The Calgary Airport Authority Parallel Runway Project Volume IV – Item 2 Airfield Model Calgary RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM International AIRFIELD MODEL Airport Contents 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 2 INTRODUCTION 10 3 DATA AND REVIEW 14 4 DEMAND 19 5 AIRFIELD MODEL 29 6 SCENARIOS 32 7 TAXIWAY LOCATIONS 59 8 CONCLUSIONS 63 CALGARY AIRPORT RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 LIST OF FIGURES FIGURE 6-12 HOURLY DEMAND 2008 AND 2015 VS THROUGHPUT RWYS 10/16 40 FIGURE 6-13 2015 ARR AND DEP DEMAND VS RWY 10/16 THROUGHPUT 40 FIGURE 1-1 CALGARY AIRPORT – INDICATIVE FUTURE AIRFIELD LAYOUT 2 FIGURE 6-14 ARRIVALS DELAY FOR 10/16 MODE AT 2015 40 FIGURE 1-2 PROJECTED BUSY DAY AIRCRAFT MOVEMENTS – 2008, 2015, 2025 3 FIGURE 6-15 DEPARTURES DELAY FOR 10/16 MODE AT 2015 40 FIGURE 1-3 RUNWAY MODES OF OPERATION FOR VARIOUS SCENARIOS 6 FIGURE 6-16 RUN 1 – 28/34 DEPARTURE QUEUE AT RWY 28 END (7:17PM) 41 FIGURE 1-4 OPTIONS FOR CDF LOCATION 7 FIGURE 6-17 RUN 1 – 28/34 DEPARTURE QUEUE AT RWY 34 END (7:17PM) 41 FIGURE 1-5 DUAL LINK TAXIWAY OPTIONS 8 FIGURE 6-18 RUN 2 – 10/16 DEPARTURE QUEUE AT RWY 16 END (7:49PM) 41 FIGURE 1-6 INDICATIVE TAXIWAY LAYOUT FOR PARALLEL RUNWAY 9 FIGURE 6-19 RUN 2 – QUEUES ON TAXIWAYS H AND G (7:17PM) 42 FIGURE 2-1 CALGARY AIRPORT – INDICATIVE FUTURE AIRFIELD LAYOUT 11 FIGURE 6-20 RUN 2 – DELAYS CROSSING RUNWAY (10 5:43 PM) 42 FIGURE 4-1 ANNUAL AIRCRAFT MOVEMENTS – HISTORICAL AND FORECAST 20 FIGURE 6-21 RUN 2 – CONGESTION TWY H /J INTERSECTION (6:57 PM) 42 FIGURE 4-2 TRANSPORT CANADA HIGH AIRCRAFT FORECAST 21 FIGURE 6-22 SEGREGATED MODE OPTIONS 43 FIGURE 4-3 TRANSPORT CANADA BASE AIRCRAFT FORECAST 21 FIGURE 6-23 SEGREGATED MODE CAPACITIES 43 FIGURE 4-4 TRANSPORT CANADA HIGH PASSENGER FORECAST 21 FIGURE 6-24 SEGREGATED MODES 2015 – HOURLY DEPARTURES 44 FIGURE 4-5 TRANSPORT CANADA BASE PASSENGER FORECAST 21 FIGURE 6-25 SEGREGATED MODES 2015 – HOURLY ARRIVALS 44 FIGURE 4-6 2008 DAILY FIXED WING ARRIVALS/DEPARTURES 23 FIGURE 6-26 SEGREGATED MODES 2015 – HOURLY MOVEMENTS 44 FIGURE 4-7 2008 RANKED DAILY MOVEMENTS 24 FIGURE 6-27 ARRIVALS DELAY – RUN 3 45 FIGURE 4-8 PROFILE FOR 90TH PERCENTILE AND SIMILARLY RANKED DAYS 25 FIGURE 6-28 ARRIVALS DELAY – RUN 4 45 FIGURE 4-9 BUSY DAY PROFILE 2008, 2015 AND 2025 26 FIGURE 6-29 ARRIVALS DELAY – RUN 5 45 FIGURE 4-10 BUSY DAY ANAYSIS 2008 – COLD WEEKDDAYS AND WEEKEND 27 FIGURE 6-30 ARRIVALS DELAY – RUN 6 45 FIGURE 4-11 HOURLY AIRCRAFT – 2008 COLD WEEKDAYS 27 FIGURE 6-31 DEPARTURES DELAY – RUN 3 46 FIGURE 4-12 HOURLY AIRCRAFT – 2008 ICY WEEKDAYS 27 FIGURE 6-32 DEPARTURES DELAY – RUN 4 46 FIGURE 4-13 REPRESENTATIVE 2008 “COLD DAY” VS 90TH BUSY DAY 28 FIGURE 6-33 DEPARTURES DELAY – RUN 5 46 FIGURE 5-1 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN AIRFIELD DELAY AND DEMAND 31 FIGURE 6-34 DEPARTURES DELAY – RUN 6 46 FIGURE 6-1 RUNWAY MODES OF OPERATION FOR VARIOUS SCENARIOS 33 FIGURE 6-35 SEGREGATED MODES 2015 - AVG ARRIVAL DELAY PER FLIGHT 47 FIGURE 6-2 EXISTING RUNWAY MODES AND USAGE 34 FIGURE 6-36 SEGREGATED MODES 2015 - AVG DEPARTURE DELAY PER FLIGHT47 FIGURE 6-3 BASE CASE – EXISTING CROSSING RUNWAYS / NO NEW RUNWAY 36 FIGURE 6-37 SEGREGATED MODES 2015 - AVERAGE DELAY PER FLIGHT 47 FIGURE 6-4 RUNWAY DEMAND VS CAPACITY 2008 AND 2015 37 FIGURE 6-38 OPTIONS FOR CDF LOCATION 48 FIGURE 6-5 RUNWAY ARRIVALS DEMAND VS CAPACITY 2008 AND 2015 37 FIGURE 6-39 LOCATION OF CDF NEAR INTERSECITON OF TAXIWAYS J AND G 48 FIGURE 6-6 RUNWAY DEPARTURES DEMAND VS CAPACITY 2008 AND 2015 38 FIGURE 6-40 RUNS 7 AND 8 – AVERAGE TAXIING DELAY 49 FIGURE 6-7 HOURLY DEMAND 2008 AND 2015 38 FIGURE 6-41 RUNS 7 AND 8 – TAXIING DELAY > 15 MIN 49 FIGURE 6-8 HOURLY