of data assimilation arc introduced through boundary conditions derived from Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment products. The results indicate that the successful hindcasting of circulation patterns in a coastal area that is characterized by complex topography and proximity to a large scale current system requires a dynamical.downscaling approach, with simulations that are nested in hierarchy of data assimilative outer models. 15. SUBJECT TERMS numerical modeling, coastal dynamics, loop current, Florida current, data assimilation 18. NUMBER 17. LIMITATION OF 19a. NAME OF RESPONSIBLE PERSON 16. SECURITY CLASSIFICATION OF: Patrick Hogan ABSTRACT OF b. ABSTRACT c. THIS PAGE a. REPORT PAGES UL 19b. TELEPHONE NUMBER (Include area code) Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified 20 228-688-4537 Standard Form 298 (Rev. 8/98I Proscribed by ANSI Std. Z39.18 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 DOI 10.1007/s 10236-008-0160-7 Evaluation of Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment products on South Florida nested simulations with the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model Vassiliki H. Kourafalou • Ge Peng • HeeSook Kang • Patrick J. Hogan • Ole-Martin Smedstad • Robert H. Weisberg Received: 11 March 2008 /Accepted: 18 October 2008 / Published online: 9 December 2008 © Springer-Verlag 2008 Abstract The South Florida Hybrid Coordinate Ocean through boundary conditions derived from Global Ocean Model (SoFLA-HYCOM) encompasses a variety of coastal Data Assimilation Experiment products. The study evaluates regions (the broad Southwest Florida shelf, the narrow the effects of boundary conditions on the successful hind- Atlantic Keys shelf, the shallow Florida Bay, and Biscayne casting of circulation patterns by a nested model, applied on a dynamically and topographically complex shelf area. Bay) and deep regions (the Straits of Florida), including Independent (not assimilated) observations are employed Marine Protected Areas (the Florida Keys Marine Sanctu- ary and the Dry Tortugas Ecological Reserve). The for a quantitative validation of the numerical results. The presence of the strong Loop Current/Florida Current system discussion of the prevailing dynamics that arc revealed in and associated eddies connects the local and basin-wide both modeled and observed patterns suggests the importance dynamics. A multi-nested approach has been developed to of topography resolution and local forcing on the inner shelf ensure resolution of coastal-scale processes and proper to middle shelf areas, while large scale processes arc found to interaction with the large scale flows. The simulations arc dominate the outer shelf flows. The results indicate that the free running and effects of data assimilation are introduced successful hindcasting of circulation patterns in a coastal area that is characterized by complex topography and prox- imity to a large scale current system requires a dynamical Responsible editor: Brian Powell downscaling approach, with simulations that arc nested in a hierarchy of data assimilative outer models. V. H. Kourafalou (E3) • G. Peng • H. Kang Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Keywords Numerical modeling • Coastal dynamics • Miami, FL, USA Loop Current • Florida Current • Data assimilation e-mail: [email protected] P. J. Hogan Naval Research Lab, Stennis Space Center, Hancock County, MS, USA 1 Background O.-M. Smedstad The seas that surround the southern part of the Florida QinetiQ North America, Technology Solutions Group—PSI, peninsula form a unique oceanographic environment that Stennis Space Center, Hancock County, MS, USA includes ecologically sensitive shallow areas (Florida Bay, Biscayne Bay, the Dry Tortugas, and the Florida Keys Reef R. H. Weisberg Tract), shelf areas (the relatively broad Southwest Florida College of Marine Science, University of South Florida, shelf and the narrow Southeast Florida shelf extending to St Petersburg, FL, USA the Atlantic side of the Florida Keys), and deep areas Present address: (Straits of Florida); see Fig. 1. These regions are strongly G. Peng connected through their circulation systems and exchange Raytheon Company, processes on local and regional scales as well as with Pasadena, CA, USA £) Springer 48 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 Fig. 1 The South Florida (SoFLA) model domain and bathymetry (contours in m). Red 28N • dots mark the ADCP mooring sites (see Table 1). TB Tampa Bay area, SWFS Southwest Florida Shelf, DT Dry Tortugas, FK Florida Keys, FB Florida 