Table Of Content

NORTH- HOLLAND Author Ind— eVolxum e 51 Anderson, J., 45 Linstone, H.A., 195 Axtell, R., 209 Lipovetsky, S., 151 Ayres, R.U., 209 Mahajan, V., 109 Berry, B.J.L., 281 McCutchen, W., Jr., 173 Muller, E., 109 Cauffiel, D.A., 133, 185 Ciurel, V., 19 Nakicenovic, N., 1, 237 Coates, J.F., 95, 295 Newman, N., 133 Coenen, R., 49 Cronberg, T., 55 Porter, A.L., 133, 185 Putsis, W.P., Jr., 265 Dvir, D., 151 Roessner, J.D., 133 Elliott, E., 281 Shama, A., 19 Griibler, A., 237 Shenhar, A., 151 Swamidass, P.M., 173 Harpham, E.J., 281 Tischler, A., 151 Inzelt, A., 65 Toma, L., 37 Jefferson, M., 237 Williams, G., 45 Book Review Ind— eVolxum e 51 Banks, R.B., Growth and Diffusion McRae, H., The World in 2020: Power, Phenomena: Mathematical Culture, and Prosperity (Brian J.L. Frameworks and Applications Berry), 105 (Perrin Meyer), 107 Sheffield, C., Alonso, M., Kaplan, M.A., eds., The World of 2044: Goodman, R.A. and Lawless, M.W., Technological Development and the Technology and Strategy: Conceptual Future of Society (Brian J.L. Models and Diagnostics (Oscar Berry), 105 Hauptman and Moses Kiggundu), 305 Starr, R.H., The Virtual Classroom: Learning without Limits via Madu, C.N., Management of New Computer Networks (Karol I. Pelc), Technologies for Global 301 Competitiveness (Kish Sharma), 207 Wenk, E., Jr., Making Waves: Engineering, Martino, J.P., Research and Development Politics, and the Social Management Project Selection (Oscar of Technology (Harold A. Hauptman), 309 Linstone), 101 Technological Forecasting and Social Change 51, 311-315 (1996) © 1996 Elsevier Science Inc. 0040-1625/96/$15.00 655 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10010 PII S0040-1625(96)00019-4 SUBJECT INDEX— VOLUME 51 Subject Index — Volume 51 Adaption of production processes, Consumer durables, diffusion models of electronics manufacturing in 2020 first-time purchase and, 265 and, 185 Cost-benefit analysis, choice of time Advertising response literature, diffusion preference and, 209 models of first-time purchase and, 265 Customer follow-up team, defense Altered materials, electronics manufacturing development projects and, 151 in 2020 and, 185 Annual data, diffusion models of first-time Debt restructuring, by Russian and purchase and, 265 Rumanian market managers, 37 Applications, electronics manufacturing in Decarbonization, contribution of to 2020 and, 185 dematerialization, 1 Archival data, biotech research firms and, Decision makers, IATAFI and, 45 173 Defense development projects, identifying Asset reduction, by Russian and Rumanian critical success factors in, 151 market managers, 37 Delphi study, of electronics manufacturing in 2020, 185 Base technology, diffusion pattern of, 109 Design to cost, defense development projects Bass diffusion model, extension of, 109 and, 151 Behavioral assumptions, of diffusion Developed countries, decarbonization in, 1 theory, 109 Developing countries, decarbonization in, 1 Bias, diffusion models of first-time purchase Diffusion and, 265 in Hungary, 65 Biomass, energy system restructures and, 1 IATAFI and, 45 Biotech firms, larger, 173 mathematical framenworks and applications, 107 Capital investment projects, cost-benefit successive generations of technological analysis and, 209 innovations and, 109 Capital stock, global energy perspectives Discount factor, of form, 109 and, 237 Discount rates, cost-benefit analysis and, 209 Car parts industry, in Hungary, 65 Divergence, global energy perspectives and, Carbon emissions, decrease in per unit 237 energy, 1 Cash-generation strategies, by Russian and Early phases, defense development projects Rumanian market managers, 37 and, 151 Choice of frequency, temporal aggregation Early planning, electronics manufacturing in in diffusion models of first-time 2020 and, 185 purchase and, 265 Economic growth, carbon dioxide emissions Client, ideal, 95 increasing faster than, 1 Climate change, global, 45 Economic performance, electoral outcome as Collaborative research agreements, biotech function of, 281 research firms and, 173 Economic prospects, global energy Competitiveness perspectives and, 237 global, 207 Electoral outcome model, earlier prediction national indicators of, 133 and, 281 Complexity, system, 195 Electricity, energy system restructures and, 1 Compound interest law, time preference