ebook img

WILEY ONLINE TRADING FOR A LIVING Electronic Day Trading PDF

111 Pages·2001·6.87 MB·English
by  
Save to my drive
Quick download
Download
Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.

Preview WILEY ONLINE TRADING FOR A LIVING Electronic Day Trading

WILEY ONLINE TRADING FOR A LIVING the Electronic Day Trading to Win / Bob Baird and Craig McBurney The Strategic Electronic Day Trader / Robert Deel Day Trade Online / Christopher A. Farrell Trade Options Online / George A. Fontanils strategic Electronic Day Trading 101 / Sunny J. Harris How I Trade for a Living / Gary Smith electronic day trader ROBERT DEEL John Wiley & Sons, bck. New York • Chichester • Weinheim • Brisbane • Singapore • Toronto © .repap erf-dica no detnirp si kob sihT Copyright © 2000 by Robert Deel. Al rights reserved. contents .cnI ,snoS & yeliW nhoJ yb dehsilbuP Published simultaneously in Canada. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmit- -nacs ,gnidrocer ,gniypocotohp ,lacinahcem ,cinortcele ,snaem yna yb ro mrof yna ni det ning or otherwise, except as permitted under Section 107 or 108 of the 1976 United ro ,rehsilbuP eht fo noisimrep netirw roirp eht rehtie tuohtiw ,tcA thgirypoC setatS authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clear- -057 )879( xaf ,048-057 )879( ,32910 AM ,srevnaD ,evirD dowesoR 2 ,retneC ecna snoisimreP eht ot deserda eb dluohs noisimrep rof rehsilbuP eht ot stseuqeR .474 Department, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158-0012, (212) chapter 1 850-6011, fax (212) 850-6008, E-Mail: vi contents contents vii chapter 3 chapter 6 trading strategies 35 electronic trading tactics 137 The Magic Numbers 35 One If by Land, Two If by Sea 138 The Optimum Maximum Numbers 37 931 gnidarT dna noitaleroC elcyC emiT 93 rebmuN laitnetoP mumitpO ehT Intraday Charts and Tactics 141 The Mathematics of Trading and Commissions 40 351 TOD repuS eht gnidarT Markets and Direction 43 Order-Routing Tactics Using Level II Information 156 64 retliF ytilibatiforP ,ytilibaborP mutnemoM Intraday Trading Tactics 159 75 srotceS eht dna teksaB eht gnidarT chapter 7 The Most Actives 61 the biomechanical ta 165 26 skcotS elbaulaV tsoM 02 ehT The Hunter 165 Trading Closed-End Funds 62 gnidarT dna ygoloiB fo ecneicS ehT 168 Twenty-five Old Friends 70 Biological Time and Trading 169 Selecting a Strategy 71 Psychological Factors and Personality 178 chapter 4 Creating the Biomechanical Trader 186 a picture is worth a thousand words 73 491 gninoitidnoC latneM leD 57 ytilitaloV fo aruA ehT 791 redarT lacinahcemoiB weN ehT High-Probability, Profitability Intraday Chart Patterns 80 chapter 8 08 snretaP trahC hsiluB seize the day 199 Bearish Chart Patterns 89 Not Even on a Silver Platter 200 chapter 5 102 moR gnidarT ruoY high-probability shorting 95 202 aerA kroW How Shorting Works 96 tradingschool.com 207 Hedging, Arbitrage, Hedge Funds, and You 98 index 209 301 ygolodohteM gnitrohS ytilibaborP-hgiH Shorting Overbought Stocks 104 Microanalysis 124 921 snretaP hsiraeB dnertorciM 231 sdnerT hsiraeB mreT-gnoL gnitrohS the strategic electronic day trader chapter 1 ytilaer eht dna maerd eht The Dream Each of us has a dream. For the active student of the market there is dna tekram eht tsniaga latipac dna ytiliba reh ro sih tip ot :eno ylno .ti morf gnivil a nrae tA .maerd sih gnivil dna gnidart fo demaerd dah liB sraey roF age 33, he sold his printing business, making a $180,000 after-tax os ro ,maerd eht gnivil nigeb ot mih elbane dluow latipac sihT .tiforp -cele lacol a ta edart ot gninigeb retfa shtnom ruoF .thguoht eh tronic trading firm, Bill had lost $65,000; 63.89 percent of his trading capital had disappeared. What had taken him years to earn was .eramthgin a gnimoceb yldipar saw maerd s'liB .enog yad ylaicepse—gnidart mret-trohs taht si ytilaer mirg ehT fo tnecrep 29 taht dna htlaew ruoy ot suodrazah eb nac—gnidart 8 ylnO .gnidart fo sraey owt tsrif rieht ni yenom esol sredart yad yad eht fo tnecrep 2 ylno ,tnecrep 8 taht fO .lufsecus era tnecrep trading public make money on a consistent basis. Why is