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Developments in LEDs for Lighting Alan Mills Published by Pira International Ltd Cleeve Road, Leatherhead Surrey kt22 7ru UK T +44 (0) 1372 802080 F +44 (0) 1372 802079 E [email protected] W www.piranet.com The facts set out in this publication Pira International Ltd acknowledges product, service and company names referred to are obtained from sources which we in this report, many of which are trade names, service marks, trademarks or registered believe to be reliable. However, we trademarks. accept no legal liability of any kind for the publication contents, nor any information contained therein nor conclusions drawn by any party from it. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior permission of the Copyright owner. ISBN 1 85802 561 3 © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 Head of publications and events Philip Swinden [email protected] Publisher Rav Lally [email protected] Head of editorial Adam Page [email protected] Global editor Nick Waite [email protected] Head of US publishing Charles E. Spear, Jr. [email protected] Assistant editor Claire Jones [email protected] Customer services manager Denise Davidson [email protected] T +44 (0)1372 802080 Typeset in the UK by Jeff Porter, Deeping St James, Peterborough, Lincs [email protected] Contents List of tables v Lenses and reflector cups 26 List of figures vi 3 Executive summary vii 1 Outlook for white LEDs 29 Background 29 Introduction 1 Competition 29 Industry structure and overview 1 The qualifier 30 The LED industry and market Drivers 30 development 2 A bright future 31 LED power development 5 4 LED outlook 7 2 LED applications 33 Introduction 33 LED materials and device Display back lighting 33 manufacturing 9 Automotive and vehicle uses 35 LED structures and how they work 9 Introduction 35 Production processes 10 Rear lights 35 Materials used to make LEDs 13 Internal auto lighting 36 Solid materials and wafers 13 Front auto lighting 36 II–VI compound materials 13 Commercial vehicle lighting 37 III–V compound materials 14 Emergency vehicle lighting 38 Ternary gallium nitride materials 15 Camera flash units 38 Aluminium nitride materials 16 General illumination 39 Silicon carbide materials 16 Portable lighting 41 Silicon materials 16 Signage 44 Sapphire materials 16 Introduction 44 Carrier gas material 17 Neon signs 44 Substrate selection 17 Channel letters 45 Homo-epitaxy 17 Safety signs 45 Sapphire substrates 19 Signals 46 Silicon carbide substrates 19 Traffic signals 46 Silicon substrates 20 Rail signals 47 Aluminium nitride substrates 20 Aviation lighting 47 LED colours 20 Marine lighting 48 5 Use of phosphors 21 LED die fabrication, packaging and encapsulation 24 Die fabrication 24 Packaging and encapsulation 25 Future trends for LEDs 51 Page iii © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 Developments in LEDs for Lighting Contents 6 Lamina Ceramics, Inc. 59 LED Specialists, Inc. 60 Lumidrives Ltd 60 Lumileds Future Electronics 60 Leading LED suppliers and technical Lynk Labs, Inc. 60 developers 55 Marine Lighting International Ltd 60 Abletech, LLC 55 Maxim Integrated Products 61 ACOL Technologies S.A. 55 Nichia America Corporation 61 AIXTRON AG 55 NuSil Technology 61 AKZO Nobel 55 Nye Lubricants, Inc. 61 American Bright 55 Ocean Optics, Inc. 61 ASM Assembly Automation, Ltd 55 Optical Research Associates 61 AXT Inc. 56 Opto Technology Inc. 62 Bergquist Company 56 Orca Green Marine 62 The Bodine Company 56 OSRAM Opto Semiconductors 62 Candela Instruments 56 Philips Electronics 62 Carclo Technical Plastics 56 Philips Lumileds Lighting Company 62 Cotco International Ltd 56 Power Integrations 63 Cree Inc. 56 Radiant Imaging 63 Curamik Electronics, Inc. 57 Rohm and Haas Electronic Materials 63 Darcy Corporation 57 ROHM Electronics 63 Doran Manufacturing LLC 57 Rubicon Technology Inc. 63 Dow Corning Corporation 57 Saint-Gobain Crystals and Detectors Epichem Ltd 57 (USA) 63 Evident Technologies, Inc. 57 Savage Marine Ltd 64 Freiberger Compound Materials 57 Sensor Electronic Technology, Inc. 64 Gamma Scientific Inc. 58 Solvay Advanced Polymers 64 GE Advanced Materials 58 Sumitomo Electric Industry 64 Heatron, Inc. 58 SunLion Solar Inc. 64 Hitachi Cable of America 58 Supertex, Inc. 64 Innovations in Optics, Inc. 58 III-Vs Review 65 Innovative Lighting Inc. 58 The LED Shop (online) 65 Instrument Systems 58 Thomas Swan 65 Intematix, Inc. 59 Unipress (Polish Academy of Sciences) 65 