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Missouri Economic Diversity 2017 PDF

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Missouri Economic Indicator Brief: Economic Diversity 2017 Diversification Index A diversified economy is one with many industries that can better manage fluctuations in the business cycle. By contrast, a less diversified economy specializes in only a few industries. A state economy with a disproportionate number of workers in one specific industry would suffer should that industry fall on hard times; whereas, a diversified economy is more balanced. A balanced economy is capable of absorbing an economic shock through the other industries present. If a shock were to occur, other industries help to compensate for the loss by helping to maintain economic stability for that state. In 2017, Texas was the most diversified state in the country followed by Pennsylvania, North Dakota, 1 Nebraska, Colorado, and Georgia. Missouri ranked seventh in the index ,same as the previous year. The map below shows each state’s 2017 score. Economic Diversity Index 2017 United States 3. 0 1 Score D 1.3% -13_0% LJ5.0%-7.2% - 4.1%-4.9% o HI - 3.4%-4.0% ~,, 6.4 6 . 2.5%-3.3% The lower a score, the more diversified a state's economy; the higher a score, the more specialized its economy. MISSOURI ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INFORMATION CENTER ■ MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT JANUARY 2019 Gross Domestic Product 2 The broadest measure of economic activity is the Gross Domestic Product. In calculating each state’s diversification index, the gross product by industry was measured against total state gross product. Government MMaisnsuofuarcit’su rtiontgal gross domestic product (GDRPe)a iln Ecsrteaatseed from $273.1 bHiellaioltnh iCna 2r0e16 to $275.5 Fbiinllaionnc ein a 2nd0 1In7s iunr arenacle terms. The state’s tPorpo ffeivsesi oinndaul,s Stcriieens,t nifoict, ianncdlu Tdeicnhgn ical Services, are (12.6 percent of total GDP), (11.4 percent), (9.0 percent), (7.4 percent) and both at 7.1 percent. Professional, Scientific, a nd Technical, ; Healthcare & Social Assistance Service sectors that expeInrifeonrmceadt igorno wth between 2016 and 2017 incluWdheo lesale Trade whichgreEwd u0c.6a tpioenrcael nSte rfrvoicmes 6 .5 to 7.1 Accgormewm 0od.5a tion &pe Froceond tS ferrovmic e8s.5 to 9.0; grew 0.4 percent from 3.6 to 4.0; grew 0.3 percent from 6.5 to 6.8; Manufacturing, grew0.2 percent from 1.1 to 1.3; and Finance & Insurance grew 0.1 percent from 2.8 to 2.9 perRceetnati lG TDrPad sehare. Among sectors that experienced decline include which declined 1.0 percent from 13.6 to 12.6; declined 0.5 percent from 7.9 to 7.4; and declined 0.3 percent from 6.2 to 5.9 percent. Missouri Industry GDP Share Change from Industry 2017 2016 2017-2016 Natural Resources 1.1% 1.2% -0.1% Mining 0.2% 0.3% -0.1% Utilities 1.7% 1.8% -0.1% Construction 3.7% 3.8% -0.1% Manufacturing 12.6% 13.6% -1.0% Wholesale trade 6.8% 6.5% 0.3% Retail trade 5.9% 6.2% -0.3% Transportation & Warehousing 3.4% 3.5% -0.1% Information 4.0% 3.6% 0.4% Finance & Insurance 7.4% 7.9% -0.5% Real estate and rental and leasing 11.4% 11.4% - Professional, Scientific, and Technical 7.1% 6.5% 0.6% Management of Companies & Enterprises 3.0% 3.0% - Administrative & Waste Management 3.0% 3.0% - Educational Services 1.3% 1.1% 0.2% Healthcare & Social Assistance 9.0% 8.5% 0.5% Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation 1.1% 1.2% -0.1% Accommodation & Food Services 2.9% 2.8% 0.1% Other Services (except Government) 2.4% 2.4% - Government 12.0% 12.0% - MISSOURI ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INFORMATION CENTER ■ MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT JANUARY 2019 State Industry Concentration Industry concentration is another measurement based on industry GDP share analysis. The chart below compares the same industries across Missouri and the United States to hHeelpa litdhecnatriefy, state- lMevaenlu ifnadcutusrtirnyg conceMntarnaatigoenms.e nTth oref eC oinmdpuasntrieiess & i nE nptaerrtpicruisleasr have significantly higher GDP share concentrations in the State of Missouri than that of the UWnihtoelde sSatlaet eTsr aindcel,u Rdeitnagi l Trade, Transportation, &an Wd arehousing, Other Services Utilities, N. a Otuthraerl Rcoesnocuernctersations in Missouri, which have higher rates than that of the nation, include , and . 2017 GDP Share Industy Concentration ,■. Missouri United States Natural Resources ~ • Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation & Warehousing Information Finance & Insurance Real Estate, Rental, and Leasing Prof., Scientific, and Technical Mgt. of Companies & Enterprises Admin. & Waste Management Educational Services Healthcare & Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation ~ Accommodation & Food Services Other Services (except Gov.) Government 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% MISSOURI ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INFORMATION CENTER ■ MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT JANUARY 2019 Notes 1 Diversification Index There are a handful of indices available to measure an economy’s diversification: Herfindahl, Hachman, and competitive share among others. Data used to construct an index may include employment, earnings, per capita income, capital investment or gross domestic product. In this i brief, a modified Herfind a=hl In{deΣx (H) based o(n( gross d)ome(stic pro)d)uct} data was constructed. Hi n si n × GDPi _ 1 2 * 100 n-1 GDP n s n GDP i i GDP s Where is tnhe number of industries ins the state economy, and is the gross domestic product for each industry ( ) in the state, and is a state’s total gross domestic product. The number of industries ( ) analyzed in each state ( ) is constant. Thus, the analysis focuses on the distribution of GDP. Those states with an index value closer to 0 are more diversified. 2 Gross Domestic Product A state’s Gross Domestic Product is estimated by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. This e stimate is the sum of value-added from each industry in the state for a given time period. Value- added is effectively an industry’s net revenue: income minus costs of production. MISSOURI ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INFORMATION CENTER This workforce product was funded by a grant awarded by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration. The product was created by the recipient and does not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Department of Labor. The U.S. Department of Labor makes no guarantees, warranties, or assurances of any kind, express or implied, with respect to such information, including any information on linked sites and including, but not limited to, accuracy of the information or its completeness, timeliness, usefulness, adequacy, continued availability, or ownership. This product is copyrighted by the institution that created it. Internal use by an organization and/or personal use by an individual for non-commercial purposes is permissible. All other uses require the prior authorization of the copyright owner. MISSOURI ECONOMIC RESEARCH AND INFORMATION CENTER ■ MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT JANUARY 2019

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