Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization – A Study of Selected European Airports Branko Bubalo Thesis submitted to the faculty of the University of Applied Sciences Berlin In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Diplom-Wirtschaftsingenieur Umweltmanagement Dr. Jürgen Müller Dr. Anne Graham Berlin, Germany, February 15, 2009 To my family, my best friend and partner Claudia and our lovely son Richard Alexius. Statutory Declaration I hereby confirm, that I have independently composed this Diploma Thesis and that no other than the indicated aid and sources have been used. This work has not been presented to any other examination board. ___________________________________ (Branko Bubalo), Berlin, February 15, 2009 Table of Contents Table of Contents Table of Contents .................................................................................................................4 Abbreviations .......................................................................................................................6 Sample Airports .................................................................................................................11 Basic Annual Indicators for Sample Airports .................................................................12 Preface .................................................................................................................................15 1 Introduction ..............................................................................................................18 1.1 Recent Developments and Future Outlook in Air Transportation ............................ 19 1.2 Fuel Prices Affecting Air Transportation ................................................................. 24 1.3 New Airspace Surveillance Technologies ................................................................ 25 1.4 Capacity .................................................................................................................... 26 1.5 Ultimate Capacity ..................................................................................................... 30 2 Methodologies and Models ......................................................................................31 2.1 Data Collection ......................................................................................................... 32 2.2 Peak Period Estimation and Data .............................................................................. 33 2.3 Considerations Concerning the Data ........................................................................ 37 2.4 The Benchmarking Concept ..................................................................................... 38 2.5 Criticism and Findings of Technical, Operational and Infrastructural Inputs used in Previous Benchmarking Studies ............................................................................... 40 3 Airport Capacity Assessment..................................................................................44 3.1 The “Kanafani Model” and Assessment Results ...................................................... 46 3.2 Analytical Model for Calculating Ultimate Capacity ............................................... 51 3.3 Simulation Setup ....................................................................................................... 54 3.3.1 Available Simulation Models ..................................................................... 54 3.3.2 Single Runway Airports .............................................................................. 58 3.3.3 Airport Charts ............................................................................................. 59 3.3.4 Airport Coordinates .................................................................................... 60 3.3.5 Separation Minima and Wake Vortex Classification.................................. 61 3.3.6 Weather Data .............................................................................................. 63 3.3.7 Wind Direction............................................................................................ 64 3.3.8 Preferential Runway System ....................................................................... 66 3.3.9 Apron, Runway Exits and Taxiway layout ................................................. 67 3.3.10 Gate, Departure Queue and Airspace ...................................................... 68 3.4 Simulation Run and Scenarios .................................................................................. 69 Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 4 Table of Contents 4 Results of the Simulation Benchmarking ..............................................................70 4.1 Results for the LHR and BBI Simulations ................................................................ 74 4.2 Traffic Flows at the Simulated Airports ................................................................... 77 5 Summary of Results and Conclusions ....................................................................80 6 Outlook......................................................................................................................83 References and further readings ......................................................................................85 Electronic and Internet Sources .......................................................................................96 Appendix .............................................................................................................................99 Figures 23...................................................................................................................... 102 Figures 26 and 27 .......................................................................................................... 112 Figures 16...................................................................................................................... 117 Figures 17...................................................................................................................... 147 Figures 18...................................................................................................................... 168 Figures 19...................................................................................................................... 178 Figures 28...................................................................................................................... 185 Contacts............................................................................ 