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APPENDIX A Hydrogeologic Data Interpretation and Modelling Methods and Tools PDF

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Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology APPENDIX A Hydrogeologic Data Interpretation and Modelling Methods and Tools: Finland Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology This page intentionally left blank. Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology Contents 1.0  Interpretation Methods and Tools .......................................................................................... A-1  1.1  Brief Overview of the Site Location and Geologic Setting .............................................. A-1  1.2  Summary of the Characterization activities .................................................................... A-2  1.3  Watershed Data Interpretation and Tools ....................................................................... A-4  1.3.1  Precipitation Data Interpretation Method and Tools ............................................. A-4  1.3.2  Evapotranspiration Data Interpretation Method and Tools ................................... A-4  1.3.3  Recharge Interpretation Method and Tools .......................................................... A-4  1.3.4  Groundwater Baseflow Interpretation Method and Tools ..................................... A-4  1.3.5  Groundwater Levels Interpretation Method and Tools ......................................... A-5  1.3.6  Trend Analysis (Precipitation and Groundwater Levels) Interpretation Method and Tools ................................................................................................ A-6  1.4  Hydrogeologic System Characterization Methods and Tools ......................................... A-7  1.4.1  Porosity and Permeability Laboratory Data Interpretation Methods ..................... A-7  1.4.2  Borehole Fluid Density Surveys - Interpretation Method and Tools ................... A-10  1.4.3  Borehole Fluid Logging Surveys - Interpretation Method and Tools .................. A-13  1.4.4  Fracture Aperture Measurement - Interpretation Method and Tools .................. A-14  1.4.5  Aquifer Properties - Single Well Tests Interpretation Method and Tools ............ A-14  1.4.6  Aquifer Properties - Multi-Well Tests Interpretation Method and Tools ............. A-17  2.0  Modelling Methods and Tools .............................................................................................. A-19  2.1  Watershed System Modelling Methods and Tools ....................................................... A-19  2.1.1  Watershed Data Processing Software ............................................................... A-19  2.1.2  Watershed Modelling Methods & Software ........................................................ A-19  2.1.2.1  Modelling approach and objectives ..................................................... A-19  2.1.2.2  Presentation of the code ...................................................................... A-20  2.1.2.3  Spatial and Temporal Discretization .................................................... A-20  2.1.2.4  Calibration............................................................................................ A-21  2.1.2.5  Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analyses ................................................... A-21  2.1.3  Watershed Visualization Tools ........................................................................... A-21  2.2  Hydrogeologic System Modelling Methods and Tools .................................................. A-22  2.2.1  Hydrogeologic Modelling Method ....................................................................... A-22  2.2.1.1  Development of Spatial Variability of Input Parameters ...................... A-22  2.2.1.2  Upscaling Method ................................................................................ A-25  2.2.1.3  Dimensionality of Model ....................................................................... A-25  2.2.1.4  Spatial Heterogeneity and Driving Forces ........................................... A-27  2.2.1.5  Calibration Techniques ........................................................................ A-27  2.2.1.6  Uncertainty Analysis Technique .......................................................... A-28  2.2.2  Hydrogeologic Data Processing Software .......................................................... A-28  2.2.3  Hydrogeologic Modelling Software ..................................................................... A-28  2.2.4  Hydrogeologic Visualization Tools .................................................................... A-28  3.0  References ........................................................................................................................... A-29  A-i Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology List of Figures Figure 1-1  Location of the four sites investigated by Posiva in Finland and close-up on the Olkiluoto Island considered for hosting the final deep repository. ..................... A-1  Figure 1-2  Changes in groundwater table levels and corresponding changes in measured heads by depth in two drill holes (OL-KR12 and OL-KR29) in spring and summer 2006. Factors represent the portion of magnitude of surface change by depth (Ahokas et al., 2008). ...................................................... A-6  Figure 1-3  Baseline heads produced by Ahokas et al. (2008) for different boreholes. ............. A-7  Figure 1-4  Observations and long-term means (straight lines) of groundwater table levels observed on reference drillholes (Ahokas et al., 2008). ................................ A-8  Figure 1-5  Example of autoradiograph (top) and porosity histogram (bottom) of a core sample tested with the 14C-PMMA Method. Total porosity of 2.9 % was determined (Lindberg et al., 2010). ......................................................................... A-9  Figure 1-6  Temperature of water in six different boreholes and the linear mean used in density correction (Ahokas et al., 2008). ............................................................... A-12  Figure 1-7  The down-hole equipment of the Difference Flow Meter (DIFF) developed by Posiva (Rouhiainen 2000). ............................................................................... A-13  Figure 1-8  Example of hydraulic connections between boreholes based on pumping tests and cases selected by Vaittinen et al. (2008). The connections visualized as red tubes are assessed more certain than green tubes. The colour of the sections refers to different hydrogeological structures. .................... A-18  Figure 2-1  Geometry and location of the 10 planar hydrogeological zones (HZ) over the Olkiluoto Island considered in the site-scale hydrogeological model (Löfman et al., 2009). The extension of the model volume corresponds to the black solid lines. .............................................................................................. A-23  Figure 2-2  Schematic functioning of the numerical algorithm used for spatially varying infiltration (Löfman et al., 2009). ............................................................................ A-24  Figure 2-3  Simulated flow paths from the potential repository rock block to the surface considering the flow model that includes the hydrogeological zones (HZ). The paths have been calculated from the equivalent continuum porous medium (EPM) model applying the hydraulic conductivities based on the geometric means of the measured transmissivities (top) and upscaling from the discrete fracture network (DFN) model (bottom) (Löfman et al., 2009). .......... A-26  List of Tables Table 1-1  Summary of the main characterization activities performed over the period 2006-2008 at Olkiluoto, which have contributed to the Hydrogeology Site Descriptive Modelling of 2009 (according to Posiva Oy, 2009). .............................. A-3  Table 1-2  Comparison of salinity measurement methods used in the 3D salinity model of Olkiluoto according to Palmén et al. (2004). ..................................................... A-11  Table 2-1  Summary of the Boundary Conditions of the site-scale groundwater model (Löfman et al., 2009). ............................................................................................ A-24  A-ii Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology 1.0 Interpretation Methods and Tools 1.1 Brief Overview of the Site Location and Geologic Setting Radioactive waste from nuclear power plants is managed in Finland by Posiva, an organization responsible for research into a final spent nuclear fuel disposal and for the construction, operation, eventual backfilling and closure of this final disposal facility. As part of the Finish programme for geological disposal of spent nuclear fuel, detailed site investigations and an environmental impact assessment procedure were carried out for four sites from 1993 to 2000: Romuvaara in Kuhmo, Kivetty in Äänekoski, Olkiluoto in Eurajoki, and Hästholmen in Loviisa (Figure 1-1). The Olkiluoto Island in Eurajoki was found to have a larger area reserved for the repository. Furthermore, the largest portion of the spent nuclear fuel was already on the island. Consequently, Posiva proposed Olkiluoto in Eurajoki as the site for hosting the final repository. The KBS-3 concept developed by SKB in Sweden (Banwart et al., 1997, Hedin et al., 2001) was selected as the preferred waste disposal concept for the disposal of spent fuel. Olkiluoto is a large island, about 10 km2 in size, located on the Baltic Sea coast and separated from the mainland by a narrow strait (Figure 1-1). The Western part of the island already hosts the Olkiluoto nuclear power plant, with two reactors in operation, a third one under construction and a forth in the planning stage, as well as a repository for low and intermediate waste. The final deep repository for spent fuel will be constructed in the central and eastern part of the island at a depth of between 400m and 600 m in the crystalline bedrock. An underground rock characterization facility, the ONKALO, has been constructed since 2004 in the central part of the island. This facility has been used for research and to develop excavation and final disposal techniques in realistic conditions.   