EVIDENCE-BASEDRESEARCHONCHARITABLEGIVING Altruism, Identity and Financial Return: An Experiment on Microfinance Lending Josie I Chen and Louis Putterman Brown Un iversity Brown Un iversity Working Paper No.: 133 March 2015 Altruism, Identity and Financial Return: An Experiment on Microfinance Lending1 This version: February 21, 2015 Josie I Chen and Louis Putterman Abstract. We design a laboratory experiment to study willingness to lend and preference over borrowers in one-to-one on-line micro-finance lending. We find that both financial return and intrinsic (philanthropic) motivation affect the amount lent, with no evidence that the former crowds out the latter. Ethnic and other forms of identity have long been found to play a part in charitable and trust game contributions, but past studies have not ruled out impacts of face-to-face social pressures and differential assessments of riskiness. Our design eliminates social pressure and lets us control for two factors we elicit from the lenders/subjects: assessments of the likelihood of repayment by borrowers, as well as perception of their deservingness. We find that lenders are willing to trade greater risk in order to help more needy borrowers, but at a rate sensitive to the financial return condition. We find that lenders still show a statistically significant preference for borrowers with whom they share gender and ethnic similarity even after controlling for perceived riskiness, neediness, and other factors including physical attractiveness and weight. Keywords: microfinance, social entrepreneur, pro-social preferences, identity, gender, ethnicity JEL codes: C91, D64, J15, J16 1 We thank Pedro Dal Bó, Andrew Foster, Mark Dean and seminar participants at Brown’s Theory Workshop and at 2014 Economic Science Association International Meetings for helpful comments. This research was supported in part by Russell Sage Foundation and by William R. Rhodes Center. 1 1. Introduction After Mohammad Yunus and the Grameen Bank were awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2006, innovation in microfinance has been progressing and providers of financial services to the poor continue to evolve. Recently, social entrepreneurs have combined microfinance lending and on-line crowd-funding investment allowing for increased accessibility. On average, the microfinance borrowers pay 30% interest, most of which goes to the financial intermediaries to cover their operating expenses, rather than to the lenders.2 It is difficult to rule out that substantial amounts of surplus cash might be obtainable from savers in developed countries such as the United States -- where interest rates on savings and checking accounts are quite low -- if a small fraction of the interest paid by microfinance borrowers could be shared with them. At least hypothetically, such sharing of interest between intermediaries and individual online lenders could benefit both the lenders and the severely capital-constrained micro- entrepreneurs in less-developed countries. However, most intermediaries steer clear of offering interest for fear of destroying the philanthropic appeal of microfinance lending. What we see now is that the scale of existing rich country to poor country lending via microfinance intermediaries remains small.3 4 2 See Rosenberg, Richard, et al. "Microcredit interest rates and their determinants: 2004–2011." Microfinance 3.0. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 2013. 69-104. 3 Kiva.org is perhaps the largest microfinance websites in the world, with about $0.6 billion lent since its founding in 2005. Lenders at kiva.org recoup repaid principal but do not receive interest. There are many microfinance platforms differing in some substantial ways, including the amount of information given about the borrowers, whether lenders receive the principal and whether lenders earn interest. For example, lenders at worldvision.org select the initial loan recipient, but when the loan is repaid, World Vision keeps the cash and recycles it over and over again to the other entrepreneurs in the same country- similar to the wokai.org offering in China. Lenders at microplace.org select different "loan groups" with specific interest, but without knowing which specific borrowers made up these loan groups. When the loan group repays the loan, the lenders receive the loan amount and also the interest. Lenders at zidisha.org, select the loan recipient and receive the principal and interest when a loan is due. 4 According to the World Bank, there are approximately 2.5 billion people who do not have bank accounts and whose business could benefit from microcredit. However, data reported at the 2014 Microcredit 2 Motivated by the idea that microfinance lending might be falling short of its potential for scaling up, we study how intrinsic and extrinsic incentives influence the willingness of rich country residents to lend to small entrepreneurs in developing countries.5 A few studies have shown that existing microfinance lenders were motivated mostly by intrinsic incentives (Choo et al., 2014; Liu et al., 2012). Specifically, Chen et al. (2014) has explored how intrinsic incentives such as team competition could boost peoples’ willingness to lend. A large amount of research into donation, volunteering, and public goods shows that increasing extrinsic incentive may decrease peoples’ willingess to “do good things” (i.e. things with a positive externality), because the intrinsic incentives are diminished by the existence or strength of extrinsic incentives. The evidence of this “crowd-out effect” is shown in the empirical data, natural field experiments, and lab experiments (Ariely, Bracha and Meier, 2009; Deci, 1971; Frey, 1994; Frey and Oberholzer-Gee, 1997; Gneezy, Meier and Rey-Biel, 2011; Greezy and Rustichini, 2000; surveys in Lane, 1991; surveys in Ryan and Deci, 1985; and Titmuss, 1971). These studies, however, vary across just one of the dimensions, either intrinsic or extrinsic. It is unknown how these two incentives interact. For example, given an extrinsic incentive, does addition of an intrinsic incentive boost peoples’ willingness to do good things? If so, is the marginal effect of the intrinsic incentive increasing or decreasing in the strength of the extrinsic one? To explore how the dimensions of financial inducement and pro-social motives interact in motivating micro-finance Summit in Mérida, Mexico shows that only 116 million of the world’s poorest are reached by microfinance as of December 30, 2012. 