MOOMBA TO ADELAIDE NATURAL GAS PIPELINE (Moomba to Adelaide Pipeline System) APPLICATION UNDER SECTIONS 1.24 AND 1.25 OF THE NATIONAL THIRD PARTY ACCESS CODE FOR NATURAL GAS PIPELINE SYSTEMS FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE March 2005 Epic Energy South Australia Pty Ltd ACN 068 599 815 Level 8, 60 Collins Street Melbourne Victoria 3000 CONTACT: Stephen Livens TELEPHONE: (03) 8626 8414 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION Table of Contents 1. FORMAL APPLICATION DETAILS.....................................................................................................2 2. BACKGROUND INFORMATION..........................................................................................................6 PIPELINE AND CONTRACTED CAPACITY – THE POSITION NOW AND IN THE FUTURE..........................................6 HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT OF MAPS..............................................................................................................7 OWNERSHIP AND OPERATION OF MAPS...........................................................................................................9 3. MAJOR COMMERCIAL ISSUES........................................................................................................10 GAS SUPPLY ..............................................................................................................................................10 GAS DEMAND ..............................................................................................................................................10 GAS TRANSMISSION INFRASTRUCTURE...........................................................................................................11 SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE......................................................................................................................12 ELECTRICITY MARKET IMPACTS ON GAS DEMAND...........................................................................................12 4. DEVELOPMENT AND INTRODUCTION OF THIRD PARTY ACCESS RIGHTS ON THE MAPS......................................................................................................................................................14 OVERVIEW ..............................................................................................................................................14 COMMITMENT TO INDUSTRY CODE OF CONDUCT............................................................................................15 5. GROUNDS FOR REVOCATION – CRITERION (B)........................................................................18 DEFINITION OF SERVICES.................................................................................................................................18 RECENT MOVES TO BROADEN THE DEFINITION OF SERVICES..........................................................................19 RECOMMENDED APPLICATION OF REVISED DEFINITION...................................................................................22 MAPS LATERAL PIPELINES..............................................................................................................................24 CONCLUSIONS ON UNECONOMIC TO DUPLICATE..............................................................................................26 6. GROUNDS FOR REVOCATION - CRITERION (A).........................................................................28 APPROACH TO ASSESSING CRITERION (A).......................................................................................................28 MARKET DEFINITION - UPSTREAM MARKET(S)................................................................................................30 MARKET DEFINITION - DOWNSTREAM MARKET(S)...........................................................................................31 MARKET DEFINITION CONCLUSIONS................................................................................................................36 PROMOTION OF COMPETITION – APPROACH TO ASSESSING...........................................................................37 PROMOTION OF COMPETITION - THE UPSTREAM MARKET...............................................................................39 PROMOTION OF COMPETITION - THE DOWNSTREAM GAS SALES MARKET ALONG THE MAPS AND THE PORT PIRIE/WHYALLA LATERAL.....................................................................................................40 PROMOTION OF COMPETITION - DOWNSTREAM GAS SALES MARKET IN SOUTH EAST AUSTRALIA.................42 PROMOTION OF COMPETITION - DOWNSTREAM ELECTRICITY SALES MARKET...............................................44 7. GROUNDS FOR REVOCATION - CRITERION (C).........................................................................46 8. GROUNDS FOR REVOCATION - CRITERION (D).........................................................................47 10. GLOSSARY............................................................................................................................................50 