Environmental Science Sunil Nautiyal Ruediger Schaldach K.V. Raju Harald Kaechele Bill Pritchard Kottapalli Sreenivasa Rao Editors Climate Change Challenge (3C) and Social-Economic- Ecological Interface-Building Exploring Potential Adaptation Strategies for Bio-resource Conservation and Livelihood Development Environmental Science and Engineering Environmental Science Series editors Ulrich Förstner, Hamburg, Germany Wim H. Rulkens, Wageningen, The Netherlands Wim Salomons, Haren, The Netherlands More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/3234 Sunil Nautiyal Ruediger Schaldach (cid:129) K.V. Raju Harald Kaechele Bill Pritchard (cid:129) (cid:129) Kottapalli Sreenivasa Rao Editors Climate Change Challenge (3C) and Social-Economic-Ecological Interface-Building Exploring Potential Adaptation Strategies for Bio-resource Conservation and Livelihood Development 123 Editors Sunil Nautiyal Bill Pritchard Centrefor Ecological Economics Schoolof Geosciences andNaturalResources (CEENR) University of Sydney Institute for Social andEconomic Change Sydney Nagarabhavi Australia India and Ruediger Schaldach CentreforEnvironmentalSystemsResearch Institute for Geography University of Kassel University of Cologne Kassel Köln Germany Germany K.V.Raju Kottapalli Sreenivasa Rao InternationalCropsResearchInstituteforthe Department ofBotany Semi-Arid Tropics(ICRISAT) University of Delhi Patancheru Delhi India India Harald Kaechele Institute of Socio-Economics ZALF e.V. Müncheberg Germany ISSN 1863-5520 ISSN 1863-5539 (electronic) Environmental Science andEngineering ISSN 1431-6250 Environmental Science ISBN978-3-319-31013-8 ISBN978-3-319-31014-5 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-31014-5 LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2016936281 ©SpringerInternationalPublishingSwitzerland2016 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpart of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilarmethodologynowknownorhereafterdeveloped. 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Printedonacid-freepaper ThisSpringerimprintispublishedbySpringerNature TheregisteredcompanyisSpringerInternationalPublishingAGSwitzerland Foreword The vast majority of scientists now agree that if global warming exceeds a mean temperature of 2 °C it will lead to dangerous, irreversible and practically uncon- trollableconsequencesforbothnatureandmankind.Thiswasthoroughlydiscussed duringrecentCOP21inParis.Researchshowsthatthereisonlyarealisticchance of restricting global warming to 2 °C if a limit is set on the total amount of CO 2 emitted globally between now and 2050 (CO global budget). Continuation of the 2 current trends of greenhouse gas emissions would mean that humankind will be confronted with dramatic challenges infuture,with thelossofnaturalresources as wellasimpairedsecurityofsocieties.Fromascientificperspective,climatechange is a global risk multiplier. Unabated climate change would substantially add to existing vulnerabilities of poor and indigenous communities in many parts of the world, who are inadequately prepared for adapting to unforeseen changes in their economic, social and environmental context. Evidence of these vulnerabilities is already visible in India, which has faced extreme weather events over the past ten years and witnessed a decrease in food grain production. This publication emerged from two International Conferences held at ISEC in Bangalore, India: The International Conference on “Climate Change and Social- Ecological-Economical Interface-Building: Modelling Approach to Exploring Potential Adaptation Strategies for Bio-resource Conservation and Livelihood Development” held during 20–21 May 2015, organized by Centre for Ecological Economics and Natural Resources (CEENR), Institute for Social and Economic Change (ISEC) in association with Centre for Environmental System Research (CESR),UniversityofKassel,Germany,andtheInternationalConference“Climate ChangeandFoodSecurity—theGlobalandIndianContexts”,jointlyconvenedby CEENR, ISEC and the School of Geosciences, University of Sydney, on 18–19 February 2015. The participants in these International Conferences presented and discussed their broad expertise from many different subject domains. Thereby, the human resource capacity present in India, Australia, Germany and many other countries as a collaborative activity were explored. This volume brings in selected presentations from the International Conferences, which addressed the issues v vi Foreword of social, economic, policy and technological adaptation strategies that could be drawn from knowledge systems that existed in the scientific manpower of the countries. The presentations in this book mainly address the issues related to cli- mate change challenges and adaptation to climate change as major concern in the scientific knowledge systems. A new kind of development is imaginable: the great transformation towards sustainability. The necessity for and possible ways towards this transformation, focusing on climate change and global decarbonization, was described by the German Advisory Council on Global Change in 2011. One important contribution to this transformation is the ongoing process of the “German Energiewende”, a rapid decarbonization of the national energy system. The German Advisory CouncilonGlobalChangedepictstheimportantroleforresearchandscienceinthe great transformation and the need for intensified inter- as well as transdisciplinary cooperation. These cannot be overestimated. In addition, strongly intensified internationalcooperationinbusinessandpoliticsaswellasresearch,educationand science is a prerequisite for the great transformation. Bilateral interactions are a substantial contribution to the required intensification of international scientific exchange, and a splendid effort in bringing out the best in various countries sci- entific capacity to address the issues of global importance. March 2016 Klaus Mueller Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research Müncheberg, Germany Contents Climate Change Challenge (3C) and Social-Economic-Ecological Interface-Building—Exploring Potential Adaptation Strategies for Bio-resource Conservation and Livelihood Development: Prologue. