Table Of Content

Founded by the biometrics section for the American statistical association Volume 58: 2002 Numbers 1-4 I n■ B ■ s _J ■ INTERNATIONAL BIOMETRIC SOCIETY Published quarterly by THE INTERNATIONAL BIOMETRIC SOCIETY WASHINGTON, DC, U.S.A. 2002 CONTENTS OF VOLUME 58 PART 1 (March 2002) REGULAR ARTICLES Model-Checking Techniques Based on Cumulative Residuals.D. Y. Lin, L. J. Wei, and Z. Ying 1 Semiparametric Regression Modeling with Mixtures of Berkson and Classical Error, with Application to Fallout from the Nevada Test Site.B. Mallick, F. O. Hoffman, and R. J. Carroll 13 Principal Stratification in Causal Inference.C. E. Frangakis and D. B. Rubin 21 Modeling and Optimization in Early Detection Programs with a Single Exam. .G. Parmigiani, S. Skates, and M. Zelen 30 Survival Analysis Using Auxiliary Variables Via Multiple Imputation, with Application to AIDS Clinical Trial Data .C. L. Faucett, N. Schenker, and J. M. G. Taylor 37 Estimation of Survival Distributions of Treatment Policies in Two-Stage Randomization Designs in Clinical Trials .J. K. Lunceford, M. Davidian, and A. A. Tsiatis 48 Testing for Dependence Between Failure Time and Visit Compliance with Interval-Censored Data. .R. A. Betensky and D, M, Finkelstein 58 Estimation in the Cox Proportional Hazards Model with Left-Truncated and Interval-Censored Data .W. Pan and R. Chappell 64 A Proportional Hazards Model for Incidence and Induced Remission of Disease.D. B. Dunson and D. D. Baird 71 Bayesian Models for Multivariate Current Status Data with Informative Censoring... D. B. Dunson and G. E. Dinse 79 Monitoring the Rates of Composite Events with Censored Data in Phase II Clinical Trials. .Y. K. Cheung and P. F. Thall 89 Frailty Models with Missing Covariates.A. H. Herring, J. G. Ibrahim, and S. R. Lipsitz 98 Combining Complete Multivariate Outcomes with Incomplete Covariate Information: A Latent Class Approach ... .Q.-L. Xue and K. Bandeen-Roche 110 Functional Mixed Effects Models.W. Guo 121 On Estimation and Prediction for Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed Models.H. Zhang 129 Mixed Effects Logistic Regression Models for Multiple Longitudinal Binary Functional Limitation Responses with Informative Drop-Out and Confounding by Baseline Outcomes. .T. R. Ten Have, B. A. Reboussin, M. E. Miller, and A. Kunselman 137 Characterizing the Relationship Between HIV-1 Genotype and Phenotype: Prediction-Based Classification. .A. S. Foulkes and V. De Gruttola 145 Generalized Character Process Models: Estimating the Genetic Basis of Traits That Cannot Be Observed and That Change with Age or Environmental Conditions.S. D, Pletcher and F, Jaffrezic 157 Two-Stage Designs for Gene-Disease Association Studies. .J. M. Satagopan, D. A. Verbel, E. S. Venkatraman, K. E. Offit, and C. B. Begg 163 Dose Finding Using the Biased Coin Up-and-Down Design and Isotonic Regression. .M. Stylianou and N. Flournoy 171 Modeling and Real-Time Prediction of Classical Swine Fever Epidemics. .R. Meester, J. de Koning, M. C. M. de Jong, and O. Diekmann 178 Effect of List Errors on the Estimation of Population Size.A. Lee 185 A Unified Parametric Regression Model for Recapture Studies with Random Removals in Continuous Time. .P. S.F. Yip and Y. Wang 192 Testing for Conditional Multiple Marginal Independence.C. R. Bilder and T. M. Loughin 200 Interval Estimation for a Difference Between Intraclass Kappa Statistics.A. Donner and G. Zou 209 Levene Tests of Homogeneity of Variance for General Block and Treatment Designs. .M. E. O'Neill and K.L. Mathews 216 CONSULTANT’S FORUM Dynamic Conditionally Linear .Mixed Models for Longitudinal Data.M. Pourahmadi and M. J. Daniels 225 The Use of Frailty Hazard Models for Unrecognized Heterogeneity That Interacts with Treatment: Considerations of Efficiency and Power.Y. Li, R. A. Betensky, D. N. Louis, and J. G. Cairncross 232 READER REACTION On the Use of Nonparametric Curves in Phase 1 Trials with Low Toxicity Tolerance.Y. K. Cheung 237 The DNA Database Search Controversy.D. J. Balding 241 Curve-Free and Model-Based Continual Reassessment Method Designs.J. O'Quigley 245 CORRESPONDENCE The Baumgartner-WeiB-Schindler Test in the Presence of Ties.M. Neuhauser 250 BOOK REVIEWS . 