Florida State University Libraries Electronic Theses, Treatises and Dissertations The Graduate School 2015 Citizen Perception of Risk Acceptability: Mediating and Moderating Effects in a Nuclear Facility Siting Process Jiwon Nam Follow this and additional works at the FSU Digital Library. For more information, please contact [email protected] FLORIDA STATE UNIVERSITY COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND PUBLIC POLICY CITIZEN PERCEPTION OF RISK ACCEPTABILITY: MEDIATING AND MODERATING EFFECTS IN A NUCLEAR FACILITY SITING PROCESS By JIWON NAM A Dissertation submitted to the Reubin O'D. Askew School of Public Administration and Policy in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy Degree Awarded: Spring Semester, 2015 i Jiwon Nam defended this dissertation on March 30, 2015. The members of the supervisory committee were: Frances S. Berry Professor Co-Directing Dissertation Ralph S. Brower Professor Co-Directing Dissertation Daekwan Kim University Representative Kaifeng Yang Committee Member The Graduate School has verified and approved the above-named committee members, and certifies that the dissertation has been approved in accordance with university requirements. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First, my sincere appreciation goes to my anonymous informants, who spared time from their busy work and shared their precious experiences with me. I not only thank them for their significant contribution to the study, but also thank them for their trust and genuineness. I encountered huge difficulties in accessing interviewees at the beginning of my data collection. I reserve special thanks to Ms. Younghee Kim, the leading jurist within the Korean Nonprofit Organization (NPO), “Sunflower,” for helping me connect with Samchuk residents. The initial impetus for this project came from my correspondence with Ms. Kim and for that I am truly grateful. Mr. Isaiah Kraus, an instructor of the Center for Intensive English Studies (CIES) at Florida State University (FSU), proofread my writing. He was extremely astute, consistent and warm. His support was invaluable and without his assistance I could never have completed this endeavor. The Askew School of Public Administration and Policy at FSU also extended their generous support to me. Their excellent program and sincere faculty provided me all I needed during the entire length of my doctoral study. Financially, the Askew School supported my doctoral enrollment for the full three years. I am very grateful to Professor Earle Klay, the Department Chair of the Askew School, and Professor Kaifeng Yang, the Ph.D. Director. I was also fortunate to have financial support provided by the FSU through the Graduate School. Their support helped me conduct my research and obtain the necessary survey data from Samchuk, South Korea. I have been most fortunate of all to have had Dr. Ralph S. Brower as my professor and co-director of my dissertation. He has been not only my mentor but also my scholastic father. I am truly indebted to him. He has been extremely supportive to me throughout my studies, particularly in helping me to develop my research skills and to discover the hidden meanings behind phenomena. He has transformed me from a doctoral student to a junior researcher and he has inspired me to do the same for my students in the future. As well as being a friend and mentor, he spent countless hours supervising and commenting on my research. I cannot fully express in words my appreciation for his dedication and kindness. iii I also want to thank my dissertation-committee member, Dr. Kaifeng Yang for the support and guidance throughout the process of dissertation defense. He encouraged me to pursue my interests in the poorly researched field of culture and institutional perspectives despite its potential to produce controversial results. He held me to high, exacting standards that demanded a cleaner, stronger, more plausible interpretation of my data. Professor Yang’s meticulous attention to detail kept me true to my data and helped me to tease out the nuances of what I was discovering. I would like to thank him very much. I would like to devote a special appreciation for Dr. Daekwan Kim, a professor at the College of Business, for permitting me to have the opportunity to participate in his excellent class. His hospitality has been amazing. I thank him so much for his letting me have him as an outside committee member. I dared to ask him a lot of questions related to methodology and I really appreciated his considerate and astute answers. I was truly impressed by his sincerity. The prescient, sensible and warm person who has guided me through my studies has been my directing professor, Dr. Frances S. Berry. While pursuing this degree, I have encountered many challenges, including my pregnancy during the dissertation process. Without Dr. Berry’s tremendous help and encouragement, I could have never finished this undertaking. Her influence on me has ranged well beyond this dissertation. Under her guidance, I have repeatedly benefited from her conscientiousness and perceptiveness. She is absolutely my role model. Thanks to our competent administrators, Ms. Velda Williams, Ms. Marianne Hightman, Ms. Katrina Holley, and Ms. Kathleen Woods. I was very happy to work with all of them. They are precious assets for the Askew School. I have been impressed by their warm-heartedness and especially thankful for their kindness during my pregnancy. I thank them for their hospitality. My dearest husband, George Speers cheered with me when new findings were revealed while I was writing my dissertation. I have appreciated his encouragement. My new born baby, Aliyah Faith-Ina Speers, who was born in the middle of dissertation defense processes, also made me stronger. Without my family’s help, I know I would not have completed the dissertation manuscript clearance. God bless you all! iv TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Tables ................................................................................................................................ vii List of Figures .............................................................................................................................. viii Abstract .......................................................................................................................................... ix CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................1 1.1 Background of the Study ..............................................................................................1 1.2 Problem Statement .........................................................................................................6 1.3 Purpose of the Study ......................................................................................................9 1.4 Significance of the Dissertation ...................................................................................10 1.5 Organization of the Dissertation ..................................................................................14 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW ...............................................................................16 2.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................16 2.2 Theoretical Considerations of Economic Benefits ......................................................18 2.3 Beck’s Risk Society ......................................................................................................22 2.4 Early Observations in Risk Literature..........................................................................26 2.5 Research Trends in a Hazardous Facility Site Studies: The Importance of Trust .......31 2.6 Summary of Chapter 2 .................................................................................................37 CHAPTER THREE: METHODOLOGY .....................................................................................40 3.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................40 3.2 Procedure ...................................................................................................................42 3.3 Instrument Development ..............................................................................................44 3.4 Data Collection ...........................................................................................................46 3.5 Analytic Method: Why a Full Structural SEM Modeling? .........................................48 3.6 Theoretical Model of Nuclear Risk Acceptability ......................................................50 3.6.1 Acceptability of Nuclear Risk Policy ..............................................................54 3.6.2 Risk Perception ................................................................................................55 3.6.3 Benefit Perception ............................................................................................55 3.6.4 Regional Nuclear Stigma .................................................................................56 3.6.5 Perceived Local Government Capacity ...........................................................59 3.6.6 General Trust in National Government ............................................................60 CHAPTER FOUR: RESULTS .....................................................................................................63 4.1 Descriptive Statistics ....................................................................................................63 4.2 Tests of Reliability and Validity ..................................................................................69 4.3 Detecting Common Method Variance (CMV) ............................................................72 4.3.1 Harman’s Single-Factor Test ...........................................................................73 4.3.2 Marker-Variable Technique .............................................................................74 4.4 Preliminary Analysis for Demographic Information ...................................................76 4.5 Two-Step Approach: Measurement Model and Structural Model ...............................79 4.6 Analysis and Results ....................................................................................................84 v CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION ..........................................................88 5.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................88 5.2 Summary of Major Findings ........................................................................................88 5.3 Theoretical Implications ..............................................................................................90 5.4 Methodological Implications .......................................................................................92 5.5 Policy Implications ......................................................................................................94 5.6 Limitations and Suggestions ........................................................................................96 APPENDICES ...............................................................................................................................99 A. DATA TABLE INCLUDING OPINION SURVEY ............................................................99 B. FACTOR LOADINGS AND RESIDUAL VARIANCES..................................................103 C. INTERCORRELATIONS AMONG VARIABLES ...........................................................104 D. CONSENT FORM FOR QUESTIONNAIRE ....................................................................106 E. IRB APPROVAL LETTERS ..............................................................................................107 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................112 BIOGRAPHICAL SKETCH .......................................................................................................127 vi LIST OF TABLES 2.1 The Continuum of the Main Approaches to Risk in the Social Sciences ................................25 2.2 Definitions of Risk and Risk Perception ..................................................................................30 2.3 Summary of Hypothesis ...........................................................................................................39 3.1 Measures of Risk Acceptability ...............................................................................................55 3.2 Measures of Risk Perception ...................................................................................................55 3.3 Measures of the Benefit Perception of a Nuclear Facility .......................................................56 3.4 Measures of ‘Regional Nuclear Stigma’ ..................................................................................59 3.5 Measures of Perceived Local Government Capacity ...............................................................60 3.6 Measures of General Trust in National Government ...............................................................62 4.1 Descriptive Statistics of Composite Scores of Variables .........................................................63 4.2 Descriptive Statistics by Items .................................................................................................64 4.3 Descriptive Statistics: Control Variables .................................................................................65 4.4 Collinearity Detection ..............................................................................................................68 4.5 Reliability and Validity Assessment of Theoretical Construct Measures ...............................69 4.6 Factor Correlations and Shared Variances ...............................................................................71 4.7 Total Variance Explained ........................................................................................................73 4.8 Detection of CMB using a Marker-Variable ...........................................................................75 4.9 Logistic Regression Analysis ...................................................................................................77 4.10 Model Comparisons in the Measurement Models .................................................................80 4.11 Comparisons of the Measurement Model and Structural Model ...........................................81 4.12 Chi-Square Difference Tests to Detect Moderation Effects ..................................................86 4.13 Summary of Hypotheses Testing ...........................................................................................87 vii LIST OF FIGURES 3.1 Acceptability of Nuclear Risk: Main Summated Models ........................................................52 3.2 Three Full Mediation and Two Moderation Models ................................................................53 4.1 Bar Chart of Age ......................................................................................................................66 4.2 Pie Charts of Occupation and Region/Proximity .....................................................................66 4.3 Distribution of Residuals of Acceptability and Normality Plot ...............................................67 4.4. Final Measurement Model ......................................................................................................80 4.5 Structural Model Estimation: Single Group Analysis .............................................................82 4.6 Results of Two-Group Analysis: Unconstrained Model (Standardized Solution)...................85 4.7 Results of the Whole Model ....................................................................................................87 viii ABSTRACT The purpose of this research was to identify factors related to citizens’ levels of risk acceptability and examine how these factors influenced each other during the policy making process for nuclear facility site selection in the city of Samchuk, South Korea. The factors used in this study were citizens’ perceptions of risk, citizens’ perceptions of benefit, regional nuclear stigma, and citizens’ attitudes towards government at the local and national level. Although each variable has been studied separately in prior studies, few studies have brought these factors together in one model. We addressed how risk theories developed in other fields of the social sciences might be applied to Public Administration research and argued that objective-scientific research in cognitive psychology has been mostly limited to the applications within Beck’s Risk Society (1992). As to the results of the study, first, perceived benefit was shown to significantly affect the acceptability of the risk policy. Second, although local government capacity has no direct influence on acceptability, it had an indirect effect on policy acceptability, as long as there was perceived economic benefit. From these findings, perceived benefit was revealed to have the only direct effect on the acceptability of the risk policy. Since perceived benefit was the essential factor influencing the acceptability of policy, it was necessary then to explore the factors that were affecting perceived benefit. Also, both perceived risk and local government capacity directly influenced perceived benefit. However, regional nuclear stigma did not directly influence perceived benefit. Instead, regional nuclear stigma indirectly influenced perceived benefit through its relationships with two linking variables: local government capacity and perceived risk. We expected that the level of trust in national government (low vs. high) would affect the relationship between regional nuclear stigma and perceived local government capacity. The results of this study confirmed our expectations: the effect of regional nuclear stigma on perceived local government capacity was different depending on the level of trust in national government. In the past, the relationships between trust in national government and the perceived local government capacity were unacknowledged within nuclear power policy research. In other words, previous studies typically did not distinguish one level of government from another in research on the acceptability of risk and these studies mostly neglected to examine how ix
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