ALL ABOUT HEDGE FUNDS Y L F M A E T TEAM FLY ® O T H E R T I T L E S I N T H E “A L L A B O U T. . .” F I N A N C E S E R I E S All About Bonds All About Commodities All About DRIPs and DSPs All About Futures All About Mutual Funds All About Options All About Real Estate Investing All About Stock Market Strategies All About Stocks All About Your 401(k) Plan All About Variable Annuities ALL ABOUT HEDGE FUNDS The Easy Way to Get Started ROBERT A. JAEGER, PH.D. McGraw-Hill New York Chicago San Francisco Lisbon London Madrid Mexico City Milan New Delhi San Juan Seoul Singapore Sydney Toronto Copyright ©2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Manufactured in the United States of America. 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Preface vii Acknowledgments xvii Introduction: The Basic Themes 1 PART ONE: THE HISTORICALAND INSTITUTIONALCONTEXT Chapter 1 The Historical Context 17 Chapter 2 Hedge Fund Managers and Clients 33 Chapter 3 Hedge Funds and the Brokerage Community 45 Chapter 4 The Lure of the Small 57 PART TWO: HEDGE FUNDS, ACTIVE MANAGEMENT, AND EFFICIENT MARKETS Chapter 5 The Hedge Fund Challenge 71 Chapter 6 Efficient Markets, Emotion, and Skill 77 Chapter 7 Efficiently Diversified Portfolios 91 Chapter 8 The Tyranny of the Cap-Weighted Indexes 115 PART THREE: THE TOOLS OF THE TRADE Chapter 9 Leverage, Short Selling, and Hedging 133 Copyright 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Click Here for Terms of Use. v vi Contents Chapter 10 Futures and Options 151 Chapter 11 AM/FM Investing: The Modulation of Returns 163 PART FOUR: SOME OPERATIONALISSUES Chapter 12 Legal and Regulatory Issues 181 Chapter 13 Performance Fees 193 Chapter 14 Tax Issues 197 PART 5: THE MENU OF HEDGE FUND STRATEGIES Chapter 15 An Overview of the Menu 207 Chapter 16 Equity Hedge Funds and Global Asset Allocators 229 Chapter 17 Relative-Value Investing 241 Chapter 18 Event-Driven Investing 263 Conclusion 283 AppendixI The EACM 100®Index 291 AppendixII Suggestions for Further Reading 293 Glossary 297 Index 301 P R E FA C E W e all enjoy stories in which extraordinary things happen to ordi- nary people. An unemployed auto worker wins a $100 million lottery jackpot. An 85-year-old mother of five and grandmother of 15 final- ly goes back to college to complete her degree. We take pleasure in both situations, but the second case is more satisfying since the good news is not the result of luck, but the result of hard work, grit, and courage. We love to see virtue rewarded. We also enjoy stories in which ordinary things happen to extra- ordinary people. For example, some member of the rich and famous set has to deal with divorce or major financial reversals. The story is always more interesting when the bad news is not merely the result of bad luck, but is the result of too much self-indulgence, too much power, too much free time, or too much brainpower. Then we can blame the celebrities for the terrible things that happen to them. We love to see vice punished. Reading about hedge funds in the newspaper is often like read- ing about celebrity divorce and other miseries. Bad things are hap- pening, but the victims deserve it. After all, hedge funds are general- ly described in newspapers as secretive, unregulated investment vehi- cles that enable wealthy individuals to make highly leveraged spec- ulative bets in the global financial and commodity markets. So the people who invest in hedge funds are rich people who can afford the losses and perhaps should have known better. And the people who manage hedge funds are routinely described as investment cowboys who take a healthy percentage of the profits earned by their investors. If a hedge fund is down 50 percent because of bad trading decisions, or if a fraudulent hedge fund manager siphons off the money to buy cars and houses, the story can make entertaining reading. The story is another reminder of the terrible things that can happen to the rich, but usually the story does not affect us directly. The wicked are get- ting what they deserve, but we don’t have to worry because we’re in another category altogether. Copyright 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. Click Here for Terms of Use. vii viii Preface Hedge funds can be very risky. When things go wrong in the world of hedge funds, they can go very wrong. And when things go very wrong, the stories are very colorful. But the colorful stories are not fully representative of the hedge fund business. They ignore the substantial number of hedge fund managers who labor quietly in the shadows to produce decent returns for their investors. But this kind of low-profile work does not make for colorful newspaper articles. Hence this book, which is designed to present a picture of hedge funds that is more balanced, and more detailed, than the picture you would form from reading the newspaper headlines. But it’s natural to begin with some disaster stories. Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) was a large hedge fund that experienced major financial distress in August 1998. LTCM was formed by an unusually distinguished group of money man- agers. Many of them had had remarkably successful careers at Salomon Brothers, the major Wall Street investment bank. Others were Nobel Prize–winning academics. This group raised several bil- lion dollars in capital, then used borrowed money to take very large positions designed to exploit small price discrepancies in the finan- cial markets. After several years of stellar returns, LTCM came apart in a very special set of circumstances that unfolded in the late sum- mer and early fall of 1998. The problems began in Russia, which defaulted on its debt and devalued its currency. This created a panic among investors, who sold anything that had the slightest scent of risk, and then rushed for the complete safety of U.S. Treasury bonds. This global flight to quality put tremendous pressure on LTCM’s trading positions, and the unwind- ing of those positions threatened to destabilize further the financial markets. The Federal Reserve Board was so concerned about the situ- ation that it brought together the major Wall Street firms that were lenders to LTCM and encouraged them to act together in such a way as to minimize further impact on the financial markets, and further damage to themselves. The message from the Fed to the lenders was this: “If each of you pursues your own interests exclusively, the result will be a disaster for every single one of you and for the system as a whole. If you act cooperatively, the results will be better for everyone.” The creditors seized control of the LTCM portfolio, thus essentially wiping out the equity investors, and organized a very gradual unwind- ing of the LTCM positions. Importantly, the government did not “bail out” the investors in the partnership: Those who had money invested Preface ix in LTCM lost their investment. What the government did was to orga- nize the creditors to act with “enlightened self-interest,” rather than a more narrowly focused self-interest that would have been bad for the lenders and bad for the rest of us. The LTCM debacle, like the crash of 1987, created a market cri- sis that wound up affecting all sorts of people who have no interest in, or knowledge of, hedge funds. The LTCM debacle was also a vivid reminder of one of the most fascinating facts about the invest- ment management business: Brainpower is no guarantee of success. Indeed, too much brainpower can be a bad thing if it leads the own- ers of those brains to overestimate their understanding of what is always an inherently uncertain situation. The Greeks had a word for it: hubris, excessive pride or self-confidence. The markets always have ways of making the proud humble. The markets gradually recovered from the LTCM debacle, but then the newspapers were filled with the travails of two other illus- trious hedge fund managers: George Soros and Julian Robertson. In 1999 and early 2000 the U.S. stock market entered a completely manic phase in which investors became totally enamored with Internet stocks and anything else connected with “the new economy.” This mania created a major problem for Soros and Robertson, both of whom were extremely astute investors who had put together very long and successful track records. Though both investors are too smart and too subtle to fit into simple boxes, Robertson often tend- ed to be a “value investor,” whereas Soros often tended to be more oriented toward growth, or momentum. Robertson refused to play the Internet sector in any significant size, his performance lagged, investors redeemed, and Robertson shut down his various Tiger funds on a low note rather than a high note. The Soros organization recognized that the Internet craze was just a craze but thought that they could make money off the craze without getting hurt. That turned out to be a fatal mistake. When the Internet bubble burst, the Soros funds were caught with too much exposure. The result was big losses, and Soros decided to restruc- ture his investment funds. Soros’s predicament was analogous to the predicament of somebody whose house is on fire. You are stand- ing safely on the lawn, but you want to retrieve a few items of sen- timental value. You know the risks, but you think that you can rush quickly into the house, retrieve the few items, then rush out. So you run into the house. And you never come back.
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