2TN- Bay, AFKS Atlantic Florida Keys Shelf, BB Biscayne Bay, SEFS Southeast Florida Shelf, CC Cape Canaveral 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1600 2000 remote upstream regions of the Gulf of Mexico and the due to freshwater input from rivers dominate circulation Caribbean (Lee ct al. 2002; Hamilton ct al. 2005; everywhere but in the outer shelf region, where the Loop Current influence is important. Observational and modeling Sponauglc ct al. 2005; Kourafalou et al. 2007). These linkages arc a unique characteristic of the South Florida studies on the WFS (see Weisberg ct al. 2005 for a review) coastal seas, directly connected to their proximity to a large have shown the strong variability in the WFS current scale current system, namely the Gulf Stream, that starts as regime on several time scales and for different circulation the Loop Current in the Gulf, extends through the Straits of governing dynamics. The inner shelf has top and bottom Ekman layers that interact with each other, with ncarshorc Florida as the Florida Current, and continues in the Atlantic Ocean as the main branch of this complex current system. currents accelerated downwind, due to the coastal constrain The narrow Southeast Florida Shelf (SEFS) and its (no cross-shore flow near the coastal wall) that eliminates southward extension, the Atlantic Florida Keys Shelf the Coriolis term in the along-shore momentum balance. (AFKS), receive direct influence from the Florida Current The mid-shelf is generally in Ekman balance, while the front and associated transient passage of meanders and outer shelf is often dominated by flows associated with eddies, especially near the shelf break, while subtidal basin-wide circulation. transport in the shoreward shelf areas is wind driven (Lee A numerical model of the South Florida coastal seas and and Williams 1999). In addition, the SEFS is directly surrounding deep sea areas has been developed to allow the connected to the shallow Biscayne Bay, while the AFKS study of the regional coastal processes and to serve as a tool interacts with flows on the Southwest Florida Shelf for the support of limited area, high resolution interdisci- (SWFS), through the narrow passages along the Florida plinary models around Florida Bay and the Florida Keys, in Keys island chain and along the western boundary of the connection with the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration shallow, mudbank-dominated Florida Bay. The broad Project (http://www.evergladesplan.org/). Observational SWFS represents the southern extreme of the West Florida and modeling studies around the ecologically fragile CERP Shelf (WFS) as it merges with the Florida Keys. The SWFS areas have suggested that management decisions must rely has more distinct inner (~0-30 m), middle (~30-60 m), and on limited area models that include the proper representa- outer (~60-100 m) domains that are influenced by different tion of the regional South Florida circulation. Detailed circulation forcing mechanisms. Wind stress and buoyancy coastal dynamics and local forcing (such as local rivers) arc fi Springer 49 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 real-time simulations; and the regional Gulf of Mexico of outmost importance for restoration-related simulations and are not present in the available large scale models. HYCOM with the Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation (GoM-NCODA), which employs cyclic boundary conditions Furthermore, operational large scale models are not suitable derived from a multi-year North Atlantic simulation and thus for process-oriented studies, scenario-based simulations, and coupling with local biogcochemical models. The is capable to perform hindcasts beyond the available ATL- HYCOM years. A free-running simulation with the same South Florida Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (SoFLA- HYCOM, Kourafalou et al. 2005) has been developed to Gulf of Mexico model (GoM-Free) is used to better highlight data assimilation effects prescribed to the SoFLA-HYCOM fulfill these needs. The publicly available HYCOM code simulations through boundary conditions. (http://www.hycom.org) has been selected for the flexibility on vertical discretization that offers transition from deep to coastal flows. Modeling in the SoFLA domain poses the challenge of 2 Model description resolving both coastal and deep sea processes. Important circulation forcing mechanisms governing coastal transport 2.1 The HYCOM model processes are winds, river runoff and exchange through The hydrodynamic model chosen for this study is the