Integrated Design Tools Inc. 59 Veeco Instruments Inc. 65 KLA-Tencor 59 Wafer Technology, Ltd 65 Kyocera Corporation 59 Westfleet Direct 66 Labsphere, Inc. 59 Yokohama Electron Co., Ltd 66 Page iv © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 List of tables 1.1 Changes in LED light output with 2.1 Compound semiconductor elemental colour temperature 6 groups 13 Page v © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 List of figures E.1 L ED applications and percentage 2.5 Side and front-emitting LEDs 27 market value, 2006 vii 4.1 LED applications and market value 1.1 Estimated lamp output powers 5 2010 33 2.1 A simple LED 9 4.2 SunLion Solar – Buggy LED 2.2 Quantum well LED on sapphire 10 headlamp 43 2.3 Phosphor-based white LED 21 4.3 OGM masthead navigation light 49 2.4 Intematix QD phosphors 22 Page vi © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 Executive summary The LED industry Over 70 companies are active in the worldwide LED industry covering the wafer, epitaxy, chip forming, and packaging supply chains. About 35% of these companies perform epi-wafer and/or chip manufacture with only about 15% being vertically integrated. The structure of this industry consists of a mix of captive or integrated and regionally distributed merchant epitaxy companies with the fraction of merchant epitaxy varying with the geographic region. The US and Taiwan have about equal volumes of merchant wafer supply (~40%), with the rest of Asia supplying another 12%. LED packaging is perhaps unique in this industry, with specialist companies concentrating on packaging services for the whole industry and making up about 50% of the industry players. Most Asian LED manufacturers are large well-established companies or their subsidiaries. Taiwan is an exception to this, with about 25 LED companies with most being established on a venture basis within the last ten years. Taiwan has a mix of captive and merchant epitaxy companies, which now claim more than 50% of the world market. In Europe, most LED manufacturers are associated with large, well-established international companies such as Philips and Osram, although there are some merchant suppliers of LED epi-wafers and venture LED manufacturers. In the US, LED suppliers range from small ventures to larger diversified companies and it is possible anywhere in the world to have an LED business without a wafer fabrication facility. Sales of LEDs in 2006 are estimated to be $4.8 billion (€3.78 billion) and the major applications are shown in Figure E.1. FIGURE E.1 LED applications and percentage market value, 2006 (cid:53)(cid:83)(cid:66)(cid:71)(cid:71)(cid:74)(cid:68) (cid:51)(cid:70)(cid:85)(cid:66)(cid:74)(cid:77) (cid:48)(cid:85)(cid:73)(cid:70)(cid:83) (cid:84)(cid:74)(cid:72)(cid:79)(cid:66)(cid:77)(cid:84) (cid:20)(cid:6) (cid:18)(cid:21)(cid:6) (cid:22)(cid:6) (cid:34)(cid:86)(cid:85)(cid:80)(cid:16) (cid:85)(cid:83)(cid:86)(cid:68)(cid:76) (cid:52)(cid:74)(cid:72)(cid:79)(cid:84) (cid:35)(cid:66)(cid:68)(cid:76)(cid:1)(cid:77)(cid:74)(cid:72)(cid:73)(cid:85)(cid:74)(cid:79)(cid:72) (cid:25)(cid:6) (cid:26)(cid:6) (cid:23)(cid:18)(cid:6) Source: Pira International Ltd After LED chip making, LEDs require packaging, which is labour intensive, and is performed by packaging specialists located in low labour-cost economies such as China, Malaysia and Thailand. For LEDs to be fully accepted in the general lighting market, many Page vii © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 Developments in LEDs for Lighting Executive summary luminaire types will be required and some venture companies have started to manufacture LED-based fixtures. Therefore, with the exception of a few young companies, an LED luminaire industry structure is lacking at this time. The LED LEDs started as feeble red emitters about 40 years ago; they now provide an extended range of wavelengths from about 260–400nm. The interest in UV LEDs is driving new and RGB (red, green and blue) phosphor development for new LED sources. Prior to the mid-1990s, LEDs provided only red, yellow and limited green wavelengths without high lumen blue or deep green colours. However, when Nichia Chemical announced blue LEDs in 1993 and green in 1995, the whole market changed. White light from the combination of RGB LEDs became feasible and therefore full-colour LED displays became a commercial reality as blue and green LEDs with higher light outputs were developed. All the LED markets shown in Figure E.1 benefited from this