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290 Pages·2012·3.897 MB·English
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IMISCOE European Immigrations: Trends, Structures and Policy Implications is one of the few O RESEARCH k attempts to conceive of the ‘Old Continent’ as a common economic and cultural ó l space of immigration. Europe’s post-enlargement states, too, are presented as having s k i a high degree of social and political coherence. New empirical evidence underscores ( e their common experience, while disclosing factors and trends underlying their d European Immigrations . ) respective migrations, particularly from Southern and Eastern Europe. Key threads E are the long-term transition that countries undergo from net emigration to net u r immigration, as well as developments in migrant infl ows, integration and policy. o p e a Trends, Structures and n Marek Okólski is founder and director of the Centre of Migration Research (CMR) at I m the University of Warsaw and professor at the University of Warsaw and the Warsaw Policy Implications m School of Social Sciences and Humanities. ig r a t i o n Marek Okólski (ed.) “Th is book smartly conceptualises migration in diff erent areas of Europe and off ers insightful theoretical models to s understand past and recent trends.” Tim Elrick, University of Toronto, Canada “An impressive team of internationally acclaimed migration scholars expertly take stock of and debate Europe's latest round of migration trends... A rich blend of theory and empirical analysis.” Russell King, Sussex Centre for Migration Research, University of Sussex, UK “Th e predominant focus on Southern and Eastern Europe enriches our understanding of European migrations as a complex and constantly evolving system of systems.” Ferruccio Pastore, Forum of International and European Research on Migration, Turin, Italy       .. AMSTERDAM UNIVERSIT Y PRESS European Immigrations IMISCOE International Migration, Integration and Social Cohesion inEurope The IMISCOE Research Network unites researchers from, at present, 28 institutes specialising in studies of international migration, integration and social cohesion in Europe. What began in 2004 as a Network of Excellence sponsored by the Sixth Framework Programme oftheEuropeanCommission hasbecome,asof April2009,an independentself-fundingendeavour.Fromthestart,IMISCOEhaspromotedintegrated, multidisciplinary and globally comparative research led by scholars from various branches of the economic and social sciences, the humanities and law. The Network furthers existing studies and pioneers new scholarship on migration and migrant integration. Encouraging innovative lines of inquiry key to European policymaking and governanceisalsoapriority. The IMISCOE-Amsterdam University Press Series makes the Network’s findings and results available to researchers, policymakers and practitioners, the media and other interested stakeholders. High-quality manuscripts authored by Network members and cooperating partners areevaluated byexternal peerreviewsandtheIMISCOE Editorial Committee.TheCommitteecomprisesthefollowingmembers: TizianaCaponio,DepartmentofPoliticalStudies,UniversityofTurin/Forumfor InternationalandEuropeanResearchonImmigration(FIERI),Turin,Italy MichaelCollyer,SussexCentreforMigrationResearch(SCMR),UniversityofSussex, UnitedKingdom RositaFibbi,SwissForumforMigrationandPopulationStudies(SFM),Universityof Neuchâtel/InstituteofSocialSciences,UniversityofLausanne,Switzerland AgataGórny,CentreofMigrationResearch(CMR)/FacultyofEconomicSciences, UniversityofWarsaw,Poland AlbertKraler,InternationalCentreforMigrationPolicyDevelopment(ICMPD),Vienna, Austria JorgeMalheiros,CentreofGeographicalStudies(CEG),UniversityofLisbon,Portugal MarcoMartiniello,NationalFundforScientificResearch(FNRS),Brussels/Centerfor EthnicandMigrationStudies(CEDEM),UniversityofLiège,Belgium MarlouSchrover,InstituteforHistory,LeidenUniversity,TheNetherlands PatrickSimon,NationalDemographicInstitute(INED),Paris,France MiriSong,SchoolofSocialPolicyandSociology,UniversityofKent,UnitedKingdom IMISCOEPolicyBriefsandmoreinformationonthenetworkcanbefoundat www.imiscoe.org. European Immigrations Trends, Structures and Policy Implications edited by Marek Okólski IMISCOE Research Cover design:Studio Jande Boer BNO, Amsterdam Layout: The DocWorkers, Almere ISBN 978 90 89644572 e-ISBN 978 90 48517275 (pdf) e-ISBN 978 90 48517282 (e-Pub) NUR 741 /763 ©MarekOkólski/Amsterdam UniversityPress,Amsterdam2012 All rights reserved. Without limiting the rights under copyright reserved above,nopart ofthisbookmay bereproduced,storedinorintroduced into a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means (electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise) without the written permission ofboth thecopyrightownerandthe author of thebook. Table of Contents Introduction 7 Marek Okólski 1 Transition fromemigration toimmigration Isit thedestiny of modern European countries? 