narrow channels and around the multi-island chains, and Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM; http://www. shallow mudbanks. The degree of linkage between the hycom.org), named after a unique vertical layer configura- various coastal areas depends on the strength of their tion that is dynamically transformable from isopycnal in the transports and the volume of water exchanged between open stratified ocean to terrain-following (sigma) in SoFLA subregions as well as over the whole domain. The Loop Current/Florida Current front and associated eddies shallow coastal regions and to fixed pressure-level coor- dinates in the surface mixed layer and unstratified seas. dominate the oceanic influence and effectively connect the HYCOM is a comprehensive, three-dimensional hydro- coastal and shelf SoFLA areas to the overall Atlantic Ocean circulation. This suggests that numerical models around the dynamic model with data assimilative capabilities and advanced mixing schemes (Bleck 2002; Chassignct ct al. South Florida coastal seas require a nested approach, with boundary conditions that demonstrate an adequate repre- 2003; Halliwell 2004). sentation of the dominant large scale flows and their An addition to previously released standard HYCOM synoptic variability. code employed in the SoFLA experiments involves the The main objective of the current study is to improve our ability to add sigma and/or z-laycrs near the surface to better resolve shallow areas (Halliwell ct al. 2008, this understanding of the dynamics of the South Florida coastal seas, with an emphasis on the effects of large scale forcing issue). The main task was to overcome the restriction of preserving a thin upper isopyenic layer in the mostly on the shelf areas. Our methodology focuses on the evaluation of boundary condition effects on the circulation stratified subtropical areas that surround the study domains patterns simulated by the South Florida Hybrid Coordinate and smoothly transition from the deep to the shelf areas that Ocean Model. We employ independent (not assimilated) require the resolution of surface and bottom Ekman layers. observations and seek to examine if free-running simu- Another application of non-standard HYCOM code employed herein is the ability to simulate synthetic floats lations within a topographically and dynamically complex (either in the Lagrangian or Eulerian frame) that allow the nested domain arc adequate to simulate reliable flows, when aided by boundary forcing that is extracted from data tracking of particles through the model domain and assimilative larger scale products. This is an important step optionally sample water properties at the location of each float (Halliwell ct al. 2003). Stationary floats (synthetic toward a future goal of achieving forecasting capabilities with the SoFLA-HYCOM model. mooring instruments) were launched in SoFLA simulations The Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE; to compare simulated currents with ADCP mooring data. http://www.godac.org) has been selected as the source of 2.2 The outer North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico suitable products for boundary conditions. Ongoing simula- tions and prediction with GODAE global and basin-scale HYCOM models models have fulfilled the main GODAE objectives of developing state-of-the-art models and assimilation methods One of the challenging tasks for nested models of coastal to produce boundary conditions to extend predictability of and shelf seas is the choice of appropriate boundary coastal and regional subsystems (International GODAE Steer- conditions. Nested models have to rely on available ing Team 2000). Around South Florida, two data assimilative simulations from larger scale models, which often lack the models are directly affiliated with GODAE: the basin-scale resolution and topographic and forcing details that are North Atlantic (ATL) HYCOM, which provides archives of necessary for the representation of coastal dynamics. It is ^ Springer 50 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 often necessary to develop an intermediate model, nested would allow GoM-HYCOM simulations over any time within a global or basin-scale model, which, in turn, will frame, without having to rely on the availability of large provide boundary conditions for the coastal model. Such a scale model archives. The daily ATL-HYCOM boundary multi-nested, downscaling approach has been followed forcing fields were binned into monthly values to create herein, from the Atlantic to the Gulf of Mexico and then perpetual year forcing