Figure 1-1 Location of the four sites investigated by Posiva in Finland and close-up on the Olkiluoto Island considered for hosting the final deep repository. The crystalline bedrock of Olkiluoto is part of the Precambrian Fennoscandian Shield and comprises metamorphic and igneous rocks developed between 1930 Ma and 1800 Ma which have been subjected to brittle and ductile deformations as well as hydrothermal alteration. The dominant rock types at Olkiluoto are divided into four major classes crossed-cut by dykes: A-1 Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology  Migmatitic gneisses (64% of the bedrock volume);  Tonalitic-granodioritic-granitic gneisses (8% of the bedrock volume);  Mica gneisses, quartz gneisses and mafic gneisses (8% of the bedrock volume); and  Pegmatitic granites (20% of the bedrock volume). Since the opening of the North Atlantic, the bedrock has been subjected to tectonic uplift of up to 1-2 km in the Palaeogene and Neogene, which was amplified by isostatic rebound in response to the glaciation during Late Pliocene and Pleistocene. The bedrock was eroded almost to its present level prior to the beginning of the Cambrian (about 600 million years ago). Due to erosion and continental conditions, it is almost totally lacking in sedimentary rocks younger than the Precambrian. Three distinct tectonic domains, which are split up by two main shear zones, have been identified on the Olkiluoto Island and characterized by a relative intensity of deformation. Gently South-East- dipping fault zones were found to be the main hydrogeological features of the site (Posiva Oy 2009). 1.2 Summary of the Characterization activities Site characterisation activities at Olkiluoto have been taking place for over 20 years by means of ground- and air-based methods completed by an extensive programme of shallow and deep (300 - 1000 m) boreholes. Since the late 1980s, extensive research has been carried out in the central part of the Olkiluoto Island where ONKALO is currently located and the results have been used in the development of site-scale models. The focus has then shifted since 2006 to the eastern part of the island which was relatively poorly known whereas information was required for the potential enlargement of the repository to the east. Consequently, additional drilling from the surface and surface-based investigations were carried out in this part of the island, also driven by the data requirements for future modelling studies and the design of ONKALO. The monitoring programme includes rock mechanical, hydrogeological, hydrochemical and biosphere monitoring. A forest monitoring system has notably been developed since 2003, which includes microclimate monitoring. A brief overview of the characterization activities performed over the period 2006-2008 at Olkiluoto, which have contributed to the Hydrogeology Site Descriptive Modelling of 2009, is summarized in Table 1-1. All the scientific and technical information collected during the characterization activities was stored in a knowledge management system (web-based system) composed of:  The POTTI research data system which centralises the data from the site investigation program and construction work;  The VAHA requirement management system which documents the requirements for the final disposal system; and  The Kronodoc document management system which centralises all the written reports.     A-2 Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology Table 1-1 Summary of the main characterization activities performed over the period 2006-2008 at Olkiluoto, which have contributed to the Hydrogeology Site Descriptive Modelling of 2009 (according to Posiva Oy, 2009). Discipline Method Results Investigation of outcrops and trenches Mapping of lithologies, ductile deformation structures, fractures and 50 deep drillholes (which include one under the sea) brittle deformation zones Geology Geological mapping of ONKALO (lithology, fracturing, Allows sampling and other detailed foliation, alteration, Rock Quality Designation, joint investigations in boreholes aperture measurements, water leakages) and pilot hole drilling Standard geophysical logging methods (magnetic Study of rock alteration and deformation susceptibility, resistivity, density, natural gamma structures (which includes the radiation, full waveform sonic, calliper, fluid temperature identification of fractures), and resistivity logging) Monitoring of conductivity changes in the Drillhole imaging tools (seismic imaging, magnetic bedrock indicating potential changes in mapping, electromagnetic sounding and mise-à-la- the level of saline groundwater masse surveys) Characterization of Excavation Damaged Geophysics Petrophysical sample measurements to support the Zones (EDZ) in ONKALO interpretation of logging data 3D reflection seismic survey Electromagnetic sounding in bore holes, Crosshole tomographic test using radiowave imaging, Seismic survey and mise-à-la-masse surveys in ONKALO Determination of surface runoff of the local catchment Data acquisition to support modelling and areas with weirs and an automated measuring