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The Logics of Preference: A Study of Prohairetic Logics in Twentieth Century Philosophy PDF

286 Pages·1987·5.196 MB·English
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THE LOGICS OF PREFERENCE EPISTEME A SERIES IN THE FOUNDATIONAL, METHODOLOGICAL, PHILOSOPHICAL, PSYCHOLOGICAL, SOCIOLOGICAL, AND POLITICAL ASPECTS OF THE SCIENCES, PURE AND APPLIED Editor: MARIO BUNGE Foundations and Philosophy oj Science Unit, McGill University Advisory Editorial Board: RUTHERFORD ARIS, Chemistry, University of Minnesota HUBERT M. BLALOCK, Sociology, University of Washington GEORGE BUGLIARELLO, Engineering, Polytechnic Institute of New York NOAM CHOMSKY, Linguistics, MIT KARL W. DEUTSCH, Political Science, Harvard University BRUNO FRITSCH, Economics, E. T.H. Zurich ERWIN HIEBERT, History of Science, Harvard University ARISTID LINDENMAY ER, Biology, University of Utrecht JOHN MYHILL, Mathematics, SUNY at Buffalo JOHN MAYNARD SMITH, Biology, University of Sussex RAIMO TUOMELA, Philosophy, University of Helsinki VOLUME 14 NICHOLAS J. MOUTAFAKIS Cleveland State University THE LOGICS OF PREFERENCE A Study of Prohairetic Logics in Twentieth Century Philosophy D. REIDEL PUBLISHING COMPANY A MEMBER OF THE KLUWER ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS GROUP DORDRECHT/BOSTON/LANCASTER/TOKYO Library of Congress Cataloging in Publcation Data Moutafakis, Nicholas J., 1941- The logics of preference: a study of prohairetic logics in twentieth century philosophy / by Nicholas J. Moutafakis. p. cm-{Episteme: v. 14) Bibliography: p. 1. Deontic logic. 2. Philosophy, Modern-20th century. I. Title. II. Series: Episteme (D. Reidel); v. 14. BCI45.M68 1987 121' .8-dc 19 87-19710 CIP ISBN-13: 978-94-010-8263-1 e-ISBN-13: 978-94-009-3975-2 DOl: 10.1007/978-94-009-3975-2 Published by D. Reidel Publishing Company, P.O. Box 17, 3300 AA Dordrecht, Holland. Sold and distributed in the U.S.A. and Canada by Kluwer Academic Publishers, 101 Philip Drive, Assinippi Park, Norwell, MA 02061, U.S.A. In all other countries, sold and distributed by Kluwer Academic Publishers Group, P.O. Box 322,3300 AH Dordrecht, Holland. AIl Rights Reserved © 1987 by D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland Softcover reprint of the hardcover I st edition 1987 No part of the material protected by this copyright notice may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical including photocopying, recording or by any information storage and retrieval system, without written permission from the copyright owner Richard M. Martin "In memoriam" " .... 'fu 'av~QE~, ~avu'tOv EXq>UYELV, 'una. :7tOA.U xuA.E:7tfutEQOV :7tOV'l'JQLUV, {tut'tOV ya.Q {tuvatou {tEt, .... " AI10AOrIA ~QKPATOY~ ... 29,39B TABLE OF CONTENTS Introduction PART ONE The ObjectiYist Approach Toward the Fonnalization of Preferences Chapter 1. Prototheoretic Attempts Toward a Logic of Preference....... 13 Chapter 2. Aristotelean Reflections in Richard M. Martin's Extensionalized Pragmatics of Preference ...................... 57 Chapter 3. Rescher's Logic of Preference and Linguistic Analysis ... ..... 89 Chapter 4. Richard C. Jeffrey's Logic of First and Higher-Order Preferences............................................................ 119 PART TWO The SUbjectirist Approach Toward the Fonnalization of Preferences Chapter 5. Soren Hallden's "Puristic" Logic of the Better and Same.... 167 Chapter 6. The Many Modal Interpretations of Prohairetic Logic: Aqvist, Chisholm, Sosa and Hansson ........................... 191 Chapter 7. Von Wright's Logic of Propositions Expressing Preferences ........................... 221 Chapter 8. Hochberg on the Logic of "Extrinsic Epistemic Preferability" ............................. 257 Postcript ................................................................................... 269 Selected Bibliography.................................................................. 279 Name Index............................................................................... 285 Subject Index............................................................................. 287 Introduction With characteristic incisiveness Georg Henrik von Wright identifies pro haireticIogic (i. e. the logic of preference) as the core of a general theory of value concepts. Essentially, this nucleus involves the logical study of acts from the point of view of their preferability. (italics added) Though the term prohairesis is found 1 in Plato, as well as in Aristotle's treatment of the relations of preference, it is von Wright who introduces this word into contemporary analytical philoso phy, and succinctly specifies the philosophical dimensions it encompasses. The above emphasis upon the philosophical study of the formalization of preferences is a matter of utmost importance for understanding the type of in quiry this investigation attempts to initiate. Over the past one hundred years the literature on general theories