23 Marek Okólski 2 Early startersand latecomers Comparing countries ofimmigration and immigration regimes inEurope 45 Joaquín Arango 3 ‘Old’ immigration countriesin Europe The concept and empiricalexamples 65 Heinz Fassmannand UrsulaReeger 4 Migration transitions in an era ofliquid migration Reflections on Fassmannand Reeger 91 Godfried Engbersen 5 Immigrants, markets and policies inSouthern Europe The makingof an immigration model? 107 João Peixoto, Joaquín Arango,Corrado Bonifazi, Claudia Finotelli, Catarina Sabino, Salvatore Strozza and Anna Triandafyllidou 6 The Southern European‘model of immigration’ Asceptical view 149 Martin Baldwin-Edwards 7 Framing the Iberian model of labour migration Employment exploitation, defacto deregulationand formal compensation 159 Jorge Malheiros 6 EUROPEANIMMIGRATIONS 8 Patterns of immigrationin the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland Acomparative perspective 179 Dušan Drbohlav 9 Anuncertainfutureofimmigration inEurope Insightsfrom expert-based stochastic forecastsforselected countries 211 Arkadiusz Wiśniowski, Jakub Bijak, Marek Kupiszewski and Dorota Kupiszewska 10 Commentson ‘Anuncertain futureof immigration in Europe’by Wiśniowskiet al. 233 Leovan Wissen 11 Migration policy matters Acomparative analysisof policy recommendations 239 MagdalenaLesińska 12 The evolving areaoffreedom,security and justice Taking stock and thinkingahead 259 Dora Kostakopoulou Europe,a continent of immigrants Aconclusion 269 Marek Okólski Contributors 275 Introduction Marek Okólski Not long ago, Europe was symbolically reunited – at least, such might be the perception of the first eastward enlargement of the European Union on 1 May 2004. The accession of eight Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries to the EU gave rise to further dismantling of those barriers between East and West that had been erected in the Cold War era. What followed was a softening of divisions across European societies and an intensification of mutual contacts and flows of knowledge and ideas. Many varied social phenomena in the East were expected to converge with those in other parts of the continent. Migration patterns, regimes and policies ranked among those phenomena. At the beginning of 1989, when the Poles – and slightly later, citizens of other CEE countries – were granted unlimited freedom of international travel, a considerable part of western public opinion and western states re- acted with anxiety, if not phobia. It was feared that freedom of movement – a basic human right that for decades prior to 1989 the West had unstint- ingly supported – could result in excessive flows of people from CEE to theWest. The East-West exodus did not happen, however. This was because the former communist countries of Europe, still aptly perceived in the late 1980s as politically and economically similar, set different goals for them- selves and chose various strategies for transition to democracy and market economy, thus undergoing massive change. An important outcome of that change was a growing capacity to contain within the region itself the vast migration potential that had accumulated over the period of communist repression. This iswhy in theearly 1990s,tens ofthousands ofBulgarians, Romanians, Ukrainians and other CEE nationals opted for migration to other former communist countries, notably to the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland, instead of following in the footsteps of their fellow countrymen who (in much smaller numbers than expected) headed for the West.1 In comparison with Western Europe, the Czech Republic and some other economically booming CEE countries were both geographically and culturally closer for the migrants and thus involved less risk for the pio- neers of international mobility of people from Ukraine, Romania or other source countries. 8 MAREKOKÓLSKI Over the 1990s the inflow of foreigners to CEE countries continued. Its forms became more mature; the earlier dominant form – the movement of pettytradersandirregularworkersengaged invariousoddjobs –gaveway to the flow of predominantly regular contract workers or small-scale entre- preneurs. By attracting considerable numbers of migrants from faraway countries, such as China (in Hungary and the Czech Republic) or Vietnam (in theCzech Republicand Poland), thenational andethnic composition of incoming foreigners became more diverse. At this time, communities of settledmigrants begantoappear,especiallyinlargecities. ItappearedthatthoseCEEcountriesintheforefrontofpoliticalandeco- nomic transition were undergoing changes similar to those experienced a few decades earlier by four Southern European countries – namely, Italy, Spain, Greece and Portugal. These southern countries, along with the proc- ess of economic integration with Western Europe, rather rapidly changed their migration statuses. Having been important source countries for guest worker migration to many western economies in the 1950s and 1960s, while