Climate Change Adaptation in Developed Nations ADVANCES IN GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH VOLUME42 Editor-in-Chief MartinBeniston,UniversityofGeneva,Switzerland Editorial Advisory Board B. Allen-Diaz, Department ESPM-Ecosystem Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, CA,U.S.A. R.S.Bradley,DepartmentofGeosciences,UniversityofMassachusetts,Amherst,MA,U.S.A. W. Cramer, Department of Global Change and Natural Systems, Potsdam Institute for ClimateImpactResearch,Potsdam,Germany. H.F.Diaz,ClimateDiagnosticsCenter,OceanicandAtmosphericResearch,NOAA,Boulder, CO,U.S.A. S. Erkman, Institute for communication and Analysis of Science and Technology–ICAST, Geneva,Switzerland R.GarciaHerrera,FaculateddeFisicas,UniversidadComplutense,Madrid,Spain M.Lal,CenterforAtmosphericSciences,IndianInstituteofTechnology,NewDelhi,India. U. Luterbacher, The Graduate Institute of International Studies, University of Geneva, Geneva,Switzerland. I. Noble, CRC for Greenhouse Accounting and Research School of Biological Science, AustralianNationalUniversity,Canberra,Australia. L.Tessier,InstitutMediterrane´end’EcologieetPale´oe´cologie,Marseille,France. F.Toth,InternationalInstituteforAppliedSystemsAnalysisLaxenburg,Austria. M.M. Verstraete, Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Ec Joint Research Centre, Ispra(VA),Italy. Forfurthervolumes: http://www.springer.com/series/5588 James D. Ford • Lea Berrang-Ford Editors Climate Change Adaptation in Developed Nations From Theory to Practice 123 Editors Dr.JamesD.Ford Dr.LeaBerrang-Ford DepartmentofGeography DepartmentofGeography McGillUniversity McGillUniversity 805SherbrookeStreetWest 805SherbrookeStreetWest Montre´al,QCH3A2K6 Montre´al,QCH3A2K6 Canada Canada [email protected] [email protected] EditorialAssistants MichelleMaillet CarolynPoutiainen DepartmentofGeography DepartmentofGeography McGillUniversity McGillUniversity Montreal,QC Montreal,QC Canada Canada [email protected] [email protected] ISSN1574-0919 ISBN978-94-007-0566-1 e-ISBN978-94-007-0567-8 DOI10.1007/978-94-007-0567-8 SpringerDordrechtHeidelbergLondonNewYork LibraryofCongressControlNumber:2011931286 ©SpringerScience+BusinessMediaB.V.2011 Nopartofthisworkmaybereproduced,storedinaretrievalsystem,ortransmittedinanyformorby anymeans,electronic,mechanical,photocopying,microfilming,recordingorotherwise,withoutwritten permissionfromthePublisher,withtheexceptionofanymaterialsuppliedspecificallyforthepurpose ofbeingenteredandexecutedonacomputersystem,forexclusiveusebythepurchaserofthework. Coverillustration:CoverimagecourtesyofMartinFlamandhttp://www.martinflamand.com/ Coverdesign:SPiPublisherServices Printedonacid-freepaper SpringerispartofSpringerScience+BusinessMedia(www.springer.com) Acknowledgments A number of people contributed to the development of this volume and deserve recognition. Firstly, we kindly thank the chapter authors for their contributions, whose work on a wide range of scientific and regional case studies form the substantive basis of this book. More than 60 anonymous reviewers provided thoughtful and detailed comments that have contributed to the quality, clarity, and scientific rigor of the information herein. Intellectual guidance and support during the early conceptualization of this volume were provided by Barry Smit and Tristan Pearce. The managing editor for this volume, Margaret Deignan, has been highlysupportiveand efficient duringbookdevelopmentand was a pleasure to work with. Contributingfundswere providedby the Departmentof Geography at McGill Universitytoward an editorial research assistant, and are greatly appre- ciated. Finally, several research assistants dedicated enormous effort and time to copyediting, author communications, and general book administration: we thank CarolynPoutiainen,MichelleMaillet,TanyaSmith,andWilliamVanderbilt. v Contents PartI IntroductionandOverview 1 Introduction................................................................. 3 JamesD.FordandLeaBerrang-Ford 2 ClimateChangeAdaptationasaSocialProcess........................ 21 JohannaWolf 3 EnteringthePeriodofConsequences:TheExplosiveUS AwakeningtotheNeedforAdaptation................................... 