of subjective utility has become massive, where one considers the work done in psychometrics, econometrics, statistical theories, probability theories, etc., etc. Histories in these areas are strong in tracing various evolutions in the development of the concept of preference in decision-making. However, what has not been investigated with sustained at tention are the fundamentally philosophical inquiries into the formalization of preference-relations. In surveying the purely philosophical explorations in this area, it is often impossible to separate the purported philosophical implications of these in quiries from the relevance this work has in other areas. For example, Ramsey's contribution is often seen as a stunning innovation in the area of subjective utility theory. As such, it is usually taken as a reaction to the at the time popu lar Keynesian rendition of probability theory. Yet this is a much too restricted view on what Ramsey had to say from a philosophical standpoint. The latter's views on partial belief and risk are intro duced into the philosophical literature by Davidson, who recognizes their im portance as a basis for further inquiry into the logic of preference. Thus an ex egesis of Ramsey's contribution, as it will be undertaken in the opening chapter of this book, demands an in-depth account of what had occurred in 1 Von Wright, Georg Henrik "The Logic of Action -A Sketch," in The Logic of Decision and Action, University of Pittsburgh Press, 1967, pp. 135-136. 2 INfRODUCTION the evolution of the concept of preference in the general study of decision the ory. A delicate balance must be struck therefore between what is needed for purposes of explication from other disciplines, while retaining the primary emphasis upon the philosophical import of this and other attempts, as they evolve in this unique body of literature. All of this indicates that the aim of the investigation which follows is not to account for a general theory of subjective cardinal utility, but to present a detailed discussion of the fundamentally philosophical inquiries into the for malization of preference-relations, as the core of a theory of valuation. A progressively more accented concentration upon the manner by which preferences are conveyed in ordinary discourse becomes the single most distinctive feature in the analyses to be discussed, and serves to sharply demarcate the philosophical interest in the formalization of preferences from the analysis of preference in other areas, e.g., decision theory and economet rics. In every philosophical investigation to be considered, one finds varying levels of concern expressed as to how well their attempts capture the "sense" of preference-relations as manifested in some linguistic context, whether that of everyday discourse or of some more circumspect sort. Indeed, one may ar gue that this difference underlies Nicholas Rescher's broad differentiation be tween the "logico-philosophical" attempts at a logic of preference, and the "mathematico-economic" ones. Whereas the cleavage between the philosophical interest in the concept of preference is readily discernible in contrast to how preference is handled in other disciplines, the account of how logics of preference differ amongst each other within philosophy itself demands that attention be directed upon details of approach in every case. Surely, Ramsey's aim in formalizing preferences in "Truth and Probability" is very different from what von Wright attempted to accomplish in The Logic of Preference. Even in comparing Ramsey's work in con junction with Richard C. Jeffrey'S, where the latter is normally seen as a refine ment of what the former had achieved, there is a noticeable difference between the two. For Ramsey's concern is with the analysis of partial belief under con ditions of risk, whereas Jeffrey is concerned with presenting a formalization of deliberation.2 These kinds of differences are supremely important where one endeavors to present a cogent account of the evolutionary phases in this partic ular area of philosophical inquiry. Vickers, John M., Belief and Probability, D. Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht 2 Holland/Boston-U.S.A., 1976, pp. 59-60. INTRODUCfION 3 So as to manage the wide diversity of opinion within this body of philo sophicalliterature, two broad lines of inquiry will be identified as helpful in classifying the writings to be discussed. In the first grouping, beginning with Ramsey's work, one encounters a highly descriptive approach to the formal ization of what one could do under varying conditions influencing belief and risk; couched in terms of some logico-mathematical model. Generally, this "ex tensional approach" is further manifested in Davidson's early work, as well as in the contribution provided by Herbert Bohnert. What changes in each case, however, is a refinement of the notion of accurate empirical measurement, as applied to the characterization of