archives. The cyclic boundary to the South Florida model (SoFLA-HYCOM, described in conditions have been successfully used to force GoM Section 2.3). Below, we give a brief description of three simulations forward in time, during the 2004-2005 simu- outer models employed in SoFLA-HYCOM simulations lation and beyond. and we examine if the boundary conditions provided by the Two GoM-HYCOM simulations have been carried out: a intermediate GoM model are an improvement over the free-running one (GOM-Frec) and a data assimilative one, coarser ATL model and if the data assimilative GoM- employing the Navy Coupled Ocean Data Assimilation NCODA run is a better choice as outer model than the (NCODA, Cummings 2005) system (GoM-NCODA). The twin free-running GoM-Free model. The SoFLA-HYCOM NCODA is an oceanographic version of the multivariatc model is being developed as a future regional model itself, optimum interpolation (MVOI) technique widely used in to further support the boundary needs of higher resolution, operational atmospheric forecasting systems. A description limited area interdisciplinary local models. of the MVOI technique can be found in Daley (1991). The ATL-HYCOM model (sec description in Chassignct Figure 2 shows an evaluation of the two GODAE et al. 2007) is the US contribution to the international GODAE products that are used for boundary conditions in this project. The ATL-HYCOM model simulation that has been study, namely the ATL-OI and the GoM-NCODA. Snap- directly employed in this study will be referred to as ATL-OI, as shots of Sea Surface Height on the same day (February 15, the data assimilation scheme is using the Optimal Interpolation 2005) are plotted with superimposed tracking of the Loop based Modular Ocean Data Assimilation System (MODAS). Current, based on the operational IR (infrared) frontal This system consists of daily operational 1/4° Sea Surface analyses performed by the Naval Oceanographic Office. Height (SSH) analysis (gridded data) of available real-time This is a routine model validation procedure performed at satellite altimeter observations (Fox et al. 2002). The Cooper NRL, employing independent (not assimilated) satellite- and Haines (1996) technique is used to project the surface derived high resolution SST observations. The cyclic information from altimetry SSH to the interior of the ocean. boundary conditions used for GoM-NCODA perform well Relaxation to the MODAS 1/8° Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and maintain a robust Loop Current that is actually closer to analysis derived from the five-channel Advanced Very High the observed track, as compared to the ATL-OI. Both Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) is also included. The vertical simulations agree very well with the satellite-derived frontal mixing is represented through the K-Profile Parameterization position, while the cyclonic eddy east of the front is absent (KPP scheme, Large et al. 1994, 1997). As this model focuses in the course resolution (1/12°) ATL-OI and well resolved on large scale processes and for computational efficiency, the in the 1/25° GoM-NCODA. coastline has been moved to 20 m, which effectively makes it Both outer models use atmospheric forcing from the unsuitable for representing circulation in coastal areas. coupled ocean-atmosphere FNMOC (Fleet Numerical The GOM-HYCOM model has resolution of 1/25° (-3.5 Meteorology and Oceanography Center) Navy Operational to 4 km) and set-up similar to Prasad and Hogan (2007). It Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS, Hogan extends from 77.36°W to 98.0°W and from 18.09°N to and Rosemond 1991; Roscmond 1992; Hogan and Brody 30.71°N and has 20 hybrid layers in the vertical. The model 1993), which provides three-hourly wind and daily thermal has used actual coastline with the minimum depth of 2 m, an forcing (interpolated to three-hourly values). improvement over the ATL-HYCOM in the Gulf of Mexico region. The NASA-GISS (Goddard Institute for Space 2.3 The nested South Florida HYCOM model Studies) Level 2 turbulence closure (Canuto et al. 2001, 2002) is employed for vertical mixing parameterization. The SoFLA-HYCOM is the regional model of the South The intermediate GoM-HYCOM model employs a Florida seas (Kourafalou et al. 2005), extending from GODAE product at the open boundaries. A cyclic boundary 22.78°N to 28.61°N and from 77.36°W to 83.76°W and condition has been developed from a synoptically forced with a horizontal resolution of 1/25°, i.e., about 3.5 to simulation (1999-2002) of the ATL-HYCOM, to represent 4 km. It includes