it that the public gravitates toward short-term trading? There are several answers to this question. For now, let us address a more obvious the dream and the reality 3 redart yad cinortcele cigetarts eht 2 he prevailed and became successful. With this information as back- question. Why do 92 percent of day traders fail, and what makes 8 ground, I asked Bill a few questions. Put yourself in Bill's place and -nocsim dna snoitseuq eht srewsna kob sihT ?lufsecus tnecrep answer the following questions: gnidart lufrewop sreviled tI .gnidart mret-trohs tuoba snoitpec yranoitulover a dna ,scitcat ,serudecorp gninercs ,ygolodohtem 1. Would you buy a business if you had no idea what the cash .sucof latnem dna lortnoc lanoitome gnipoleved ot hcaorpa ?eb dluow wolf 2. Would you buy a business if you had little actual experi- ence or training compared to your competition? The Reality of the Awakening lew erew noititepmoc ruoy fi senisub a yub uoy dluoW .3 -mih ksa ot nageb dna eramthgin sih morf pu ekow liB ,yletanutroF capitalized and you had limited operating capital? fo eno saw melborp eht taht gnizilaeR .snoitseuq dnuoforp emos fles nageb liB .amelid sih rof ytilibisnopser kot eh ,noitaerc nwo sih senisub a yub uoy dluow ,tsael ton ylniatrec tub ,tsaL .4 -dart ot mih del yletamitlu hcihw ,deden eh srewsna eht kes ot without a business plan? ingschool.com. After 1 spoke with him, it became obvious that Bill had fallen into the "traders trap." The following is the essence of our tahw yltcaxe si tahT .niaga seug ",ecnahc a toN" ,gniyas era uoy fI dah eh part eht morf epacse ot liB del nrut ni hcihw ,noitasrevnoc tsum uoY .emit tsrif eht rof gnidart trats uoy nehw gniod era uoy pu era uoy redart mret-trohs a sa taht ezilaer dna flesruoy eraperp .flesmih rof detaerc trats ro ,deyolpme emoceb ,noitacude na niag ,lohcs ot og eW .dlrow eht ni sredart tseb eht tsniaga ,lufsecus eb ot wonk ot den ew tahw nrael eW .senisub nwo ruo noitazilaer a dna ,lortnoc lacigolohcysp ,ecneirepxe ,gniniarT -moc eht sedivorp ecneirepxe krow ro noitacude ruo ni gnihton tub that you are not invincible or smarter than the market will lead to prehensive knowledge or psychological control necessary for suc- :gniwolof eht yas ,edart ot nigeb uoy erofeb gninrom hcaE .secus dna ,senisub nwo sih denwo eh ,tnegiletni saw liB .redart a sa sec "My name is (your name). I can and may lose money today, but if I he was successful. He had the money he needed to begin his dream trade the plan and follow the rules I will be a winner." I repeat this -inifed yrev eht saw liB .tekram kcots eht ni ecneirepxe emos dna -moca tI .edart ot gninigeb erofeb gninrom yreve gniyas eltil ni latipac sih fo tnecrep 98.36 tsol eh dah yhw os ,reniw a fo noit plishes two things. First, it is humbling to acknowledge that the market is all powerful and can take money from you at any time. four months? Unfortunately, it's human nature to assume that if we succeed Nothing will cause you to lose money faster than a big ego or trying in one area we will automatically succeed in another. The drive and to exact revenge on the market. If you are trying to prove you are ni eciov eltil eht semoceb decus uoy depleh taht noitanimreted uoy era ,esol od uoy nehW .esol ot gniog era uoy ,emit eht la thgir -mis mes ti dniheb stpecnoc eht dna gnidarT" ,syas taht daeh ruoy eht ni sob s'ohw ti gniwohs yb tekram eht htiw neve teg ot gniog -poleved dna gnitrats sa tlucifid sa eb t'nac sihT .em ot hguone elp next trade? Thirty minutes later you have four consecutive losses ".gnihtyna od nac 1 ,ecneirepxe taht retfA .senisub nwo ym gni a tes ot gniyrt si part rehtonA .tekram eht gnimalb lits era uoy dna Unfortunately, most people who enter the market with the idea of eht morf nrae ot tnaw uoy taht raey rep ro htnom rep tnuoma ralod on dna ,ytiroirepus ,ytilibicnivni fo gnilef a evah sredart gnimoceb ot tnaw yam yeht ,elpmaxe rof—egatnecrep a esu emoS .tekram clue of what they are about to experience. earn a return of 20 percent a month. Most novice traders look at eht ni ecneirepxe fo sraey dna noitacude egeloc