1122221166__99778899881111223344554455__TTPP..iinndddd 11 1188//55//2211 1111::2266 AAMM Other World Scientific Titles by the Author Causality, Correlation and Artificial Intelligence for Rational Decision Making ISBN: 978-981-4630-86-3 Handbook of Machine Learning Volume 1: Foundation of Artificial Intelligence ISBN: 978-981-3271-22-7 Handbook of Machine Learning Volume 2: Optimization and Decision Making ISBN: 978-981-120-566-8 YYuuSShhaann -- 1122221166 -- AArrttiiffiicciiaall IInntteelllliiggeennccee aanndd EEmmeerrggiinngg TTeecchhnnoollooggiieess..iinndddd 11 1188//55//22002211 1111::5555::4499 aamm 1122221166__99778899881111223344554455__TTPP..iinndddd 22 1188//55//2211 1111::2266 AAMM Published by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. 5 Toh Tuck Link, Singapore 596224 USA office: 27 Warren Street, Suite 401-402, Hackensack, NJ 07601 UK office: 57 Shelton Street, Covent Garden, London WC2H 9HE Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Ndzendze, Bhaso, author. | Marwala, Tshilidzi, 1971– author. Title: Artificial intelligence and emerging technologies in international relations / Bhaso Ndzendze, Tshilidzi Marwala. Description: Hackensack, New Jersey : World Scientific, [2021] | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifiers: LCCN 2020055715 | ISBN 9789811234545 (hardcover) | ISBN 9789811234552 (ebook for institutions) | ISBN 9789811234569 (ebook for individuals) Subjects: LCSH: Technology and international relations. | Artificial intelligence--Political aspects. | Geopolitics. Classification: LCC JZ1254 .N47 2021 | DDC 327--dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020055715 British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library. Copyright © 2021 by World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd. All rights reserved. This book, or parts thereof, may not be reproduced in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording or any information storage and retrieval system now known or to be invented, without written permission from the publisher. For photocopying of material in this volume, please pay a copying fee through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA. In this case permission to photocopy is not required from the publisher. For any available supplementary material, please visit https://www.worldscientific.com/worldscibooks/10.1142/12216#t=suppl Typeset by Stallion Press Email: [email protected] Printed in Singapore YYuuSShhaann -- 1122221166 -- AArrttiiffiicciiaall IInntteelllliiggeennccee aanndd EEmmeerrggiinngg TTeecchhnnoollooggiieess..iinndddd 22 1188//55//22002211 1111::5555::4499 aamm May19,2021 11:52 ArtificialIntelligenceandEmergingTechnologies... 9inx6in b4211-fm pagev Preface Seismic changes are sweeping the globe because of the Fourth Indus- trialRevolution(4IR).The4IRisanerawheretechnologiesarebecoming intelligentandthusblurringthelinesbetweenthecyber,physicalandbio- logical spaces.The technologies that are driving these changes include Artificial Intelligence, Blockchain and Internet of Things.These technolo- gies are transforming every sphere of human activity and interaction; no sphere is left untouched — from security threats, to commercial flows, to internationallaw.Yetchangesofatechnologicalnaturearenotanewphe- nomenon.Indeed,thepresentworldisaresultofchangeswhichtookplace inthepast. This text is an overview of technology dynamics in International Rela- tions (IR). In seven chapters, this book reviews the interconnectedness between technology and the international political economy.The book is particularly concerned with the development, deployment, transfer, man- agementanddisposaloftechnologiesinhistoricalandcontemporaryper- spective.It begins with the life cycles of technologies (Chapter 2) before examininginternationally-produceddomesticdilemmasanddevelopments (Chapters3–5)andtheroletechnologyplaysinIRasinternationalactors seek to maximize the gains and minimize the downsides of technology (Chapters 6–8).In this arena, technology emerges as a subject of diplo- macy, as well as its catalyst and increasingly diplomacy’s focal point in termsoftransnationalissues. v B1948 Governing Asia TTTThhhhiiiissss ppppaaaaggggeeee iiiinnnntttteeeennnnttttiiiioooonnnnaaaallllllllyyyy lllleeeefffftttt bbbbllllaaaannnnkkkk BB11994488__11--AAookkii..iinndddd 66 99//2222//22001144 44::2244::5577 PPMM May19,2021 11:52 ArtificialIntelligenceandEmergingTechnologies... 9inx6in b4211-fm pagevii Acknowledgements WewishtoexpressourappreciationtotheincrediblestaffatWorldScientific for their incredible support throughout the writing and production of this book.OureditorYuShanTayplayedacriticalroleinallthevariousstages of the project, from proposal to manuscript to the production of the book. Commentsbytheanonymousreviewerspolishedtheworkfurther.Weare thankfulfortheirinputs. As a token of our appreciation, this book is dedicated to the staff and students of the University of Johannesburg, who have shown resilience and adaptability throughout the difficulties and challenges brought on by theCOVID-19pandemic.Theirembraceof,andcriticalengagementwith, the various aspects of the 4IR has provided the environment needed for thepursuitoftheideasexploredinthisvolume. SpecialthanksinthisregardalsogoestoourstudentsinthePOL8X27 group(TechnologyDynamicsinInternationalRelations)classof2020,from whose lectures many elements of this book were developed or further honed.Their dedication and enthusiasm towards the module in the face ofunprecedentedconditionswasinspiring. BhasoNdzendze,PhDandTshilidziMarwala,PhD Johannesburg April2021 vii B1948 Governing Asia TTTThhhhiiiissss ppppaaaaggggeeee iiiinnnntttteeeennnnttttiiiioooonnnnaaaallllllllyyyy lllleeeefffftttt bbbbllllaaaannnnkkkk BB11994488__11--AAookkii..iinndddd 66 99//2222//22001144 44::2244::5577 PPMM May19,2021 11:52 ArtificialIntelligenceandEmergingTechnologies... 9inx6in b4211-fm pageix Contents Preface v Acknowledgements vii ListofAbbreviations xi ListofFigures xv ListofTables xvii Chapter1. Introduction:ArtificialIntelligenceandOther EmergingTechnologies 1 Chapter2. TechnologyandSocietyinHistoricalContext 17 Chapter3. TechnologyFlowsandTransfers 39 Chapter4. Policy,PoliticsandEmergingTechnologies 63 Chapter5. Infrastructure,IndustrialisationandDevelopment 85 Chapter6. TechnologyandWar 101 Chapter7. TechnologyandRegionalIntegration 125 Chapter8. DiplomaticEngagementandTechnology 141 Chapter9. Conclusion: TowardsanInternationalRelations TechnologyResearchAgenda 159 Index 165 ix