A u t h o r i t a r i a n R u s s i a Pitt Series in Russian and East European Studies Jonathan Harris, Editor A u t h o r i t a r i a n R u s s i a Analyzing Post-Soviet Regime Changes Vladimir Gel’man Uni versi t y of Pi t tsburgh Press Published by the University of Pittsburgh Press, Pittsburgh, Pa., 15260 Copyright © 2015, University of Pittsburgh Press All rights reserved Manufactured in the United States of America Printed on acid-free paper 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 ISBN 10: 0-8229-6368-X ISBN 13: 978-0-8229-6368-4 Cataloging-in-publication data is on file with the Library of Congress. To Oxana and Eva C o n t e n t s acknowledgments ix preface xi Chapter 1. Regime Changes in Russia The Road of Disillusionment 1 Chapter 2. Russia’s Flight from Freedom Why? 17 Chapter 3. The Roaring 1990s Conflicts and Compromises 43 Chapter 4. The (In)famous 2000s Imposed Consensus 71 Chapter 5. The Unp redictable 2010s Rising Challenges 99 Chapter 6. The Agenda for Tomorrow 129 notes 155 index 201 A c k n o w l e d g m e n t s this book has been the result of numerous scholarly ventures over sev- eral years, and several institutions and many people have accompanied me in these ventures in various ways. First and foremost, I am indebted to my academic home, the European University at St. Petersburg, where I have been honored to teach and conduct research since 1996. The experience of an en- couraging scholarly environment, support from the university leadership, and exchanges of ideas with colleagues in the Department of Political Science and Sociology and the Center for Modernization Studies have greatly enriched me and shaped my agenda to a major degree. I would like to thank, in par- ticular, Grigorii Golosov, Boris Firsov, Oleg Kharkhordin, Boris Kolonitsky, Ella Paneyakh, Eduard Ponarin, Mikhail Sokolov, Anna Temkina, Dmitry Travin, Vadim Volkov, Andrei Zaostrovtsev, and Elena Zdravomyslova. A number of talented former students (some of whom went on to become schol- ars themselves) encouraged me to provide them with better examples of my own research—especially Elena Belokurova, Alexey Gilev, Kirill Kalinin, Egor Lazarev, Maria Nozhenko, Yevgeniya Popova, Andrey Scherbak, Anton Shirickov, Andrei Starodubtsev, Anna Tarasenko, and Margarita Zavadskaya (to name just a few). I also owe a major debt to the Aleksanteri Institute at the University of Helsinki, where I have worked since 2012 as a Finland Distinguished Professor thanks to the support of the Academy of Finland. The Institute’s director, Markku Kivinen, offered me a unique opportunity to be the servant of two masters and to work and live in two cities, St. Petersburg and Helsinki. My special thanks go to my Finland-based colleagues, especially Risto Alapuro, Sari Autio-Sarasmo, Jukka Gronow, Tuomas Forsberg, Markku Kangaspuro, Meri Kulmala, Jussi Lassila, Markku Lonkila, Arkady Moshes, Anna-Maria Salmi, Hanna Smith, and numerous others. We discussed various drafts of book chapters and some related pieces during many seminars and conferences, from Perm to Iowa City and from Uppsala to Vienna. Among many scholars with whom I found it useful to exchange ideas and share thoughts, I would ix
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