ECONOMIC COMMISSION FOR EUROPE Geneva CLEARING THE AIR 25 years of the Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution Editors Johan Sliggers and Willem Kakebeeke UNITED NATIONS New York and Geneva 2004 Note Symbols of United Nations documents are composed of capital letters combined with figures. Mention of such a symbol indicates a reference to a United Nations document. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this publication do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimita- tion of its frontiers or boundaries. The views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect those ofthe United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) or any of its member States. ECE/EB.AI R/84 Copyright 0 United Nations, 2004 All rights reserved Printed at United Nations, Geneva, Switzerland I I UNITED NATIONS PUBLICATION I I Sales No. E.04.11.E.20 I I ISBN 92-1-116910-0 Foreword by the Secretary-General of the United Nations By the late igj~osa, ir pollution had become the main environmental problem facing many countries in Europe and North America, harming people’s health and damaging historic buildings and monuments. Acid rain, brought on by contamination of the air, was taking a particularly heavy toll, killing forests and lakes even in remote places far from industrial facilities. In 1979,t he Member States of the UN Economic Commission for Europe adopted the Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution. Negotiated under UNECE’s auspices, the Convention was the first international environmental agreement to address this threat to human health and well-being. After 25 years of international cooperation, its Parties are reaping the benefits of the cuts in air pollution that they have made in compliance with the Convention’s provisions. It is not just the people of Europe and North America who are benefiting. Other regions are keen to emulate the successful combination of sound science and ambitious policy-making that underpins the Convention, and adapt it to their particular needs. In addition, some of the Convention’s work, for instance on persistent organic pollutants such as DDT and dioxins, has been used as a model for worldwide environmental agreements. The Convention has also galvanized action within UNECE. Since the Convention’s adoption, the Commission has become a prolific environmental-lawmaking forum. It has negotiated four more regional environmental conventions, covering international rivers and lakes, industrial accidents, environmental impact assessment and public participation. All four have entered into force and are contributing to making sustainable development a reality. On the 25th anniversary ofthe Convention’s adoption, I congratulate all the stakeholders on the achievements of the past quarter century, and encourage them to continue their efforts to find innovative approaches to protecting the purity of the air we breathe. Kofi A. Annan Secretary-General of the United Nations This page intentionally left blank Foreword by the Executive Secretary of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe For 25 years the UNECE Convention on Long-range Transboundary Air Pollution has been one ofthe main means of protecting public health and the environment from the harmful effects of air pollution across the UNECE region. With its eight protocols, the Convention has developed comprehensive and strong commitments covering all major pollutants. It has thus significantly improved the air we breathe. For example, compared to 1980,s ulphur emissions in Europe are down by 60 per cent while in Canada and the United States they are almost halved. However, we still have much to do, in particular to meet the goals set for the pollutants which migrate and affect millions of people living in cities throughout the world. Over the past quarter of a century the politics of Europe has changed. These changes have not altered the political willingness of member States to work together under the convention. On the contrary, the countries of the region increasingly share the conviction that further cooperation is needed to combat air pollution, as its impact on both human health and the future of the planet is a major preoccupation of public opinion. The Convention and its protocols have set targets and defined legislative and other measures required for meeting them. A major challenge now is to implement these measures effectively, in particular in South-East Europe, Eastern Europe, the Caucasus and Central Asia, where countries need special support, as their industries develop and road traffc expands. I therefore welcome the Convention’s increasing emphasis on protecting people and their environment in these subregions. For its part, the UNECE secretariat will spare no effort in providing continued support for the work that the