suffering from excess labour supply, they shifted to become new major European destinations forimmigrant workers. Since almost all Western European countries had also undergone such a transition, albeit at least a quarter of a century earlier, it seemed rather nat- ural to predict that once Eastern Europe became economically integrated with the rest of the continent, the migration patterns in that region would change accordingly. Or, atleast, to profoundlyconsidersuch a hypothesis. * Indeed, large scope of geographical coverage, long duration, high volume of migratory movements and a shift in migration balance from negative to positive on the European soil seem to be an unprecedented social phenom- enonofmodernity.2Thebeginningofmass emigration from Europeisusu- ally dated to the early nineteenth century. Jean-Claude Chesnais (1986) ar- gues that over a whole century, in the period 1815-1914, more than 60 million inhabitants of Europe (one fifth of its 1850 population) abandoned the continent of origin and, according to Russell King (1996), approxi- mately 50 million Europeans moved to other continents between 1850 and 1914.3 In roughly the same period (1861-1920), the United Sates, alone, saw the arrival of 30 million immigrants, 27 or 28 million of whom were probably of European origin (Miller & Castles1993 after Borjas 1990).4 In addition, many millions of European people migrated to other countries within the continent. For instance, between 1876 and 1920, from a total of fifteen million Italian immigrants, nearly seven million went to other European countries, notably to France, Switzerland and Germany. Similarly, a considerable proportion of Irish migrants moved to England and Scotland, whereas Germany was a destination of a large number of INTRODUCTION 9 Poles (Castles & Miller 1993). In a sharp contrast, until the late 1940s in- tercontinental migration to Europe did not match the emigration figures. It predominantly included returning emigrants whose proportion relative to theout-migrants was usually well below 50per cent (King 1996). In relative terms, (overseas) emigration per 1,000 resident population was very high in almost all European countries. In certain decades of the 1850-1910 period, it exceeded five per 1,000 on a yearly basis. In coun- tries such as England, Scotland, Ireland, Norway, Sweden, Finland, Austria-Hungary, Italy, Spain and Portugal, it accounted for a large part of their naturalincrease(Baines 1991; Hatton& Williamson2008). The recent picture is strikingly different. Europe has become a continent of net immigration. From 1960 to 2010, the overall positive migration bal- ance was around 32.9 million, that is approximately one fourth of the total 128.3 million increase in the European resident population in that period (UN 2009). According to the United Nations estimate, between 1960 and 2005, the number of international migrants in three of four major parts of the continent (northern, southern and western) rose from 10.3 million to 39.3 million or, in relative terms, from 2.8 per cent to 9.0 per cent of the total population (UN 2006).5 A growing importance of immigration to Europe can be best illustrated by the following observation: the first decade of the twenty-first century saw the rate of netmigration close to (plus) 3.5 per 1,000 population inthe group of 27 member countries of the European Union, whereas the respec- tive rate ofnaturalincreasewas below oneper 1,000 (Eurostat2009). Corrado Bonifazi(2008) attemptedtoestablishthetime whenEuropeat- tained its status of net immigration. In the 1950s, the migration balance was still strongly negative (-4.8 million over the decade). In the 1960s, the net loss continued, but at a substantially lower level (-600,000). In the next decade, the balance became positive (+3 million). Thus, the 1970s wit- nessed a breakthrough. Since that time the gap between immigration and emigration in favour of the former has been systematically growing. Bonifazi, however, also stressed distinctive differences in migration trends between majorgroups ofcountries andindividual countries themselves. Western Europe turned to a net immigration regime in the 1950s, where- as Northern and Southern Europe only did so in the 1970s.6 In turn, if the Russian Federation was excluded, Eastern Europe remained a net emigra- tion region until the end of the century, if not beyond that date.7 On the other hand, Belgium, France, Switzerland and Germany became a net im- migration area as soon as in the 1950s,8 while Italy only did so in the 1990s. In 1950, many countries of Europe which nowadays are perceived as immigration areas, hardly hosted foreign residents; in Finland, Greece, Ireland, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain and the United Kingdom, their share in the total population was below 1 per cent (in some of them – below 0.3 per cent). After a half-century or so, the proportion of

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