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SpringerBriefs in Political Science For further volumes: http://www.springer.com/series/8871 Roland Benedikter • Verena Nowotny China’s Road Ahead Problems, Questions, Perspectives 1 3 Roland Benedikter Verena Nowotny University of California, Santa Barbara Former Foreign Policy Spokesperson Santa Barbara Government of Austria CA Vienna USA Austria ISSN 2191-5466 ISSN 2191-5474 (electronic) ISBN 978-1-4614-9362-4 ISBN 978-1-4614-9363-1 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4614-9363-1 Springer New York Heidelberg Dordrecht London Library of Congress Control Number: 2013950106 © The Author(s) 2014 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recita- tion, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or infor- mation storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar meth- odology now known or hereafter developed. Exempted from this legal reservation are brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplica- tion of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’s location, in its current version, and permission for use must always be obtained from Springer. Permissions for use may be obtained through RightsLink at the Copyright Clearance Center. Violations are liable to prosecution under the respective Copyright Law. The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publica- tion does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publica- tion, neither the authors nor the editors nor the publisher can accept any legal responsibility for any errors or omissions that may be made. The publisher makes no warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein. Printed on acid-free paper Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com) Endorsements “This is a book I recommend to students and teachers around the globe. It provides a concise introduction into present China’s main problems, questions and perspec- tives. A must for all who try to understand the rising Pacific giant not through short- term answers, but through long-term questions.” Professor Ole Bruun, Institute for Society and Globalization, Roskilde University, Denmark “The rise of China to global superpower calls for clear, condensed, yet comprehen- sive comments for the broader public. This book accomplishes those goals, provid- ing a quick yet comprehensive introduction into what we may expect as the Middle Kingdom seeks to assert what it increasingly sees as its rightful role as a leading world power.” Professor Richard Appelbaum, MacArthur Foundation Chair in Global & International Studies and Sociology, University of California at Santa Barbara “The new constellation between China and the West needs inspiring departure points of discussion, which may be sober or provocative. This booklet is both in one. It should be used as a basis for in-depth discussion and I recommend it for classrooms and the global civil society debate.” Professor Jan Nederveen Pieterse, Mellichamp Professor of Global Studies and Sociology, University of California at Santa Barbara v Abstract China today is a rising giant in transition. Since the start of the new government under Xi Jinping, reforms are underway on all levels and in every field: politics, economy, finance, demography, and religion. The relation between (Communist) elite and (Confucian) culture is shifting, and so is the one between the government and the population. Meanwhile, the military-industrial complex is rapidly expanding its influence and outreach. Will China be able to master the many, and in many ways unprecedented challenges? Will it succeed to balance an all too rapid development by making it more sustainable? In other words: Will China succeed in moving from a “successful” to a “resilient” society? What is the road ahead? vii Contents Abstract ............................................................................................................. vii Foreword .......................................................................................................... xi Introduction: China, a Giant in Transition ................................................... xiii About the Authors and Contributors ............................................................. xv 1 Xi Jinping’s China. The Motive Behind China’s Current Transition: Foreign Success is Changing Domestic Behavior ................ 1 Roland Benedikter 2 T he Cry for Chinese Democratization: Between Idealism and Realism ................................................................................. 21 Roland Benedikter 3 T he 2012–2013 Generational Power Transfer and Its Perspectives: The Rule of Law or Democracy? ....................................... 27 Roland Benedikter and Verena Nowotny 4 T he Ethnonationalism Problem: Is There a Feasible Solution in Sight? The Cases of the Uyghurs and Tibet ....................................... 47 Roland Benedikter 5 China’s New Foreign Policy and the West: The Case of the European Debt Crisis ..................................................................... 73 Roland Benedikter and Jae-Seung Lee 6 China and Its Neighbors: How to Sustain Democracy and Democratization in the Pacific? The Case of South Korea ............ 79 Roland Benedikter ix x Contents 7 China: The Road Ahead ........................................................................... 