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Confronting climate change : strategies for energy research and development PDF

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oe ue te th i are trse us ks ea aPl bred. Confronting Climate Change Page nserte s. y i pesetting filen accidentall Strategies for Energy Research and Development ye nal te be m the origis may hav Committee on Alternative Energy not froc error ReseaErcnhe ragnyd EDnegvineleoeprimngen Bt oSatrradtegies book, graphi Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems er po National Research Council py pae t he original d, and som m tne oai ed fre ret creatnot b L files er, can Mv m Xowe oh d frng, posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p NATIWOaNsAhiLng AtoCnA, DD.ECM. 1Y9 9P0RESS oe ue te th ii are trse us ks ea National Academy Press 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W. Washington, D. C. 20418 aPl Page brenserted. NbTehOresT maTIrCehemEi sd: br rTaeewrhpseon o r pftf rr hotohamjees c bctthoe teemh nacm tor euiitsvnt eitceheiwel sr ee sosdufp b botjhyenec sa tiN boglafre ot tifuhoopinsr a otrlhte hAepe ocrrera ttpdh woeamrnats ywt ha oeepfr p aeSru occthvhieoeondsrces be nasy c,f octthhor eert dh GNienoiagrvt icetooornn mpainlrp ogAec tcBeeandodcuaeirremedss y oaa fnop dtfph rEweo nviNtgehaid ntr ieeboegynra aiarnld gRR ,fe eoapsrneo adarp trt cphRhreeo CvIpniroesiuawtintte cuC itbloe,a mlwoafmnh Mcoiteste.eed emi cceionmne--. s. y i sisting of members of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. pesetting filen accidentall etahnnedg ictnheTTeachherheertnie nNNircg gaaa ttrrlii eaoomsnnnetaaaeatlldrt ec AAtrhoscc, . aai dDtdd ebeerdymm.i c Ftyyahr taeooen ffdCk SE toPocnn irggteehinrsneesce s efeisussr iripintnshr g 1eea s8 rwpia6darn3iescv,n eeatt hst ooetefa,f Absntclhociiesnaeh dpnNeercdaomet f iiiaynotn , nh 1dsaa9e lts6 le Afa4c- pc,hm aeundranopendleomdetgaruy ytat e hota itefnnh Sgdcah c tst iaoroeer cnttqehicueree tiisoyrr.ef ou st fshi etde t ifoNsot raai ntdtihgvoueins iagselhe tneAhdeecr asafcdel hdewomeerlayalfrl a sogr feeo nS.v gcUeairepngnomecndee tsnihn,t e aos sacn uia est nhpctoiaierrfniaitctlyil fea iolncfd ye nal te be oArcgaadneizmayti oonf Socf ioeuntcsetas nrdesinpgo nesnigbiinlietyer fso. rI ta idsv aisuitnogn othmeo fuesd einra ilt sg oavdemrninmisetnratt. iTonh ea nNda tiino nthael Asecleacdteimony o off i tEsn mgienmeebreirnsg, sahlsaori snpgo wnsiothr st heen gNinateieorninalg m the origis may hav pRaproopbgreorTrapthm rMeisa It.ae nWi smptrhietoiudtfete ea si tsso im fop Mnereesset iiidnndi gectn hinnte ae ote fiwxo tanahmsae l ei Nnnsateaatetibidoolsnins, a hoelefn A dcp ocoinauli drc1aey9gm 7emy0s a eobtdtfye u Ertcshna epgt ieiNonrntaea teaiirnoniinndnag grl.e tAsoec atahrdceeh hm, eayan lodthf r Soecfc oitehgnenc ipezuse bst oltih cse.e Tcsuuhrpeee Irtnhiosetr i stauecrthevi ieacvcetess m oufen nedtmesr io ntfhe eenn tr gemisnepemoenbrssei.rb Dsi