Climate Change and Public Health Climate Change and Public Health Edited by Barry S. Levy and Jonathan A. Patz Foreword by Gro H. Brundtland 1 3 Oxford University Press is a department of the University of Oxford. It furthers the University’s objective of excellence in research, scholarship, and education by publishing worldwide. Oxford New York Auckland Cape Town Dar es Salaam Hong Kong Karachi Kuala Lumpur Madrid Melbourne Mexico City Nairobi New Delhi Shanghai Taipei Toronto With offices in Argentina Austria Brazil Chile Czech Republic France Greece Guatemala Hungary Italy Japan Poland Portugal Singapore South Korea Switzerland Thailand Turkey Ukraine Vietnam Oxford is a registered trademark of Oxford University Press in the UK and certain other countries. Published in the United States of America by Oxford University Press 198 Madison Avenue, New York, NY 10016 © Oxford University Press 2015 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, without the prior permission in writing of Oxford University Press, or as expressly permitted by law, by license, or under terms agreed with the appropriate reproduction rights organization. Inquiries concerning reproduction outside the scope of the above should be sent to the Rights Department, Oxford University Press, at the address above. You must not circulate this work in any other form and you must impose this same condition on any acquirer. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Climate change and public health / edited by Barry S. Levy and Jonathan A. Patz; foreword by Gro H. Brundtland. p. ; cm. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 978–0–19–020245–3 I. Levy, Barry S., editor. II. Patz, Jonathan, editor. [DNLM: 1. Climate Change. 2. Public Health. 3. Environmental Health. 4. Public Policy. WB 700] RA427 326.1—dc23 2014043382 1 3 5 7 9 8 6 4 2 Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper To Professor Tony McMichael (1942–2014), pioneer and visionary leader in addressing global environmental change, who taught, mentored, and inspired people throughout the world. “To change the world’s climate is to shake the foundations of Earth’s life support systems,” he once wrote. Through this book, we honor his work and help to ensure that his teachings and mission live on. CONTENTS Foreword xiii Preface xv Acknowledgments xvii About the Editors xix Contributors xxi Disclaimer xxix Part I: Introduction 1. Applying a Public Health Context to Climate Change 3 Jonathan A. Patz and Barry S. Levy Box 1-1: The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and a Brief History of Organizational Responses to Climate Change 4 Jonathan A. Patz and Barry S. Levy Box 1-2: Health Effects of Climate Change in Arctic Indigenous Communities 16 Aaron Wernham Box 1-3: Workers: The “Climate Canaries”? 18 Cora Roelofs and David H. Wegman Box 1-4: Health Co-benefits of Climate Change Mitigation Policies 22 Andrew Haines and Paul Wilkinson 2. Understanding Key Concepts of Climate Science and Their Application 29 Stephen J. Vavrus, Eric Obscherning, and Jonathan A. Patz Box 2-1: Projections of Future Climate Change 31 Matthew Collins Box 2-2: Downscaling Climate Change Projections: Estimating Exposures Where People Live 34 Tracey Holloway and Vijay Limaye Box 2-3: Sea Level Rise: Scientific Basis, Trends, and Coastal Impacts 39 Stephen P. Leatherman Box 2-4: Consequences of a Rapidly Warming Arctic 45 Jennifer A. Francis and Stephen J. Vavrus viii Contents 3. A Widening Research Agenda: Challenges and Needs 51 Anthony J. McMichael Box 3-1: Investigating the Interaction Between Climate Factors and Infectious Diseases 53 Mercedes Pascual Box 3-2: Applying Epidemiology for Studying the Health Impacts of Climate Change 57 Alistair Woodward and Barry S. Levy Box 3-3: Applying Cross-Sectoral Data Resources to Promote Multidisciplinary Collaboration 61 John M. Balbus and Jan C. Semenza Part II: Adverse Health Consequences and Specific Preventive Measures 4A. Heat Impacts on Work, Human Performance, and Daily Life 73 Tord Kjellstrom, Bruno Lemke, P. Matthias Otto, Olivia M. Hyatt, David J. Briggs, and Chris A. Freyberg 4B. Disorders Related to Heat Waves 87 Rupa Basu Box 4B-1: Social Dimensions of Heat Waves 97 Richard C. Keller 5. Respiratory and Allergic Disorders 105 Patrick L. Kinney, Kazuhiko Ito, Kate R. Weinberger, and Perry E. Sheffield Box 5-1: Occupational Respiratory and Allergic Disorders 107 Crystal M. North and David C. Christiani Box 5-2: Aeroallergens and Climate Change 113 Lewis H. Ziska Box 5-3: Achieving Climate and Health Co-benefits by Reducing Household Air Pollution from Biomass and Coal Fuels 117 Kirk R. Smith 6. Vector-borne Diseases 129 William K. Reisen Box 6-1: Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases in Europe 134 Jan C. Semenza Box 6-2: Climate Change and Lyme Disease 141 Nicholas H. Ogden ix Contents 7. Waterborne and Foodborne Diseases 157 Joan B. Rose and Felicia Wu Box 7-1: Climate Change and Access to Safe Water in Urban Areas of Sub-Saharan Africa 158 Ryan Burbach and Les Roberts Box 7-2: Storm Events and Deteriorating Urban Infrastructure 161 Sandra L. McLellan Box 7-3: Collaborative Research on Climate Change and Gastrointestinal Illness in India 162 Kathleen F. Bush, Kalpana Balakrishnan, and Howard Hu 8. Health Impacts Related to Food and Nutrition Insecurity 173 Alan D. Dangour, Rosemary Green, Jennifer Sutherland, Louise Watson, and Timothy R. Wheeler Box 8-1: Severe Drought and Famine 179 Raymond C. Offenheiser Box 8-2: Threats from Plant Pathogens 184 Caitilyn Allen 9. Mental Health Impacts 195 Thomas J. Doherty Box 9-1: Storm Disasters: Acute Impacts and Response 197 Emily Y.Y. Chan 10. Collective Violence 215 Barry S. Levy and Victor W. Sidel Box 10-1: Migration Due to Climate Change 220 Barry S. Levy and Victor W. Sidel Part III: Policies and Actions to Address Climate Change and Promote Public Health 11. Public Health Policies and Actions 231 Howard Frumkin, Jeremy Hess, and George Luber Box 11-1: Greening of the Health Sector 232 Gary Cohen Box 11-2: Health Impact Assessment: A Process for Determining Potential Health Effects of Proposed Policies and Projects 234 Andrew L. Dannenberg Box 11-3: Vulnerability and Adaptation Assessment 239 Kristie L. Ebi