T u rk e y – W a te r a lo n g th e foo Turkey d c h ain Water along the food chain Please address comments and inquiries to: Investment Centre Division Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Viale delle Terme di Caracalla – 00153 Rome, Italy [email protected] 5 1 www.fao.org/investment/en 01. Rep Report No. 27 – August 2016 I4318/1/ ort No. 27 turkey Water along the food chain Towards water-smart agrifood policies: the case of red meat processing Nuno Santos economist, investment centre division, Fao Prof. Dr. Sebastian Hess agricultural economist, christian-albrechts university Kiel Dr. Tinoush Jamali Jaghdani Water Policy specialist, georg-august university göttingen, germany with contributions from: Prof. Dr. Harun Uçak economist, alaaddin Keykubat university, turkey Arianna Carita economist, investment centre division, Fao Genevieve Theodorakis economist, investment centre division, Fao Maria Ricci Project Officer, Investment Centre Division, FAO country highlights prepared under the Fao/eBrd cooperation Food and agriculture organization oF the united nations rome, 2016 The designations employed and the presentation of material in this information product do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) or the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) concerning the legal or development status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. 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Cover photo: © Photomyeye | Dreamstime.com TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword v acknowledgements vii acronyms and abbreviations ix executive summary xi 1 introduction 1 Turkey’s water resources 2 Structure of water use and water demand in Turkey 9 The issue of groundwater depletion 13 The predicted effect of climate change on water resources in Turkey 17 2 turkey’s agriculture sector and water use 21 Turkey’s agriculture sector: the recent past and current trends 21 Water use in agriculture in Turkey: Past evolution and trends 46 Water saving technologies in Turkey’s food chains 60 3 Policy environment for food sector water use efficiency 75 Turkish institutions for the management of water resources 75 Water resource management policies 97 A comparison of government support measures for Turkish agriculture 109 4 red meat case study 121 Dynamics and efficiency of the red meat processing value chain 121 Water use in the red meat processing value chain 143 Policies and development of the red meat processing value chain in Turkey 150 5 Conclusions 157 Main findings 157 Key policy options and potential priorities for public-private policy dialogue 160 Annex 1 – The trade intensity index 165 References 167 Foreword In 2013, the EBRD and FAO launched a multi-country project to improve water efficiency in selected agricultural value chains. The project aimed at providing analytical support to improve the environmental impact of EBRD agribusiness investments and inform policy-makers on sustainable paths for specific value chains in Turkey, Jordan, Ukraine and the Kyrgyz Republic. Although Turkey has more water resources than many of its neighbors in the Middle East and North Africa, it is expected to face shortages in the near future. Climate change, rapidly rising demand and inefficient practices are contributing to the overexploitation of groundwater resources. This is particularly problematic for agriculture, an important sector in the Turkish economy that is also a major water consumer and highly sensitive to water shortages. By 2023, the agricultural use of water – especially for irrigation – is expected to be the single most important source of domestic water use, accounting for 64 percent of total national water consumption. This study elaborates on current and projected trends – as well as institutional and policy issues – related to water use in Turkey’s agriculture sector. It builds on quantitative and qualitative evidence gathered through literature review, data analysis as well as substantial field work carried out during the course of 2014 and 2015. The objective of the latter was to gain a better understanding of water-related issues in the country and identify the most important food value chains in terms of water use and potential for improvement. The red meat value chain was selected for more in-depth analysis given its economic importance and also because it constituted an interesting example of the impact of policies on water use efficiency in the agrifood sector. The report provides a value chain and water-use efficiency analysis for the red meat sector, building on available research and secondary statistics. It also includes information on key market players as well as sector dynamics and structural characteristics. Finally, this review identifies key constraints and opportunities for a “water-smart” development of the red meat sector and suggestions in terms of policy. As a result of heavy subsidization and growing purchasing power, domestic red meat demand and production in Turkey have grown steadily in the past decade. This trend is expected to continue, with an estimated 34 percent growth in total beef consumption between 2014 and 2024. Water consumption in the Turkish red meat production chain is significant, especially for irrigation purposes at the primary production level. Partly due to the provision of specific input subsidies for the production of forage crops, a significant share of irrigated land in the v country - c. 24 percent - is dedicated to the production of maize silage used as fodder. With high production costs, red meat in Turkey ends up being a major water consumer while not being very competitive. Developing “water-smart” policies would therefore require Turkey to pay close attention to the appropriate design of incentives around water use, especially in primary agriculture. vi Acknowledgements This review was conducted in the context of the cooperation between FAO and the EBRD. It was financed by FAO and EBRD’s Southern and Eastern Mediterranean Multi-Donor Account, supported by Australia, Finland, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Taipei China and the United Kingdom. The analysis was carried out by FAO’s Investment Centre, under the supervision of Nuno Santos, Economist, Europe, Central Asia, Near East, North Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean Service (TCIC), FAO. The main authors of the study are Sebastian Hess, Agricultural Economist, Christian Albrechts, University of Kiel, Tinoush Jamali Jaghdani, Water Policy Specialist, Georg-August, University of Göttingen, and Nuno Santos. Genevieve Theodorakis, Economist, Arianna Carita, Economist, and Maria Ricci, Project Officer, all from TCIC, also contributed to the report. Harun Uçak, Economist, carried out background research, data gathering and analysis and contributed to drafting sections of the report. Cuneyt and Nedret Okan, Water Sector Specialists, helped draft the scoping report through data gathering, research and analysis. Giovanni Muñoz, Land and Water Officer, TCIC, provided useful insights on water availability indicators. Nadia Petkova, Regional Head of Agribusiness at EBRD’s Resident Office in Istanbul, and Iride Ceccacci, Principal Economist, EBRD, provided leadership and coordination on behalf of the Bank as well as comments on the draft version of the study. The authors would like to thank Aysegul Akin, Assistant FAO Representative in Turkey, for the numerous interactions on the study and kind implementation support. The authors would finally like to thank Mohamed Manssouri, Chief, TCIC, and Emmanuel Hidier, Senior Economist, TCIC, for their overall support and guidance. The authors are also grateful to Claire Tarrin, Genevieve Joy and Adriana Brunetti for editing and formatting the report. They also wish to thank Sarah Mercadante, Project and Communications Officer, TCIC, for coordinating the publication process. Thanks are also extended to the entire TCIC General Service team for their assistance during the implementation of the study. vii
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