choice. Thus, Davidson cites the need to in troduce an improvement in the methodology of numerical attribution, one which allows for "logical consistency", while also improving upon Ramsey's reliance upon the interval scale in determining valuation. By contrast, Bohnert's attempt concentrates upon disowning the use of frequency proba bility as employed in the von Neumann-Morgenstern analysis of choice, and favored by Davidson and his associates early on. Rather, Bohnert elected to pursue the formalization of preference expressions along the lines of Carnap's theory of logical probability, i.e., Carnap's "probability!". Moreover, these re finements are presented within a context of the overriding concern with lin guistic usage mentioned earlier; which is in essence the interest in the degree of "fit" these descriptions have with respect to how preferences are conveyed in discourse about the "real world." A similar analytical attitude is operating in the manner by which R.M. Martin endeavors to articulate the formalization of preference-relations within a specialized setting of testing and experimentation. Martin's investigation is perhaps even more sensitive than any other of its time to the nuance of dis course pertaining to the expression of preferences, specifically within the mode of an extensionalized pragmatics. His use of the basics of propositional logic to characterize the hierarchies such relations exhibit within this context leans heavily toward a dependence upon the sense of scientific discourse, which is more restrictive than that of natural language. In this respect, there fore, one may say of his attempt that it is less pervasive in intent than Ramsey's or Davidson's. Nicholas Rescher's effort is also part of this grouping, because of his use of numerical attribution to describe the value of preferential states of affairs. Rescher operates on the assumption that one can devise a logic of preference which exhibits a fundamental mathematical rigor, one which can be said to un derlie the necessity preference-relations convey in ordinary discourse. Apart 4 INTRODUCTION from what is said on his success in this direction of inquiry, Rescher's work is unique in that he attempts to apply techniques developed in econometrics to a special area of philosophical analysis, i.e., that which pertains to the clarifica tion of discourse involving choice. Jeffrey is within this grouping as well, since he directs his work on the formalization of preference expressions as a progression beyond what Ramsey had accomplished. The former insists that both evaluative preference and cog nitive preference must be handled within a "unified" mathematical theory, one which has propositions as its objects, to which both subjective probabili ties and desirabilities could be ascribed. The second grouping is not radically different from the first, with respect to the fact that it also contains work which exhibits an interest in the logical analysis of expressions of preference. What does distinguish it from the at tempts of authors already mentioned is that here preference is seen in terms of its intrinsic meaning, i.e., in the sense where one prefers something in and of itself, under conditions of ceteris paribus. Noticeably absent in this collection of writings is any consideration regarding extensional factors, such as risk, and the attempted application of probability theory. Along these lines one also finds a pronounced concern with the evaluative aspect of preference with ref erence to ordinary discourse made only as a way of noting the comparative strength in the expressive power of the logics which are evolved. This consti tutes a further idiosyncrasy which is characteristic of this latter grouping, namely the allusion to ordinary discourse is made so as to underscore the ad vantage of the logics which emerge, rather than to show that these logics are in some way to be taken as embodied in ordinary discourse, or as descriptive of it in some sense. First in the second grouping is Soren Hallden who in The Logic of 'Better' employs propositional logic to formalize a "puristic" logic of better, one which becomes in its own right a model for all subsequent logics of preference, deal ing with the intrinsically preferable. Authors included in this grouping are acu tely sensitive to the goal Hallden is the first to envision, namely to develop a logic which is unencumbered by the vagaries often encountered where an eva luative term such as 'better' is conveyed within ordinary language. Extrapolating from Hallden's approach is the formalized account of pref erence expressions proposed by Lennart Aqvist. The latter's innovation is to introduce a calculus of preference which is an extension of a deontic logic. Aqvist's allusion to the obligatory, the forbidden, and the value-indifferent, as a means of securing the formal properties of preference-relations in the inten-

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