DEMAND 2008 AND 2015 VS THROUGHPUT RWYS 28/34 38 FIGURE 6-42 BUILDUP OF DEPARTURES – RUN 7 (17:56PM) 50 FIGURE 6-9 2015 ARR AND DEP DEMAND VS RWY 28/34 THROUGHPUT 39 FIGURE 6-43 BUILDUP OF DEPARTURES – RUN 7 (18:30PM) 50 FIGURE 6-10 ARRIVAL DELAY FOR 28/34 MODE AT 2015 39 FIGURE 6-44 BUILDUP OF DEPARTURES – RUN 7 (18:57PM) 50 FIGURE 6-11 DEPARTURE DELAY FOR 28/34 MODE AT 2015 39 CALGARY AIRPORT RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 FIGURE 6-45 DUAL LINK TAXIWAY OPTIONS 51 FIGURE 6-46 HOURLY DEPARTURES – RUNS 9 TO 12 52 FIGURE 6-47 HOURLY ARRIVALS – RUNS 9 TO 12 52 FIGURE 6-48 HOURLY RUNWAY MOVEMENTS – RUNS 9 TO 12 52 FIGURE 6-49 DIRECTIONAL SPLIT OF TRAFFIC 2025 52 FIGURE 6-50 PROPORTIONAL SPLIT OF ARRIVALS 2025 53 FIGURE 6-51 PROPORTIONAL SPLIT OF DEPARTURES 2025 53 FIGURE 6-52 PROPORTIONAL SPLIT OF ALL FLIGHTS 2025 53 FIGURE 6-53 RUNS 9 TO 12 – AVERAGE TAXIING DELAY 54 FIGURE 6-54 RUNS 9 TO 12 – MOVEMENTS WITH TAXIING DELAY > 15 MIN 54 FIGURE 6-55 RUN 9 ARRIVALS ON 34R HELD FOR EAST FLOW ON TXY J 55 FIGURE 6-56 RUN 9 AIRCRAFT HELD FOR WEST FLOW ON TXY J 55 FIGURE 6-57 RUN 10 AIRCRAFT HELD FOR EAST FLOW ON TXY J 56 FIGURE 6-58 RUN 10 AIRCRAFT HELD FOR EAST FLOW ON TXY J 56 FIGURE 6-59 RUN 11 FREEFLOW EAST-WEST ON LINK TAXIWAYS J AND R 57 FIGURE 6-60 RUN 12 FREEFLOW EAST-WEST ON LINK TAXIWAYS J AND R 57 FIGURE 6-61 RUNS 9 TO 14 – AVERAGE TAXIWAY DELAY (TXY D) 58 FIGURE 7-1 INDICATIVE TAXIWAY LAYOUT FOR PARALLEL RUNWAY 62 LIST OF TABLES TABLE 1-1 KEY STUDY OBJECTIVES AND OUTCOMES 4 TABLE 1-2 MODELING SCENARIOS 5 TABLE 1-3 SUGGESTED RET LOCATIONS 8 TABLE 6-1 MODELING SCENARIOS 32 TABLE 6-2 AVERAGE DE-ICING TIMES 48 TABLE 6-3 EQUIVALENT CODE C - DE-ICING PAD DEMAND 48 TABLE 7-1 SUGGESTED RET LOCATIONS 59 TABLE 7-2 RUNWAY OCCUPANCY AND CAPTURE FOR RETS 2 AND 3 60 TABLE 7-3 SUGGESTED RET LOCATIONS 61 CALGARY AIRPORT RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 1.1. Background 1 Executive Calgary Airport Authority (YYC) has embarked on the preliminary design phase for the proposed new parallel runway with the general layout as shown in Figure 1-1. Summary Airbiz, as a subconsultant to the Program Manager AECOM Canada Ltd, developed a detailed airspace/airfield model to simulate aircraft movements at future projected traffic levels from arrival/departure in Calgary terminal airspace to terminal apron gates, cargo area and/or de-icing pad positions using ARCport ALTO modelling software. Airbiz Subheadingt consulted extensively with NAVCanada and airline flight operations representatives to ensure modeling inputs were consistent with agreed operating scenarios and that model inputs/outputs were clearly understood when reviewed by the Parallel Runway Program (PRP) Team and outside stakeholders. The agreed scope of work included the preparation of daily aircraft movement schedules (representative busy day) for 2015 and 2025, development and testing of an airspace and airport simulation model, and reporting on a range of scenarios based on the following key assumptions: Demand levels at 2015 and 2025 Runway layout (existing vs. airfield with new runway) Runway direction (north flow and south flow) Supporting taxiways (proposed enhancements to existing runway, e.g. full extension of Taxiway H and development of Taxiways R or the extension of Taxiway F for 2025 scenario) Aprons IFP 22 gates for 2015 and IFP full development for 2025 The airfield modeling was driven by projected schedule based on the 90th percentile (36th ranked) busy day in the 2008 flight logs. The Transport Canada High annual growth rates for aircraft movements were applied. An airfield and airspace simulation model was constructed to test the existing runway system