Weather and Society: Toward Integrated Approaches

224 Pages·2018·2.329 MB·English

by  Eve Gruntfest

Weather and Society
Weather and Society
Toward Integrated Approaches
Eve Gruntfest
This edition first published 2018
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10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
v
Contents
Acknowledgments x
Preface xii
1 The Need for Integrated Approaches to Weather
and Society 1
1.1 Rationale for This Book 1
Research Spotlight Box: Forecasts are Improving
Dramatically 3
1.2 The Audience for This Book 8
1.3 Defining Weather and Society: Integrated Approaches 10
1.4 What Social Sciences Have in Common with Each
Other and with Atmospheric Science? 15
1.5 Social Science Methodologies 18
1.5.1 Surveys 18
1.5.2 Direct Observations 19
1.5.3 Participatory Action Research 19
1.5.4 Focus Groups 20
1.6 What Is Not Social Science? 21
1.7 Doing Social Science Versus Incorporating
Societal Impacts 22
1.8 Questions for Review and Discussion 23
1.9 Using What You’ve Learned: Homework Assignment
From the Chapter 24
References 25
2 History of the Movement to Integrate Social Science
Into Atmospheric Science 29
2.1 Early Weather Forecasting for Impacts 29
2.2 Historians and Weather 30
vi Contents
2.3 Weather and Society Efforts Build on Natural
Hazards Research and Practice 32
2.3.1 Efforts to Add Social Dimensions to Solving
Weather Problems 35
2.3.2 Weather and Society * Integrated Studies—WAS*IS 36
2.3.3 Integrated Warning Team Meetings 39
2.3.4 American Meteorological Society Summer
Policy Colloquium 39
2.3.5 Social Science Woven into Meteorology (SSWIM) 39
2.3.6 VORTEX‐Southeast 42
Research Spotlight Box: Doing Social Science Reveals
Challenges to Accepted Assumptions 43
2.4 Physical Science Myths Related to Climate
and Applicable to Weather 45
2.5 Meteorological Aspects of Non‐Meteorological
Hazards 48
2.6 Research That Evaluates What People Did When They Heard
a Warning: Hurricane Ike 2008 Case Study 50
2.7 Questions for Review and Discussion 53
2.8 Using What You’ve Learned: Homework Assignment
From the Chapter 54
References 55
3 Social Science Partners and the Weather/Society
Work They Do 59
3.1 The Partners and How They Do Their Work 61
3.2 Anthropology 64
3.3 Communication 68
3.4 Economics 71
3.5 Geography 76
3.6 Psychology 83
3.7 Sociology 87
3.8 Questions for Review and Discussion 94
3.9 Using What You’ve Learned: Homework Assignment
From the Chapter 96
References 97
4 Thirteen Profiles of Leaders in Weather
and Social Science 105
4.1 Angle’s Recommendations for Integrating Social Science
and Atmospheric Science 108
Contents vii
4.2 Dr. Becker’s Recommendations for Integrating Social Science
and Atmospheric Science 109
4.3 Dr. Demuth’s Recommendations for Integrating
Social Science and Atmospheric Science 112
4.4 Dobson’s Recommendations for Integrating
Social Science and Atmospheric Science 114
4.5 Fransen’s Recommendations for Integrating
Social Science and Atmospheric Science 116
4.6 Holthaus’ Recommendations for Integrating
Social Science and Atmospheric Science 118
4.7 Dr. Lazrus’ Recommendations for Integrating Social
Science and Atmospheric Science 120
4.8 Dr. Morss’ Recommendations for Integrating
Social Science and Atmospheric Science 122
4.9 Moulton’s Recommendations for Integrating Social
Science and Atmospheric Science 124
4.10 Dr. Ruin’s Recommendations for Integrating Social
Science and Atmospheric Science 126
4.11 Dr. Schumacher’s Recommendations for Integrating
Social Science and Atmospheric Science 127
4.12 Spinney’s Recommendations for Integrating Social
Science and Atmospheric Science 129
4.13 Vitols’ Recommendations for Integrating Social Science
and Atmospheric Science 131
4.14 Questions for Review and Discussion 132
4.15 Using What You’ve Learned: Homework Assignment
From the Chapter 132
References 133
5 Moving Toward Integrated Weather and Society Research
and Practice—A New Paradigm 134
5.1 How Social Scientists and Meteorologists Work
Together to Create New Scientific Conceptual
Models and Methods: Start with Adjacent Projects 134
Case Study: Schools and Tornado Saferooms 135
Case Study: Storm Surge Warnings From the
NWS—Moving From Adjacent Social Scientific Collaboration
to Integrative Collaborations 137
Case Study: Required Integrated Research: National Science