the full extent of the Straits of Florida (to "climatology" in the Loop Current inflow through the Cuba in the South and to the Bahamas in the East), the Yucatan peninsula and the Florida Current outflow through inner, middle, and part of the outer Southwest Florida Shelf the Straits of Florida and adjacent passages between Cuba (south of ~28.5°N, from the Florida Keys to the Tampa Bay and the Bahamas. The goal was to develop an intermediate area) and the full Southeast Florida Shelf from Biscaync model product closely related to GODAE objectives that Bay to Cape Canaveral (Fig. 1). *J Springer 51 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 sea surf, height 20050216 [09.1] Fig. 2 Evaluation of GoM- HYCOM boundary conditions 30N derived from ATL-HYCOM- based climatology. Sea Surface Height on February 15, 2005 computed by the ATL-OI (up- per) and the GoM-NCODA (lower). The continuous white/ black line marks the boundaries of the Loop Current and a cyclonic eddy, based on inde- pendent frontal analysis of high 24N resolution SST data; black lines are segments based on data more than 4 days old 20N 86W HW 82W 80W 78W 8 I 8 8 sea surf, height 20050216 [30.3] 30N 24N 20N 98W s § S 8 The topography is derived from the 2-min NAVO/NRL extrapolate initial and boundary conditions provided by the DBDB2 global data set with true coastline and a minimum outer model into the SoFLA water grid points. depth of 2 m. As is the case for coastal and regional nested The model is driven by fields of wind stress, air simulations, outer models are typically "large scale", basin- temperature, atmospheric humidity, heat fluxes (surface shortwave and long wave), and salt flux (precipitation wide or global models that have coarser resolution and large minimum coastal depths. To address discrepancies between only). Surface latent heat and sensible heat fluxes, along desired topographic details in shallow South Florida areas with evaporation, are calculated using bulk formulae during and larger scale models with deeper coastal minimum the model run time using the model Sea Surface Temper- depths, a capability was developed to modify topography ature (Kara ct al. 2005). All sources of land-based in the nested model to include shallower water regions and freshwater runoff have been included, both as point sources ^ Springer 52 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 for the major rivers and as a line source for neighboring for comparison to modeled currents and will be employed in the evaluation of different boundary conditions for the small rivers. The vertical mixing is represented through the K-Profile SoFLA-HYCOM simulations. Mooring C18 is very close Parameterization (KPP scheme, Large et al. 1994, 1997). No to the model boundary, so it will not be used for quan- titative evaluation, but it will be employed in the discussion data assimilation has been applied within the SoFLA domain. The nesting technique follows the standard and robust of certain processes. The mooring locations and the capability for nesting HYCOM within a larger HYCOM observing periods for each data record used in this study run, by employing boundary conditions that implement are given in Table I. The longest record is for mooring C19 archived variables (off-line) from the coarse outer grid to (full 2004-2005 period), followed by C17 that spans the fine inner grid. The barotropic boundary conditions 15 months from May 2004 to August 2005. along the nested interface use the method of characteristics (Browning and Kreiss 1982, 1986). The baroclinic fields 4 Numerical simulations during 2004-2005 for temperature, salinity, pressure, and velocity in the nested model are relaxed toward the outer model solution within buffer zones and over c-folding times that were 4.1 Model set-up and forcing dictated by the archive frequency. The objective of evaluating nested simulations in this study is to develop a regional model around the South Florida coastal seas that will properly account for coastal to offshore 3 The data interactions, while being capable to simulate coastal flows. Although the focus is on the effect of the boundary Early studies on continental shelf dynamics have estab- conditions, certain improvements that are expected to be lished that the primary subtidal current response to wind forcing on wide, shallow continental shelves, such as the important for future simulations of wind-driven and West Florida Shelf, is a strong along-shore current directly buoyancy-driven coastal circulation and connectivity among shallow environments (such as Florida Bay and the Florida