Energy policies, cost-benefit analysis and, 209 equivalence to, 209 Energy resource base, global energy Computer networks, virtual classroom and, perspectives and, 237 301 Engineering, technology and, 101 SUBJECT INDEX— VOLUME 51 Enterprise ownership, and Russian and Hungary, institutional support for Rumanian marketing managers, 19 technological improvement in, 65 Environment Hydrogen, energy system restructures and, 1 cost-benefit analysis and, 209 decarbonization and, 1 IBM mainframe computers, four successive electronics manufacturing in 2020 and, 185 generations on, 109 global energy perspectives and, 237 Indicators, of national competitiveness, 133 Europe, technological assessment in, 55 Indirect effects, of economic bellwethers on Expenses, biotech research firms and, 173 electoral outcome, 281 Industry Feasibility, defense development projects decarbonization and, 1 and, 151 global energy perspectives and, 237 Final energy, decarbonization of, 1 high-tech competitiveness of nations Financial control procedures, by Russian and and, 133 Rumanian market managers, 37 technological development in Hungary Financing requirements, global energy and, 65 perspectives and, 237 Infrastructures, global energy perspectives First time purchase, diffusion models of, 265 and, 237 Flexibility, decarbonization and, | Inherited structure, in Hungary, 65 Forecasting models, electoral outcome and, Innovation, in Hungary, 65 281 Input indicators, of nation’s future Foresight, as survival characteristic, 209 capacity, 133 Formal energy models, global energy Institutional arrangements, IATAFI and, 45 Integrated circuits, successive generations of perspectives and, 237 technological innovations and, 109 Fossil fuels, global energy perspectives Integrated products, electronics and, 237 manufacturing in 2020 and, 185 Funding strategies, biotech research firms Intensity, biotech research firms and, 173 and, 173 Inter-firm cooperation, in Hungary, 65 International Association of Technology Gases, energy system restructures and, 1 Assessment and Forecasting Generation of innovation, in Hungary, 65 Institutions (IATAFI) Generations, of technological innovations, challenges of networking in technology 109 assessment and, 49 Generic turnaround strategies, commonly European-level technological assessment used, 37 infrastructure and, 55 Global competitiveness, management of new institutional support for technological technologies for, 207 improvement in Hungary and, 65 Global energy perspectives, summary of origins, goals, and visions of, 45 Joint Institute for Applied Systems International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and World Energy Council Analysis (IIASA), global energy study, 237 perspectives and, 237 Globalization of trade, IATAFI and, 45 Israel, defense projects in, 151 Global level, decarbonization occurrence at, 1 Joint stock ownership, and Russian and Global spread, of terrorism, 295 Rumanian marketing managers, 19 Gross profit margins, successive generations of technological innovations and, 109 Growth phenomena, mathematical Kennedy assasination, electoral outcome frameworks and applications, 107 modeling and, 281 Growth strategies, biotech research firms and, 173 Larger firms, biotech, 173 314 SUBJECT IND— EVOLXUME 51 Lead time, global energy perspectives and, Ordinary least squares, diffusion’ models of 237 first-time purchase and, 265 Learning, without limits, 301 Output indicators, of nation’s future Local level, global energy perspectives and, capacity, 133 237 Long view, cost-benefit analysis and, 209 Parameter estimates, diffusion models of first-time purchase and, 265 Machine tool industry, in Hungary, 65 Pharmaceutical industry, in Hungary, 65 Managerial variables, critical to success of Politics, technology and, 101 defense projects, 151 Primary energy, carbon intensity of, 1 Manufacturing Private ownership, and Russian and Hungarian, 65 Rumanian marketing managers, 19 in 2020, 185 Produceability Market economy, in Hungary, 65 defense development projects and, 151 Market forces, effects of on Russian and R&D, 309 Rumanian marketing managers, 19 Production Marketing managers, in Russia and decarbonization and, 1 Rumania, 19, 37 electronics manufacturing in 2020 and, 185 Market potentials, relative size of, 109 in Hungary, 65 Mass