CAPITAL, ACCUMULATION, AND MONEY AN INTEGRATION OF CAPITAL, GROWTH, AND MONETARY THEORY CAPITAL, ACCUMULATION, AND MONEY AN INTEGRATION OF CAPITAL, GROWTH, AND MONETARY THEORY by Lester D. Taylor University of Arizona. SPRINGER SCIENCE+BUSINESS MEDIA, LLC Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Taylor, Lester D. Capital, accumulation, and money : an integration of capital, growth, and Monetary theory I by Lester D. Taylor. p. em. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978-1-4757-4711-9 ISBN 978-1-4757-4709-6 (eBook) DOI 10.1007/978-1-4757-4709-6 1. Capital. 2. Saving and investment. 3. Money. 4. Economic Development. 5. Macroeconomics. I. Title. HBSOI.T37255 2000 332.4-dc21 00-024640 Copyright© 2000 by Springer Science+Business Media New York Originally published by Kluwer Academic Publishers in 2000 This printing is a digital duplication of the original edition. All rights reserved. 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Houthakker, teacher, collaborator, and friend TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF FIGURES ......................................... xi PREFACE ............................................... xiii PROLOGUE: TALES OF MYROS: EMERGENCE OF A PRIMITIVE ECONOMY FROM AN ECONOMIC STATE OF NATURE ...................... 1 CHAPTER 1: PREMISES AND AN OVERVIEW . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9 CHAPTER 2: MYROS AND OTHER CONCEPTS AND DEFINITIONS .... 15 I. Myros .............................................. 16 II. Myros Recovery Charges ................................ 20 III. Human and Nonhuman Capital ........................... 21 IV. A Glossary of Concepts and Definitions .................... 22 CHAPTER 3: THE MACROECONOMIC FRAMEWORK . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 I. An Overview ......................................... 25 II. Constraints (or 'Conservation Laws') Imposed by the Pool of Fluid Capital ......................................... 31 III. The Determination of Asset Values ........................ 34 IV. Aggregate Demand and Supply ........................... 38 V. Macroeconomic Equilibrium ............................. 40 CHAPTER 4: INTEREST AND MONEY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43 I. Factors Making for the Existence of Interest ................. 44 II. Determination of Money and Natural Rates of Interest ......... 46 III. A World with Fiat Money ............................... 55 IV. The Concept of Velocity and the Demand for Money .......... 57 V. Power of the Monetary Authority ......................... 59 VI. The Commercial Paper Market ........................... 61 VII. Some Notes on Monetary Policy .......................... 62 CHAPTER 5: PRODUCTION AND INVESTMENT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65 I. Capital and Production ................................. 66 viii Capital, Accumulation, and Money II. From Production to Investment ........................... 69 III. Roles of the Money and Natural Rates of Interest ............. 8I IV. Financing oflnvestment: An Illustration .................... 8I CHAPTER 6: THE GENERAL PRICE LEVEL AND INFLATION ........ 85 I. Defining the General Price Level ......................... 85 II. Problems Arising from Excessive Monetization of Assets ....... 94 III. The General Price Level and the Natural Rate of Interest ....... 97 IV. Equilibrium in the Natural and Money Rates oflnterest ........ 98 CHAPTER 7: CAPITAL VALUES, WEALTH, AND RELATED TOPICS .. 101 I. The Aggregate Wealth of an Economy .................... IOl II. Money As Wealth and Real-Balance Effects ................ 102 III. Some Implications of Old Masters As a Store of Value ........ I 03 IV. Taxation of Capital Gains .............................. 105 V. Forced Saving and Investment .......................... I08 VI. More on Excess Monetization of Assets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . II 0 VII. Loan Defaults and the Stock of Money .................... 1II VIII. Crowding-Out . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . II2 IX. Burden of the National Debt ............................ 1I6 X. Ricardian Equivalence ................................ 1I7 XI. Commodity Money ................................... 118 XII. Fluid Capital and the Gold Standard ...................... 1I9 XIII. Demonetization and Monetization of Economies ............. I23 XIV. Economic Growth With Deflation: 1873-1896 in the U.S ....... I26 CHAPTER 8: MACROECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM AND EMPLOYMENT . 129 CHAPTER 9: CAPITAL THEORY IN PERSPECTIVE . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 139 I. Schumpeter ......................................... 139 II. Keynes ............................................ 142 III. Irving Fisher ........................................ 144 IV. Bohm-Bawerk ....................................... 145 V. Jevons and Wicksell .................................. 146 VI. Capital As Embedded (or Stored) Labor ................... 147 VII. Capital Theory As the Economics of Time ................. 149 VIII. Capital Accounting ................................... 151 IX. Capital and Nonrenewable Natural Resources ............... I 54 CHAPTER 10: OPPORTUNITY AND SUNK COSTS . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 157 I. Opportunity Costs .................................... 157 II. The Measurement of Unit Incremental Cost ................ 160 III. Sunk Costs ......................................... 161 Table of Contents ix CHAPTER 11: TRADE, TRANSFERS, AND MONETARY OVERHANGS . . 165 I. Trade and Exchange Rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 165 II. Monetary Overhangs and Capital Levies ................... 167 III. Wealth Transfers and Monetary Overhangs: A Stylized Analysis ........................................... 170 IV. Policies for Eliminating a Monetary Overhang: The Case of German Reunification ................................. 178 V. The German Reunification: An Assessment ................ 183 CHAPTER 12: QUESTIONS RELATED TO CONSUMPTION AND SAVING ............................................. 185 I. The Macroeconomics of Retirement Saving and Consumption .. 