forced by coherent, synoptic-scale along-shore winds and opposing cross-shelf currents in upper and lower Ekman Keys) are also explored. These include the following. layers (Csanady 1978; Beardsley and Butman 1974; - Certain topographic details in the SoFLA-HYCOM Mitchum and Sturgcs 1982; Lee et al. 1985). The WFS model are absent in the outer models: corrections in exhibits the typical shelf dynamics with the additional shallow depths around Florida Bay and the Florida complexity of flows associated with a north to south Keys passages and the model minimum depth (2 m for pressure gradient imposed on the Gulf of Mexico by the SoFLA, same as in GoM, but much smaller than the Loop Current, as well as shelf break processes associated ATL 20 m minimum depth which excludes the inner with direct Loop Current influence (Huh et al. 1981; shelf and hence coastal currents). Paluszkiewicz et al. 1983; Weisberg et al. 1996, 2001; - SoFLA-HYCOM has higher vertical resolution in the Weisberg and He 2003). Therefore, middle to outer shelf shelf areas, which is important for the proper represen- observations on the WFS are essential for the evaluation tation of near surface buoyant plumes that arc critical of SoFLA-HYCOM model simulations under different for inner shelf circulation, CERP restoration scenarios, boundary conditions. and biophysical applications, to be explored in ancil- The Coastal Ocean Monitoring and Prediction System lary studies. The bottom 20 SoFLA layers arc identical (COMPS; http://comps.marinc.usf.edu) of the University of to the GoM layers (total number of GoM layers is 20) South Florida (USF) has four relevant mooring sites on the and to the top 20 layers of the 26-layer ATL-OI, whose Southwest Florida Shelf: C13, C17, C18, and C19; see bottom five layers were discarded because their Fig. 1 and also Halliwell et al. (2008, this issue). Data from densities do not exist in the regional SoFLA-HYCOM Acoustic Doppler Current Profilers (ADCP) will be used Table 1 West Florida Shelf buoy and model buoy attributes Data buoy ID Lai Lon Water depth (m) Missing data during Model buoy sampling depth range starting:interval:ending 2004-2005 83.07 C13 26.07 50 02/08/05-09/14/05 3:1:45 82.22 25 C17 25.25 03/10/04-05/06/04; 09/13/05-10/12/05 4:1:21 C18 25.00 X2 83.71 07/14/04-12/07/04 10:5:74 24.62 82.72 25 C19 none 3:1:24 £) Springer Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 53 Table 2 SoFLA-HYCOM simulations attributes performed for a 2-year simulation (2004-2005): cxpl is nested in the GoM-Free, exp2 is nested in the GoM- Forcing Exp# Boundary conditions Vertical layers NCODA, and exp3 is nested in the ATL-OI. All three experiments have the attributes described in Section 4.1 and GoM-Free COAMPS 26 1 2 26 GoM-NCODA COAMPS were initialized from outer model fields on January 1, 2004. 26 ATL COAMPS 3 In order to evaluate the effect of atmospheric forcing in the l.l GoM-Free NOGAPS 20 numerical simulations, identical experiments were per- 20 2.1 GoM-NCODA NOGAPS formed, but with NOGAPS atmospheric forcing employed .VI 20 ATL NOGAPS in the SoFLA runs, similar to the forcing of the outer model simulations. These are: expl.l, exp2.1, exp3.1, nested on GoM-Free, GoM-NCODA, and ATL-OI, respectively. To further highlight the effects of boundary conditions, experi- model. SoFLA has a total of 26 hybrid vertical layers ments 1.1 and 2.1 have also the same vertical structure as ranging from sigma or z-coordinate in shelf regions to the outer Gulf of Mexico simulations and exp3.1 has the isopyenic coordinate in deep waters. The number and same number of layers as the outer ATL model within the thickness of the upper model layers have been chosen SoFLA domain. The attributes of all model simulations arc to adequately resolve the entire water column in the given in Table 2. shelf areas, especially where stratification due to At the open boundaries, 13 grid point-wide "buffer" riverine freshwater inputs prevails. (or boundary relaxation) zones with e-folding time of 0.1 - The nested simulations employ the best available to 24 days (outer to inner grid) are used to relax the baro- forcing, namely three-hourly archives of the 27 km clinic mode temperature, salinity, pressure, and velocity horizontal resolution Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere components. Mcsoscale Prediction System (COAMPS, Hodur 1997; Hodur ct al. 2002), as compared to the 1° NOGAPS 4.3 Simulation of the circulation in the South Florida region forcing of the outer models (see Section 2.2). The synoptic variability in the South Florida flow field is 4.2 