lorit.fy book, not frographic error gtediniavvcneeec,n eTta o tnwho die idt tthNehene cag thtNieifnonyaonet iilrasooalsng luR aypele os wsAl eoiiccatfhia remc dtshhe ed medCe iAytoce aucorlnamf cdc Siaienlcrm eewied,y an r'bssec y sepo esutra hgbrrepayc nohA iis,tzce saeas ncd dood ebfn m eyfgdu yrtureh,t csethash eiNteori oianCnntagio.lo u Dkncnnharc.loa i rSwAlt ahelcmeraa dstduo gbee emebl ceaOyo na .mdo nT f eo ahS fdti cheavierdie svinpesicr rsipe intnsroce g iistnp hit dahe1lee 9 fno 1eftped6 eode rtferoa artt ahlai lnesg gg soIoo nvacvsegietraeirnttnnuemcm tyteehe nooent ff tb a.bM rnFoodeuat,hddn u i ctccphtioioenom nenN .miiantstugi noo iiwnntay nal coicnfo istrci-ai-- er po Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and py pae t engineering communities. Dr. Frank Press and Dr. Robert White are chairman and vice-chairman, respectively, of the National Research he original d, and som CELinobeurrnagTrcyyhi.l i.osf r Cepoonrgt raensds Cthaet asltougd yC oanrd w Nhuicmhb iet ri s9 0b-a6s2ed8 8w2ere supported by Contract No. DE-AC01-89EH89027 from the U. S. Department of m tne International Standard Book Number 0-309-04347-6 oai Copies of this report are available from: ML files created frver, cannot be ret N2W(1S2-12a80a03t02si10oh)0 nCi-3n6a3og2ln4 t4Ao-s-3tnc6i3,at2 u1dD4t3ei2.omCn.y 2A P0vr4ee1sn8sue, N.W. m Xowe Copyright 1990 by the National Academy of Sciences d frong, h Nnoor pmaarty o ift bthei ss tbooroedk imn aay r beter ireevparlo sdyuscteedm b, ytr aannysm mitetcehda, noirc oalt,h perhwotisoeg rcaopphiiecd, foorr e pleucbtlriocn oicr pprriovcaetses ,u soer ,i wn itthheo fuot rwmr iottfe an ppheormnoisgsriaopnh ifcro rmec othred ipnugb,- posematti lPisrihnetre,d e ixnc ethpet fUonr ittheed pSutarpteoss eo fo Af omffeirciicaal use by the United States Government. n recomecific for FSiercsot nPdr iPnrtiinngti,n Ag,u Sgeupstte 1m9b9e0r 1991 ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p oe ue te th iii are trse us ks ea aPl bred. Page nserte s. y i pesetting filen accidentall ye nal te be m the origis may hav not froc error book, graphi er po py pae t he original d, and som m tne oai ed fre ret creatnot b L files er, can Mv m Xowe oh d frng, posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p oe ue te th iv are trse us ks ea aPl bred. Page nserte s. y i pesetting filen accidentall ye nal te be m the origis may hav not froc error book, graphi er po py pae t he original d, and som m tne oai ed fre ret creatnot b L files er, can Mv m Xowe oh d frng, posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p oe ue te th v are trse us ks ea bread. Pl COMMITTEE ON ALTERNATIVE ENERGY RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT Page nserte STRATEGIES s. y i pesetting filen accidentall JCWDALAINLAV LRBIIDKEA Y LMW.E .MMA B,O. U NBRLaURtLiRIoASnNROaElDN TA, T(UuC,d nhGuiavbaierosmr nRs aiSetnyso)e c,oa iIferI ctITyhll , Ri InNneosesitwesia,t urUYcterho,b r ICaknn,hs aNit,ci teaIuwlgtleio