5 We note, as an aside, that the extent of the benefits and possible harms caused by micro-finance are debated (see, for example, Morduch, 2013). That discussion must remain beyond the scope of our paper. 3 lending, we vary these two dimensions across treatments. In the first stage of our experiment, we ask subjects to choose a loan amount. We vary the first dimension of whether or not borrowers have a financial stake in their loan’s repayment and how profitable the lending could be. On the other hand, to shape the perception of neediness and the intrinsic incentives, we vary the second dimension of whether or not the initial description of the lending opportunity emphasizes its potential philanthropic appeal. We find that subjects are motivated to lend to microfinance borrowers both by financial inducement and by pro-social motives. While financial incentives matter, their importance decreases when lenders know that borrowers are micro-entrepreneurs from poor developing countries. While subjects who are informed that borrowers are micro- entrepreneurs lend more than subjects who are not informed, the difference is significant only when there is no financial stake for subjects. We explore the effect of financial returns not only upon lenders’ willingness to lend but also on their preference over borrowers. Research has shown that given different financial return conditions, lenders’ choices of borrowers are different: conditional on no possibility of repayment, which makes the lending decision more like a donation, research suggests that donors choose borrowers from a more needy, socially preferred, or morally preferred group in order to maximize the social impact (Eckel and Grossman, 1996; Fong and Oberholzer-Gee, 2011). Conditional on a given positive interest rate, standard theory suggests that lenders will choose a borrower perceived as having lower default risk (henceforth, “a less risky borrower”) in order to maximize the expected payoff. It is not currently known whether lenders still prefer less risky 4 borrowers in the former case and whether lenders still prefer more needy borrowers in the latter case. After eliciting subjects’ willingness to lend, influenced by rate of return and philanthropic or neutral description of lending opportunity, we ask them to report their assessments of the likelihood of repayment by each of twelve specific borrowers, as well as those borrowers’ individual levels of neediness. We then have subjects rank order their three most preferred loan recipients. We find that there is a trade-off between borrowers’ neediness and riskiness, at a rate sensitive to the financial return condition. When there is a financial stake, lenders’ preferred ranking of borrowers responds equally positively to a 1 standard deviation increase in perceived neediness or a 2 standard deviation decrease in perceived riskiness level. When there is no financial stake, the impact on the ranking of a 1 standard deviation increase in perceived neediness level is roughly equal to that of a 1 standard deviation decrease in perceived riskiness level. Our second stage structure also allows us to assess whether gender or ethnic ties influence microfinance lending. Ethnic and other forms of identity have long been thought to play an important role in private and non-profit contributions. Recent research has documented the importance of such factors in charitable and microfinance donation as well as in dictator game and trust game contributions (Fershtman and Gneezy, 2001; Fong and Luttmer; 2009; Galak, Small, and Stephen, 2013; Glaeser et. al, 2000; Rotemberg, 2012). A reason contributors may have shown a preference towards those sharing the same ethnic or racial identity could be that the ability of givers and recipients to view one another in the same room or track each other by name may have engendered 5 a sense of social pressure to cooperate or donate more, where a co-ethnic was a potential borrower. In addition, the reason such identity effects apply to microfinance lending and trust games could be that contributors may feel that people with whom they share an identity are lower-risk borrowers, who will generate higher expected returns. As far as we know, no study has ruled out both mechanisms, nor have studies of ethnic and gender preference in microfinance had available to them the detailed data on lender characteristics we collect from our subjects. Our online setting eliminates the social pressure effect, since the prospective recipients (borrowers) cannot look back at the subjects (prospective donors). Our experiment also lets us identify whether decrease in perceived risk is the main factor at work. First, in one condition but not the other, none of the repayment from borrowers is returned to lenders. By comparing lenders’ choices of borrowers in these two conditions, we can see whether the lenders show a stronger preference for certain borrowers when their own money is as risk. Second, our experiment lets us control for assessments of the likelihood of repayment by borrowers, as well as perception of their deservingness, both of which we elicit from the lenders/subjects. We find evidence of an identity effect: lenders have a bias towards lending to borrowers of matching ethnicity6 and to borrowers of the same gender. Moreover, controlling for perceived riskiness and neediness levels does not significantly reduce the identity effects, nor does the presence of a financial stake A rough calculation suggests that when lenders have a financial stake (or when lenders have no financial stake), they are willing to sacrifice 0.36 (0.29) standard deviations of perceived riskiness in order to 6 As further defined, below. 