CONFIDENTIAL MAPS....................................................................................................................................53 ENERGY MARKET ANALYSIS......................................................................................................................55 APPLICATION OF THE HYPOTHETICAL NEW ENTRANT TEST..........................................................77 WORKABLE COMPETITION IN THE DUOPOLY AIRLINE MARKET....................................................84 MAPS Revocation Application Page 1 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION 1. Formal Application Details 1.1 Applicant’s name and contact details Applicant’s name: Epic Energy South Australia Pty Ltd (“Epic Energy”) (ACN 068 599 815) Contact details for Epic Energy: Manager, Regulation Risk & Insurance Epic Energy Level 8, 60 Collins Street, Melbourne Victoria 3000 Phone: (03) 8626 8414 Fax: (03) 8626 8454 1.2 Applicant’s address for the delivery of documents Documents should be sent by mail and (where possible) e-mail to the following addresses: Mailing address: Epic Energy Level 8, 60 Collins Street, Melbourne Victoria 3000 Email: [email protected] MAPS Revocation Formal Application Final 150305 Page 2 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION 1.3 Description of the Covered Pipeline The Covered Pipeline comprises the following parts of the Moomba to Adelaide Pipeline System (the “MAPS”): (a) the Covered Pipeline as described in Schedule A of the Code (reproduced below) as follows: Pipeline Location/Route Operator Length (km) Pipe Regulator Licence diameter (mm) SA:PL1 Moomba to Adelaide Epic ACCC Pipeline System Energy Pty Ltd * Moomba to Adelaide 781 559 Pipeline Angaston Lateral 38.7 219 Taperoo Lateral 1.2 323 Dry Creek Lateral 1.3 323 Peterborough Lateral 1.9 89 Nurioopta Lateral 1.6 114 Burra Lateral 15 89 Port Pirie Lateral 77.8 168 Mintaro Lateral 0.3 219 Wasleys to Torrens 42 508 Island Loop Whyalla Lateral 87.7 219 Port Bonython Lateral 5.5 114 Tarac 0.4 89 Port Douglas Lateral 11.5 114 Osborne Lateral 1.3 273 *Epic Energy Pty Ltd has never been the operator of the MAPS – the correct operator was, and remains, Epic Energy Corporate Shared Services Pty Ltd (“EECSS”). (b) the following enhancements to the pipeline system that have been carried out since 11 November 1997: − the upgrading of all of the Solar Centaur compressor units in 1998 to Solar Taurus units; and − the upgrading of the Alison compressor units in 1998 at CS2 (one unit) and CS4 (both units). MAPS Revocation Application Page 3 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION For the avoidance of doubt, the Covered Pipeline does not include the following parts of the MAPS (“uncovered pipeline”) • the New Facilities or expansion in capacity of the pipeline effected pursuant to the Pelican Point Power Extension/Expansion which in 1999, 2000 and 2001 involved: − the upgrade of the remaining Allison compressor units (at CS1, CS3, CS5 and CS6); − 34 kilometres of looping of the MAPS mainline at various locations between CS1 and CS5; − the construction of a 1.7km lateral from the mainline to the location of the power station known as the Pelican Point Power Station together with a meter station at the downstream end of the lateral; and − the installation of an additional compressor unit at Wasleys to provide additional pressure service to the mainline loop of the MAPS; • the 10.2km x 4” Amcor lateral and meter station; • the 0.12km x 6” Quarantine Power Station lateral and meter station; and • the 0.72km x 8” Hallet Power Station lateral and meter station. A confidential map showing the physical location of the MAPS is contained in Attachment A. For security reasons, a copy of this map will only be made available to bona fide access seekers, the NCC, its staff and the Minister. 1.4 Name of the Covered Pipeline operator and owner The MAPS is owned by Epic Energy. The MAPS is operated by EECSS under a services agreement with Epic Energy. Epic Energy is the Service Provider under the Code. 1.5 Whether the applicant is seeking revocation of coverage of all or part of the covered pipeline Epic Energy is seeking revocation of coverage of the entire Covered Pipeline, and any further extensions or expansions as might be described under sections 1.40 and 1.41 of the Code. 1.6 Reason for seeking revocation of coverage of the pipeline MAPS Revocation Application Page 4 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION Epic Energy is seeking revocation of coverage because it submits that the NCC and the Minister can not be satisfied of all of the matters set out in paragraphs (a), (b) and (d) of section 1.9 of the Code. A detailed substantiation is set out in the following sections of this application. MAPS Revocation Application Page 5 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION 2. Background information 2.1 This section of the submission briefly outlines Epic Energy’s reasons for making the revocation application for the Covered Pipeline and provides supporting background material. 