Whole Life Appraisal for Construction Roger Flanagan Carol Jewell with George Norman Blackwell Science Whole Life Appraisal for Construction Roger Flanagan Carol Jewell with George Norman Blackwell Science (cid:1)2005byBlackwellPublishingLtd Editorialoffices: BlackwellScienceLtd,9600GarsingtonRoad,OxfordOX42DQ,UK Tel:þ44(0)1865776868 BlackwellPublishingInc.,350MainStreet,Malden,MA02148-5020,USA Tel:þ17813888250 BlackwellScienceAsiaPtyLtd,550SwanstonStreet,Carlton,Victoria3053,Australia Tel:þ61(0)383591011 TherightoftheAuthortobeidentifiedastheAuthorofthisWorkhasbeenassertedin accordancewiththeCopyright,DesignsandPatentsAct1988. Allrightsreserved.Nopartofthispublicationmaybereproduced,storedina retrievalsystem,ortransmitted,inanyformorbyanymeans,electronic,mechanical, photocopying,recordingorotherwise,exceptaspermittedbytheUKCopyright, DesignsandPatentsAct1988,withoutthepriorpermissionofthepublisher. Firstpublished2005 LibraryofCongressCataloging-in-PublicationData Flanagan,Roger. Wholelifeappraisalintheconstructionsector/RogerFlanagan,CarolJewell.–1sted. p.cm. Includesbibliographicalreferencesandindex. ISBN0-632-05046-2(pbk.:alk.paper) 1. Building–Estimates.I.Jewell,Carol.II.Title. TH435.F622004 692–dc22 2004009639 ISBN0-632-05046-2 AcataloguerecordforthistitleisavailablefromtheBritishLibrary Setin10on13ptPalantino byKolamInformationServicesPvt.Ltd,Pondicherry,India PrintedandboundinIndia byReplikaPressPvt.Ltd,Kundli131028 Thepublisher’spolicyistousepermanentpaperfrommillsthatoperateasustainable forestrypolicy,andwhichhasbeenmanufacturedfrompulpprocessedusingacid-free andelementarychlorine-freepractices.Furthermore,thepublisherensuresthatthetext paperandcoverboardusedhavemetacceptableenvironmentalaccreditationstandards. ForfurtherinformationonBlackwellPublishing,visitourwebsite: www.thatconstructionsite.com Contents Acknowledgements vii Preface viii 1 Wholelife appraisal – an introduction 1 1.1 Objective 1 1.2 What iswhole life appraisal (WLA)? 1 1.3 Why bother with wholelife appraisal? 2 1.4 Is whole life appraisal differentto whole life costing (WLC)? 2 1.5 Who uses WLA and WLC? 2 1.6 When should WLA be undertaken? 3 1.7 What isthelink betweenbest valueand best price? 3 1.8 Nobody can accurately forecast the future, sohowreliable are the results ofa wholelife appraisalexercise? 4 1.9 How can money spent atdifferenttimes over the life of a facility be incorporatedinto WLA? 4 1.10 What discountrate shouldbeused? 4 1.11 How isinflationtakeninto accountin the calculations 5 1.12 Why isn’t WLAused more widely? 5 1.13 So why bothernow with WLA? 6 1.14 Has the computermade a difference to the calculation of WLA? 7 1.15 What hashappened overseas? 7 1.16 The wholeprocess seems to besurrounded by jargon;how can WLAbemade simpler to understand? 8 1.17 Where does sustainability fitwith WLA? 8 iii iv Contents 1.18 Have the Construction Design andManagement Regulations (CDM) 1994changedthe way wholelife issues are considered? 8 1.19 How does WLA fit with facilities/asset management 9 1.20 What isservicelife planning? 9 1.21 Integrated Logistic Support(ILS)isa term used by the defence and aerospace industries; isWLAused in ILS? 9 1.22 What isthedifference between running costs and operating andmaintenance costs? 10 1.23 How does theresidual valuework? 10 1.24 Should disruption costs beincluded in the WLA? 10 2 Wholelife appraisal:preliminaryconcepts 11 2.1 Introduction 11 2.2 Wholelife appraisaland construction 15 2.3 Performance of systems,components and materials 17 2.4 Designwithwhole life appraisal 18 2.5 Wholelife appraisalfor newand old facilities 20 3 An overview of whole life appraisal 23 3.1 The importance of wholelife appraisal 23 3.2 The adoption of whole life appraisal 23 3.3 The balancebetween fixed andvariable costs 26 3.4 Different client motivationsfor theuse of wholelife appraisal 30 3.5 The implementationof a whole life appraisalsystem 34 3.6 The outputof whole life appraisal 40 3.7 Some unresolved problems 44 4 Wholelife appraisalat theplanning and design stage 45 4.1 Introduction 45 4.2 The components ofwhole life appraisal 48 4.3 Wholelife costing andcostmanagement 54 4.4 Appendix toChapter4 58 Contents v 5 Discounting and thetime value of money 65 5.1 Introduction 65 5.2 Discounting 67 5.3 Choosing between alternativeoptions 78 5.4 Internalrate