33 SusanneC.Moser 4 PerspectivesonAdaptationtoClimateChangeinEurope............. 51 Ste´phaneIsoard 5 TheAustralianExperience ................................................ 69 TimothyFrederickSmith,DanaC.Thomsen,andNoniKeys 6 Leading the UK AdaptationAgenda: A Landscape of Stakeholders and Networked Organizationsfor AdaptationtoClimateChange............................................ 85 EmilyBoyd,RogerStreet,MeganGawith,KateLonsdale, LaurieNewton,KayJohnstone,andGerryMetcalf 7 AdaptationtoClimateChangeinCanada:AMulti-levelMosaic .... 103 TheaDickinsonandIanBurton PartII AdaptationinthePublicHealthSector 8 Overview:AdaptiveManagementfortheHealthRisks ofClimateChange.......................................................... 121 KristieL.Ebi vii viii Contents 9 BehavioralHealth and Risk Perception: Factorsin StrengtheningCommunityResiliencyandEmergency Preparedness................................................................ 133 DavidHutton 10 LateralPublic Health: A Comprehensive Approach toAdaptationinUrbanEnvironments................................... 143 JanC.Semenza 11 PublicHealthinCanadaandAdaptationtoInfectious Disease Risks of Climate Change: Are We Planning orJustKeepingOurFingersCrossed?................................... 161 NicholasHumeOgden,PaulSockett,andManonFleury 12 ClimateChange,Water-RelatedHealthImpacts,and Adaptation:HighlightsfromtheSwedishGovernment’s CommissiononClimateandVulnerability .............................. 177 ElisabetLindgren,AnnAlbihn,andYvonneAndersson 13 AdaptationtotheHeat-RelatedHealthImpactofClimate ChangeinJapan............................................................ 189 YasushiHonda,MasajiOno,andKristieL.Ebi 14 RiskPerception,HealthCommunication,andAdaptation totheHealthImpactsofClimateChangeinCanada................... 205 PeterBerry,Kaila-LeaClarke,MarkPajot,andDavidHutton PartIII AdaptationintheIndustrialSector 15 Overview:ClimateChangeAdaptationinIndustry.................... 223 PaulKovacs 16 Impacts of and Adaptation to Climate Change intheElectricitySectorinGermanyandFrance....................... 231 BennoRothsteinandSylvieParey 17 TheRoleofCodes,Standards,andRelatedInstruments inFacilitatingAdaptationtoClimateChange........................... 243 PaulSteenhofandErikSparling 18 LearningAdaptation:Climate-RelatedRiskManagement intheInsuranceIndustry.................................................. 255 ChristinaL.CookandHadiDowlatabadi 19 Adaptive Capacity of Forest Management Systems onPubliclyOwnedForestLandscapesinCanada...................... 267 MarkJohnston, TimWilliamson, HarryNelson, LairdVanDamme,AynslieOgden,andHayleyHesseln Contents ix PartIV AdaptationintheUrbanEnvironment 20 Overview:ClimateChangeAdaptationintheUrbanEnvironment.. 281 ThomasJ.Wilbanks 21 IntegratedAssessment of Climate Change Impacts onUrbanSettlements:LessonsfromFiveAustralianCases........... 289 GeraldineLiandStephenDovers 22 TheRoleofLocalGovernmentinAdaptingtoClimate Change:LessonsfromNewZealand ..................................... 303 AndyReisinger, DavidWratt, SylviaAllan, andHowardLarsen 23 Perceptions of Risk and Limits to Climate Change Adaptation:CaseStudiesofTwoSwedishUrbanRegions ............ 321 LouiseSimonsson, A˚saGergerSwartling, KarinAndre´, OskarWallgren,andRichardJ.T.Klein 24 AskingtheClimateQuestion:ClimateChangeAdaptation inKingCounty,Washington .............................................. 335 ElizabethWillmottandJenniferPenney PartV AdaptationintheAgriculturalSector 25 Overview:ClimateChangeAdaptationintheAgriculturalSector... 347 JohnM.Reilly 26 ClimateChangeandAdaptationofWheatProducing Nations:SelectedCaseStudiesfromCanadaandAustralia........... 359 MoniqueHelfrichandVivekPrasad 27 Use of Modern Portfolio Theory to Evaluate DiversificationofAgriculturalLandUseasanAdaptation toClimateRisksintheTiszaRiverBasin................................ 371 SaskiaE.Werners,E´vaErde´lyi,andIwanSupit 28 GovernmentActiontoPromoteSustainableAdaptation bytheAgricultureandLandManagementSectorinEngland........ 385 NicholasA.MacgregorandCarolineE.Cowan PartVI Adaptationin Rural and Resource-Dependent Communities 29 Overview: Climate Change Adaptation in Rural andResource-DependentCommunities.................................. 401 StewartJ.Cohen