DECISION MAKING IN RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS TREATMENT: FROM POPULATION TO PATIENTS Sandhya C. Nair This research was performed within the framework of the Center for Translational Molecular Medicine (CTMM), and the Dutch Arthritis Foundation (Reumafonds) under project TRACER (04I-202-11). Printing of this thesis was financially supported by the Center for Translational Molecular Medicine (CTMM), the Dutch Arthritis Foundation (Reumafonds), Pfizer, Abbvie, UCB Pharma and Roche. Layout and cover design by Sandeep Kumar. Cover art based on Warli painting. Chapter art by Alexei von Jawlensky (1864-1941) painted during different periods as his life slowly deterioriated with crippling arthritis. Printed by Ipskamp Drukkers ISBN: 978-94-6259-357-2 © All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without prior written permission of the author. Decision making in rheumatoid arthritis treatment: from population to patients Besluitvorming bij behandeling van reumatoïde artritis: van populatie naar patiënt (met een samenvatting in het Nederlands) PROEFSCHRIFT ter verkrijging van de graad van doctor aan de Universiteit Utrecht op gezag van de rector magnificus, prof. dr. G.J. van der Zwaan, ingevolge het besluit van het college voor promoties in het openbaar te verdedigen op donderdag 6 november 2014 des ochtends te 10.30 uur door Sandhya Chandran Nair geboren op 26 september 1983 te Kottayam (Kerala), India Promoters: Prof. dr. F.P.J.G. Lafeber Prof. dr. J.W.J. Bijlsma Copromoter: Dr. P.M.J. Welsing CONTENTS Chapter 1 Introduction 1 Part 1: Understanding associations between different process and outcome measures Chapter 2 Do radiographic joint damage and disease activity influence 21 functional disability through different mechanisms? Direct and Indirect effects of disease activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis Chapter 3 Does disease activity add to functional disability in estima- 39 tion of utility for rheumatoid arthritis patients on biological treatment. Chapter 4 Generalization and extrapolation of treatment effects from 57 clinical studies in Rheumatoid Arthritis Part 2: Personalizing treatment: tailoring RA treatment to the individual patient Chapter 5 Systematic review on personalized treatment for rheumatoid 83 arthritis: an analytical approach with the focus on clinical ap- plicability Chapter 6 Determining the lowest optimally effective methotrexate 111 dose for individual RA patients using their dose response re- lation in a tight control treatment approach Chapter 7 Economic evaluation of a tight-control treatment strategy us- 125 ing an imaging device (HandScan) for monitoring joint inflam- mation in early rheumatoid arthritis Chapter 8 Personalized treatment using serum drug levels of adalim- 145 umab in rheumatoid arthritis patients: an evaluation of costs and effects Chapter 9 A personalized approach to biological therapy using predic- 165 tion of clinical response using MRP8/14 serum complex levels in rheumatoid arthritis Chapter 10 Summary and Discussion 181 Addendum Nederlandse Samenvatting 196 Acknowledgements 201 Curriculum Vitae 207 List of Publications 209 CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION Chapter 1 RHEUMATOID ARTHRITIS, TREATMENT AND OUTCOME MEASURES 1 Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a chronic disease marked by inflammation, mainly of the joints, over time leading to joint destruction and functional disability.[1] [2] The dis- ease can have different manifestations in different individuals ranging from mild to severe disease. The resulting functional disability related to the disease also causes loss of labour capacity, decreases quality of life [2] and shortens life expectancy.[3] A recent publication reported the prevalence of RA globally to be 0.24 % mainly af- fecting women (prevalence in women 0.35 % i.e. two times higher than in men).[4] Joint stiffness and pain are the most commonly present symptoms with frequently stiffness most severe after periods of prolonged rest and pain after periods of exer- cise. RA usually starts affecting the small joints of hands and feet but also affects larger joints. In longstanding RA all joints can be involved. Since 2010 new diagnos- tic criteria for RA are available as developed by the American College of Rheumatol- ogy (ACR) and European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR) in which the focus is more on the features of the disease in the earlier stages that are associated with persistent and/or erosive disease compared to the former 1987 classification criteria for RA.[5] However, the final diagnosis of RA remains a clinical diagnosis by the rheumatologist. Treatment in RA The treatment of RA aims to improve and maintain physical function and improve quality of life by controlling inflammation and pain. Treatment has improved sub- stantially over the past decades with the use Disease Modifying Anti Rheumatic Drugs (DMARDS) starting immediately after diagnosis nowadays, compared to the past, when frequently only non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) were used in early or mild disease. Based on several studies over a decade the ‘tight control’ with ‘treat to target’ (T2T) [6-9] principle has become a standard approach especially in early disease within the so-called ‘window of opportunity’. Tight con- trol can be defined as a treatment strategy, aimed at achieving as soon as possible a specific target of low disease activity or preferably remission (‘treat to target’) in an individual patient. The aim (target) has moved from achieving decrease in disease activity to achieve very low disease activity or remission which has resulted in sig- nificant improvement of structural and quality of life outcomes.[6, 7, 9-12] Metho- trexate (MTX) is an anchor drug considered to be the optimal effective first line treatment since it has demonstrated a high effectiveness especially in early disease with relatively limited side effects. MTX has been tested and found to be effective in T2T strategies.[13, 14] Apart from this improved approach to treatment several new drugs have also become available, most notable the so-called biologic DMARDs 2
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