system assess future changes caused by the construction of ONKALO Long-term monitoring of the groundwater table and measurement of hydraulic heads at depth with multi- Identification of hydraulically-conductive packer systems fractures Systematic measurement of hydraulic conductivity with Identification of hydraulic connections Hydrology the DIFF (Difference Flow Meter) in all surface-based between boreholes /Hydrogeology drillholes and the HTU (Hydraulic Testing Unit) in Identification of borehole responses to selected drillholes at repository depths field activities Electrical Conductivity logging, temperature logging, measurement of the single point resistance of the borehole wall Systematic mapping of the inflow points into the ONKALO tunnel Sampling of deep and shallow ground waters with PAVE Identification of glacial inputs (Pressurised Water Sampling Equipment) Identification of changes caused by Matrix pore water studies to get information about the ONKALO construction or long-term groundwater quality in intact rock pumping Hydro- chemistry Identification of dissolve gases and salinity distribution Study of the potential variation of groundwater composition over time A-3 Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology 1.3 Watershed Data Interpretation and Tools 1.3.1 Precipitation Data Interpretation Method and Tools Precipitation data have been analysed by means of long-term statistical calculations and an extreme value analysis (Haapanen, 2010) using MATLAB. For modelling purposes, precipitation data (corrected for wind and evaporation losses) were analysed together with potential evapotranspiration, interception and snow processes, in order to delineate patches which formed homogenous units in terms of hydrological processes above the soil over the Olkiluoto Island (Karnoven, 2008). The difference between the amounts of precipitation between these areas was found to be most likely related to topographic features (Karnoven, 2008). Moreover, a significant difference was found between precipitation below forest canopy and over open areas (Haapanen 2007, 2010). The amount of precipitation falling on the forest floor within the stands was strongly dependent on the precipitation above the tree canopies. Although the canopy layer and forest structure had a major effect on the amount of water in stand through fall, the precipitation in the open area was found to be the most important factor regulating the amount of water passing to the forest floor in Finnish conditions. The mean interceptions of precipitation by the tree crowns as percentage of the precipitation in the open areas were 37, 28 and 29% in 2004, 2005 and 2006, respectively. The difference between 2004 and 2005-2006 suggested that a higher proportion of total precipitation occurred as snow during 2005-2006. Snow accumulation and snow melt were found to be very well described by the degree-day method originally developed by Vehviläinen (1992). This means that air temperature explained snow processes well enough to be considered as the main input of the snow routine in surface modelling (Karnoven, 2008). 1.3.2 Evapotranspiration Data Interpretation Method and Tools Potential evapotranspiration was calculated using the Penman-Monteith equation (Karvonen and Varis 1992). Actual evapotranspiration was deduced from surface hydrology modelling (Karnoven, 2008). A more sophisticated approach was developed in 2009 using a Soil-Vegetation-Atmosphere- Transfer (SVAT) model (Karnoven, 2009) to analyse the different water and energy balance components of the Forest Intensive monitoring plots (FIP) on Olkiluoto (cf. modelling section below). 1.3.3 Recharge Interpretation Method and Tools Recharge computations were mainly carried out with the surface hydrology model (Karnoven, 2008).The interpretation of chemical and isotopic data also gave an insight into recharge processes (Posiva Oy, 2009). Fresh HCO -type waters were found in shallow ground waters from overburden 3 and bedrock which signalled a recent terrestrial recharge during the last 0 – 2500 a. A mixing with former ground waters (brackish HCO -type) was identified down to 100 – 150 m depth. 3 1.3.4 Groundwater Baseflow Interpretation Method and Tools Discharge measurements were found to be the most important source of uncertainty in the water balance computations in 2008 (Karnoven, 2008) for several reasons (leaking weirs, stream gages on only 4 of the 15 watershed catchments, only one manual measurement once a week on each weir). The groundwater base flow was explored through a surface modelling approach where less weight was given to the discharge measurements during calibration of the soil parameters as discharge values were uncertain. A-4 Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology 1.3.5 Groundwater Levels Interpretation Method and Tools Heads have been measured on the Olkiluoto site since 1990. The measurements have included monitoring of head in permanent piezometers, boreholes equipped with multi-packers and the determination of heads in connection with flow logging (Ahokas 2008). Determination of the hydraulic head of the packed-off intervals was conducted