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Sunil Nautiyal, Ruediger Schaldah, K.V. Raju, Harald Kaechele, Bill Pritchard and K.S. Rao Part I Food Security, Biodiversity and Law The Impacts of Climate Change for Food and Nutrition Security: Issues for India. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11 Bill Pritchard Climate Change Strategies and Developing Nations: Prospects and Priorities for India. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 P.J. Dilip Kumar Climate Change, Risk and Food Security: An Analysis of Wheat Crop in Pakistan . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41 Muhammad Haroon Abdullah, Abdul Saboor, Irfan Ahmad Baig and Muhammad Arshad Methodological Issues in Social Science Research for Bioresource Conservation and Livelihood Development Under Global Climate Change. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 B.K. Narayana Swamy and Y. Nagaraju Impact of Ruminants on Global Warming: Indian and Global Context. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83 Partha Sarathi Swain, George Dominic, K.V.S. Bhakthavatsalam and Megolhubino Terhuja vii viii Contents Effects of Demographic Change on Environmental Degradation: Evidence and Implications for India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99 C.M. Lakshmana Biodiversity Status and Climate Change Scenario in Northeast India. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 107 P. Saikia, A. Kumar and M.L. Khan A Critical Analysis of Law Relating to Biodiversity Conservation and Forest Ecosystem Management in India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 121 Suresh V. Nadagoudar Part II Methodological Issues; Socioeconomic and Vulnerability Assessments Knowledge-Based Climate Economy: Integrated Sciences, Accelerated Convergence and Knowledge Resources Dynamics. . . . . . . 133 Giridhari Lal Pandit Socio-economic and Agricultural Vulnerability Across Districts of Karnataka . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 161 K.V. Raju, R.S. Deshpande and B. Satyasiba Knowledge, Perception and Socioeconomic Vulnerability of Urban and Peri-urban Households to Heat Waves in Pakistan . . . . . 191 Khuda Bakhsh, Sara Rauf and Azhar Abbas The Conflict Between Economy and Environment—An Environmentally Extended Social Accounting Matrix for India. . . . . . . 203 Barun Deb Pal Climate Change and Uncertainty in Agriculture: Does Crop Insurance Help in India? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 241 Meenakshi Rajeev, Manojit Bhattacharjee and B.P. Vani Climate Change and Natural Capital: Some Veiled Issues on Sustainable Livelihood in Agriculture Sector. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 261 Digambar Chand and Rajendra Gartia Economic Impacts of Climate Change in India’s Cities. . . . . . . . . . . . . 279 Kala Seetharam Sridhar Economic Impact of Air Pollution from Agricultural Residue Burning on Human Health . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 297 Surender Kumar and Parmod Kumar Environment Security and Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 315 Santosh Gawai and Vinod Sen Contents ix Part III Ecosystems and Production System Analyses Analysis of Policies in Sustaining Sandalwood Resources in India. . . . . 327 M. Srinivasa Rao, G. Ravikumar, P.R. Triveni, V. Soundara Rajan and Sunil Nautiyal Monitoring Condition Factor of the Dominant Fin Fishes in the Estuaries of Lower Gangetic Delta in the Backdrop of Climate Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 347 Ankita Mitra, Sufia Zaman, Prosenjit Pramanick and Shampa Mitra Is There a Tomorrow?: The Story of Survival of Sunderbans Against Climate Change . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 355 Haimanti Pakrashi The Population Decline of Indian Sandalwood and People’s Role in Conservation—An Analysis. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 377 A.N. Arunkumar, Geeta Joshi, M.S. Rao, T.S. Rathore and V. Ramakantha Climate Change and Sugarcane Productivity in Karnataka. . . . . . . . . . 389 Arun B. Chandran and K.N. Anushree Dairy Farming and Organic Farming for Bio-resource Conservation and Livelihood Development in Tumkur District Karnataka State-India . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 401 N. Kumara, Nehal A. Farooquee and P.V.K. Sasidhar Part IV Vulnerability, Sectoral Assessment, Models and Interfaces Analysing Vulnerability to Climate Change in India with Special Reference to Drought Risk: Results from a Field Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 409 Anu Susan Sam, Azhar Abbas, Muhammad Arshad and Harald Kächele An Assessment of Vulnerability of Livestock Farming to Climate Variability. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 429 G. Letha Devi, Dhirendra Varma and Mukund A. Kataktalware Assessment of Carbon Sequestration in Soils of Different Land Use Land Cover in Honnaver Taluka of Uttara Kannada District . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 439 A.G. Koppad and Pavan Tikhile
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