Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems VII: Post-Proceedings of The AESCS International Workshop 2012 PDF
Preview Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems VII: Post-Proceedings of The AESCS International Workshop 2012
Agent-Based Social Systems 10 Tadahiko Murata Takao Terano Shingo Takahashi Editors Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems VII Post-Proceedings of The AESCS International Workshop 2012 Agent-Based Social Systems Volume 10 Editor in Chief: HiroshiDeguchi,Yokohama,Japan Series Editors: Shu-HengChen,Taipei,Taiwan,ROC ClaudioCioffi-Revilla,Fairfax,USA NigelGilbert,Guildford,UK HajimeKita,Kyoto,Japan TakaoTerano,Yokohama,Japan Forfurthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/7188 ABSS–Agent-Based Social Systems Thisseriesisintendedtofurtherthecreationofthescienceofagent-basedsocialsystems,a field that is establishing itself as a transdisciplinary and cross-cultural science. The series will cover a broad spectrum of sciences, such as social systems theory, sociology, busi- nessadministration, management information science, organization science, computational mathematicalorganizationtheory,economics,evolutionaryeconomics,internationalpolitical science,jurisprudence,policyscience,socioinformationstudies,cognitivescience,artificial intelligence, complex adaptive systems theory, philosophy of science, and other related disciplines. Theserieswillprovideasystematicstudyofthevariousnewcross-culturalarenasofthe human sciences. Such an approach has been successfully triedseveral timesinthe history of themodern science of humanities and systems and has helped to create such important conceptual frameworks and theories as cybernetics, synergetics, general systems theory, cognitivescience,andcomplexadaptivesystems. Wewanttocreateaconceptualframeworkanddesigntheoryforsocioeconomicsystems ofthetwenty-firstcenturyinacross-culturalandtransdisciplinarycontext.Forthispurpose we plan to take an agent-based approach. Developed over the last decade, agent-based modeling is a new trend within the social sciences and is a child of the modern sciences of humanities and systems. In this series the term “agent-based” is used across a broad spectrumthatincludes not onlytheclassical usageof thenormative andrationalagent but also an interpretive and subjective agent. We seek the antinomy of the macro and micro, subjectiveandrational,functionalandstructural,bottom-upandtop-down,globalandlocal, and structure and agency within the social sciences. Agent-based modeling includes both sidesoftheseopposites.“Agent”isourgroundingformodeling;simulation,theory,andreal- worldgroundingarealsorequired. As an approach, agent-based simulation is an important tool for the new experimental fields of the social sciences; it can be used to provide explanations and decision support for real-world problems, and its theories include both conceptual and mathematical ones. A conceptual approach is vital for creating new frameworks of the worldview, and the mathematicalapproachisessentialtoclarifythelogicalstructureofanynewframeworkor model. Exploration of several different ways of real-world grounding is required for this approach. Other issues to be considered in the series include the systems design of this century’sglobalandlocalsocioeconomicsystems. EditorinChief HiroshiDeguchi ChiefofCenterforAgent-BasedSocialSystemsSciences(CABSSS) TokyoInstituteofTechnology 4259Nagatsuta-cho,Midori-ku,Yokohama226-8502,Japan SeriesEditors Shu-HengChen,Taipei,Taiwan,ROC ClaudioCioffi-Revilla,Fairfax,USA NigelGilbert,Guildford,UK HajimeKita,Kyoto,Japan TakaoTerano,Yokohama,Japan Tadahiko Murata • Takao Terano Shingo Takahashi Editors Agent-Based Approaches in Economic and Social Complex Systems VII Post-Proceedings of The AESCS International Workshop 2012 123 Editors TadahikoMurata TakaoTerano Professor Professor DepartmentofInformatics DepartmentofComputationalIntelligence KansaiUniversity andSystemScience 2-1-1Ryozenji-cho,Takatsuki TokyoInstituteofTechnology Osaka569-1095,Japan 4259Nagatsuta-cho,Midori-ku,Yokohama Kanagawa226-8502,Japan ShingoTakahashi Professor DepartmentofIndustrialandManagement SystemEngineering WasedaUniversity 3-4-1Okubo,Shinjuku-ku Tokyo169-8555,Japan ISSN1861-0803 ISBN978-4-431-54278-0 ISBN978-4-431-54279-7(eBook) DOI10.1007/978-4-431-54279-7 SpringerTokyoHeidelbergNewYorkDordrechtLondon LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2013934222 ©SpringerJapan2013 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.AllrightsarereservedbythePublisher,whetherthewholeorpartof thematerialisconcerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation, broadcasting,reproductiononmicrofilmsorinanyotherphysicalway,andtransmissionorinformation storageandretrieval,electronicadaptation,computersoftware,orbysimilarordissimilarmethodology nowknownorhereafterdeveloped.Exemptedfromthislegalreservationarebriefexcerptsinconnection with reviews or scholarly analysis or material supplied specifically for the purpose of being entered and executed on a computer system, for exclusive use by the purchaser of the work. Duplication of this publication or parts thereof is permitted only under the provisions of the Copyright Law of the Publisher’slocation,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer. PermissionsforusemaybeobtainedthroughRightsLinkattheCopyrightClearanceCenter.Violations areliabletoprosecutionundertherespectiveCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,servicemarks,etc.inthispublication doesnotimply,evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevant protectivelawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. While the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication,neithertheauthorsnortheeditorsnorthepublishercanacceptanylegalresponsibilityfor anyerrorsoromissionsthatmaybemade.Thepublishermakesnowarranty,expressorimplied,with respecttothematerialcontainedherein. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface Recentlytheworldofsocialscienceshasbeenchangingrapidly.Manyresearchers collaboratively confront critical issues in social and economic problems. These researcherscomenotonlyfromstandarddisciplinesin the socialsciencessuchas economics, political science, sociology, and others but also from natural science fields such as physics, mathematics, and computer science. This interdisciplinary researchnowattractsanincreasingnumberofresearchersandleadsthemtoinitiate new series of conferences and to establish new academic organizations. One of themistheInternationalWorkshoponAgent-BasedApproachesinEconomicand Social Complex Systems (AESCS) organized by the Pan-Asian Association for Agent-basedApproachinSocialSystemsSciences(PAAA).ThefirstfiveAESCS workshops were held in Shimane (2001), Tokyo (2002), Kyoto (2004), Tokyo (2005, 2007), and Taipei (2009). Since 2006, PAAA has sponsored the biennial WorldCongressonSocialSimulation(WCSS)withtheEuropeanSocialSimulation Association (ESSA) and the Computational Social Science Society of America (CSSSA).TheyheldtheirconferencesinKyoto(2006),Fairfax(2008),andKassel (2010).Followingtheseassemblies,PAAAhaditsbiennialworkshopAESCS2012 atKansaiUniversity,Osaka,Japan,inthebeginningof2012. AtAESCS2012,wehad24presentationsonJanuary17and18,2012.Inaddition to these regular presentations, a keynote speech was delivered by Alan Kirman (Aix-Marseille University, France) on the topic “Can Artificial Economies Help Up Understand Real Economics?” As in the previous events hosted by PAAA, we also prepared a post-conference publication to archive selected papers from the conferenceproceedings.Seventeenpaperswere selected to beincludedin this volume after the reviewing process with at least three referees. These seventeen papers are grouped into two parts: Fundamentals of Agent-Based Modeling and ApplicationsofAgent-BasedModeling.Thepapersinthefirstparttrytoestablish or construct basic agent-based models, and those in the second part apply agent- basedmodelstoreal-worldproblemstoshowtheireffectiveness. v vi Preface Wehopethisvolumewillprovidethereaderwithstate-of-the-arttechniquesand conceptsfor an agent-basedapproach.We heartily invite you to join this growing and exciting area and contribute to the flourishing developmentof computational socialsciences. TadahikoMurata TakaoTerano ShingoTakahashi Editors,AESCS2012Post-Proceedings Committee Members of AESCS2012 GeneralChair TakaoTerano,TokyoInstituteofTechnology,Japan WorkshopChair TadahikoMurata,KansaiUniversity,Japan OrganizingCommitteeChair ShingoTakahashi,WasedaUniversity,Japan OrganizingCommitteeMembers HiroshiDeguchi,TokyoInstituteofTechnology,Japan ReikoHishiyama,WasedaUniversity,Japan ManabuIchikawa,TokyoInstituteofTechnology,Japan HajimeKita,KyotoUniversity,Japan YusukeKoyama,TokyoInstituteofTechnology,Japan HiroyukiMatsui,KyotoUniversity,Japan TakashiYamada,TokyoInstituteofTechnology,Japan Sponsors Pan-Asian Association for Agent-based Approach in Social Systems Sciences(PAAA) KansaiUniversity TheSocietyforInstrumentandControlEngineers vii Contents PartI FundamentalsofAgent-BasedModeling Agent-BasedModelingandSimulationValidationbyScenario Analysis ........................................................................... 3 YusukeGotoandShingoTakahashi Aspiration-BasedLearningtoBalanceExplorationandExploitation inOrganizationalLearning..................................................... 17 ManahanSiallagan,HiroshiDeguchi,andManabuIchikawa Agent-BasedSimulationofDiversityandOrganizationalPerformance... 31 SatoshiTakahashi,TomomiKobayashi,MasaakiKunigami, TakashiYamada,GakuYamamoto,AtsushiYoshikawa, andTakaoTerano ConfiguringAgents’AttributeswithSimulatedAnnealing................. 45 ShunsukeHara,HajimeKita,KokoloIkeda,andMasahiroSusukita MoneyEmergenceonaNetworkTopology ................................... 61 MarioPaolucci TheAgent-BasedDiffusionModel:SimulatingInformative andNormativeEffectsonConsumerNetworks .............................. 73 MuneyoshiSaitoandSetsuyaKurahashi Agent-BasedSimulationUsingaModelofNetworkFormation............ 85 MasatoraDaitoandHisashiKojima Firms’InteractioninaScale-FreeTradeNetworkandPrices Dynamics.......................................................................... 99 OscarAlonsoandHiroshiDeguchi AnalysisandModelingofCustomer-PerceivedValueofMedical InsuranceProducts .............................................................. 115 YokoIshino ix
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