nY,, oCIoilshrlikincoaigso, Illinois ye m the original ts may have be GHEJODEEHONWMNRRA aGYLRs.E sD aMD Mc A.hA .u. JS HsMAOeItCADNtsOSY, BOA, YElNlil,,ee AdcSt-mrlSoicioag cnPno oa SwlC cAoehrreo prRoooelrs sapeotaiafoc rencM ,hC C aIonnhmasictgpiaetaugmntoyee,,, n ITPltl,aoi nlrMoroa iAanssclsteoa,c, ChCuaalslieifftootrsrn niIianastitute of Technology, Cambridge, book, not frographic error WLHEUISLGTLHEIA RRM .P W .D SY.I LNNVONERERD-EMHDAAWNUA,S*R, MDDceSKp,*ai rnMtsmeoeylni & tE o nCfe oErgmcyop nLaonimmy,ii tcIensd,c ,.Y ,V Waalena csUohnuinivvgeetror,s nBi,t yrDi,t .iNCshe. wC oHluamvebni,a C, Conannaedctaicut er po py pae t LIAISON WITH THE ENERGY ENGINEERING BOARD he original d, and som GDALEVNIDN CA.. WSCHHITUER, MMAasNsaNc,h Cusheetvtsr oInn sCtioturtpeo oraft Tioenc,h Snaonlo Fgrya,n Cciasmcob,r Cidagleif,o Mrnaiassachusetts m tne oai ed fre ret TECHNICAL ADVISERS TO THE COMMITTEE L files creater, cannot b DDCAEABRNOL S RJT.A EWHINE LMI.N EBBYLEEERRVG,I ,SM PSoa, cnIinsfatiecnr tGnoa aCtsioh anenmadl iEIcnalsel tcCittruoitmce Cpfoaonrm yEp,n aSentr.yg L,y So Cuanois n,R sMearmivsoastnoi,uo Crni,a Wlifaosrhniinagton, D.C. Mv m Xowe oh d frng, posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p thr*oLuegsht eOr cPto. bSeirl v1e9r8m9a, nr easnpdec Htivueglhy , Rb.u tW coyunlnde -nEodt wpaarrtdics ipseartev eidn mone etthine gcso tmhemreitatfetee rf.rom June through August 1989 and June oe ue te th vi are trse us ks ea bread. Pl STAFF Page nserte s. y i Energy Engineering Board pesetting filen accidentall MKROAABMHEAARDLT EJ C.V AOARHNAE (JND, ,SE SeVenn)i oiMor rAP PrNorogIg,r arSamtmu dO Oyf ffDifciicereerrctor ye GEORGE LALOS, Consultant nal te be JAMES J. ZUCCHETTO, Senior Program Officer m the origis may hav APMHRAICRLHOYIM EC I.L NP. AEWC MOHAOAMDC,ME DKEir,N eAc, tdAomrdimniisntirsattriavteiv Ae sAsissstiasntatnt not froc error book, graphi BPEuTilEdiRn gH R. SeMseaErAcLh LBIoEa, rSdenior Program officer er po py pae t he original d, and som MTHaEnOufDaOctRurEi nWg .S JtOuNdiEesS ,B Roeasredarch Associate m tne oai ed fre ret creatnot b L files er, can Mv m Xowe oh d frng, posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p oe ue te th vii are trse us ks ea aPl bred. EXPERT PANELS Page nserte s. y i pesetting filen accidentall ye m the original ts may have be AcdaodilrdmteercmretFnseiaisdtvett ieedav e teo e arpxeEnppddnoeu errpcrttriu gnonypgvi a itneRdiemeeesl s sieise nxsaw pirtocehenhrertse i es aolencef o dcfgrnt rorDsiemtceie tn pvudhoetieolwfodfueep srrmebe, yntger tnaa tstsnh eeseSscp ttoiorNnarr ttsaeae tntogiioefioe nrntgsah,.y l eb P puRearicelnoodsednielunoa cgrmmtcsi,heyo m a.n nCI bandoen truidhnsn educw usicleseo t rnriteynot e mstxshetuael eopr Ukcfp teontethrdi tste ee tdctcoho t Soemc rtoasmC tmaeoinstpmt,del etm ehsm'tseirt e atcpnethaeeta ng rteioghelneess book, not frographic error f1for9or9 me0n ,a ednrudgr yihn eRgld &w dDhi sicachnu dsts itmieocenh sen waocliohth