DERIVATIVE SECURITIES PRICING AND MODELLING CONTEMPORARY STUDIES IN ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS Series Editors: Robert Thornton and J. Richard Aronson Recent Volumes: Volume 83: Foreign Direct Investment in the UnitedStates,Edited by W.L. Casey Volume 84: Colombia: An Opening Economy?Edited byC.M.Callahan and F. R.Gunter Volume 85: The Irish Economyin Transition: Success, Problems and Prospects, Editedby J.R. Aronson,V.Munley and R. J. Thornton Volume 86: Asia Pacific FinancialMarketsin Comparative Perspective: Issues and Implications forthe 21st Century, Editedby J. A. BattenandT. A.Fetherston Volume 87: Developments in Litigation Economics, Editedby P.A. GaughanandR. J.Thornton Volume 88: European Responses toGlobalization: Resistance,Adaptation and Alternatives Volume 89: Globalization: Perspectivesfrom Centraland EasternEurope, Edited byKatalin E. Fabian Volume 90: Privatization in Transition Economies: TheOngoing Story, Edited byIra W.Lieberman andDaniel J. Kopf Volume 91: Personal Injuryand WrongfulDeathDamages Calculations: Transatlantic Dialogue, EditedbyJohn O.Ward and Robert J. Thornton Volume 92: Moving BeyondStorytelling: Emerging Researchin Microfinance, Editedby ToddA.Watkinsand Karen Hicks Volume 93: TheImpactoftheGlobalFinancialCrisisonEmergingFinancial Markets, EditedbyJonathanA.Batten andPeterG. Szilagyi CONTEMPORARY STUDIES IN ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ANALYSIS VOLUME 94 DERIVATIVE SECURITIES PRICING AND MODELLING EDITED BY JONATHAN A. BATTEN Hong Kong University of Science & Technology, Hong Kong NIKLAS WAGNER University of Passau, Germany United Kingdom – North America – Japan India – Malaysia – China EmeraldGroupPublishingLimited HowardHouse,WagonLane,BingleyBD161WA,UK Firstedition2012 Copyrightr2012EmeraldGroupPublishingLimited Reprintsandpermissionservice Contact:[email protected] Nopartofthisbookmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,transmittedinany formorbyanymeanselectronic,mechanical,photocopying,recordingorotherwise withouteitherthepriorwrittenpermissionofthepublisheroralicencepermitting restrictedcopyingissuedintheUKbyTheCopyrightLicensingAgencyandintheUSA byTheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Noresponsibilityisacceptedfortheaccuracyof informationcontainedinthetext,illustrationsoradvertisements.Theopinions expressedinthesechaptersarenotnecessarilythoseoftheEditororthepublisher. BritishLibraryCataloguinginPublicationData AcataloguerecordforthisbookisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary ISBN:978-1-78052-616-4 ISSN:1569-3759(Series) CONTENTS LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS ix PART I: ADVANCES IN DERIVATIVES AND ECONOMIC STABILITY DERIVATIVES SECURITIES PRICING AND MODELLING Jonathan A. Batten and Niklas Wagner 3 ON THE ROLE OF OPTION APPLICATIONS IN ECONOMIC INSTABILITY Kavous Ardalan 15 DERIVATIVES,COMMODITIES,ANDSOCIALCOSTS: EXPLORING CORRELATION IN ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY Aleksandr V. Gevorkyan and Arkady Gevorkyan 47 CONTINGENT CAPITAL SECURITIES: PROBLEMS AND SOLUTIONS Michalis Ioannides and Frank S. Skinner 71 HIGH DIMENSIONALITY IN FINANCE: A GRAPH-THEORY ANALYSIS Delphine Lautier and Franck Raynaud 93 v vi CONTENTS PART II: DERIVATIVES PRICES AND RISK-NEUTRAL DISTRIBUTIONS RECOVERING STOCHASTIC PROCESSES FROM OPTION PRICES Jens Carsten Jackwerth and Mark Rubinstein 123 THE PRICING KERNEL PUZZLE: RECONCILING INDEX OPTION DATA AND ECONOMIC THEORY David P. Brown and Jens Carsten Jackwerth 155 RISK-NEUTRAL DENSITIES AND CATASTROPHE EVENTS Michael Herold and Matthias Muck 185 PART III: DERIVATIVES MODELS AND MODEL PERFORMANCE NON-GAUSSIAN PRICE DYNAMICS AND IMPLICATIONS FOR OPTION PRICING Miguel Angel Fuentes, Austin Gerig and Javier Vicente 211 ON THE EMPIRICAL BEHAVIOR OF STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS: DO SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS MATTER? Marco M. Garcı´a-Alonso, Manuel Moreno and 227 Javier F. Navas RE-EVALUATING HEDGING PERFORMANCE FOR ASYMMETRY: THE CASE OF CRUDE OIL John Cotter and Jim Hanly 259 ON THE BINOMIAL-TREE APPROACH TO CONVERTIBLE BONDS PRICING AND RISK ASSESSMENT Krasimir Milanov and Ognyan Kounchev 281 Contents vii PART IV: DERIVATIVES MODELS, RISK MANAGEMENT, CREDIT AND CORPORATE CONTROL A NEW PARADIGM FOR INFLATION DERIVATIVES MODELING Lixin Wu 305 AN OPTION-PRICING FRAMEWORK FOR THE VALUATION OF FUND MANAGEMENT COMPENSATION AxelBuchner,AbdulkadirMohamedandNiklasWagner 331 AN EQUITY-BASED CREDIT RISK MODEL Gaia Barone 351 BUSINESS CYCLES AND THE IMPACT OF MACROECONOMICSURPRISESONINTERESTRATE SWAP SPREADS: AUSTRALIAN EVIDENCE Victor Fang, A. S. M. Sohel Azad, Jonathan A. Batten 379 and Chien-Ting Lin THE EVOLUTION OF THE USE OF DERIVATIVES IN SLOVENIAN NON-FINANCIAL COMPANIES Ales Berk Skok, Igor Loncarski and Matevz Skocir 399 INDEX 429 LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS Kavous Ardalan School of Management, Marist College, Poughkeepsie, NY, USA A.S.M. Sohel Azad School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Deakin University, Victoria, Australia Gaia Barone Department of Economics, ‘‘Tor Vergata’’ University, Rome, Italy Jonathan A. Batten Department of Finance, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong David P. Brown School of Business, University of Wisconsin–Madison, Madison, WI, USA Axel Buchner Department of Finance, University of Passau, Passau, Germany John Cotter School of Business, University College Dublin, Blackrock, Ireland Victor Fang School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Deakin University, Victoria, Australia Miguel Angel Fuentes CONICET, Centro Atomico Bariloche, Bariloche, Black River, Argentina; School of Government, Universidad del Desarrollo, Santiago, Chile Marco M. Garcı´a-Alonso BBVA Madrid, Madrid, Spain Austin Gerig CABDyN Complexity Centre, Say¨d BusinessSchool,UniversityofOxford,UK ix