of return (IRR) 83 5.5 Inflation 84 5.6 Risk, uncertainty andsensitivity analysis 89 5.7 Summary 91 5.8 Appendix Ato Chapter5 92 5.9 Appendix Bto Chapter 5 93 6 Datasources for whole life appraisal 95 6.1 The importance of improving data accuracy 95 6.2 Shared data 96 6.3 Computer aided design(CAD) 97 6.4 Basic datasources 97 6.5 Runningcosts ofdifferent types ofbuildings 101 6.6 Data ondurability andlife expectancy of materials 108 7 Operations and maintenance 115 7.1 Maintenance 115 7.2 Energy in buildings 121 8 Apractical approachto whole life appraisal for construction 129 8.1 Introduction 129 8.2 Initial problems 129 8.3 Using the weighted evaluation technique as a decision-making tool 130 8.4 Awhole life approach involves afeedback system 134 8.5 Wholelife analysis 136 8.6 Wholelife planning 137 8.7 The relationship between whole life analysis and whole life planning 138 8.8 Cost relationships 140 8.9 The sequenceof whole life analysis, whole life planning and whole life management 142 8.10 Documentationformat for wholelife planning 144 8.11 Costs and benefits 147 vi Contents 9 Taxation and whole life appraisal 149 9.1 The implications oftaxation and grants for wholelife cost 149 9.2 Capital allowancesfor facilities 150 9.3 Capital allowancesfor machinery, plantand equipment 153 9.4 Capital savings allowances and energy savings 154 10 Integrated logistic support(ILS) 159 10.1 What isILS? 159 10.2 Where did ILS come from? 159 10.3 What isthe difference between ILS and wholelife appraisal? 160 10.4 ILS andconstruction 160 10.5 Why use ILS? 161 10.6 The concepts ofILS 162 10.7 The mainsteps ofILS 162 10.8 The benefits ofILS 163 10.9 An exampleof ILS 163 10.10 Summary for ILS 164 11 Summary and conclusions 165 Glossaryof terms usedin whole life appraisal 169 References andbibliography 175 Index 181 Acknowledgements This book has emanted from research undertaken over the past 20years.Wearegratefultoorganizationswhohavegenerously helped and allowed us to use source data. The book is a pro- gression from Life Cycle Costing for Construction and we are indebted to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors who allowed us to use some of the ideas from the Flanagan and Normanbook. AspecialthankstoGeorgeNorman,whoseoriginalideasand workhavebeenused.GeorgeisbasedatTuftsUniversity,USA where he is a professor in the Department of Economics. His expertiseandknowledgehaveprovedinvaluableovertheyears. The work on discountingis exclusively George’swork. vii Preface Intheoldeconomy,thepressurewastominimiseinitialcapital cost and, although ‘lip service’ was paid to the operating and maintenance costs, in effect, they were ignored. In the new economy, everybody is interested in value for money, whether theyaretheuser,investor,developer,designteam,construction team, or member of the supply chain. Over a 25-year period an office building will cost about three times its initial capital cost to operate and maintain, yet far more attention is paid to the initialcapitaloutlaythantothesignificantrunningcosts.Itisfar tooshort-sightedtoconsiderjusttheinitialcostswhensubstan- tial costand environmental savingscan bemade over time. Wholelifeappraisalisavaluabletoolthatconsidersbothcost and performance over the whole life of a facility and involves balancingthecapitalcostsagainstthefutureoperatingandmain- tenancecostswhetheritisaschool,aroad,anairportorapower plant. The privatisation of infrastructure and buildings around theworldhasledtoanincreaseinthenumberofbuild-operate- transfer/publicprivatepartnerships/concessionschemeswhere a concession is granted to design, finance, build and operate a facility over a defined time horizon of 20–30 years. Balancing whole life cost and performance against the capital costs is crucial to the concession team for the economic viability of the investment. The whole life concept is neither new nor complicated and there is a general acceptance that it will lead to better decisions on design, refurbishment, and facilities and asset management, andprovidewholelifeeconomies.However,thereremainchal- lenges in the application of whole life techniques due to a number of reasons including the ‘data problem’, with the pau- city ofstandardised information about cost andperformance of viii
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