flows, carbon dioxide emissions and, | Professional qualifications, defense Methane economy, energy system development projects and, 151 restructures and, 1 Military environment, perceived need for Quality, defense development projects and, project output and, 151 151 Mini-Delphi, of electronics manufacturing in Quarterly data, diffusion models of first-time 2020, 185 purchase and, 265 Monthly data, diffusion models of first-time purchase and, 265 R&D Multivariate analysis, of defense cost-benefit analysis and, 209 development projects, 151 larger biotech research firm strategies and, 173 National technological university project selection and, 309 management, of technology Random exogenous events, electoral mini-Delphi, 185 outcome modeling and, 281 Nations, future high-tech competiveness Recovery strategy, by Russian and Rumanian of, 133 market managers, 37 Natural gas, energy system restructures Redeployment, in Hungary, 65 and, 1 Reliability, defense development projects Networking and, 151 computer, 301 Revenue growth, biotech research firms in technology assessment, 45, 49 and, 173 New technologies, decarbonization and, | Rumania Nonfossil fuels, global energy perspectives generic turnaround strategies in, 37 and, 237 marketing managers in, 19, 37 Nonlinear least squares, diffusion models of Russia first- time purchase and, 265 generic turnaround strategies in, 37 “Now or at maturity” rule, successive marketing managers in, 19, 37 generations of technological innovations and, 109 Silicon chips, successive generations of “Now or never” rule, successive generations technological innovations and, 109 of technological innovations and, 109 Simultaneous equation system, electoral Nuclear energy, energy system restructures outcome and, 281 and, 1 Size, biotech research firms and, 173 SUBJECT INDEX— VOLUME 51 315 Small firms, biotech, 173 Transboundary problems, IATAFI and, 45 Social management, of technology, 101 Transistors, successive generations of Societal speedup, system complexity and, 195 technological innovations and, 109 Specific energy requirements, decreasing material intensity and, 1 Uncertainty, projected cost-benefit ratios State ownership, and Russian and Rumanian and, 209 marketing managers, 19 Unit ecomonic output, decreases in energy Strategy requirements per, 1 biotech research firms and, 173 larger biotech research firm, 173 Vacuum tubes, successive generations of technology and, 305 technological innovations and, 109 Substitution patterns, of successive VALUE II Think Tank group, generations of technological European-level technological innovations, 109 assessment infrastructure and, 55 Successive generations of technological Variability, in projected cost-benefit ratios, 209 innovations, timing, diffusion, and Viability, biotech research firms and, 173 substitution of successive generations Virtual classroom, learning without limits via of, 109 computer networks, 301 Survival characteristics, projected Voter approval, electoral outcome as cost-benefit ratios and, 209 function of, 281 System complexity, price of, 195 Workforce, electronics manufacturing in Team spirit, defense development projects 2020 and, 185 and, 151 World Technological advance IATAFI and, 45 global energy perspectives and, 237 in 2020, 105 IATAFI and, 45 in 2044, 105 strategy and, 305 pervasiveness of decarbonization in, 1 Technological slowdown, or societal World Energy Council (WEC), global energy speedup, 195 perspectives and, 237 Technological time warp, in Hungary, 65 World population prospects, global energy Technology assessment, network building perspectives and, 237 and, 45, 49, 55 Temporal aggregation, diffusion models of Year-ahead forecasts, of presidential first time purchase and, 265 elections, 281 Terrorism, thriving future for, 295 Year 2020 Time-interval bias, diffusion models of first electronics manufacturing in, 185 time purchase and, 265 world in, 105 Time preference, as behavioral fact of life, Year 2044, world in, 105 209 Year 2050, global energy perspectives and, Time to market, successive generations of 237 technological innovations and, 109 Yield curve, as electoral bellwether, 281 Timing, of successive generations of technological innovations, 109 Zero-carbon options, energy system Total income, biotech research firms and, 173 restructures and, 1