and the proposed parallel runway system. Terminal airspace and taxipaths were defined with the assistance of NAVCanada. Gate allocations were based on CAA reports (IFP and domestic). CALGARY AIRPORT 1 RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 New parallel runway 1 R 6 4 L 3 New parallel taxiways –runway entries and exits Single link taxiway J Passenger Terminals GA Precinct (north) (south-east) 1 L 6 4 R Existing main runway 3 GA Customs (south-west) Cargo FIGURE 1-1 CALGARY AIRPORT – INDICATIVE FUTURE AIRFIELD LAYOUT CALGARY AIRPORT 2 RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 This study forms part of the Environmental Assessment (EA) process. Validation of the airfield model constructed for the study and Operational scenarios have been developed to assess impacts, but performance included benchmarking against current throughput on these do not purport to dictate operational solutions. Only once the each runway during busy periods, and the split between runways. impacts have been assessed as part of the EA process, can any 1.4. Demand mitigation be suggested and explored through the appropriate Projected busy day schedules processes. The projected busy day schedule is shown in Figure 1-2. It was based 1.2. Study objectives and key outcomes on the 90th percentile (36th ranked) busy day identified from 2008 flight The study objectives and key outcomes are summarised in Table 1-1. logs provided by NAVCanada. This was then projected to 2015 and 1.3. Methodology 2025 by growing daily movements at the Transport Canada High growth forecast for annual aircraft movements. This study was workshop based, with the participation of management and technical representatives of the airport authority – Calgary Airport The current schedule is characterised by a morning departures peak Authority (YYC), the Air Navigation Service Provider (ANSP) – starting around 7am and extending to around 9am (with relatively few NAVCanada, airlines, and the Environment Assessment (EA) team. arrivals). In the afternoon there is an arrivals peak commencing around Over the course of four workshops the methodology and key 4pm, closely followed by an evening departures peak around 7pm. assumptions were discussed and agreed, scenarios for modeling There is a level of overlap between the extended afternoon arrivals formulated and the results of the airspace and airfield model reported peak and the evening departures peak. This same hourly demand and conclusions confirmed. pattern is found in the projected schedules. 2008 Arr 2008 Dep A state-of-the-art airspace and airport model – ARCPort ALTO was 8400 used to construct a simulation model of the airport and the immediate Afternoon airspace in the vicinity of the airport, with the procedures for air traffic 120 2008 Total arrivals peak 6300 allocation, control and management generally based on current 2015 Total practice, and adapted for the future parallel runway system agreed with 100 2025 Total NAVCanada. Key modeling assumptions were drawn, where available 4200 and appropriate, from an existing NAVCanada fast-time (TAAM) 80 simulation model for the existing airfield. sla 2100 v The main sources of airfield delay were reported separately to identify irrA 60> the weakest links in the airfield system: <se 00 Air delay – on approach to the airport 40rutrap 01 12 32 43 546 57 68 79 180119121013111411251136117411851916201271128221932240 21 22 23 eD--2100 Taxi delay – on the airfield for arriving and departing aircraft Stand delay – on arrival waiting for a vacant stand 20 --4200 Take-off delay – on departure at stop bar 0 In addition to reporting average delays for arrivals or departures, --6300 Morning Evening 