Numerical experiments characterized by periods of wind-driven versus buoyancy- driven and eddy-driven currents. Frequent eddy passages In order to evaluate the effect of boundary conditions in dominate the current field in the Straits of Florida, with South Florida nested simulations, three experiments were substantial influence on the hydrodynamics around the Fig. 3 Seven-day composite turt.htQht M»y2»,2004 0OZ pO-OH] (May 24 to 31, 2004) from the Aqua-satellite chl-a data (upper left); Sea Surface Height fields from GoM-NCODA on May 29, 2004 (upper right); June 4, 2004 (lower left); and July 8, 2004 (lower right) •W Springer 54 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 pressure gradient imposed by the LC in the Gulf. An narrow Southeast Florida shelf and the Florida Keys Reef Tract. The broad Southwest Florida Shelf is mostly example of LC variability is shown in Fig. 3. A weekly Acqua-satellite chl-a image composite for May 24—31, influenced by the passage of weather systems and by the 2004 shows the Loop Current under the tendency to shed a freshwater inputs from local rivers. Variability in the Loop Current has also been shown to large ring, while anticyclonic eddy activity at the eastward impact circulation on the West Florida Shelf (Paluszkiewicz periphery of the ring (near the WFS) was quite strong. The ct al. 1983; Wcisbcrg and He 2003; Weisberg et al. 2005). GoM-NCODA SSH fields around the same period (May 29 and July 4) are in very good agreement, as this simulation Based on several years of measurements, a mean southward flow has been found in the Southwest Florida Shelf (Lee et assimilates satellite-derived SSH fields. The ocean color al. 2002) and has been attributed to a north to south data are not assimilated in the model. Also shown in Fig. 3 Fig. 4 Observed and simulated Observed/Simulated V5m at C17 (82.2°W & 25.3°N) For 2004 hourly values of near-surface (at 5-m depth) along-shore velocity (in cm s ) at the mooring station C17 (position marked on Fig. 1) for year 2004 (see Table 1 for data attributes), computed from COM PS data (red lines) and SoFLA model simulations (blue lines): a exp 1; b exp2; c exp3. The along-shore mean:-2.1 40 wind stress component (in N Jan04 std :5.7 2 m ) from the three-hourly 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 COAMPS-27 km forcing is ii*ifc**J I I I I I I I I I I I I I il il I i il I A^^-faX* X^ilI^Ai^^lA^a^^i^^AMlrl I III I l.M.>*itlt*. *i *•!• given in (d). Time series mean and standard deviations (std) are b exp2 also given. Maximum winds in the summer-fall are associated with hurricanes Charlie (day 226, August 13, 2004) and Ivan (day 259, September 15, 2004). The straight red line marks a data gap mean:-1.8 -40 • Jan04 std :6.1 1 ' i i i i i i i i i i i • • ' • • i 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 i ••'•--'• l.....i.....l.....t>^ ^.l... >l.^ .>l.i>^.l.. >^l. ...l J J J J J mean:0.0 Std :6.0 Jan04 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 mean:l.O d coamps-27km wind-V 0.2 std :1.8 ^jyvv J 0.0 z -0.1 mean:-0.0l 1 -0.2 Jan04 std :0.052 -0.3 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 time (day) G) Springer 55 Ocean Dynamics (2009) 59:47-66 is the SSH field from the GoM-NCODA for July 8. The LC with the findings of Weisberg and He (2003) and adds stayed in a relatively "young" (limited northward exten- support in the hypothesis by Hctland ct al. (1999) that a sion) position through the beginning of June, bending mature Loop Current (which is fully extended into the Gulf eastward and approaching the shelf break. This was of Mexico) can cause trapping of the cross-shelf pressure gradient and a southward flow confined over the shelf associated with a southward flow event that spanned across break region, while a young Loop Current (following a the WFS (sec Section 5.1). As the ring reattached itself, the recent eddy shedding) located near the southwest portion of LC changed to an extended configuration by the beginning of July and a westward bending, while the southward flow the shelf will cause a larger along-isobath sea level slope gradually became confined in the outer shelf. This agrees and the onshore penetration of the southward flow. Fig. 5 Same as in Fig. 4, but for Observed/Simulated V5m at C13 (83.1°W & 26.1°N) For 2004 mooring station C13. The • «• • • - • • i vertical lines mark a shelf flow event associated with oceanic influence (days 140-180, May 19-June 28, 2004) d coamps-27km wind-V 02 01 J%mJk*kJbfBlL 00 -0.1 -0.2 Jan04 -03 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 time (day) £)spi ringer