CLIMATE CHANGE – GEOPHYSICAL FOUNDATIONS AND ECOLOGICAL EFFECTS Edited by Juan Blanco and Houshang Kheradmand Climate Change – Geophysical Foundations and Ecological Effects Edited by Juan Blanco and Houshang Kheradmand Published by InTech Janeza Trdine 9, 51000 Rijeka, Croatia Copyright © 2011 InTech All chapters are Open Access articles distributed under the Creative Commons Non Commercial Share Alike Attribution 3.0 license, which permits to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt the work in any medium, so long as the original work is properly cited. After this work has been published by InTech, authors have the right to republish it, in whole or part, in any publication of which they are the author, and to make other personal use of the work. Any republication, referencing or personal use of the work must explicitly identify the original source. Statements and opinions expressed in the chapters are these of the individual contributors and not necessarily those of the editors or publisher. No responsibility is accepted for the accuracy of information contained in the published articles. The publisher assumes no responsibility for any damage or injury to persons or property arising out of the use of any materials, instructions, methods or ideas contained in the book. Publishing Process Manager Iva Lipovic Technical Editor Teodora Smiljanic Cover Designer Jan Hyrat Image Copyright Sergey Vasilyev, 2010. Used under license from Shutterstock.com First published August, 2011 Printed in Croatia A free online edition of this book is available at www.intechopen.com Additional hard copies can be obtained from [email protected] Climate Change – Geophysical Foundations and Ecological Effects, Edited by Juan Blanco and Houshang Kheradmand p. cm. ISBN 978-953-307-419-1 free online editions of InTech Books and Journals can be found at www.intechopen.com Contents Preface IX Part 1 Climate Variability 1 Chapter 1 Chemistry-Climate Connections – Interaction of Physical, Dynamical, and Chemical Processes in Earth Atmosphere 3 Martin Dameris and Diego Loyola Chapter 2 Time Correlation Laws Inferred from Climatic Records: Long-Range Persistence and Alternative Paradigms 25 Maria Lanfredi, Tiziana Simoniello, Vincenzo Cuomo and Maria Macchiato Chapter 3 The Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum: Feedbacks Between Climate Change and Biogeochemical Cycles 43 Arne Max Erich Winguth Chapter 4 Temporal Variability of Rain-Induced Floods in Southern Quebec 65 Assani Ali Arkamose, Landry Raphaëlle, Quessy Jean-François and Clément Francis Chapter 5 Detecting of a Global and Caribbean Climate Change 81 Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, Joan Manuel Castro and Oswaldo Julca Chapter 6 Climate Changes of the Recent Past in the South American Continent: Inferences Based on Analysis of Borehole Temperature Profiles 113 Valiya M. Hamza and Fábio P. Vieira Chapter 7 Climate Change Impacts on Atmospheric Circulation and Daily Precipitation in the Argentine Pampas Region 137 Olga C. Penalba and María Laura Bettolli VI Contents Chapter 8 Holocene Vegetation Responses to East Asian Monsoonal Changes in South Korea 157 Sangheon Yi Chapter 9 Climate Signals from 10Be Records of Marine Sediments Surrounded with Nearby a Continent 179 Kyeong Ja Kim and Seung-Il Nam Chapter 10 Drought Analysis Based on SPI and SAD Curve for the Korean Peninsula Considering Climate Change 195 Minsoo Kyoung, Jaewon Kwak, Duckgil Kim, Hungsoo Kim and Vijay P. Singh Part 2 Changes in Fauna and Flora 215 Chapter 11 Review of Long Term Macro-Fauna Movement by Multi-Decadal Warming Trends in the Northeastern Pacific 217 Christian Salvadeo, Daniel Lluch-Belda, Salvador Lluch-Cota and Milena Mercuri Chapter 12 Global Heating Threatens the `I`iwi (Vestiaria coccinea), Currently a Common Bird of Upper Elevation Forests in Hawaii 231 Anthony Povilitis Chapter 13 Possible Effects of Future Climate Changes on the Maximum Number of Generations of Anopheles in Monsoon Asia 247 Shunji Ohta and Takumi Kaga Chapter 14 Climate Change and Shifts in the Distribution of Moth Species in Finland, with a Focus on the Province of Kainuu 273 Juhani H. Itämies, Reima Leinonen and V. Benno Meyer-Rochow Chapter 15 Effects and Consequences of Global Climate Change in the Carpathian Basin 297 János Rakonczai Chapter 