new technology and much of their growth to $5 billion since 1995, would not have been possible without it. This value can be compared to $12 billion for today’s general lighting market, with little LED penetration at this time. Apart from the existing growth markets, the LED is just at the beginning of its penetration into the general lighting world of incandescent, fluorescent and HID lighting. Hand-held devices The huge hand-held device segment, with typical display sizes in the 1.5–2.5in range, is commonplace around the world, with two billion units in the field (mobile telephones, cameras, and personal digital assistants or PDAs). Although telephone flash units are hand-held appliances, they are not a back lighting use. All these applications are hidden from the consumer because the LEDs are internal to the equipment used. The estimated sales for 2006 are $2.8 billion. Large displays LED backlighting from the larger LCD displays with diagonal measurements in the 15–50in range, for monitors, laptops and televisions, will eventually form a separate backlighting segment. Substantial market growth is expected in the future because they will require many LEDs per display. The LED using either RGB or blue LEDs with phosphors, can support full-colour displays and produce good colour rendition without the use of filters. At the same time, the LED has the added advantage of providing up to 130% of the NTSC specifications. Benefits of LED backlighting over compact fluorescent systems are that no colour filter is required, they have thinner and smaller volume lighting systems, higher definition quality and improved colour rendition. Sony already has a 50in LED model on the market and has announced an 80in LED prototype only 4cm thick (~2.5in). It uses 1120 RGB Golden Dragon LED chips in groups of one red (625nm), one blue (458nm) and two green at 527nm. In addition, Osram has demonstrated an 82in TV prototype using its own LEDs. Current shipments are about 30,000 per year for the large LED-based displays and are anticipated to grow to 300,000 units in 2008, another LED growth market. Page viii © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 Developments in LEDs for Lighting Executive summary Auto applications In the last ten years, a growing number of automakers have installed interior and exterior LED lighting, with Europe being the volume leader, followed by the Japanese and Asian manufacturers. The average number of LEDs per car is now estimated to be over 200, with well over 50 models being equipped. Vehicle lighting LEDs tend to be low-cost lamps and therefore have led to single digit or low double digit growth rates, estimated to reach $380 million in 2006. External LED uses for autos – both front and rear – will allow new design paradigms, brand identity, adaptive form lighting, youth appeal and new styling options. As is often the case with new car technology, LEDs were first introduced in the higher- priced models, with the first LED units being the red, high-level rear braking light units or the CHIMSEL (centre high-mounted stop light). All-LED rear lighting units have been used in high-end cars for some time and included tail, brake, back-up lamps and turn signals. However, the volume breakthrough occurred last year when two car models, with over 500,000 per year production, were provided with all-LED rear lighting from Volkswagen and Honda. As other manufacturers follow these leads, continued higher levels of LED incorporation are assured. LED lighting, internal to a car, is now widely used by manufacturers and it can supply glare-free all-around lighting for car interiors and dashboards. It is often being promoted as a brand recognition item. Some recent auto models allow different colours to be selected by the driver or passengers and interior LED lighting is now standard for many models. This growth trend should continue because LEDS offer flexibility, reliability, reduced power consumption and pleasing design options to the manufacturer and the customer. It should provide added steady growth to the automotive LED market and may reach $600 million by 2010. One of the most anticipated automotive LED applications is that of front lighting, including running lights, turn signals and headlights. Turn signals and running lights are now feasible and close to adoption for some high-end models. Prototype headlamp units have been demonstrated in Europe, Japan and the US, with pre-market concept models demonstrated by