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Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 5 Abbreviations Abbreviations ABS Airport Business Suite ACD Airport Capacity And Delay ACI Airports Council International ADRM Airport Development Reference Manual ADS-B Automatic Dependent Surveillance Broadcast ADV Arbeitsgemeinschaft Deutscher Verkehrsflughäfen AO Annual Operations AP Annual Passengers ARC Aachen Research Center ARR Arrival ASV Annual Service Volume ATA Air Transport Association ATAC The Air Transport Association of Canada ATC Air Traffic Control ATM Air Traffic Management ATS Air Traffic System ATSL Air Transportation Systems Laboratory BAA British Airport Authority BRIC Brazil, Russia, India, China (emerging Markets) BSE Berlin School of Economics CAA Civial Aviation Authority CAMACA Commonly Agreed Methodology for Airport Airside Capacity Assessment CDM Collaborative Decision Making CEO Chief Executive Officer CFMU Central Flow Management Unit DEP Departure DFS Deutsche Flugsicherung DfT Department for Transport DOT U.S. Department of Transportation DPH Design Peak Hours FAA Federal Aviation Administration FSX Flight Simulator® (Microsoft) GAP German Airport Performance GE Google Earth® (Software) GPS Global Positioning System GUI Grafical User Interface Software H Aircraft Class Heavy (> 136,000 kg) Ha Hectar HO Design Peak Hour Operation HP Design Peak Hour Passengers IATA International Air Transport Association ICAO International Civial Aviation Organization IFR Instrument Flight Rules INM Integrated Noise Model IMC Instrument Meteorological Conditions IVAO International Virtual Aviation Association L Aircraft Class Large (7,000 to 136,000 kg) Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 6 Abbreviations LCC Low Cost Carriers, Low Fares Airline M refer to L MIT Massachuchettes Institute of Technology MTOW Maximum Take-Off weight Mvts Movements (Ops and Flights) NAS National Airspace System NASA National Aeronautics ans Space Administration NGATS Next Generation Air Transportation System NextGen Next Generation Air Transportation System NLR National Aerospace Laboratory of the Netherlands nmi Nautical Miles OAG Official Airline Guide Ops Operations PACS Pan-European Airport Capacity and Delay Analysis Support PAX Passengers PD Peak Days PDTHUW26 Design Peak Day, Thursday of Week 26 PH Peak Hour PHW122009 Peak Hour Of Week 12, 2009 PPP Public Private Partnership RAMS Reorganized ATC Mathematical Simulator RNP Required Navigation Performance ROT Runway Occupancy Time Rwy Runway S Aircraft Class Small (<7000 kg) SES Single European Sky SESAR Single European Sky ATM Research Programme SIMMOD Airport and Airspace Simulation Model SLF Seat Load Factor TAAM Total Airspace and Airport Modeler THENA Thematic Network on Airport Activities TRB Transportation Research Board UK United Kingdom USD United-States Dollar VFR Visual Flight Rules Virginia Tech Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University VMC Visual Meteorological VS Visual SIMMOD Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 7 List of Figures Main Text Figure 1 Annual Passengers at Sample European Airports with above 10 million PAX from 2003 to 2007 (Bubalo 2009, EUROSTAT 2008) page 11 Figure 2 Annual Passengers at Sample European Airports with below 10 million PAX from 2003 to 2007 (Bubalo 2009, EUROSTAT 2008) page 11 Figure 3 Annual Flights at Sample European Airports with above 100,000 flights from 2003 to 2007 (Bubalo 2009, EUROSTAT 2008) page 12 Figure 4 Annual Flights below 100,000 Operations at Sample European Airports from 2003 to 2007 (Source: Bubalo 2009, EUROSTAT 2008) page 12 Figure 5 Passengers and Operations Change from 2003 to 2007 (Source: Bubalo 2009, EUROSTAT 2008) page 13 Figure 6 Most Constraining Points in European Air Traffic in 2007 page 13 Figure 7 Annual monthly traffic and variations (PRC 2007) page 19 Figure 8 The long-term view of growth is of a stable long-termed trend page 29 Figure 9 Ranking of the main global hubs (Ambrosetti 2008) page 21 Figure 10 Limiting Factors for Capacity and Interdependencies at Airports page 26 Figure 11 Target Groups and Offerings at Airports (Bubalo 2009 adapted from Leutenecker & Fraport 2008) page 28 Figure 12 Relationship between delay-related and ultimate capacity page 29 Figure 13 Traffic and total delays comparison with equivalent weeks of the previous year (CFMU 2008) page 34 Figure 14 Capacity and ASV for long-range planning (FAA 1995) page 39 Figure 15 Groupings of runway configurations in relation to Annual Service Volume (ASV), (Bubalo 2009 derived from FAA 1995) page 40 Figure 16a STN Weekdays Operations Pattern and Capacities page 44 Figure 17a Assumption Rectangle and Capacities of FRA Airport for the year 2007/2008 (Bubalo 2009) page 48 Figure 18a Typical Capacity Envelope for LHR airport page 51 Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 8 Figure 18b Typical Capacity Envelope for IST airport page 51 Figure 19a STR Airport Layout for SIMMOD page 59 Figure 20 Vortex generation on take-off and landing (CAA 1999) page 60 Figure 21 Ceiling and Visibility Routines (De Neufville 2003) page 61 Figure 22 Example printout of windrose (two bi-directional runways) page 63 Figure 23a Example BHX Flights and Delays per Flight from SIMMOD page 69 Figure 24 LHR airport SIMMOD simulation for 20% growth scenario page 74 Figure 25 BBI airport SIMMOD simulation for 100% growth scenario page 74 Figure 26 Flows of Airport Traffic at LHR: SIMMOD Base and 20% growth scenario, (Bubalo 2009) page 75 Figure 27 Flows of Airport Traffic at BBI Airport: SIMMOD Base, 20% and 100% growth scenario, (Bubalo 2009) page 77 Appendix Figures 16 Weekday Operations Pattern and Capacities (Demand Diagrams) for Sample Airports pp. 117 Figures 17 Assumption Rectangles for Sample Airports pp. 147 Figures 18 Typical Capacity Envelopes for Selected Airports pp. 169 Figures 19 Airport Layout for SIMMOD Sample Airports pp. 179 Figures 23 Flights and Delays per Flight from SIMMOD pp. 102 Figures 28 Airport Charts for Sample Airports pp. 186 Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 9 List of Tables Table 1 Sample Airports and Codes, (Bubalo 2009) page 10 Table 2 Freedom of Action for Airlines before and after Deregulation (De Neufville 2008) page 20 Table 3 Top Five Traffic Days 2005-08 (EUROCONTROL CFMU 2008) page 33 Table 4 Basic Indicators and Airport Configurations Groups for sample airports (Bubalo 2009) pp. 41/42 Table 5 'Static' Capacity Assessment (Bubalo 2009) pp. 46/47 Table 6 Weight parameters (CAA 1999) page 61 Table 7 Average Seatload Factors for Sample Airports page 116 Table 8 SIMMOD arrivals injection time adjustment for flight schedule data, (Bubalo 2009) page 178 Benchmarking Airport Productivity and the Role of Capacity Utilization 10
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