Conceptual Design of a Cybernetic Information System for Command and Control

202 Pages·1997·10 MB·English

by  Oluvic, N

M
NPS ARCHIVE
5/1
1997.09
OLUVIC, N.
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
Monterey, California
THESIS
CONCEPTUAL DESIGN OF A CYBERNETIC INFORMATION
SYSTEM FOR COMMAND AND CONTROL
by
N. Michael Oluvic
September 1997
Advisor: NelsonD. Ludlow
Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
Thesis
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1. AGENCYUSE ONLY (Leave blank) REPORTDATE 3. REPORTTYPEAND DATES COVERED
September 1997 Master's Thesis
4. titleand subtitletitleOFthesis Conceptual Design ofa Cybernetic 5. fundingnumbers
Information System for Command and Control
author(S) N. Michael Oluvic
6.
PERFORMINGORGANIZATIONNAME(S)ANDADDRESS(ES) PERFORMING
7. 8.
Naval Postgraduate School ORGANIZATION
REPORTNUMBER
Monterey CA 93943-5000
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oftheDepartmentofDefenseortheU.S. Government.
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unlimited
13. ABSTRACT(maximum200words)
This thesis argues a case for focusing command and control efforts more towards conflict deterrence vice
conflict resolution and proposes a conceptual design for a command and control system to accomplish this paradigm
shift. It also addresses the issue ofshortening the Observe, Orient, Decide, Act (OODA) Loop ofa decision-makerto
enhance control while disrupting an adversary's control of a situation. Accomplishing these goals requires some
method to handle the overabundance ofdata available for processing and analysis.
The proposed system would use advanced, but existing, information technology, incorporating cybernetic
models, to enhance a decision-maker's control process. It does this by collecting, processing, and fusing all-source
data for presentation to a decision-maker. Natural Language Processors categorize, filter, and fuse relevant data
while advanced visualization engines display that data in a way that improves a decision-maker's ability to rapidly
assimilate information, and increase knowledge and understanding.
This thesis shows that using cybernetic models, and advanced Artificial Intelligence tools, a design exists that
could help increase understanding and control by improving the decision-making process and shortening the
OODA
decision-maker's Loop.
14. subject terms. Cybernetics, Command, Control, Communications, Computers 15. NUMBEROF
and Intelligence; Command and Control; OODA Loop; Artificial Intelligence; PAG1E9S6
Natural Language Processing
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TIONOFREPORT OFTHISPAGE TIONOFABSTRACT OFABSTRACT
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Unclassified Unclassified Unclassified
NSN 7540-01-280-5500 Standard Form298 (Rev. 2-89)
PrescribedbyANSIStd239-18298-102
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Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited.
CONCEPTUAL DESIGN OF A CYBERNETIC INFORMATION SYSTEM FOR
COMMAND AND CONTROL
N. Michaelpiuvic
Lieutenant, United States Navy
B.S., United States Naval Academy, 1991
Submitted inpartial fulfillment ofthe
requirements forthe degree of
MASTER OF SCIENCE IN INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT
from the
NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL
September 1997
Wb
iOOL
ABSTRACT
This thesis argues a case for focusing command and control efforts more towards
conflict deterrence vice conflict resolution and proposes a conceptual design for a
command and control system to accomplish this paradigm shift. It also addresses the
issue of shortening the Observe, Orient, Decide, Act (OODA) Loop of a decision-maker
to enhance control while disrupting an adversary's control of a situation. Accomplishing
these goals requires some method to handle the overabundance of data available for
processing and analysis.
The proposed system would use advanced, but existing, information technology,
incorporating cybernetic models, to enhance a decision-maker's control process. It does
this by collecting, processing, and fusing all-source data for presentation to a decision-
maker. Natural Language Processors categorize, filter, and fuse relevant data while
advanced visualization engines display that data in a way that improves a decision-
maker's ability to rapidly assimilate information, and increase knowledge and
understanding.
This thesis shows that using cybernetic models, and advanced Artificial
Intelligence tools, a design exists that could help increase understanding and control by
OODA
improving the decision-making process and shortening the decision-maker's
Loop.
VI
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
I. 1
BACKGROUND
A.
1
B. RESEARCH QUESTIONS 7
SCOPE AND METHODOLOGY
C. 8
D. ORGANIZATION OF STUDY 9
n. EXISTING TECHNOLOGY, ARITIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE AND
CYBERNETICS
11
A. C4 SYSTEM FUNDAMENTALS 11
B. EXISTING C4 SYSTEMS 16
C. FUTURE OF C4 SYSTEMS 19
D. ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 20
1. Examples ofAI Applications 20
E. CYBERNETICS 23
1. Cybernetic Theory 23
2. Why Choose Cybernetics? 27
IE. THE CYBERNETIC C2 SYSTEM 29
A. CONCEPT OF OPERATIONS 30
B. BASIC/TOP LEVEL DESIGN 31
C. ILLUSTRATION OF CONCEPT 33
IV. SYSTEM DESIGN 37
A. CONTEXT LEVEL DIAGRAM 37
B. LEVEL 39
vn
PROCESS
C. 1 41
D. PROCESS 2 AND DATA STORE Dl 43
PROCESS
E. 3 43
F. PROCESS 4 AND DATA STORE D2 44
PROCESS
G. 5 45
H. PROCESS 5.2 46
I. PROCESS 5.3 47
J. PROCESS 5.4 49
K. PROCESS 6 50
OODALOOP
L. 51
M. PHYSICAL SYSTEM DESIGN 52
SYSTEM IMPLEMENTATION
V. 55
PROBLEM BACKGROUND
A. 56
B. SYSTEM INPUTS (DATA GATHERING) 58
C. PROCESS 64
D. SYSTEM OUTPUTS (GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATIONS) 71
VI. CONCLUSIONS 77
SUMMARY
A. 77
B. RE-ADDRESS THESIS QUESTIONS 78
1. Main Questions 78
2. Secondary Questions 79
C. RECOMMENDED AREAS FOR FURTHER STUDY 82
LIST OF REFERENCES 85
APPENDIX 89
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