gp yrae napedrleo spmetnieotta nat.i tv Tleehsae so tpf atvhnarerelieso' utwism ogeroksv. weArants mt hceeonsnte da umgceetneecdtii enbsge st(w et.hegee., n pD aOencpetalosrb tmienrev 1nit9tes8d o9 pf arEennsdee nJrgatanytu iaoannrdys er po Agriculture, Environmental Protection Agency), from the Oak Ridge, Lawrence Berkeley, Argonne, and Pacific pape ty Northwest national laboratories; from the Solar Energy Research Institute; and from industry and academic m the original ned, and som irdtnheeseclti oibftmiuenrtmaaiolte innrosedn.p asoT tairohtn.ned Ts iphnaaus np sier,n elrsppe uasstrpusion btngsoes tiqthbhueieel ifnctiytnol amyfl o mrpre ritpethtopeerae trf. e ioTndfa h tlaeh nsreeed s,p toapurlrdoto ynvr.ge iHds wteosd iwts hoew lvoereitltrhyt,ee cwrn o iinntrhecp puutorhtrsree,t sncw cooeemf ro emtf h uitetshtieeerd ep r.b aeLynspi estelhtscie ntw igcvasoes m onffmio nptid tasitnoneeeugl gssi hn aat nniitndds oai their membership follow. ed fre ret creatnot b ELECTRICITY PANEL COMMITTEE ON ALTERNATIVE ENERGY RESEARCH L files er, can AND DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES Mv m Xowe DAVID C. WHITE (Chairman), Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts oh THOMAS V. CHEMA, Arter & Hadden, Cleveland, Ohio d frng, OSMAN K. MAWARDI, Collaborative Planners, Inc., Cleveland Heights, Ohio posematti MOHAN MUNASINGHE, The World Bank/IFC, Washington, D.C. mor GUY M. NICHOLS, New England Electric Systems, Westborough, Massachusetts n recoecific f HCAEIRNLZ J G. W. PEFIENIBFEFERRG,, CPoancisfuiclt aGnat,s Aanllde nEtloewctnr,i cP Cenonmsyplavnayn,i aSan Ramon, California ep ork has beesetting-sution. ROBJSEetrRasfTefy :H. WILLIAMS, Center for Energy and Environmental Studies, Princeton University, Princeton, New nal wer typattrib Kamal J. Araj, Energy Engineering Board e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p oe ue te th viii are trse us ks ea bread. Pl TRANSPORTATION PANEL COMMITTEE ON ALTERNATIVE ENERGY Page nserte RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES s. y i pesetting filen accidentall JHCDOHEEHNBANORR YRLLAE. DMSH. AA JLA.S. ACOBOMNLBE A(VYCNhI (NSaVSi,r i,Gmc Ieena-nntCee)hr,r naaAali rtlMmiloieoandntao-)lS r,I siMng Rsnateaistslsu eaAtacereh cfruohosr sLe pEtaatnsbc eeoIrn rgCasyttooi mtCruiopteensa ,sno eWyfr ,Tv aTaertorcierhornnna,o, n MlWcoeigac, yshC,hi agCinlaiagnfmotorbnnri,ia dDg.eC,. Massachusetts ye m the original ts may have be RKJRDAOI.A CCGBVHK.EI AD DRLRU T.L DKL .J EKE.L CERU. PARKL,SE LPEEB,In MYFReor,IO grSHdyCC i MKgaHnh,,o d- MGSt oEpearne nsCevsedaiorrca moRhln pauMmiaslneo eAtytnto,sst ra sDsIlon eTAcsaitenarictbtauhiolotynrensni c,io, sa PfM,l i TItCintecseccbhn.hu,it gnrAeagorrn,hl loW,i ngPgyaetr,no rCnennsa, y,mV lMvbirarigincdihingaiigea,a nMassachusetts book, not frographic error SGTeoErPgSHeta ELffNa:l oAs., PCEoZnsDuAlta,*n tF, oErnde Mrgoyt oErn Cgionmeeprainngy ,B Doeaarrdborn, Michigan er po py pae t RESIDENTIAL/COMMERCIAL