252 CORRECTION . 262 PART 2 (June 2002) REGULAR ARTICLES Sequential Estimation in Line Transect Surveys.S. X. Chen, P. S. F. Yip, and Y. Zhou 263 Spatial Modeling of Wetland Condition in the U.S. Prairie Pothole Region. .J. A. Royle, M. D. Koneff, and R. E. Reynolds 270 Bayesian Prediction of Spatial Count Data Using Generalized Linear Mixed Models. .O. F. Christensen and R. Waagepetersen 280 Modeling Spatial Survival Data Using Semiparametric Frailty Models.Y. Li and L. Ryan 287 ■Analysis of Failure Time Data with Dependent Interval Censoring. .D. M. Finkelstein, W'. B. Goggins, and D. A. Schoenfeld 298 Survival Analysis with Time-Varying Regression Effects Using a Tree-Based Approach.R. Xu and S. Adak 305 Modeling Multivariate Survival Data by a Semiparametric Random Effects Proportional Odds Model. .K. F. Lam, Y. W. Lee, and T. L. Leung 316 A Semiparametric Model for the Analysis of Recurrent-Event Panel Data.R. F. Balshaw and C. B. Dean 324 Analysis of Clustered Binary Outcomes Using Within-Cluster Paired Resampling . R. H. Rieger and C. R. Weinberg 332 Marginalized Transition Models and Likelihood Inference for Longitudinal Categorical Data.P. J. Heagerty 342 Random Effects Logistic Regression Analysis with Auxiliary Covariates.H. Zhou, J. Chen, and J. Cai 352 Robust Inference for Event Probabilities with Non-Markov Event Data.D. V. Glidden 361 Methods for Analyzing the Spatial Distribution of Chiasmata During Meiosis Based on Recombination Data. .K. Yu and E. Feingold 369 Variable Selection in High-Dimensional Multivariate Binary Data with Application to the .Analysis of .Microbial Community DNA Fingerprints.J. D. Wilbur, J. K. Ghosh. C. H. Nakatsu, S. M. Brouder, and R. W. Doerge 378 .A Generalized Discriminant Rule When Training Population and Test Population Differ on Their Descriptive Parameters.C. Biernacki, F. Beninel, and V. Bretagnolle 387 Testing Trend for Count Data with Extra-Poisson Variability.E. T. Astuti and T. Yanagawa 398 Age-Adjusted Exact Trend Tests in the Event of Rare Occurrences. .J. Y. Mancuso. H. Ahn. J. J. Chen, and J. P. Mancuso 403 A Semiparametric Empirical Likelihood Method for Data from an Outcome-Dependent Sampling Scheme with a Continuous Outcome.H. Zhou. M. A. Weaver, J. Qin. M. P. Longnecker, and M. C. Wang 413 A General Approach to Confidence Regions for Optimal Factor Levels of Response Surfaces. .J. J. Peterson, S. Cahya. and E. del Castillo 422 Self-Designing Two-Stage Trials to Minimize Expected Costs.C. T. Thach and L. D. Fisher 432 CONSULTANT’S FORUM A Modification of Peto's Nonparametric Estimation of Survival Curves for Interval-Censored Data.M. P. Ng 439 Generalized Additive Models with Interval-Censored Data and Time-Varying Covariates: Application to Human Immunodeficiency Virus Infection in Hemophiliacs.P, Bacchetti and C. Quale 443 Semiparametric .Maximum Likelihood for Nonlinear Regression with Measurement Errors. .E.-Y. Suh and D. W. Schafer 448 A Simple Bayesian Analysis of Misclassified Binary Data with a Validation Substudy. .G. J. Prescott and P, H. Garthwaite 454 Determination of the Unknown Age at First Capture of Western Rock Lobsters (Panulirus c\gniis) by Random Effects Model.Y. w'. Cheng and A. Y. C. Kuk 459 Likelihood Analysis for the Ratio of Means of Two Independent Log-Normal Distributions. .J. Wu. G. Jiang, A. C. M. Wong, and X. Sun 463 BOOK REVIEWS. 