2.2 The following background information is intended to provide a relevant context for the consideration of each of the coverage criteria, which are individually addressed in later sections of this submission. Pipeline and contracted capacity – the position now and in the future 2.3 The MAPS was originally constructed in 1969 by the South Australian Government and was operated by the Pipelines Authority of South Australia (PASA) until 1995. Since then, its capacity has been enhanced in various stages so that the maximum capacity of the MAPS is now 418 TJ/day. The maximum capacity of the Covered Pipeline is, however, only 393 TJ/day. 2.4 Allowing for operational factors such as the impact of summer temperatures, the firm capacity of the Covered Pipeline as configured in December 2004 is 323TJ/day and of the system including the uncovered portion is 348TJ/day. 2.5 More details as to how and when the capacity of the MAPS was expanded over time are set out in paragraph 2.15 of this application. 2.6 These expansions were carried out in order to meet the required demand of shippers1 which resulted in long term transportation contracts being signed by shippers. 2.7 Until the commissioning of the SEA Gas pipeline linking Victoria and South Australia in January 2004, the MAPS was the only transmission pipeline transporting gas to the South Australian market. At that time the MAPS firm capacity was fully contracted. However, the entry of the SEA Gas pipeline has effectively doubled the gas transportation capacity into South Australia and the share of gas transportation contracts held by the MAPS is forecast to decline dramatically upon expiration of current contracts. Throughput on the MAPS has already declined since commissioning of the SEA Gas pipeline. 2.8 The majority of these transportation contracts that supported the expansion of the MAPS to its current capacity however, come to an end in 2005. At that time, the Service Provider will have significant spare capacity on the MAPS. 2.9 While Epic Energy believes that it will be able to secure transportation contracts for the period following 2005, Epic Energy’s own forecasts and that of 1 The most recent expansion of the pipeline system (known as the “Pelican Point Power Expansion” see paragraph 1.3) carried out in 2000 and 2001, was done to meet the contractual obligations owed to one shipper. However, this is not part of the Covered Pipeline. MAPS Revocation Application Page 6 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION independent experts conclude that there will be a significant period following 2005 when the MAPS capacity will be significantly under utilised. 2.10 In Hastings’ Product Disclosure Statement for the Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund, Hastings forecast that MAPS contracted volumes would decline from 418 TJ/d in 2005 to 194 TJ/d in 2006.2 2.11 There are a number of reasons for this. These will be outlined in more detail later in this application. However, in summary they include: (i) the commissioning of a second transmission pipeline (the SEA Gas pipeline) into the main end-market served by the MAPS; (ii) competing demand from various downstream markets for the remaining Cooper Basin gas reserves; (iii) increased competition from alternative energy sources such as electricity interconnectors; and (iv) the statutory regime that applied to the pipeline until 2003 and the impact that this regime and its application had on the Service Provider’s ability to clear a “bottleneck” in the allocation of capacity for the period following 2005. This bottleneck was created by shippers. 2.12 Epic Energy is therefore incentivised to offer innovative, market based price and service offerings to customers in order to establish contracts to replace the expected reduction in contracted capacity and throughput following 2005. 2.13 Accordingly, based on the submissions outlined in this and subsequent sections of the application, Epic Energy submits that the NCC and the Minister could not be satisfied of one or more of the matters set out in paragraphs (a), (b) and (d) of Section 1.9 of the Code and, therefore, the NCC must recommend, and the Minister must decide, that coverage of the Covered Pipeline be revoked to the extent described in this application. Historical development of MAPS 2.14 Initially, it is important to understand how the development of the capacity of the MAPS has evolved over time. 2.15 A chronology of the development of the MAPS is set out in the table below: 2 Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund Product Disclosure Statement p4 MAPS Revocation Application Page 7 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION Date Description 1969 • the MAP was constructed and commissioned as a free flowing pipeline from Moomba to Torrens Island 1977 • installation of Solar Centaur Compressors at CS1, 2, 3, 5 and 6 1979 • installation of Alison gas turbines at CS1, 2, 3, 4(2 off), CS5 and CS6 • installation of two Solar Centaur machines at CS7 1986 • construction