PANEL COMMITTEE ON ALTERNATIVE he original d, and som WILLIAM M. BEUNRENERTGT Y(C RhaEirmSEanA), RGCas HRe AseNarcDh DInsEtiVtuEte,L COhiPcaMgoE, INlliTno SisTRATEGIES om taine JAN BEYEA (Vice-Chairman), National Audubon Society, New York, New York ed fre ret JACK B. CRADDOCK, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina creatnot b DDAAVVIIDD JB. .M GAOCLFDASDTEYIENN, ,N NaAtuHraBl R Neastoiounrcael sR Deesefeanrcshe CCeonutnecri,l U, Spapne rF Mranacrlibscooro, ,C Malaifroyrlanniad L files er, can MRIACXHIANRED L G. S. ASTVEITINZ,,* G Satrerient tP Caretrnaemrsihci Cp,o Nmepwo nYeonrt kD, iNvieswio Yn,o Trkorrance, California Mv om Xhowe RICHSAtaRffD: N. WRIGHT, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Gaithersburg, Maryland d frng, Peter H. Smeallie, Building Research Board posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p **DSteecpehaesne dA A. Pperizld 1a8 a, t1te9n9d0e.d one meeting of the Transportation Panel as an alternate for David L. Kulp. oe ue te th ix are trse us ks ea bread. Pl INDUSTRY PANEL COMMITTEE ON ALTERNATIVE ENERGY RESEARCH AND Page nserte DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES s. y i pesetting filen accidentall JENDAMOACEVEOLRIDB YJ AML JR... MHRGEOOETRIRSTNRT, YI,NS GAOoeeKNils , Jt(OTaCrwerhceea,t nitAr sAm-lIlsaelslnnio)ntc,oo iIwaiIstTn,e , sI Rn,P ecLes.no,e nwTasroeycrllhe vB daIuonnr,si eatOiltlhu, itPoee, nCnhsiyclavgaon,i aIllinois ye m the original ts may have be PGMDEEAATONRESR CRStGa T HfJEEf..: IKLRNOAOMRUSEOSEY,RS UE,, RLnAiT,tv lMVeanr osStiinttcesy aeR onli ftCc oMho fCmiiechplhedaim gnCaiycon,a m,Il nA pCdanoennpmy eA,pn Lradbnoeoysnr, c, A SeMn,t .gO iLcehhloeiiuogsi,as Cn, Maliifsosronuirai not froc error Robert Cohen, Energy Engineering Board Theodore W. Jones, Manufacturing Studies Board book, graphi R&D STRATEGIES PANEL COMMITTEE ON ALTERNATIVE ENERGY er po RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES py pae t he original d, and som WGCLEILAOLRRIKGA EMW M .D B.. HUNILODLRYAD,R EHDlAe c(UCtrShic a( iVPrmoicwaene-Cr) ,R hUaenisreimvaeracrnsh)i ,tI yYn soatfli etIu lUtleinn, oiPviasel,r osU iAtrybl,ta oNn,a eC,w Ia llHliifnaoovrinesnia, Connecticut om taine RICHARD C. LEVIN, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut ed fre ret EGILS MILBERGS, Institute for Illinois, Washington, D.C. creatnot b DJAACVKI DT .C S. AMNODWEERRSOYN, U, Cniovmerbsuitsyt ioofn C Eanlgifionreneirai,n Bg,e Irnkce.l,e yS,t aCnafloirfdo,r nCiaonnecticut L files er, can AARSOtNaf fW: ILDAVSKY, University of California, Berkeley, California Mv m Xowe James J. Zucchetto, Energy Engineering Board oh d frng, posematti mor coc f n reecifi ep es ork has besetting-ution. wpb nal er tyattri e origind othon for entation of thding styles, aoritative versi his new digital represhs, word breaks, heaublication as the auth About this PDF file: Tthe original; line lengtprint version of this p

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