Audi, Cadillac, Ford and Mitsubishi. The number of LEDs required today for each front lighting function are 6, 10 and 20 for the fog, high-beam and low-beam functions and these headlamp LEDs may require operating limits of –40 to +105°C or even higher to qualify. The LEDs will be cool enough to allow acrylic front lenses, but both active and passive cooling will be needed to meet the anticipated cooling loads. The first headlamp models still appear to be on time for a high-end model in late 2007 or early 2008 and start adding to the long-term growth of the LED in the auto lighting market. Commercial and LEDs are now the preferred rear warning and identification lighting method for fleet vehicles commercial vehicles because of their much longer life, their vibration resistance and because they are often multi-LED powered, which does not fail catastrophically. They have much longer useful lives and provide immediate savings over bulb replacement service work, the largest maintenance cost for vehicle fleets. A selection of tractor-trailer Page ix © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006 Developments in LEDs for Lighting Executive summary LED lighting product lines, e.g. red/amber, tail/stop and marker lights, are available in the $5–20 range. Police car and other emergency vehicles with multicolour warning requirements benefit from the high power efficiency of blue, red and orange coloured LEDs and their new low-profile mounting racks. LEDs are already showing good growth in this market, benefiting their long life and vibration resistance properties and a low cost of ownership. Camera flash units The camera flash unit is a relatively new hand-held application for the LED, made possible as white LED output powers have increased and as pulsed operation has become a practical consideration. And, the demand for better subject area illumination over a larger area and for higher pixel counts has also continued to pressure the LED flash unit manufacturers for both professional camera and phone models. Strong demand from amateur and professional camera owners for these LED flash units can only improve unit design and performance and a future need for multiple LED flash units should turn this segment into another high-volume LED market. The continuing increases in light output and the ability to overdrive on a pulsed basis make the LED an ideal flash source for future generations of cameras. LEDs in general The general illumination market is worth $12 billion and a long sought-after goal of lighting the LED manufacturers. The largest players are international lighting companies such as General Electric, Westinghouse, Osram, Sylvania and Philips. The LED is a disruptive product for this market with DC versus AC, different operating voltages, extended lifetimes, different light source dimensions and new regulatory compliances. The main general lighting LED competition is tungsten filament, high-intensity discharge (HID), fluorescent tube and sodium vapour lamps. Filament or incandescent lamps have the lowest off-the-shelf cost, the lowest power efficiency, in the 10–15 lumens per watt (lm/W) range, but their replacements account for about one third of the general lighting market, or $4 billion. They also have the highest heat output and are relatively short lived. But for their low initial cost and worldwide supportive infrastructure, they would be easy prey for the LED. The remaining LED competition has higher initial costs, longer lifetimes and higher lumen efficiencies in the 35–90lm/W range. The LED still competes in a few special applications where inaccessible locations, 50,000-hour lifetimes and maintenance savings weigh heavily in favour of the LED. To protect their market presence, most of the large players have either started competitive research on the LED or have formed strategic alliances with LED producers. LED performance is now up to about 40 lumens for a single LED and 500 lumens for multi-LED modules (LED arrays are higher). White LED luminaire products based on these output powers have not yet entered the general lighting market, but will make market entry within the next two years. Most indium gallium nitride LEDs (blue, green and UV) are made on sapphire wafers and red, yellow and orange are made on gallium arsenide, However, Cree Inc., from Raleigh, NC, has added to the complexity by manufacturing high Page x © Copyright Pira International Ltd 2006

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