a dah liB evah yeht wonk yeht dna ,etah yeht boj a morf epacse na sa gnidart sih htiw nevE .senisub nwo sih detrats eh erofeb senisub gnitnirp eht den t'nod uoY .slib eht yap ot yenom fo tnuoma X ekam ot tub ,tlucifid neb dah ti taht em dlot liB ,ecneirepxe dna noitacude 4 the strategic electronic day trader the dream and the reality 5 added pressure of a monetary figure hanging over your head. This ital. In order to develop the appropriate strategy, you must know can become a psychological guillotine. If you don't meet your goal, your enemies and how they think. you will push your trading beyond your skill, and the result will be Short-term trading is divided into three different styles: day a series of losses. Losing emotional control will result in large, un- trading, microtrend trading, and position trend trading. One reason controlled losses. If you follow your trading plan, success should be that short-term traders have such a high percentage of losses is that the result. By focusing on your trading plan, emotion, ego, and mak- they are trained to use a standard one-size-fits-all approach. Usually, ing money are no longer an issue. If you follow your trading plan, the entire focus of this approach is to follow short-term momentum you are a winner regardless of the monetary outcome. Knowing and order flow represented by the ticker. This type of trading is yourself and adopting the right mind-set, trading strategy, and referred to as scalping. There are two fundamental problems with methodology before you start trading will enable you to avoid the this approach. First, time and sales are usually late, which no one traders trap and begin living the dream. addresses, and second, individuals are not all the same. Your trad- ing strategy needs to be tailored to your trading ability. What works for someone else won't necessarily work for you. Another reason Living the Dream for failure is that short-term traders, especially day traders, aren't Dreaming the dream and living it are two different things. One is usually trained to screen for high-probability, high-profitability based on fantasy and the other on reality. To live the dream, you trades. I am going to introduce you to seven short-term trading have come to the realization that short trading is like nothing you strategies that are extremely successful. With seven strategies to have ever experienced. The reality is that short-term trading is going choose from, it is up to you to select those that fit your needs and to be one of the hardest things you have ever done, and without the apply them. This leads us back to my first question. What kind of proper training and psychological preparation, your stress level will predator are you? You have to determine what kind of trader you most likely be off the scale. Mental training and conditioning will be are. Let's define the three types of short-term traders so that we all discussed later in Chapter 7. understand specifically what we are talking about. Living the dream successfully depends to a great extent on you—and what kind of short-term trader you are. Identifying what 1. Day trader: A day trader by our definition is a trader who enters kind of short-term trader you are is critical to your entire trading the market at some point during the day and is totally in cash (flat) plan. I have trained over 4,000 individual traders from all over the by the end of the day. At no time does a day trader carry a position world. This group includes professional traders, hedge fund man- overnight. Some day traders trade for fractions of a point—usually agers, mutual fund managers, and the general public. The first two 1/ 16, 1/8. This is called scalping. This type of day trading has a high fail- questions I ask are as follows: ure rate. One out of a hundred thousand people can consistently make money by scalping. You always hear about the exceptions, 1. What kind of predator are you? don't you? The small profit per trade, commissions, slippage, and the possibility of a series of losing trades, make scalping a tech- 2. What is