6 lend to a borrower of a matching ethnicity, and they are willing to sacrifice 0.32 (0.55) standard deviations of perceived riskiness to lend to a borrower of the same gender. While comparing the choice of borrowers and the loan amount in different microfinance platforms might be a potentially interesting way to address these issues, we choose instead to conduct a lab experiment in which subjects make choices at a website of our own construction. Our website shares some features of a microfinance platform but has an additional degree of experimenter control and information capture. Our reasons for conducting an experiment in this way include: (i) it is difficult, if not impossible, to identify demographic information (including ethnicity and gender), risk-bearing level and time preference of lenders from the data of existing platforms; (ii) we can structure the available borrower set in a manner that is infeasible on the existing websites; and (iii) on the existing websites, researchers have only collected data about those people who visit and make a loan, but have not collected data about those who may not have heard of or been motivated to visit the site, or those who visit the sites but do not make a loan. The motives of inexperienced agents and experienced agents may be very different. For example, in charity giving, research has found significant differences between cold list donors and warm list donors (Karlan, List and Shafir, 2011). Our aim is not so much to learn about the motives of existing lenders to microfinance, but rather to learn how varying the factors we focus on might affect lending by a broader cross-section of individuals (including ones who might be drawn to interest-bearing microfinance products yet to be designed). Our results are of interest not only in terms of possible ways of attracting more lenders and funds into microfinance but also insofar as they contribute to the literature on 7 social identity. In the former respect, our results suggest that offering interest to lenders will not only attract more lenders to make a loan, but also boost the average loan amount. In the latter respect, we provide evidence of positive effect of ethnic/gender ties in a setting free of mutual visibility, and when controlling for other borrower qualities including physical attractiveness and weight. These results suggest that riskiness and neediness, while important, do not explain the tendency for individuals to support individuals with whom they share certain common features. Thus, regardless of the financial return condition, matching lenders’ and borrowers’ ethnicities/genders can be an effective tactic. However, the probability of a borrower receiving a loan given his/her subjective qualities, such as their perceived neediness level and perceived riskiness level, might be affected by the repayment condition. Before concluding this summary, we think it important to mention an important caveat to bear in mind when interpreting our results regarding crowding out. While our participants’ philanthropic motivation is never entirely annulled by offering a financial return, the concern of microfinance website designers that such private gains might turn off lenders may have greater applicability when lenders perceive their gain to come at the expense of the poor borrower; our design reduces this perception given that most of the return can be attributed to the experimenter. We consider the impact of this concern for our study’s external validity in the concluding section of the paper. The rest of this paper proceeds as follows: Section 2 describes our experimental design. Section 3 reports results, and Section 4 is our conclusion. 8 2. Methodology 2.1 Experiment procedure The experiment consists of a set of pre-stage games and a core two-stage game. In the pre-stage games, we elicit subjects’ time preference and risk preference by two standard choice list tasks.7 Subjects are informed that with probability 0.1 one of the pre- stage decisions will be randomly chosen for payoff realization, and that if this occurs, they will learn the payment result at the end of the experiment, which prevents contamination of ensuing choices by a wealth effect. The risk aversion task confronts subjects with 10 rows, in each of which they must choose between an uncertain option and a certain one. The uncertain option is a lottery consisting of a 90% chance of getting $30 and a 10% chance of getting $0. The certain option is initially $16, and is increased by $2 in each subsequent row, reaching a maximum of $34. The great majority of subjects prefer the uncertain option initially and switch to a certain option at or before the latter’s maximum. Our measure of risk aversion is directly decreasing in the level of certain payoff at which a subject switches from the uncertain to certain option. In the time preference task, subjects are given 9 rows and are asked to choose between two certain options with different timing. One option is always receiving $10 at the end of the experiment session. The other option is an amount to be received in 18 months, which is $10 in the first row and rises by $5 in each subsequent row to a maximum of $50. Our measure of present time preference is directly decreasing in the level of the first delayed payoff the subject prefers to receiving $10 the same day. 7 The instruments used are chosen and revised from Sutter, Kocher, Glätzle-Rützler, and Trautmann (2013). This method has been widely used in experiments, see also Holt and Laury (2002). 9
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