Parties to the Convention will undertake in the future. I wish to congratulate all the stakeholders on the achievements of the past 25 years and look forward to further successes in meeting the challenges ahead, which, in many ways, are even more complex than those we have dealt with since the adoption of the Convention. Brigita Schmognerova Executive Secretary of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe List of Contributors Altogether 58 persons worked to make this book a success as lead-authors, co-authors, reviewers or resource persons: Roe1 van Aalst, Christer Agren, Markus Amann, Helen Apsimon, Richard Ballaman, Lars Bjorkbom, Jim Bruce, Tom Brydges, Keith Bull, Mike Chadwick, Radovan Chrast, Harald Dovland, Wayne Draper, Martin Forsius, Oddmund Craham, Heinz Cregor, Peringe Crennfelt, Jean-Paul Hettelingh, Thomas HaufSmann, Harry Harmens, Leen Hordijk, Helmut Hojeski, Andrzej Jagusiewicz, Dieter Jost, Willem Kakebeeke, Volkert Keizer, Endre Kovacs, Michal Krzyzanowski, Vladimir Kucera, Tuomas Kuokkanen, Berit Kvaeven, Lars Lindau, Martin Lorenz, Lars Lundin, Martin Lutz, Rob Maas, Hans Martin, Wojciech Mill, Cina Mills, Lars Nordberg, Max Posch, Peter Sand, Kaj Sanders, Toni Schneider, Jurgen Schneider, Brit Lisa SkjelkvPle, Johan Sliggers, Jaap Slootweg, Valentin Sokolovsky, Till Spranger, Patrick Szdl, Jan Thompson, Johan Tidblad, Arne Tollan, Willemijn Tuinstra, Merete J. Ulstein, Les White, Henning Wuester. A special thanks to Caroline Lambein and Keith Bull for editing the text and to Michel van Wassem for the design and lay out of this book. Photo cover: www.renevanderhulst.nl Preface This book, like the Convention on Long-rangeT ransboundary Air Pollution and its protocols, has been an international cooperative effort. The teams of authors have revisited the history of acid rain and air pollution in the UNECE region, an area that extends from the United States and Canada in the West to Central Asia in the East. But the Convention is not just history; the book also considers its future. The memories, perceptions and reflections of the contributors have been brought together here to mark the 25th anniversary of the Convention. The contributors were or still are involved in the work of the Convention as government officials, members United Nations staff, national experts from institutes and universities or representatives of international NCOs. Nearly 60 authors and other contributors have collaborated on this book, each with experience in one or more areas of the work under the Convention. They have contributed to the book in a private capacity so the views expressed are their own. Without any exception, all who were asked were eager to contribute. We realize that no doubt others would have been equally willing; however, we hope that they will understand the limits to our ability to coordinate such a large number of contributors. Even so, the enthusiastic support given by the authors made it a pleasure for us as editors, assisted by the UNECE secretariat, to complete our task. It was hard work but enjoyable. This book pays tribute to all our colleagues, past and present, who have helped to develop the Convention and its protocols and move from the ‘Fruits of the Cold War’ to ‘Blue Skies Forever’. Johan Sliggers and Willem Kakebeeke, editors c vii This page intentionally left blank Table of contents Note ii Foreword by the Secretary-General of the United Nations a1.. 11 Foreword by the Executive Secretary oft he United Nations Economic Commission for Europe V List of Contributors vl Preface vii Table ofc ontents ix Abbreviations xi 1. introduction 1 2. Fruits of the Cold War: The Convention and the First Sulphur Protocol 7 Fruits of a cold war 7 Waldsterben, a breakthrough 15 The North American connection perceived by a Canadian ‘7 Thoughts about the dynamics behind the process: the role of externalities 20 The Fifth Perception 25 - 3. EMEP Backbone of the Convention 3’ Conception and birth of EMEP 3’ Further development of EMEP 32 Coordinating centres in EMEP 40 Future of EMEP 43 4. Sofkware and hardware, no protocols without technologies 45 Technologies and reduction of emissions 46 Protocols and technologies 49 What’s next on technologies? 56 5. Air pollution effects drive abatement strategies 59 Development of scientific knowledge for the Convention 61 Policy developments driving the effects programme 66 Eastern Europe and the Convention before and after 1989 68 The current structure ofthe Working Group on Effects 69 Modelling and mapping of critical loads and levels for use in integrated assessment 73 Conclusions and challenges 80 - 6. Integrated assessment modelling the tool $5 The rise of integrated assessment modelling 85 Further development of integrated assessment models 89 Future prospects 94
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