185 II. Questions Related to Position Goods ...................... 187 III. Questions Related to Engel Curves and Income Elasticities ..... 190 IV. The Hierarchical Nature ofthe Pool of Fluid Capital .......... 192 CHAPTER 13: QUESTIONS RELATED TO ECONOMIC GROWTH ...... 195 I. The General Mechanics of Economic Growth ............... 195 II. Some Basic Truths Concerning Economic Development ....... 197 III. Keynes and Economic Bliss ............................ 198 IV. The Endogenous Nature of Economic Growth ............... 199 V. The Role of Technological Change ....................... 200 VI. Investment in Research and Development .................. 200 VII. Economic Growth in Reverse: Large-Scale Disasters in Low- Income Economies ................................... 201 VIII. Economic Growth and Different Stages of Development ....... 204 CHAPTER 14: THEMES AND COUNTER THEMES: FLUID CAPITAL IN RETROSPECT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 205 APPENDIX 1: ON THE ROLE OF THEORY IN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS .. 213 I. Introduction ........................................ 213 II. Economic Theory in Action: The Theory of Consumer Choice .. 214 III. Modeling Real-Time Dynamics .......................... 217 IV. Conclusions ........................................ 220 APPENDIX II: INVESTMENT FUNCTIONS DONT NECESSARILY SLOPE DOWNWARD . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 223 I. Introduction ........................................ 223 II. The Relationship Between Investment and the Rates of Interest . 224 III. Further Discussion and Conclusions ...................... 227 APPENDIX Ill: PRODUCTIVITY IMPLICATIONS OF THE OIL PRICE INCREASES OF THE 1970s . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 229 x Capital, Accumulation, and Money I. Introduction ........................................ 229 II. Instantaneous Effects of the Oil Price Increases .............. 230 III. Some Real-Time Dynamics ............................. 232 IV. Implications for Subsequent Productivity Growth ............ 233 V. Financial Recycling .................................. 236 VI. Conclusion ......................................... 237 APPENDIX IV: ADDITIONAL TALES INVOLVING A PRIMITIVE ECONOMY . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 239 BIBLIOGRAPHY 249 INDEX ................................................ 259 LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1 ................................................ 26 Figure 2 ................................................ 31 Figure 3 ................................................ 36 Figure 4 ................................................ 47 Figure 5 ................................................ 68 Figure 6 ................................................ 70 Figure 7 ................................................ 74 Figure 8 ................................................ 78 Figure 9 ................................................ 79 Figure 10 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80 Figure 11 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88 Figure 12 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89 Figure 13 ................................................ 93 Figure 14 ................................................ 95 Figure 15 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 136 Figure 16 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 137 Figure 17 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 138 Figure 18 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 162 Preface This book has been long in the making. About 25 years ago, I began spending a lot of time puzzling over what capital is and what is meant by capital theory. I read and read, but the more I read, the more confused I became. For a number of years, my hope was that the problem lay with me, that capital theory was a consistent whole, with a great deal of relevance to the real world, and that I was simply unable to grasp what it was all about. Eventually, it became evident that to search for a single concept of capital in the canon of economics is a will-o' -the-wisp and that the problem is not a single concept of capital, but a surfeit of concepts. There are physical capital, capital goods, financial capital, working capital, circulating capital, fixed capital, etc. When appearing without an adjective, and depending upon the writer, 'capital' can refer to one, a subset, or all of the concepts at once. Vagueness and ambiguity concerning capital appear in the writings of all of the great capital theorists, whether Smith, Ricardo, Marx, Jevons, Walras, Bohm-Bawerk, Clark, Wicksell, Schumpeter, Fisher, Hayek, Keynes, Hicks, Robinson, Samuelson or Solow. When I finally came to understand this, it also became clear what to do: develop my own concept of capital and then proceed to theorize about it. The concept of myros is the result. 1 Myros (or fluid capital, as it will eventually also be called) is the unifying concept of the book. The basic ideas underlying myros are introduced in the Prologue in the context of a subsistence, but otherwise idyllic, island economy whose only good is bread that each person mines each day for his/her own use. 1 I have chosen the word myros because of its sonority (at least to my ears and mind) and because of its beguiling hint of a tranquil mythical isle in the Aegean. Its inspiration is clearly Greek, but as far as I am aware the word is 'clean'. My friend, Phil Fleming, who is an expert on Classical Greek, tells me that there is no obvious Greek root for the word; however, my friend and colleague, Dick Newcomb, and also my consultant on Latin, says that there is a Latin root, murus (walls), from which myros might be seen as a transliteration. As I know nothing about Classical Greek and Latin, I rely on these experts' judgement in support of my whim that myros is an appropriate word for the purpose I have in mind, which is to employ a word for capital that is not burdened by centuries of verbal and analytical baggage and connotations. Later, as the concept becomes understood, I will replace the word myros by a more conventional term, .fluid capital.