your time frame? nique that may not be for you. You may be the exception, but don't These questions have an important interrelationship. What kind of lose all your money trying to prove it. Not all day traders are predator are you? Knowing what kind of predator you are is very scalpers. For example, intraday trend traders will stay in a trade until important because the market is a food chain. In this food chain, the trend reverses. This could take a few minutes or several hours. various predators are waiting to ambush you and devour your cap- Both types of day traders typically buy 500 to a 1,000 shares or 6 the strategic electronic day trader 7 ytilaer eht dna maerd eht more at a time and must be highly capitalized. The minimum day -noc era uoy ,htnom eno dnoyeb noitisop a dloh uoy fI .seirav redart trading capital for an individual trader is usually $50,000 to -nam dnuf tsom ,noitinifed siht ot gnidrocA .rotsevni na deredis $100,000. Day trading requires large amounts of operating capital. agers are position traders. In many cases, institutional position Most day traders trade several times a day. It's not unusual for a traders will add to their positions if they feel the long-term outlook scalper to make 30 to 150 trades or more per day, while the intraday tekram eht evom ylausu sredart noitisoP .evitisop si kcots eht rof .yad rep sedart 9 ot 3 ekam liw sredart dnert because of the collective size of their accumulation (buying) or dis- .)gniles( noitubirt 2. Microtrend trader: A microtrend trader by our definition is a trader who takes a position with the intention of holding it for three taht suoivbo emoceb dluohs tI ?emarf emit ruoy si tahW to five days. The microtrend trader is attempting to trade a small understanding your time frame is critical to everything you do in noitisop a seirac reven redart yad A .dnert regral a fo trap ,srotacidni lacinhcet fo noitacilpa ,ygetarts gnidart ruoY .gnidart overnight, but the microtrend trader does. Usually a stop is strate- entry and exit, and so on, are determined by your individual time dnert eht fi tuo redart eht ekat ot yad fo dne eht ta decalp ylacig eht fo eno ,edart ot slaudividni sniart ohw lanoiseforp a sA .emarf eht lufsecus eb ot gnidart dnertorcim roF .sesrever ylacitamard "?emarf emit ruoy si tahW" ksa I nehw raeh I sgniht gnizama tsom sruco ylausu sihT .gnorts si dnert eht nehw edam eb tsum yrtne era uoy redart fo dnik tahw fo noitinifed yrev ehT ".wonk t'nod I" si mutnemom ehT .ylevisolpxe snigeb ro yaw rednu si dnert eht nehw is dependent on your concept of time as it relates to trading. Time redart yad eht ekilnU .syad evif ot erht rof ecirp eht yrac dluohs esac eht sekam gnihton dna ,ymene ruoy ro dneirf ruoy eb nac who trades for fractions, the microtrend trader typically trades for clearer than day trading. Each tick in real time, positive or nega- sih setadiuqil redart dnertorcim eht ,syad evif ot erht retfA .stniop tive, amplifies stresses that exist in your mind. Everything is mag- or her position and looks for another microtrend. The minimum eb ot evah snoisiceD .tnegru semoceb tnemom hcae dna ,deifin trading capital for an individual microtrend trader is usually made on a second-by-second basis, and as each second passes, $30,000. Most microtrend traders are very well capitalized, with tA .edam eb tsum dloh ro ,les ,yub ot noisiced gnizinoga rehtona trading accounts of $100,000 or more. The psychological stress on the end of the day, you feel as though you just completed a mara- the microtrend trader is, in most cases, far less than on a day trader, thon. Mentally and physically exhausted, you know that tomorrow .ymene na naht yla na erom si emit esuaceb you must run this marathon again. Obviously, not everyone will 3. Position trend trader: A position trader attempts to ride the succeed as a day trader. This is proven by the failure rate of indi- trend for 10 to 14 days or longer. A position trader usually takes a viduals who attempt to day trade. Many would-be day traders fail position of size (large number of shares) and holds until another