by measuring the water level in the hose, which connects the monitoring interval to the ground surface. Two types of packer have been used (inflatable rubber packers and fixed concrete packers). Water level in the hose is measured either manually by a contact meter or by means of pressure transducers linked to an automatic data acquisition system or data loggers. If the measurement hose is filled with fresh water, the measured water level represents directly the fresh water head of the measurement section. In many cases the water in the hose is mixed due to the intrusion of borehole water into the measuring hoses during the installation (lowering) of the system. In that case, a density correction was applied as discussed below. The measured and calculated heads were converted into in situ fresh water heads, which correspond to the water level (metres above sea level) in the hose that runs from the packed-off section to the ground surface. This means that the determined head included the effects of temperature and compressibility of water on the density of water. These head corrections have thus consisted in:  A density correction using density laboratory measurements corrected for temperature from the depth of the test section. A similar correction was made in the conversion of measured absolute pressures of flow logging into fresh water heads by calculating the compressibility factor as a function of temperature (the effect of the water density on the compressibility factor was neglected); and  A normalization to represent the long-term mean of the chosen reference drill hole as the period of observations may have coincided with a dry or wet period compared to the long- term means. These periods were defined by comparing the average of the period in question with the long-term means of some reference drill holes. The reference drill holes were chosen as far away as possible from the central investigation area and were found not to be sensitive to the disturbances caused by several kinds of field activities (pumping). The seasonal correction factor was calculated by dividing the approximate means of the changes in the reference wells by the corresponding changes in the different measuring levels. The seasonal factor was found to decrease clearly with depth (Figure 1-2) which indicated that bedrock heads were not dependent on fluctuations or seasonal variations of the groundwater table below a certain depth (approx. -500 m). The compilation of the equipotential lines of the mean groundwater table over the Olkiluoto Island was carried out in 1993 (Ahokas and Herva 1993) and no significant changes have been found by Vaittinen et al. (2009) although the observation network was much more comprehensive in 2009. Corrected head deeper in the bedrock were compiled by Ahokas et al. (2008) to produce the so- called baseline heads for different boreholes (Figure 1-3). The corrected hydraulic head data have been analysed and compared to these baselines in order to:  Identify hydraulic connections between drill holes;  Determine the responses of drill hole packed-off sections to some field activities; A-5 Interpretation and Modelling   Approaches and Tools: Hydrogeology  Compare the observed hydraulic connections with the previous hydrogeological model;  All the measured head observations both in packed-off and in open drill holes were gathered and a data processing code was developed to enable inquiries of head values for selected field activities. The gathering of the data and the code improved interpretation and enabled easy mutual comparison of head observations from several boreholes; and  The results of this comparison analysis supported the concept of continuity of different main sub-horizontal hydrogeological zones on the Olkiluoto Island (Vaittinen et al., 2009).   Figure 1-2 Changes in groundwater table levels and corresponding changes in measured heads by depth in two drill holes (OL-KR12 and OL-KR29) in spring and summer 2006. Factors represent the portion of magnitude of surface change by depth (Ahokas et al., 2008). 1.3.6 Trend Analysis (Precipitation and Groundwater Levels) Interpretation Method and Tools As explained above, the groundwater heads have been corrected for seasonal variations (due to wet or dry periods) on the basis of water level trend analyses on several reference boreholes which were chosen to represent the most undisturbed conditions possible on the Olkiluoto Island. When some difference was found between the observed head trend line and the long-term mean, the well was excluded from the reference borehole group (cf. well PP9 in Figure 1-4). Several hypotheses have been ventured to explain the recent increasing trend observed on PP9 for instance (effect of infrastructures and building, change in hydraulic properties of some fractures around the well ) but A-6

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1.3.1 Precipitation Data Interpretation Method and Tools . Example of hydraulic connections between boreholes based on pumping .. Actual evapotranspiration was deduced from surface hydrology modelling (Karnoven,. 2008).
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