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Modernization science: the principles and methods of national advancement PDF

676 Pages·2012·6.86 MB·English
by  HeChuanqi
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Modernization Science . Chuanqi He Modernization Science The Principles and Methods of National Advancement ChuanqiHe ChinaCenterforModernizationResearch ChineseAcademyofSciences Room726,No.33 Beisihuanxilu,Zhongguancun Beijing100190 P.R.China MSC2010:91-01,91F10,91D10,91B76,91B44 ISBN978-3-642-25458-1 e-ISBN978-3-642-25459-8 DOI10.1007/978-3-642-25459-8 SpringerHeidelbergDordrechtLondonNewYork LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2012932063 #Springer-VerlagBerlinHeidelberg2012 Thisworkissubjecttocopyright.Allrightsarereserved,whetherthewholeorpartofthematerialis concerned,specificallytherightsoftranslation,reprinting,reuseofillustrations,recitation,broadcasting, reproductiononmicrofilmorinanyotherway,andstorageindatabanks.Duplicationofthispublication orpartsthereofispermittedonlyundertheprovisionsoftheGermanCopyrightLawofSeptember9, 1965,initscurrentversion,andpermissionforusemustalwaysbeobtainedfromSpringer.Violations areliabletoprosecutionundertheGermanCopyrightLaw. Theuseofgeneraldescriptivenames,registerednames,trademarks,etc.inthispublicationdoesnotimply, evenintheabsenceofaspecificstatement,thatsuchnamesareexemptfromtherelevantprotective lawsandregulationsandthereforefreeforgeneraluse. Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScienceþBusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Preface From the perspective of the world frontier of human development, some scholars hold that human beings originated in Africa, initiated agricultural civilization in Asia and industrial civilization in Europe, and fostered knowledge civilization in Americaapproximately.Initsabout5,500yearsofhistory,thecenterandfrontier of human civilization has been moving, with different performance in different countries and nations. There is universality as well as diversity in the changes of nationalandhumancivilization. Modernization,aworldwidephenomenonsinceabouteighteenthcentury,refers tothe frontier changes andinternational competition ofhumancivilization gener- ally. It is the frontier process of the formation, development, transformation, and international interaction of modern civilization; the composite process of the innovation, selection, diffusion, and withdrawal of civilization elements in an alternating way; and also the process of international competition for catching up with,reaching,andmaintainingtheworld’sadvancedlevelaswellasinternational differentiation. Countries that reached and maintained the world’s advanced level areadvancedones,whiletherestaredevelopingones.Acountrymaychangefrom adeveloping onetoan advanced one,orvice versa.There is acertainprobability thattheinternationalstatusofacountrychangesinsometerm. In the eighteenth century, the Industrial Revolution took placed, and moderni- zation began when British political economist Adam Smith finished his magnum opus An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776). Accordingtothebook,theannualsupplyofanationdependsontwocircumstances: theproductivityoflaborandtheproportionbetweenthenumberofthosewhoare employedinusefullaborandthatofthosewhoarenotsoemployed. The nineteenth century saw the expansion of the Industrial Revolution and the diffusion of modernization. In this century, British political economist David Ricardo (1817) put forward that “possessing utility, commodities derive their exchangeable value from two sources: from their scarcity and from the quantity of labor required to obtain them.” German philosopher Carl Marx (1867) argued that “a country should and can learn from other countries” and “what industrially developedcountriesshowtoindustriallyundevelopedcountriesisjustthefutureof thelatter.” Thetwentiethcenturywitnessedtheoutbreakoftheinformationandknowledge revolution as well as the transition of modernization. In this century, Austrian v vi Preface economist Joseph Schumpeter (1912) proposed his “innovation theory” where innovation of businesses is used to explain economic development; American scholars came up with the classical modernization theory, which explains the shift from a traditional agricultural to a modern industrial society in 1950s to 1960s. Around the 1960s, advanced countries finished their classical moderniza- tion.Sincethe1970s,informationandecologicalrevolutionshavesweptacrossthe globe, modernization studies have been enriched again gradually, and advanced countrieshavestartedthehistoricaltransitionfromindustrialtoknowledgesociety, fromindustrialtoknowledgeeconomy,frommaterialtoecologicalculture,etc. Over the past 300 years, human civilization has undergone revolutionary changes.Anoutstandingchangeintheinternationalsystemisinternationaldiffer- entiationandnationalstratification.AccordingtotheresearchbyeconomistAngus Maddison(2001),theratioofaverageGDP(PPP)percapitaofWesternEuropean countries to that of African countries was about 2.6 in 1700, about 2.9 in 1820, about5.9in1913,andupto13.1in1998.Eversincethebeginningofthenineteenth century, international differentiation has accelerated. Countries are divided into advanced and developing ones, and developing countries are divided into moder- atelydeveloped,preliminarilydeveloped,andunderdevelopedones. Inthetwenty-firstcentury,modernization,internationalcompetition,anddiffer- entiationwillgoon. The second modernization theory holds that the national advancement