meht sesuac ygolodohtem dna ygetarts gnidart gnorw eht esuaceb noitisop eht ,tcatni si dnert a fI .gnisimorp erom semoceb noitisop to overtrade. Many day traders are, in fact, gamblers and can't stop -netni ehT .tuo meht sekat tekram eht litnu spots pu lor liw redart -cefe ot nrael uoy nehw emoc liw gnidart yad ni secuS .gnidart tion is to stay in the position for 10 to 14 days, but if the trend con- rewef gnikam yb dehsilpmoca si sihT .emit nwod wols ylevit tinues, the position trader will stay with the trend as long as dna secus fo ytilibaborp rehgih a htiw esoht gnitceles dna sedart possible. In many cases, a microtrend trader can become a position decudortni eb liw uoy 3 retpahC nI .oitar ksir-ot-drawer evitisop a trend trader if the three- to five-day holding-period trend explodes, to various trading strategies. These strategies put time on your a rof edart a ni era sredart noitisop esuaceB .rehtruf secirp gniyrac side making it far less likely that you will become a market statistic. longer period of time, they must allow for price volatility and intel- ot den yletulosba uoy ,yenom laer htiw edart ot nigeb uoy erofeB ligent stop placement. The minimum trading capital for a position .emarf emit ruoy enifed 8 the strategic electronic day trader ?uoY rof thgiR sI maerD hcihW Are you a day trader, a microtrend trader, or a position trader? Ulti- eb noisiced ruoy tel t'noD .noisiced eht ekam ot evah uoy ,yletam chapter 2 eb dluohs noisiced ruoY .srehto fo tupni eht ro derg yb decneulfni based on your individual psychology, knowledge, trading capital, gniplacs taht dezilaer eh nehw maerd sih gnivil nageb liB .no os dna redart dnertorcim a sa lufsecus yrev si liB yadoT .mih rof ton saw morf gnivil elbatrofmoc yrev a gnikam si dna redart noitisop dna gnidart cinortcele -secen puekam lacigolohcysp eht evah slaudividni emoS .gnidart -cus erom eb liw srehto elihw ,sredart yad sa lufsecus eb ot yras eht rebmemeR .sredart dnertorcim ro sredart noitisop sa lufsec old saying, "If the shoe fits wear it," and be aware that one size does not fit all. -erawa wen ot uoy ediug ot gniog ma I ,sretpahc gniwolof eht nI eht dnif liw uoy fo ynam ,segap eseht nihtiW .egdelwonk dna sen .gnidart mret-trohs ruoy evorpmi ot den uoy srewsna ,aidem eht yb desuba dna desusim netfo si gnidart enilno mret ehT em teL .gnidart cinortcele ot refer ot cilbup eht dna ,slanoiseforp eht revo enilno gnidarT .la rof dna ecno raelc yltcefrep siht ekam Internet and sending orders to an online broker do not constitute electronic trading. The two are as different as night and day. If you eht ,redro les ro yub ruoy ni yek nac uoy erofeb ,enilno gnidart era electronic trader has already made the trade and received confir- mation. Electronic traders route their buy and sell orders through Electronic Communications Networks (ECNs). The watchword of the electronic trader is speed, and speed is something you do not have online. Online trading is for investors, not for traders, and for this reason, do not even attempt to day trade online. Online trading was not designed, nor was it ever intended, for day trading. Day hguorht uoy klaw em teL .htlaew ruoy ot suodrazah si enilno gnidart a typical online trading experience. You opened your new online trading account a week ago and no nrut uoY .enilno gnidart nigeb liw uoy yadot taht ediced uoy your computer, and after the third attempt, you establish a good Internet connection. As the data fills your screen you feel power, 10 the strategic electronic day trader electronic trading 11 uoy krahs dnal yad-nredom a ekiL .noitapicitna dna ,tnemeticxe market. People pay me to help improve their trading skills. If I am tops uoy strahc ruoy ta kol uoy sA .ytinutropo gnidart a rof kol dluoc ti ,erged lams a yb ytiliba rieht evorpmi dna lufsecus a possible trade. With the click of your mouse you bring up your translate into hundreds of thousands of dollars for them. I have tnaw uoy serahs fo rebmun eht ,ecirp eht ni epyt uoY .nercs redro ecnerefid eht gniwonk si gnidart lufsecus fo trap taht dnuof .xob eht gnikcehc yb redro timil