of a 42km (20”) loop line between Wasleys and Torrens Island 1990 • installation of a compressor unit at Whyte Yarcowie 1996 • construction of the 1.2km x 10” Osborne lateral and meter station (note the last 0.2km has 8” diameter) 1998 • replacement of all of the original Solar Centaur units at CS1, CS2, CS3, CS5 and CS6 to Solar Taurus units • the upgrading of the power of the Alison engines at CS2, and both units at CS4 1999 • construction of the 1.7km x 14” Pelican Point lateral and meter station 2000 • Upgrading the power of the Alisons units at CS1, CS3, CS5 and CS6 • construction of 34 kilometres of 24” loop in four sections downstream of CS1, CS2, CS3 and CS4 • Installation of a reciprocating compressor unit at Wasleys to provide additional pressure service to the loop. 2001 • construction of 10.2km x 4” Amcor lateral and meter station • construction of 0.12km x 6” Quarantine Power Station lateral and meter station • construction of 0.72km x 8” Hallet Power Station lateral and meter station • upgrading of the power of one Solar Centaur unit at CS7 2.16 In 1977, the original free flowing MAPS from Moomba to Torrens Island Power Station was compressed with the installation of Solar Centaur Compressors at CS1, 2, 3, 5 and 6. 2.17 In 1979, the MAPS underwent a second enhancement with the installation of Alison gas turbines at CS1, 2, 3, 4 (2 of), CS5 and CS6. In addition, CS7 was also developed with the installation of 2 Solar Centaur machines. 2.18 The MAPS remained in this configuration until 1986 when a loop was constructed between Wasleys and Torrens Island. The purpose of the loop was two-fold, one to provide an alternative supply of gas from broad rural to metropolitan Adelaide as the original pipeline section was de-rated to 60% and, secondly, to provide higher pressure supply to the industrial areas and power generators being constructed in Adelaide. 2.19 In 1998, with additional loads required on the MAPS, a third enhancement was undertaken with the upgrading of all the original Solar Centaur machines to Solar Taurus machines together with the upgrading of some of the Alison engines. MAPS Revocation Application Page 8 MAPS APPLICATION FOR REVOCATION OF COVERAGE FORMAL APPLICATION SUBMISSION 2.20 In 2000, a further capacity enhancement was carried out with the upgrade of the remaining Alison engines and looping of 34 kilometres of the MAPS between CS1 and CS4. In addition a compressor was installed at Wasleys to provide additional pressure service to the loop. 2.21 The MAPS, as currently configured, is a 1,185 km system of pipelines3 providing a link within the integrated South East Australian energy market, including servicing Moomba, Adelaide and regional centres throughout South Australia. 2.22 The MAPS is comprised of a 781 kilometre trunk line between Moomba and Adelaide with a diameter of between 559 mm and 600 mm, two main lateral pipelines (the Whyalla and Port Pirie lateral and the Angaston lateral) and a series of customer specific laterals. 2.23 The maximum capacity of the covered elements of the MAPS (with compression but excluding the Pelican Point Power Station uncovered expansion discussed in paragraph 1.3) is 393TJ/day. Inclusion of the Pelican Point Power Station expansion increases maximum capacity of the system to approximately 418 TJ/day. Allowing for operational factors such as the impact of summer temperatures, the firm capacity of the Covered Pipeline as configured in December 2004 is 323TJ/day and of the system including the uncovered portion is 348TJ/day. Ownership and Operation of MAPS 2.24 In August 1994, US company Tenneco Gas, a subsidiary of Tenneco Inc, established Tenneco Gas Australia to invest in opportunities within the Australian gas industry. In July 1995, Tenneco Gas Australia acquired the operations and assets of PASA. In November 1995, the company changed its name to Tenneco Energy Australia after Tenneco Gas in the US changed its name to Tenneco Energy. In March 1996, Tenneco Inc announced its plan to sell off Tenneco Energy. The sale took place in December 1996 with US company El Paso Energy acquiring Tenneco Energy. 2.25 Epic Energy was created when El Paso Energy retained 30 percent of Tenneco Energy's Australian operations with the remaining 70 percent acquired by CNG International (30%); Allgas Energy (10%); AMP Investments (10%); Axiom Funds Management (10%) and Hastings Funds Management Limited (“Hastings”) (10%). 2.26 In June 2004 Hastings, through its subsidiary, HUT 3 Pty Ltd (now Epic Energy Holdings Pty Ltd), acquired ownership of Epic Energy and its assets excluding the Dampier to Bunbury Natural Gas Pipeline but including the MAPS and various other pipelines. 2.27 The assets owned by Epic Energy Holdings Pty Ltd (including the MAPS), were rolled into a fund called the Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund, and in December 2004 this Fund was listed on the ASX after a successful IPO. 3 Hastings Diversified Utilities Fund (HDUF), Product Disclosure Statement 2004, page 6. 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