97 Roland Benedikter 8 Perspectives I: Basing China’s Government on Legitimacy and Values: An Interview with Peng Bo ................................................... 107 Verena Nowotny 9 Perspectives II: Coexistence Between Communitarian China and the Individualistic United States: An Interview with Robert Martin Lees ........................................................................... 113 Roland Benedikter Foreword One can often learn more from questions than from answers. This plum of ancient Chinese wisdom provides a fitting departure point for some reflections on this mas- terful book on present China. For neophyte and advanced scholars in every realm of the social sciences, for policy makers and for concerned individuals, set in the panorama of disruptive transformation in world order with social, political, eco- nomic, technological, ideological and values dilemmas on every continent, China is in a phase of unprecedented transition that demands attention, understanding and reflection. This book provides a significant resource for all who would go beyond the headlines, the myths and popular assumptions and probe deeply into China’s development. China’s Road Ahead is not a compendium of dogmatically inspired answers, but a pondered set of critical questions. From the vantage point of interdisciplinary scholars with extensive practical political experience and broad access to relevant people and information, the authors carefully share their at times provocatively ar- ticulated perspectives as challenges to the reader to further question, research and assess. The core question: What will be China’s road ahead? framed in the context of the recent transfer of power to a new generation of leaders leads to a well constructed array of more detailed questions which include: • How will the new generation of leaders guided by president Xi Jinping respond to expectations of an increasingly open, transparent, pluralistic and internation- ally proactive China? • How will this leadership address the interrelated set of pressing issues that are high on the agenda of both China and countries around the world such as citizen participation, the fight against corruption, environmental degradation, resource scarcity and social reform? • If China steps-up its drive for reform and development, maintains its commit- ment to advance the rule of law and strengthens its resolve to build a harmonious society, can and will democracy with Chinese characteristics evolve over the next decade? xi xii Foreword • As nations around the world still teeter from the global economic and finan- cial crisis, and challenges such as youth unemployment, technology driven change, and social and economic apprehension are spreading even into some of the most advanced economies, how will China deal with the transition from a once rural nation and now manufacturing powerhouse toward a modern learning society while continuing to find the resources needed to provide comprehensive and advanced infrastructure, research and development, education and social services to support the levels and quality of development needed by its enormous population? While China’s global leadership in poverty alleviation is internationally acknowl- edged as are its achievements in addressing the United Nations’ Millennium Devel- opment Goals, too many in the West still judge the Middle Kingdom on the basis of sensational headlines. Too few have an adequate understanding of the complexity of the challenges and opportunities and the need to address all elements of this dy- namic reality simultaneously. And while an increasing number of Westerners have misgivings or even fear the rise of the Pacific power, few can point to objective reasons for such feelings. In this situation, it is essential to strive to build a more pondered picture of one the oldest cultures and nations on earth. With the danger of misunderstandings, re- ductionism and confrontation increasing proportionally to China’s rise, it is impor- tant to proceed towards building a mosaic that is more objective and realistic based on insight rather than fear on the one hand and uncritical admiration on the other. To help build this mosaic, it is most useful to have access to a solid framework to explore China as it embarks not only on a change of era but on an era of change characterized by rapid evolution, fraught with a seemingly insurmountable array of problems, dilemmas, and contradictions. In this, it is critical to foster an inclusive dialogue, and positive engagement. China’s Road Ahead is a very valuable resource for all who are committed to share in the tasks of building this essential mosaic. I recommend it warmly to everybody interested in the “new” China of Xi Jinping. Shanghai, October 2013 Prof. Frederick C. Dubee Executive Director International of the Global Management Education Institute of Shanghai University and of the MBA Center of Shanghai University Senior Advisor of the United Nations Global Compact Program Honorary Professor, Beijing Genomics Institute Co-editor of China: The Way Forward, Beijing 2010

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This book provides a critical commentary on China's situation and future outlook from the perspective of the 2012-13 generational power transfer. In this power transfer, taking place against the background of an increasingly unstable domestic situation, an apparently outstandingly successful generat
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