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1011121314151617181920212223 reports were provided based on the suggested threshold for ―significant departures peak departures peak delay‖ to a single aircraft of around 15 minutes. This is based on FAA -40 -80 reporting standards and was agreed with airline operations as the level Hour commencing at which delay starts to severely impact on airline schedules. Delay FIGURE 1-2 PROJECTED BUSY DAY AIRCRAFT MOVEMENTS – 2008, 2015, 2025 distribution graphs were provided broken down into arrivals, departures or cause of delay. CALGARY AIRPORT 3 RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 Key study objectives Outcomes 1. To establish the need for the new parallel runway at 2015 The simulation model showed the existing two crossing runway traffic levels - compare congestion and delays for ―do system with implementation of all planned taxiway nothing‖ case (no new parallel runway versus with a new enhancements is unable to handle the 2015 representative parallel runway). busy day demand without unacceptable delays. 2. To test the operations of the runway and airfield system The 2015 representative busy day traffic levels require mixed for year of opening (2015 busy day) traffic levels mode operations on both runways to handle the afternoon assuming segregated mode operations. peak within the limits of acceptable delays. 3. To test the operations of the runway and airfield system A single link taxiway system (Taxiway J) at 2015 leads to for 2025 traffic with a single cross-link taxiway (Taxiway head-to-head conflicts which result in significant delays for J) compared with a dual cross-link taxiway system aircraft crossing between the parallel runways and aircraft (Taxiway R and F). parking aprons on arrival and departure. There are a number of options to provide a second east-west link which need consideration. 4. To test for any airfield congestion at 2015 traffic levels The scenarios tested for the proposed CDF was for partial with the proposed Central De-icing Facility (CDF) at the mixed mode only a single link (east-west) taxiway. The results preferred location. of the simulation showed unacceptable delays, but not for any reasons associated with the sizing or location of the CDF. This needs further testing with a runway mode of operation which can handle the forecast traffic for the case without the CDF, and which the CDF can then be superimposed to test any impacts. 5. To provide a preferred parallel taxiway layout for the new An indicative layout for the parallel taxiway system to serve the parallel runway system (entry and exists onto the runway, new parallel runway has been provided with three rapid exit including rapid exit taxiways – RETs), and suggest taxiways (RETs) in each direction; dual runway entries at each construction staging. runway end, and runway entries for intersection departures of turboprop aircraft towards each runway end. The RETs are generally spaced to capture three different categories of aircraft – turboprops; narrowbody jets and widebody jets. TABLE 1-1 KEY STUDY OBJECTIVES AND OUTCOMES CALGARY AIRPORT 4 RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009 1.5. Scenarios other airports with crossing dependant runway operations is for During the course of the study the fourteen scenarios in Table 1-2 were between 55 and 60 total hourly movements. identified for modeling. The projected busy day 2015 schedule has a sustained peak between Taxiways Runway 5pm and 8pm above 70 hourly movements. Hourly departure demand Run. Runways Facilities Aprons Mode Flow5 Year4 peaks are above 50 and arrival demand above 40 hourly movements. 