470 VI PART 3 (September 2002) REGULAR ARTICLES Statistical Inference for Familial Disease Clusters.C. Yu and D. Zelterman 481 Disease Mapping of Stage-Specific Cancer Incidence Data.L. Knorr-Held. G. RaBer, and N. Becker 492 Analysis of Survival Data from Case-Control Family Studies.J. H. Shih and N. Chatterjee 502 A Frailty Model for Informative Censoring.X. Huang and R. A. Wolfe 510 Use of Quasi-Least Squares to Adjust for Two Levels of Correlation.j. Shults and A. L. Morrow 521 Estimating the Number of Species in a Stochastic Abundance Model.A. Chao and J. Bunge 531 Integrating Mark-Recapture-Recovery and Census Data to Estimate Animal Abundance and Demographic Parameters.P. Besbeas, S. N. Freeman, B. J. T. Morgan, and E. A. Catchpole 540 Sample-Size Redetermination for Repeated Measures Studies.D. M. Zucker and J. Denne 548 Adaptive Decision Making in a Lymphocyte Infusion Trial.P. F. Thall, L. Y. T. Inoue, and T. G. Martin 560 Group Sequential Methods for an Ordinal Logistic Random-Effects Model Under Misspecification. .B. Spiessens. E. Lesaffre, G. Verbeke, and K. Kim 569 Design of a Binary Biomarker Study from the Results of a Pilot Study.. P. S. Albert. L. M. McShane, and E. L. Korn 576 Ranked Set Sampling for Replicated Sampling Designs.L. Barabesi and C. Pisani 586 A Nonparametric Bayesian Modeling Approach for Cytogenetic Dosimetry. .A. Kottas. M. D. Branco, and A. E. Gelfand 593 Estimation and Inference for a Spline-Enhanced Population Pharmacokinetic Model. .L. Li, M. B. Brown, K.-H. Lee, and S. Gupta 601 Small-Sample Inference for Incomplete Longitudinal Data with Truncation and Censoring in Tumor Xenograft Models.M. Tan. H.-B. Fang, G.-L. Tian and P. J. Houghton 612 Parameter Estimation in Longitudinal Studies with Outcome-Dependent Follow-Up. .S. R. Lipsitz. G. M. Fitzmaurice, J. G. Ibrahim, R. Gelber, and S. Lipshultz 621 A Latent Autoregressive Model for Longitudinal Binary Data Subject to Informative Missingness. .P. S. Albert, D. A. Follmann, S. A. Wang, and E. B. Suh 631 Median Regression with Censored Cost Data.H. Bang and A. A. Tsiatis 643 Accurate Critical Constants for the One-Sided Approximate Likelihood Ratio Test of a Normal Mean Vector When the Covariance Matrix Is Estimated.A. C. Tamhane and B. R. Logan 650 CONSULTANT’S FORUM Combining Several Screening Tests: Optimality of the Risk Score.M. W. McIntosh and M. S. Pepe 657 Quantifying the Change of Melanoma Incidence by Breslow Thickness. .J. Qin, M. Berwick. R. Ashbolt, and T. Dwyer 665 A Simple Technique to Evaluate Model Sensitivity in the Continual Reassessment Method. .Y. K. Cheung and R. Chappell 671 Analysis of Clustered and Longitudinal Binary Data Subject to Response Misclassification.J. M. Neuhaus 675 READER REACTION Estimating the Variance of Disease-Prevalence Estimates from Population-Based Registries. .L. X. Clegg. M. H. Gail, and E. J. Feuer 684 CORRESPONDENCE Letter to the Editor.S. Kotz and S. Nadarajah 689 BOOK REVIEWS 691 vii PART 4 (December 2002) REGULAR ARTICLES DNA Microarray Experiments: Biological and Technological Aspects . .D. V. Nguyen, A. B. Arpat, N. Wang, and R. J. Carroll 701 Extended Generalized Estimating Equations for Binary Familial Data with Incomplete Families. ..P. E. B. Fit/Gerald 718 Marginally Specified Generalized Linear Mixed Models: A Robust Approach. .J. E. Mills, C. A. Field, and D. J. Dupuis 727 Maximin D-Optimal Designs for Longitudinal Mixed Effects Models. .M. J. N. M. Ouwens, F. E. S. Tan, and M. P. F. Berger 733 A Semiparametric Likelihood Approach to Joint Modeling of Longitudinal and Time-to-Event Data. .X. Song, M. Davidian, and A. A. Tsiatis 742 Two-Level Proportional Hazards Models.J. J. Maples, S. A. Murphy, and W. G. Axinn 754 Cohort Case-Control Design and Analysis for Clustered Failure-Time Data.S.-E. Lu and M.