Foundation Dynamics of Coupled Natural and Human
Systems Program 139
viii Contents
5.2 Increased Popularity for How Important It
Is for Meteorologists to Understand Some
Social Science 140
5.3 Possible New Common Ground for Integrated
Approaches to Weather and Society: Emergence
of Convergence Science 140
5.4 Socio‐Meteorological Testbeds 145
5.5 Wicked Problems and Momentum In the Movement
Toward Integrated Weather‐Society Science 146
5.6 Hard or Soft Science? Evening the Playground Between
the Sciences 147
5.7 Human Machine Interface 148
5.8 Questions for Review and Discussion 151
5.9 Using What You’ve Learned: Homework Assignment
From the Chapter 151
References 152
6 Ways to Be Part of the Transformation
to Integrated Weather Studies 156
6.1 Be Part of the Move From WAS to IS 156
6.2 Understand the Cycle of Change 157
6.3 Keep the Momentum Going Toward the Integration
of Social and Atmospheric Science 160
6.4 Build Durable Partnerships—Recognize the Power
of Networking 161
6.5 Support May Come From Surprising Sources 163
6.6 Five Key Research Priorities for New Hybrid Weather
Society Researchers and Practitioners 163
6.7 How Science Changes 173
6.8 Socio‐Hydrology Emerges 174
6.9 New Integrated Disciplines on the Horizon 175
6.10 Changing the Paradigm Takes Time and Will
Require Patience 177
6.11 Hybrids By Design—Socio‐Hydro‐Meteorology 178
6.12 How to Become a Participant in the Movement
to Integrate the Social Sciences and Atmospheric
Science 180
6.13 The Challenges Are Not Overwhelming 181
6.13.1 Scientific Budgets Are Lean 181
6.13.2 Be Patient and Optimistic and Keep Pushing 181
Contents ix
6.14 Meteorologists Embracing Social Science
Is a First Step 182
6.14.1 Be Part of the Integrated Studies Movement 183
6.14.2 Work Out Wide‐Open Ways for Partners to Thrive 183
6.15 Work for the Longer Term 184
6.15.1 New Integrated Graduate Programs and New
Integrated Training Models 184
6.15.2 Positive Outlook for Careers for People
with a Background in Integrated Studies 185
6.15.3 Climate Change will Exacerbate the Need for Integrated
Weather–Society Research and Practice 186
6.16 Questions for Review and Discussion 188
6.17 Using What You’ve Learned: Homework
Assignment From the Chapter 188
References 190
Appendices
Appendix A: List of Acronyms 194
Appendix B: Blogs and Websites that Integrate Weather
and Society 196
Appendix C: Other Relevant Web Resources 199
Addendum 200
Index 203
x
Acknowledgments
This book began as an effort to support and amplify two ambitious
efforts that were passionately dedicated to changing the way that the
social sciences and atmospheric sciences collaborate to improve
weather forecasting effectiveness, reduce the number of lives lost to
severe weather, and to develop a cadre of hybrid socio‐meteorologists.
The two main efforts toward these goals were the WAS*IS movement
(Weather and Society * Integrated Studies) and the SSWIM or Social
Science Woven into Meteorology program. When funding for both of
these programs ended and I faced the prospect that this textbook
would need to be historical and not totally optimistic, progress on this
book slowed. The book retains a cautiously optimistic tone even
though a close examination in 2017 reveals that atmospheric scien-
tists, without a clear understanding of or appreciation for social sci-
ence, are doing most of the talking at the intersection of weather and
society and there are only a handful of examples of woven collabora-
tions between atmospheric scientists and social scientists.
My graduate school mentor and advisor, Dr. Gilbert F. White,
inspired me. Gilbert’s brilliance had powerful policy implications for
natural hazard mitigation at the local, state, federal, and international
levels, and his tireless persistent dedication to bringing all stakehold-
ers, researchers, and students together for decision making kept me
focused on getting this book finished. I began my career studying the
behavior of people during the 1976 Big Thompson flood in Colorado
(Gruntfest, 1977) and the flash flood research led to a broader passion
for understanding flash floods and warnings nationally and interna-
tionally (Gruntfest and Handmer, 2001). Forty years later, I am still
highly motivated and engaged with ways to improve flash flood
warnings.