is an objective phenomenon and the result of national modernization, international competition, and differentiation. Generally, the national level in the world is in directproportiontoitspercentageofinnovationvalue,effectiveandefficientlabor, effective investmentandadvancedassets,advancedtechnology,aswellascapital andskillspercapita. Themodernizationscienceisaninterdisciplinaryonewhichdealswithmodern- izationphenomena.Ithastwobasictasks:(1)describingandexplainingthefrontier changes and international competition of modern civilizations and (2) explaining andprovidingprinciplesandmethodsonnationaladvance.Asthefirstmonograph onmodernizationscienceinEnglish language,thisbookincludesthreepartswith eight chapters: the basic concepts and research methods; the general theories and briefhistoriesofthemodernization;thestage-specific,level-specific,field-specific, andsector-specificmodernization;aswellasmodernizationpolicies. There were a lot of excellent scholars in the last 50 years who had made the remarkable contributions to the modernization studies, such as Talcott Parsons, Daniel Lerner, Walt W. Rostow, Cyril E. Black, Samuel Huntington, and Alex Inkeless, etc., to the classical modernization theory; Andre G. Frank, etc., to the dependencetheory;ImmanuelWallerstein,etc.,totheworldsystemtheory;Daniel Bell, Jean-Francois Lyotard, Ronald Inglehart, and Stephen Crook, etc., to the postmodernization theory; Joseph Huber, Martin Janicke, and Arthur P. J. Mol, etc.,toecologicalmodernizationtheory;UlrichBeck,AnthonyGiddens,andScott Lash, etc., to the reflexive modernization theory; Edward A. Tiryakian and Wolfgang Zapf to the new or continual modernization theory; David Herd, etc., totheglobalizationtheory;ShmuelN.Eisenstadt,etc.,tothemultiplemodernities Preface vii theory; and Chuanqi He, etc., to the second modernization theory and integrated modernizationtheory. InthePeople’sRepublicofChina,eightmonographsonthesecondmoderniza- tionsince1999andmorethan12booksontheChinaModernizationReportsince 2001havebeenpublished.Iamgratefultotheexpertswhohaveprovidedvaluable comments to above work, including Ioan Bolovan (Romania), Geoffrey Hodgson (UK),JosephHuber(Germany),AndrasInotai(Hungary),NikolayLapin(Russia), Alberto Martinelli (Italy), Arthur Mol (Netherlands), Witold Morawski (Poland), EdwardA.Tiryakian(USA),HellmutWollmann(Germany),etc. So many people have contributed to the successful completion of this book in China.IextendmyheartfeltthankstothePekingUniversityPressforitssupporton the China Modernization Reports since 2001, which provides the most positive studies in the different fields on the modernization science; special thanks to the SciencePressforitssupportontheChineseeditionofModernizationScience(He 2010a), which is the member of Second Modernization series and provides the importantthoughtsandstrongfoundationtothisbook,andtomycolleaguesatthe China Center for Modernization Research and the Research Group for China Modernization Strategies, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and to all the friends and scholars who have given great attention and support to the publishing of the SecondModernizationandChinaModernizationReportseries. IwishtoexpressmysincereappreciationtotheSpringer-VerlagGmbHandher editorsincludingLisaFan,LeanaLi,EstherOtten,NielsPeterThomas,andLuYe fortheirkindnessandhelponthepublishingofthisbook. I would also like to particularly thank my parents Mr. Hanshan He and Ms. ShaozhenYanandmywifeMs.FengZhang. Themodernizationscienceismuchmorethananewscience.Itrepresentsanew hope. P.R.China ChuanqiHe . Abstract Modernization,aworldwidephenomenonsinceabouteighteenthcentury,isasort offrontierchangesandinternationalcompetitionofhumancivilizationandincludes theformation,development,transformation,andinternationalinteractionofmodern civilization, the innovation, selection, diffusion, and withdrawal of civilization elements, as well as the international competition for catching up with, reaching, and maintaining the world’s advanced level and international differentiation. Countries that reached and kept the world’s advanced level are advanced ones, while the rest are developing ones. Over the past 300 years, the proportion of advanced countries has been below 20% and that of developing ones has been over80%.Inthepast50years,theprobabilitythatanadvancedcountrydescends to a developing one is about 10%, and the probability that a developing country ascendstoanadvancedoneisabout5%. The modernization science is an interdisciplinary one that deals with moderni- zationphenomena.Thisbook,thefirstoneonthemodernizationscienceinEnglish language,interpretsthebasicconcepts,researchmethods,andgeneraltheoriesand histories of the modernization, stage-specific (first and second) modernization, level-related (world, international, national, regional, organizational, and individ- ual) modernization, field-specific (economic, social,political,cultural, ecological, and human) modernization, sector-relative modernization, modernization eval- uation, modernization strategies and policies, and introduces the principles and methodsonnationaladvancement. Thisinterdisciplinarymonographisdesignedtoprovideaclear,systematic,and up-to-dateknowledgeofthetheoretical,empirical,analytical,andpolicystudyon the modernization science, and it includes 438 figures and tables, covers 97% of world population, and involves multidisciplines such as the social science, global politics,civilization,history,modernization,anddevelopmentstudy. ix

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