a sa redro ruoy yfitnedi dna ,yub ot .stluser lanoiseforp rof ecirp eht gniyap dna syot dna slot newteb ecirp eht es uoy nehw notub redro eht tih ot tuoba tsuj era uoY Let me explain what I mean with a story. eht lA ?redro tekram a ot redro timil eht egnahc uoy oD .egnahc I was in my father's garage returning tools I had borrowed. My while time is ticking by. Finally, you decide to send a limit order, but ,deilper I .boj eht rof thgir neb dah slot eht fi em deksa rehtaf .notub yuB eht tih dna siht od uoY .ecirp eht egnahc ot evah uoy "Yes, they were." He then asked me, "Did you take care of my tools?" This cumbersome process took you over 15 seconds. Now that the snaxeT sa ,yrots a em let ot dedecorp eh ,rewsna dluoc I erofeB order has been sent, it will take another 10 seconds for the online often do. He said, "When I was young I worked for a man who had a broker to receive and act on it. Two minutes later you see your price landscaping company. I had just returned from doing a job and was trade across the screen. Your confirmations arrive by e-mail or by putting away the tools when he asked me, 'Did you take care of my retal setunim 02 tuo dnif ot ylno ,tiaw dna tiaw dna tiaw uoY .enohp eseht htiw gnivil ym ekam I" ,dias nam ehT .sey dias daD " '?slot -leF .snoitidnoc tekram tsaf ot eud delifnu sniamer redro ruoy taht tools. Always remember, if you take care of your tools, your tools ot wov uoy ,oga setunim 03 naht derewopme sel dna detartsurf gni htrow era dna reisae od I krow eht ekam yehT .uoy fo erac ekat liw ytinutropo rehtona ,nercs ruoy hctaw uoy sA .yrt rehtona ti evig the price because the best is never cheap. Never buy a toy unless -ces owT .redro tekram a sa ti dnes uoy emit siht dna ,flesti swohs yenom slot tseb eht esu sredart lufsecuS ".yalp ot tnaw tsuj uoy onds after you hit the Buy button the stock runs up. Online traders can buy because toys will not get professional results. Remember, htiw ,sdnoces ni sredro rieht lecnac ot ytiliba eht evah ton od your competition does not use toys. They play the serious game of -nim netfiF .od sredart cinortcele sa ,noitamrifnoc tnatsni tsomla taking other people's money: It's called trading. eht thguob uoy taht uoy gnimrofni liam-e na eviecer uoy retal setu eht htiw level a no uoy stup gnidart cinortcele deziretupmoC dna ,redro eht deretne uoy nehw naht rehgih tniop a fo 8/3 ta kcots na sa tsuj detaert si ti ,deretne si redro ruoy nehW .slanoiseforp you decide to sell. You quickly enter another market order, only to ygolonhcet detacitsihpos siht gnisU .mrif rojam yna morf redro find out your order was filled X point lower. That afternoon the mail combined with self-discipline, knowledge, experience, and skill, you arrives with your new account information, and the front of the fo traP .liaf srehto ynam erehw decus ot ytinutropo na evah envelope says it all: "Welcome to Online Trading." -ges suoirav eht fo gnidnatsrednu na morf emoc liw secus ruoy This example is not an exaggeration. Online trading lacks the .gnidart enilno ot euqinu gnidart cinortcele ekam taht stnem speed and technical sophistication necessary to successfully trade intraday. It is possible to microtrend trade or invest online—but not )sNCE( skrowteN snoitacinumoC cinortcelE -idnah tuohtiw si ti sa hguone tlucifid si gnidart yaD .edart yad ot capping yourself by trying to trade online. What are Electronic Communications Networks (ECNs)? Electronic ecnuona uoy hcihw revo stiudnoc era skrowteN snoitacinumoC your intentions to buy or sell a stock. Your orders are matched with Electronic Trading for a Living ot ytidiuqil da sNCE .flesruoy ekil slaudividni morf sredro rehto I am a professional trader. By that I mean that I make my living trad- the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quota- eht edart ot slaudividni dna slanoiseforp rehto gniniart dna gni .rekam tekram a fo tnemevlovni eht tuohtiw metsys )qadsaN( snoit

See more

The list of books you might like

Most books are stored in the elastic cloud where traffic is expensive. For this reason, we have a limit on daily download.