16 Climate Change Impact on Quiver Trees in Arid Namibia and South Africa 323 Danni Guo, Renkuan Guo, Yanhong Cui, Guy F. Midgley, Res Altwegg and Christien Thiart Chapter 17 Changes in the Composition of a Theoretical Freshwater Ecosystem Under Disturbances 343 Ágota Drégelyi-Kiss and Levente Hufnagel Contents VII Chapter 18 The Use and Misuse of Climatic Gradients for Evaluating Climate Impact on Dryland Ecosystems - an Example for the Solution of Conceptual Problems 361 Marcelo Sternberg, Claus Holzapfel, Katja Tielbörger, Pariente Sarah, Jaime Kigel, Hanoch Lavee, Aliza Fleischer, Florian Jeltsch and Martin Köchy Part 3 Changes in Alpine and Boreal Landscapes 375 Chapter 19 Climate-Driven Change of the Stand Age Structure in the Polar Ural Mountains 377 Valeriy Mazepa, Stepan Shiyatov and Nadezhda Devi Chapter 20 Mountains Under Climate and Global Change Conditions – Research Results in the Alps 403 Oliver Bender, Axel Borsdorf, Andrea Fischer and Johann Stötter Chapter 21 Are Debris Floods and Debris Avalanches Responding Univocally to Recent Climatic Change – A Case Study in the French Alps 423 V. Jomelli, I. Pavlova, M. Utasse, M. Chenet, D. Grancher, D. Brunstein and F. Leone Chapter 22 Glaciers Shrinking in Nepal Himalaya 445 Samjwal R. Bajracharya, Sudan B. Maharjan and Finu Shrestha Chapter 23 Subglacial and Proglacial Ecosystem Responses to Climate Change 459 Jacob C. Yde, Teresa G. Bárcena and Kai W. Finster Chapter 24 Why Do We Expect Glacier Melting to Increase Under Global Warming? 479 Roger J. Braithwaite Chapter 25 Estimation of the Sea Level Rise by 2100 Resulting from Changes in the Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet 503 Xavier Fettweis, Alexandre Belleflamme, Michel Erpicum, Bruno Franco and Samuel Nicolay Preface Climate is a fundamental part of the world as we know it. The landscape and everything on it are determined by climate acting over long periods of time (Pittock 2005). Therefore, any change on climate will have effects sooner or later on the world around us. These changes have happened before in the past, and they will likely happen again in the future. Climate variability can be both natural or anthropogenic (Simard and Austin 2010). In either case, the change in the current climate will have impacts on the biogeophysical system of the Earth. As all human activities are built on this system, our society will be impacted as well. As a consequence, climate change is increasingly becoming one of the most important issues, generating discussions in economy, science, politics, etc. There is no discrepancy among scientists that climate change is real and it has the potential to change our environment (Oreskes and Conway 2010), but uncertainty exists about the magnitude and speed at which it will unfold (Moss et al. 2010). The most discussed effect of global warming is the increase of temperatures, although this increase will not be homogeneous through the seasons, with the winters expected to warm up significantly more than the summers. In addition, changes in precipitation are also expected, that could lead to increase or decrease of rainfall, snowfall and other water‐related events. Finally, a change in the frequency and intensity of storm events could be possible, although this is probably the most uncertain of the effects of global warming. These uncertainties highlight the need for more research on how global events have effects at regional and local scales, but they also indicated the need for the society at large to assume a risk‐free approach to avoid the worse effects of climate change in our socio‐economical and ecological systems (IPCC 2007). Humans have been dealing with risk‐related activities for a long time. For example, when buying a car or home insurance, the discussion is not about whether the adverse effects will happen or not, but on how to reduce its effects and recover and if they happen. In many countries, having car insurance is compulsory to drive a car, even if only a small percentage of drivers suffer car accidents compared to the total number of cars. In addition, the most risky manoeuvres (i.e. excessive speed, not stopping on red light, etc.) are banned to reduce the risks of accidents. Similarly, developing policies and practices that reduce and minimize the risks and effects of climate change are