1 Existing IFP 22 Gates Crossing North 2015 This compares to 2008 peaks of less than 50 total movements, and under 40 arrivals and departures in respective arrivals and departures 2 Existing IFP 22 Gates Crossing South 2015 peaks. 3 Parallels IFP 22 Gates Segregated 1 North 2015 4 Parallels IFP 22 Gates Segregated 1 South 2015 As expected the simulation showed growing departure queues for both runways, but especially on the main runway, from 5pm onwards, with 5 Parallels IFP 22 Gates Segregated 2 North 2015 congestion setting in close to 6pm. The departure queue was managed 6 Parallels IFP 22 Gates Segregated 2 South 2015 by interspersing a departure between every arrival. Increasing the 7 Parallels Central de-icing IFP 22 Gates Segregated 3 North 2015 arrival rate would result in increased departure congestion and delay. 8 Parallels Central de-icing IFP 22 Gates Segregated 3 South 2015 The demand analysis predicted this, and the simulation demonstrated 9 Parallels IFP Full Build Mixed North 2025 that the level of projected delays is well beyond the accepted criteria. 10 Parallels IFP Full Build Mixed South 2025 Average delays during the afternoon and evening peaked were 11 Parallels With Txy R IFP Full Build Mixed North 2025 reported as over 60 minutes per arrivals and 7 minutes per departure. 12 Parallels With Txy R IFP Full Build Mixed South 2025 For the arrivals, 14% incurred no delay, and 33% some delay, but less 13 Parallels With Txy F ext IFP Full Build Mixed North 2025 than 15 minutes. For the roughly 240 movements between 4pm and 14 Parallels With Txy F ext IFP Full Build Mixed South 2025 8pm, more than half were delayed more than 15 minutes. The arrivals delays above 15 minutes were almost exclusively air delay, Notes symptomatic of the need for additional runway arrival capacity. 1. New runway for arrivals 2. New runway for departures Parallel runway 2015 3. Partial segregated (mixed on existing runway, arrivals on new runway) The capacity of a single arrival and single departure runway 4. All traffic is for 90th percentile (36th rank) projected busy day (segregated mode operations) is not adequate to meet the projected 5. For each scenario traffic was modeled for north and south flow 2015 busy day demand. The delays during the afternoon in particular were found to be well beyond the thresholds of acceptable delay TABLE 1-2 MODELING SCENARIOS established for this study. Additional arrivals capacity is required and it Figure 1-3 shows the runway modes of operation for these scenarios. was agreed for the projected 2015 busy day traffic levels the existing 1.6. Outcomes runway should be used for mixed mode, and the new runway would be Base case (no parallel runway) 2015 dedicated to arrivals. Of course, the occasional ultra-long haul departure requiring the full length of the new parallel runway would be The catalyst for increasing runway capacity (new runway) can be: permitted. deficiency in overall capacity during balanced peak demand Parallel runway 2025 deficiency in arrival capacity during arrivals peak At the traffic levels for the projected 2025 busy day, it was clear from deficiency of departures capacity during departures peak the model outcomes that a single crossing taxiway (Taxiway J) would result in unacceptable delays to taxiing aircraft. Two way flows The nominal runway capacity for the existing Calgary airfield, as between the parallel runways in mixed mode operations creates head- indicated by NAVCanada and supported by anecdotal benchmarking at to-head conflicts on Taxiway J. CALGARY AIRPORT 5 RUNWAY DEVELOPMENT PROGRAM - AIRFIELD MODEL 10499R605R YYC RWY SIM FINAL REPORT.DOCX AIRBIZ 5/11/2009
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