What to Expect When No One's Expecting: America's Coming Demographic Disaster PDF
Preview What to Expect When No One's Expecting: America's Coming Demographic Disaster
WHAT TO EXPECT WHEN NO ONE’S EXPECTING WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 1 1/2/13 1:10 PM WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 2 1/2/13 1:10 PM What to Expect When No One’s Expecting America’s Coming Demographic Disaster Jonathan V. Last ENCOUNTER BOOKS New York • LoNdoN WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 3 1/2/13 1:10 PM © 2013 by Jonathan V. Last All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of Encounter Books, 900 Broadway, Suite 601, New York, New York, 10003. First American edition published in 2013 by Encounter Books, an activity of Encounter for Culture and Education, Inc., a nonprofit, tax exempt corporation. Encounter Books website address: www.encounterbooks.com Manufactured in the United States and printed on acid-free paper. The paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirements of ANSI/NISO Z39.48 1992 (R 1997) (Permanence of Paper). FIRST AMERICAN EDITION LIBRARY OF CONGRESS CATALOGING-IN-PUBLICATION DATA Last, Jonathan V., 1974– What to expect when no one’s expecting: America’s coming demographic disaster/Jonathan V. Last. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 978–1–59403–641–5 (hbk.: alk. paper) ISBN 978–1–59403–654–5 (ebook) 1. United States--Population. 2. Population forecasting--United States. 3. Age distribution (Demography)--United States. I. Title. HB3505.L37 2013 304.60973’01—dc23 2012010870 WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 4 1/2/13 1:10 PM For Shannon Leigh Mary Last WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 5 1/2/13 1:10 PM WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 6 1/2/13 1:10 PM Demography is the key factor. If you are not able to maintain yourself biologically, how do you expect to maintain yourself economically, politically, and militarily? It’s impossible. The answer of letting people from other countries come in . . . that could be an economic solution, but it’s not a solution of your real sickness, that you are not able to maintain your own civilization. —VIKTOR ORBÁN, PRIME MINISTER OF HUNGARY, 2012 WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 7 1/2/13 1:10 PM WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 8 1/2/13 1:10 PM Contents Introduction: One Child for All! ...........................1 Chapter One: America’s Falling Fertility ....................12 Chapter Two: The Roots of One-Child .....................37 Chapter Three: SEX! (and maybe marriage) .................52 Chapter Four: What You Can, and Cannot, Measure ..........70 Chapter Five: Very Bad Things ...........................88 Chapter Six: The Bright Side .............................111 Chapter Seven: Domestic Politics, Foreign Policy ............ 125 Chapter Eight: Losing Battles (What Not to Do) ............ 139 Chapter Nine: How to Make Babies ...................... 156 Acknowledgments ....................................... 176 Notes. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 179 Index ................................................222 WhattoExpectWhenNoOne'sExpecting_v5.indd 9 1/2/13 1:10 PM
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