-C. W'ang 764 Simultaneous Inferences on the Contrast of Two Hazard Functions with Censored Observations. .P. B. Gilbert, L. j. Wei, M. R. Kosorok, and J. D. Clemens 773 Penalized Partial Likelihood Regression for Right-Censored Data with Bootstrap Selection of the Penalty Parameter.J. Huang and D. Harrington 781 Estimation of Integrated Transition Hazards and Stage Occupation Probabilities for Non-Markov Systems Under Dependent Censoring.S. Datta and G. A. Satten 792 A Measure of the Proportion of Treatment Effect Explained by a Surrogate Marker .... Y. Wang and J. M. G. Taylor 803 Bayesian Modeling of Incidence and Progression of Disease from Cross-Sectional Data. .D. B. Dunson and D. D. Baird 813 Seamlessly Expanding a Randomized Phase II Trial to Phase III.L. Y. T. Inoue, P F. Thall, and D. A. Berry 823 Survival of Bowhead Whales, Btilaenu mysticetus. Estimated from 1981-1998 Photoidentification Data. ..J. Zeh, D. Poole, G. Miller, W, Koski, L. Baraff, and D. Rugh 832 Model Selection for Integrated Recovery/Recapture Data.R. King and S. P. Brooks 841 Robust Design and the Use of Auxiliary Variables in Estimating Population Size for an Open Population. .P. S. F. Yip, K. S. Chan, and E. C. Y. Wan 852 Adaptive Line Transect Sampling.J. H. Pollard, D. Palka, and S. T. Buckland 862 Segmented Regression in the Presence of Covariate Measurement Error in Main Study/Validation Study Designs .. .J. Staudenmayer and D. Spiegelman 871 Comparing the Effects of Continuous and Discrete Covariate Mismeasurement, with Emphasis on the Dichotomization of Mismeasured Predictors.P. Gustafson and N. D. Le 878 Testing Mutual Independence Between Two Discrete-Valued Spatial Processes: A Correction to Pearson Chi- Squared .A. Cerioli 888 A Hierarchical Aggregate Data Model with Spatially Correlated Disease Rates. .K. A. Guthrie, L. Sheppard, and J. Wakefield 898 Bayesian Methods for a Three-State Model for Rodent Carcinogenicity Studies.J. L. French and J. G. Ibrahim 906 On the Use of Historical Control Information for Trend Test in Carcinogenesis. .Y. Ma, J. Guo, N.-Z. Shi, and M.-L. Tang 917 Estimators of Tissue Proportions from X-Ray CT Images.C. A. Glasbey and C. D. Robinson 928 Semiparametric Modeling of Labeled-Cell Kinetics, with Application to Isotope Labeling of Erythrocytes. .H.-G. Muller, C.-L. Su, S. R. Dueker, Y. Lin, A. Clifford, B. A. Buch'holz, and J. S. Vogel 937 Profile-Likelihood Inference for Highly Accurate Diagnostic Tests. .J. V. Tsimikas, R. J. Bosch, B. A. Coull, and H. El Barmi 946 Sample Size Determination for Establishing Equivalence/Noninferiority via Ratio of Two Proportions in Matched- Pair Design.M.-L. Tang, N.-S. Tang, I. S.-F. Chan, and B. P.-S. Chan 957 Ranked Set Sampling: Cost and Optimal Set Size.R. W. Nahhas, D. A. Wolfe, and H. Chen 964 Exact Unconditional Inference for Risk Ratio in a Correlated 2x2 Table with Structural Zero. .N.-S. Tang and M.-L. Tang 972 CONSULTANT’S FORUM A Statistical Model for Investigating Binding Probabilities of DNA Nucleotide Sequences Using Microarrays. .M.-L. T. Lee, M. L. Bulyk, G. A. Whitmore, and G. M. Church 981 A Pattern-Mixture Model for Longitudinal Binary Responses with Nonignorable Nonresponse. .J. Birmingham and G. M. Fitzmaurice 989 Flexible Weighted Log-Rank Tests Optimal for Detecting Early and/or Late Survival Differences. .L. Wu and P. B. Gilbert 997 P-Value Adjustment in Sequential Clinical Trials.T. D. Cook 1005 Weighted Least-Squares Approach for Comparing Correlated Kappa.H. X. Barnhart and J. M. Williamson 1012 Overall Concordance Correlation Coefficient for Evaluating Agreement Among Multiple Observers. .H. X. Barnhart, M. Haber, and J. Song 1020 READER REACTION Probability Models and the Applicability of Statistical Procedures in the Identification of Chromosomal Fragile Sites.P. F. Dahm, A. W. Olmsted, and I. F. Greenbaum 1028 Rationale and Applicability of Analysis Methods for Identification of Chromosomal Fragile Sites—A Reply to Drs Dahm et al.C.-D. Hou and J. J. Tai 1032 A Note on Estimating Crude Odds Ratios in Case-Control Studies with Differentially Misclassified Exposure.R. H. Lyles 1034 BOOK REVIEWS. 1038 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 1049 viii r I